Starting Pitcher Chart – April 8th, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their last season performance until we get some actual data for this year, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (and then I’ll add the last 30 days outlook next month), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Castillo | SEA at TOR | x | x | x | 197 | 3.34 | 1.10 | 20% | 11th | Not off to the best start, but obviously not sitting him anywhere |
| 2 | Yu Darvish | SDP v CHC | x | x | x | 136 | 4.56 | 1.30 | 17% | 12th | 2 gems since shaky control in Korea debut |
| 3 | Framber Valdez | HOU at TEX | x | x | x | 198 | 3.45 | 1.13 | 18% | 4th | Most important part of his bounceback was 0 BB after 6 in the debut |
| 4 | Zach Eflin | TBR at LAA | x | x | x | 177 | 3.50 | 1.02 | 23% | 15th | An opening dud is always tough so it was nice to see a strong rebound |
| 5 | José Berríos | TOR v SEA | x | x | x | 189 | 3.65 | 1.19 | 17% | 14th | The steady vet is off to a great start |
| 6 | Zac Gallen | ARI at COL | x | x | x | 210 | 3.47 | 1.12 | 20% | 19th | I start my aces in Coors, especially in 2-start weeks |
| 7 | Blake Snell | SFG v WSN | x | x | x | 180 | 2.25 | 1.19 | 18% | 15th | Not sure what kinda limits he might face in his debut, but I’m starting him |
| 8 | Charlie Morton | ATL v NYM | x | x | x | 163 | 3.64 | 1.43 | 14% | 16th | Take the ratio risk for the Ws and Ks upside |
| 9 | Reese Olson | DET at PIT | x | x | x | 103 | 3.99 | 1.12 | 17% | 20th | PIT isn’t a walkover, but I have confidence his 13% SwStr will start yielding more Ks |
| 10 | Jesús Luzardo | MIA at NYY | x | x | x | 178 | 3.58 | 1.21 | 21% | 9th | Let’s be careful w/this one and the overall 2-step w/at ATL this wknd… I won’t blame you for sitting |
| 11 | James Paxton | LAD at MIN | x | x | x | 96 | 4.50 | 1.31 | 17% | 19th | Kind of Morton Jr. type where I’m starting for Ws/Ks upside even if there’s ratio downside |
| 12 | Mitch Keller | PIT v DET | x | x | 194 | 4.21 | 1.25 | 19% | 28th | DET’s lineup is worth picking on right now even if you have to take the at PHI this wknd | |
| 13 | Bailey Ober | MIN v LAD | x | x | 144 | 3.43 | 1.07 | 20% | 2nd | PPD today pushes him into 2-step that includes LAD, but I’m rolling w/him in most spots | |
| 14 | Nestor Cortes | NYY v MIA | x | x | 63 | 4.97 | 1.25 | 18% | 13th | It’s been 2 modest outings thus far so I’m a bit nervous here, he’s just not missing enough bats & he might be a shallow lg cut right now | |
| 15 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN v MIL | x | x | 145 | 4.76 | 1.37 | 9% | 24th | Is the sinker-slider-cutter arsenal enough to keep generating whiffs? (14% SwStr in 1st start) | |
| 16 | Triston McKenzie | CLE v CHW | x | x | 16 | 5.06 | 1.56 | 4% | 30th | Now gets a 2-step after Sunday’s PPD; looking to bounce back from a debut dud | |
| 17 | Miles Mikolas | STL v PHI | x | x | 201 | 4.78 | 1.32 | 11% | 6th | Rebounded from bad start at LAD that you shouldn’t have started anyway | |
| 18 | Spencer Turnbull | PHI at STL | x | x | 31 | 7.26 | 1.68 | 6% | 9th | Streamable in 10 teamers, though not a must-start; eager to see how this wk goes (at PIT this wknd) after the solid debut | |
| 19 | Trevor Williams | WSN at SFG | x | x | 144 | 5.55 | 1.60 | 9% | 23rd | Running w/2-step (at OAK this wknd); this first one is a toss-up in daily formats | |
| 20 | Tyler Anderson | LAA v TBR | x | 141 | 5.43 | 1.49 | 9% | 5th | The 7 IP gem puts him on the radar, but it’s a tough 2-step w/TB & at BOS… be careful | ||
| 21 | Javier Assad | CHC at SDP | x | 109 | 3.05 | 1.23 | 12% | 18th | He doesn’t miss enough bats to be fully trusted for 1, either, or both of these (at SEA this wknd)… be careful | ||
| 22 | Aaron Ashby | MIL at CIN | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 12th | Season debut kicks off w/at CIN & at BAL 2-step; I like him but just can’t run this | |||
| 23 | Andrew Heaney | TEX v HOU | 147 | 4.15 | 1.38 | 14% | 3rd | I’m not sure I want either of his HOU starts this wk (it’s a rollover series so he gets ’em MON & SAT) | |||
| 24 | Julio Teheran | NYM at ATL | 71 | 4.40 | 1.13 | 13% | 1st | Revenge game! | |||
| 25 | Kyle Freeland | COL v ARI | 155 | 5.03 | 1.47 | 8% | 21st | Nope | |||
| 26 | Jared Shuster | CHW at CLE | 52 | 5.81 | 1.50 | 2% | 30th | Not really on the radar |
Jared Shuster must be pretty bad to be below Kyle Freeland at home against ARI and Julio at ATL.
Yeah he hasn’t really shown too much to get excited about and CLE is running hot. I’d honestly rather go Freeland or Teheran