Starting Pitcher Chart – April 16th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
April 16, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th — a little earlier than last yr), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th which is still a pretty small sample, but we can start attacking some cold lineups or be more careful with those performing well so far), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
I fell asleep on the couch watching games so I’ll add some comments in the morning!
—
You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.
Starter Notes April 16, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Nola | PHI v SFG | x | x | x | 16 | 5.51 | 1.41 | 17% | 19th | |
| 2 | Gavin Williams | CLE at BAL | x | x | x | 13 | 3.46 | 1.38 | 14% | 25th | |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | ATL at TOR | x | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 23rd | Originally tabbed for late-Apr/early-May return, but here he is in mid-Apr! I’m inclined to throw him in right away. |
| 4 | Nick Pivetta | SDP v CHC | x | x | x | 17 | 1.59 | 0.82 | 22% | 7th | |
| 5 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v ATL | x | x | x | 18 | 0.98 | 1.09 | 25% | 15th | Looks amazing despite a 2 mph dip w/everything clicking right now. I don’t think he’ll stay this good, but he’s in my lineup everywhere right now. |
| 6 | Bryce Miller | SEA at CIN | x | x | x | 16 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 7% | 25th | |
| 7 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at MIA | x | x | x | 18 | 3.50 | 1.06 | 13% | 17th | His matchup advantage over similarly skilled peers gives him a solid Top 10 ranking today |
| 8 | Kris Bubic | KCR at NYY | x | x | x | 18 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 21% | 3rd | It’s an alley of tough matchups here w/these next 4, a couple of ’em in hitter-friendly venues, too |
| 9 | Max Meyer | MIA v ARI | x | x | x | 18 | 2.00 | 1.11 | 19% | 1st | ARI is no joke, but it is at home which makes it a lot more palatable; great litmus test for him |
| 10 | José Soriano | LAA at TEX | x | x | x | 20 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 14% | 9th | Held up in TBR w/2nd 7+ IP start of the yr and if he can maintain the mid-20s% K & low-60s% GB rates, there is major upside here |
| 11 | Robbie Ray | SFG at PHI | x | x | x | 15 | 2.93 | 1.24 | 5% | 16th | Hasn’t had to pay for 9 BB in his L2 starts w/just 2 ER, but obviously a 5% K-BB won’t work for very long |
| 12 | Osvaldo Bido | ATH at CHW | x | x | x | 15 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 12% | 27th | CHW park has quietly become a neutral spot over the last couple yrs; big test next wk w/TEX & CHW at home |
| 13 | Ronel Blanco | HOU at STL | x | x | x | 11 | 6.94 | 1.63 | 17% | 6th | Will take some time to work off the 1.7 IP/4 ER at MIN, but 5 IP/2 ER gem v. LAA is a start |
| 14 | Matthew Boyd | CHC at SDP | x | x | 17 | 1.59 | 1.18 | 14% | 7th | Excellent start to the season is more impressive when you consider the schedule: at ARI/SDP/at LAD and now at SDP w/v. LAD looming next week!! | |
| 15 | David Festa | MIN v NYM | x | x | 4 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 16% | 21st | I was hoping for Zebby Matthews to get the first shot, but I like Festa just fine, too — might struggle to >5 consistently, though | |
| 16 | Nick Martinez | CIN v SEA | x | x | 16 | 6.06 | 1.22 | 16% | 24th | I don’t love using him at home but if you can’t run him v. SEA, he shouldn’t be on your roster | |
| 17 | Mitchell Parker | WSN at PIT | x | x | 18 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 3% | 26th | As a Parker fan, I’d love to get more excited about his 3 QS to open the season, but I can’t ignore the hideous 3% K-BB… that said, this matchup is far too juicy to skip | |
| 18 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY v KCR | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 17th | Everyone handles IL guys differently; I don’t hate rolling him, but it’s risky so don’t be afraid to see one | |
| 19 | Jose Quintana | MIL v DET | x | x | 7 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 9% | 8th | Only 2 Ks, but hard to hate on his 7 IP/0 ER season debut | |
| 20 | Keider Montero | DET at MIL | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 11th | Getting a spot start to push the rotation back a day; | ||
| 21 | Bobby Miller | LAD v COL | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 29th | I’m such a sucker for him… the matchup is playing a big role here; at the very least, I’d stash him | ||
| 22 | Germán Márquez | COL at LAD | 15 | 4.60 | 1.47 | 4% | 5th | ||||
| 23 | Sean Newcomb | BOS at TBR | 12 | 4.97 | 2.13 | 13% | 4th | ||||
| 24 | Zack Littell | TBR v BOS | 17 | 6.88 | 1.24 | 16% | 18th | ||||
| 25 | Bailey Falter | PIT v WSN | 15 | 7.20 | 1.53 | 11% | 14th | ||||
| 26 | Dean Kremer | BAL v CLE | 14 | 8.16 | 1.67 | 12% | 20th | ||||
| 27 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW v ATH | 14 | 5.79 | 1.64 | 8% | 19th | ||||
| 28 | Steven Matz | STL v HOU | 11 | 2.31 | 1.11 | 8% | 24th | ||||
| 29 | Patrick Corbin | TEX v LAA | 4 | 6.75 | 1.75 | -11% | 9th | ||||
| 30 | José Ureña | NYM at MIN | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 22nd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
15-team ain’t deep. Please consider including -only leagues.
Sure they are and it’s just shorthand for shallow-medium-deep. I can’t cover every siiiingle league size