Starting Pitcher Chart – April 18th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | PHI v MIA | x | x | x | 24 | 4.07 | 1.07 | 23% | 22nd | |
| 2 | Cole Ragans | KCR at DET | x | x | x | 23 | 2.28 | 0.93 | 32% | 16th | |
| 3 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD at TEX | x | x | x | 22 | 1.23 | 0.91 | 25% | 27th | |
| 4 | Logan Webb | SFG at LAA | x | x | x | 24 | 2.63 | 1.13 | 20% | 10th | |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v ATH | x | x | x | 23 | 2.31 | 0.90 | 22% | 15th | |
| 6 | Bryan Woo | SEA at TOR | x | x | x | 19 | 2.84 | 0.95 | 19% | 23rd | Gets to skip GABP, though a trip to TOR isn’t a cakewalk, either… that said, still an easy start |
| 7 | Drew Rasmussen | TBR v NYY | x | x | x | 15 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 24% | 3rd | Running a 28% K w/a 9% SwStr has been quite a magic trick, but the 112 Stf+ suggests the latter will improve; tough matchup, but no shot I’m sitting him |
| 8 | Jacob deGrom | TEX v LAD | x | x | x | 14 | 4.30 | 1.30 | 11% | 2nd | Still an easy start, even v. LAD |
| 9 | Corbin Burnes | ARI at CHC | x | x | x | 15 | 5.28 | 1.57 | 7% | 8th | Studs get leeway; it’s been undeniably bad, but it’s all of 3 starts and I’m just not quitting him yet… he gets 8-10 starts for sure |
| 10 | David Peterson | NYM v STL | x | x | 16 | 2.70 | 1.38 | 13% | 5th | Got pushed back a day so just reposting yesterday’s blurb: Running a high-wire act w/that ERA/WHIP combo; 7% SwStr puts the 24% K in doubt while the 89 Stf+ isn’t instilling hope for a jump there… be careful here | |
| 11 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN at COL | x | x | 23 | 3.52 | 1.26 | 27% | 18th | ANY time you take the Coors plunge, there’s a risk so there is plenty of downside here, but he’s pitching well enough to take the shot v. this lineup | |
| 12 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA at PHI | x | x | 15 | 4.70 | 1.17 | 6% | 17th | A pair of 4 BB starts is very uncharacteristic for Sandy, but not out of pocket for a TJ returner | |
| 13 | Bowden Francis | TOR v SEA | x | x | 17 | 4.76 | 1.12 | 12% | 13th | Trying to prove me wrong re: BABIP regression w/insane .167 so far; danger ahead if 2.1 HR9 doesn’t improve before BABIP regress; matchup adds to appeal, but hard a must-start | |
| 14 | Hunter Dobbins | BOS v CHW | x | x | 5 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 13% | 29th | Solid debut leads into a perfect 2nd matchup where he is a very intriguing stream option | |
| 15 | Luis L. Ortiz | CLE at PIT | x | x | 16 | 6.06 | 1.41 | 13% | 28th | Revenge game presents a great matchup plus he’s comin’ off a gem last time out (5.7 IP/1 H/1 ER/10 Ks) | |
| 16 | Jackson Jobe | DET v KCR | x | x | 15 | 3.00 | 1.13 | 2% | 30th | Matchup is driving the interest here as he’s still finding his footing but I’m very reluctant to quit him yet; def stashing at the very least | |
| 17 | Chase Dollander | COL v WSN | x | 10 | 5.06 | 1.22 | 23% | 14th | 2 HRs in each start have been his undoing but that 23% K-BB is spicy and I’m willing to the roll the dice in Coors | ||
| 18 | J.T. Ginn | ATH at MIL | x | 5 | 1.69 | 1.13 | 17% | 7th | Diced NYM in his debut (velo up 2 mph), was great in 2 MiLB starts; could be something here, at least stash-worthy | ||
| 19 | Carlos Rodón | NYY at TBR | x | 23 | 5.48 | 1.13 | 17% | 14th | 2+ BB and 1+ HR in each start this yr incl. 3+ BB in the L3 really dent my confidence to take him into TBR | ||
| 20 | Cade Povich | BAL v CIN | x | 15 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 16% | 28th | Tiny 4% BB is nice and it has saved him from big punishment for the .451 BABIP (which will regress); growing pains will yield volatility, but he’s an intriguing arm for sure | ||
| 21 | Tyler Anderson | LAA v SFG | x | 15 | 2.87 | 1.15 | 8% | 17th | |||
| 22 | Ryan Gusto | HOU v SDP | 12 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 26% | 4th | He’s very much on my radar in 12s/15s, but let’s be smart v. SDP and watch from the sidelines before diving in (would consider v. TOR next wk if this goes even decently) | |||
| 23 | Andrew Abbott | CIN at BAL | 5 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 16% | 25th | ||||
| 24 | Martín Pérez | CHW at BOS | 17 | 1.59 | 1.06 | 13% | 10th | Ks (27%) are up which is nice, but so are the BBs (13%) while a .231 BABIP, 84% LOB, and 0 HR are doing most of the work; regression is coming and it could start Friday, enter at your own risk | |||
| 25 | Bryce Elder | ATL v MIN | 10 | 7.20 | 1.40 | 12% | 19th | ||||
| 26 | Colin Rea | CHC v ARI | 9 | 1.00 | 1.11 | 17% | 1st | ||||
| 27 | Carmen Mlodzinski | PIT v CLE | 13 | 6.23 | 1.77 | 13% | 20th | ||||
| 28 | Miles Mikolas | STL at NYM | 13 | 9.00 | 1.62 | 8% | 21st | ||||
| 29 | Kyle Hart 하트 | SDP at HOU | 11 | 5.40 | 1.11 | 7% | 29th | ||||
| 30 | Chris Paddack | MIN at ATL | 12 | 9.49 | 1.86 | 2% | 18th |
The forecast for Wrigley Field today is mid 70s with 19 mph winds blowing out. That scares me off of Burnes a little.
I can’t even blame you. Like I get that we SHOULD start him bc we invested a high pick and it’s been a tiny sample and he has a lengthy track record of success, but man oh man it looks so bleak right now