Starting Pitcher Chart – April 17th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
April 17, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Starter Notes April 17, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA at CIN | 0.7 | 81.00 | 12.00 | -11% | 23rd | |||||
| 2 | Tanner Bibee | CLE at BAL | x | x | x | 14 | 4.40 | 1.40 | 5% | 12th | Solid night for BAL v. Gavin Williams, but he was more off than they were on so I’m not dodging them w/Bibee; and no, I’m not really worried about Bibee’s #s so far |
| 3 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI at MIA | x | x | x | 16 | 4.86 | 1.20 | 21% | 6th | E-Rod is lookin really appealing today given the difficult matchups/venues of the other four 3-x guys; not really seeing anything to say the 29% K has any tangible juice, but I can certainly see him running up another handful at MIA |
| 4 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI v SFG | x | x | x | 17 | 3.12 | 1.33 | 19% | 19th | Brought some juice from his huge ST w/+1 mph on his sinker and +6 on K% (26%); HRs back up w/HR/FB regression (19% in 2021-23; 9% in 2024) up to 21%; should smooth out at least some as we’ve seen just 1 season of >20% HR/FB for a full yr since 2021 (Corbin, 2021) |
| 5 | Taj Bradley | TBR v NYY | x | x | x | 17 | 3.71 | 1.06 | 22% | 5th | Has survived the home park so far w/both of his HRs being allow at TEX (12 HR-free IP at home), but it won’t last forever; too much upside to sit, though, even v. NYY |
| 6 | Brady Singer | CIN v SEA | x | x | 17 | 3.18 | 1.06 | 18% | 17th | Opened w/the gem v. TEX and has been fine in the 2 starts since; at MIA next wk, too! | |
| 7 | Reese Olson | DET v KCR | x | x | 15 | 6.00 | 1.67 | 7% | 30th | Hasn’t been great, but I think he’s close and will figure it out plus KCR is sputtering | |
| 8 | David Peterson | NYM v STL | x | x | 16 | 2.70 | 1.38 | 13% | 5th | Running a high-wire act w/that ERA/WHIP combo; 7% SwStr puts the 24% K in doubt while the 89 Stf+ isn’t instilling hope for a jump there… be careful here as STL is solid so far | |
| 9 | Michael Lorenzen | KCR at DET | x | x | 17 | 3.71 | 1.24 | 14% | 9th | DET can bite ya but Lorenzen is good enough to stream v. them, and while I’d prefer him at home, I’ll take Comerica Park | |
| 10 | Andrew Heaney | PIT v WSN | x | x | 18 | 3.00 | 0.89 | 20% | 16th | One 4-run inning at CIN accounts for 67% of his ER and unsurprisingly it was a HR (a grand slam, in fact) — his only one this year; WSN is solid, but I’ll take Heaney on a heater | |
| 11 | Andre Pallante | STL at NYM | x | x | 16 | 2.20 | 1.04 | 9% | 22nd | MLB-best 70% GB is doing the heavy lifting, but the loss of Masyn Winn will likely result in more hits; the .182 BABIP was always going to regress, this injury will just speed up that process; useful streamer, but the downside is biiig w/this skillset (>5 ER) | |
| 12 | JP Sears | ATH at CHW | x | x | 17 | 4.24 | 1.18 | 18% | 27th | Strong start and a great matchup give him some nice streamer upside | |
| 13 | Will Warren | NYY at TBR | x | 14 | 5.14 | 1.14 | 14% | 4th | Deep, interesting arsenal has yielded some early results, but I am nervous taking non-aces to TBR (117 HR park factor so far; Trop was 98) | ||
| 14 | Jordan Hicks | SFG at PHI | 15 | 5.87 | 1.37 | 12% | 13th | 10 ER in 9.3 IP since 6 shutout in his season opener; the stuff is nasty, but it doesn’t miss bats so his upside is capped | |||
| 15 | Edward Cabrera | MIA v ARI | 5 | 3.18 | 1.24 | 8% | 1st | His stuff does miss bats, but it also misses the zone constantly; tough to skip a home start w/him, but I’m not seeing it | |||
| 16 | Kumar Rocker | TEX v LAA | 11 | 7.94 | 1.94 | 4% | 8th | At least w/Cabrera I can see how he has a good start, but what are we clinging to w/Rocker rn? Plus LAA hitting a bit early on | |||
| 17 | Trevor Williams | WSN at PIT | 14 | 7.36 | 1.77 | 12% | 29th | He’s better than his ERA and the matchup is a good one, but the upside is scant | |||
| 18 | Jack Kochanowicz | LAA at TEX | 15 | 5.74 | 1.28 | 5% | 26th | A poor man’s Pallante (high-contract, GB machine)… which isn’t super awesome | |||
| 19 | Davis Martin | CHW v ATH | 17 | 4.24 | 1.41 | 7% | 15th | 2 gems surrounding his DET dud, but that’s kinda the point… the 7 ER downside makes it hard to chase when the good ones offer 6 Ks in 12 IP | |||
| 20 | Tomoyuki Sugano | BAL v CLE | 14 | 3.86 | 1.57 | 19th | Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any start, but a 0% K-BB makes him impossible to start for me |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Late change – Hancock for Mariners, bumping Woo to Friday in Toronto.
Thanks so much! I just slotted him into Woo’s spot, but he’s a 0 x for me