RotoGraphs June Consensus Ranks: Outfielders
When you start ranking outfielders, all you can think about is how many there are. It seems impossible. And then something funny happens, somewhere in the 60s for me — you run out of ones you really want in your lineup. And then there’s a ton left, yes, but they’re all mix and match fantasy platoon outfielders. And they aren’t super easy on the eyes.
I mean, sure, when he’s healthy Carl Crawford is useful. And if batting average isn’t a great concern, you can use Curtis Granderson and Colby Rasmus and Michael Saunders. And yeah, if you can platoon, Matt Joyce, David Murphy and Garrett Jones are fine options. But if you’re in a twelve-team weekly lineup, you’re holding your nose at those final outfielders.
Is the outfield less deep than it seems? Even the final outfielders in a twelve-team mixer — Dexter Fowler, Kole Calhoun, Josh Willingham — seem more like bench pieces for plug and play goodies than starters. How do you feel about your outfielders?
Again, this is for rest of season 5×5 roto, and though Jeff Zimmerman mostly uses the rest of season projections, it’s not just a computer ranking. We’ve left off the color coding in favor of a simple up or down arrow — those arrows are only next to big movers from their preseason position. The table is designed to be sortable in case you prefer one of the rankings.
| RG | Player | Jeff | Zach | Mike | Eno |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Trout | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Ryan Braun | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew McCutchen | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
4![]() |
Yasiel Puig | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Adam Jones | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Carlos Gomez | 11 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
8![]() |
Carlos Gonzalez | 6 | 18 | 4 | 6 |
9![]() |
Jose Bautista | 10 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Giancarlo Stanton | 9 | 2 | 19 | 9 |
| 11 | Shin-Soo Choo | 19 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Justin Upton | 13 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Hunter Pence | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
14![]() |
Alex Rios | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
15![]() |
Nelson Cruz | 12 | 12 | 26 | 15 |
16![]() |
Jay Bruce | 24 | 21 | 9 | 17 |
17![]() |
Yoenis Cespedes | 17 | 26 | 21 | 16 |
18![]() |
Brandon Moss | 27 | 16 | 20 | 21 |
19![]() |
Jayson Werth | 26 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 20 | Matt Holliday | 30 | 20 | 16 | 23 |
| 21 | Michael Cuddyer | 22 | 17 | 33 | 18 |
| 22 | Alex Gordon | 18 | 13 | 34 | 27 |
23![]() |
Starling Marte | 25 | 25 | 17 | 28 |
24![]() |
Billy Hamilton | 7 | 40 | 27 | 25 |
25![]() |
George Springer | 16 | 36 | 23 | 24 |
26![]() |
Jason Heyward | 29 | 35 | 14 | 22 |
27![]() |
Coco Crisp | 20 | 34 | 32 | 26 |
28![]() |
Michael Brantley | 31 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
29![]() |
Melky Cabrera | 23 | 22 | 69 | 19 |
30![]() |
Charlie Blackmon | 34 | 23 | 49 | 30 |
31![]() |
Brett Gardner | 39 | 27 | 35 | 36 |
| 32 | Austin Jackson | 32 | 44 | 31 | 31 |
| 33 | Josh Hamilton | 37 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
34![]() |
Torii Hunter | 21 | 32 | 53 | 35 |
| 35 | Desmond Jennings | 33 | 49 | 25 | 34 |
36![]() |
Angel Pagan | 44 | 19 | 44 | 37 |
| 37 | Leonys Martin | 36 | 47 | 30 | 33 |
38![]() |
Allen Craig | 38 | 37 | 48 | 41 |
39![]() |
Bryce Harper | 45 | 60 | 22 | 38 |
40![]() |
Carlos Beltran | 51 | 51 | 24 | 43 |
41![]() |
Mark Trumbo | 52 | 30 | 56 | 39 |
42![]() |
Norichika Aoki | 43 | 46 | 39 | 52 |
43![]() |
Matt Kemp | 49 | 43 | 36 | 52 |
| 44 | Martin Prado | 42 | 58 | 46 | 45 |
45![]() |
Domonic Brown | 46 | 75 | 29 | 42 |
46![]() |
Rajai Davis | 35 | 45 | 67 | 49 |
| 47 | Christian Yelich | 53 | 62 | 41 | 40 |
48![]() |
Michael Morse | 57 | 29 | 54 | 60 |
| 49 | Nick Markakis | 41 | 50 | 62 | 48 |
| 50 | Michael Bourn | 40 | 56 | 58 | 50 |
51![]() |
Ben Zobrist | 58 | 61 | 40 | 46 |
52![]() |
Marcell Ozuna | 50 | 48 | 64 | 44 |
| 53 | Khris Davis | 59 | 57 | 47 | 47 |
| 54 | Ben Revere | 48 | 87 | 37 | 51 |
55![]() |
Gregory Polanco | 39 | 39 | 94 | 53 |
56![]() |
Evan Gattis | 69 | 52 | 50 | 68 |
57![]() |
Alejandro De Aza | 47 | 84 | 61 | 54 |
| 58 | Dexter Fowler | 77 | 33 | 75 | 61 |
59![]() |
Kole Calhoun | 54 | 100 | 42 | 57 |
| 60 | Oswaldo Arcia | 71 | 70 | 43 | 69 |
| 61 | Josh Willingham | 73 | 53 | 74 | 55 |
| 62 | Gerardo Parra | 55 | 74 | 70 | 58 |
| 63 | Junior Lake | 67 | 66 | 59 | 67 |
64![]() |
Adam Eaton | 68 | 80 | 51 | 62 |
65![]() |
Marlon Byrd | 56 | 54 | 93 | 59 |
| 66 | Shane Victorino | 75 | 85 | 55 | 56 |
| 67 | Emilio Bonifacio | 62 | 73 | 76 | 63 |
| 68 | Carl Crawford | 97 | 55 | 57 | 71 |
69![]() |
Curtis Granderson | 76 | 76 | 52 | 77 |
70![]() |
Dayan Viciedo | 63 | 67 | 72 | 81 |
| 71 | Matt Joyce | 84 | 68 | 68 | 64 |
| 72 | Colby Rasmus | 72 | 77 | 66 | 76 |
73![]() |
Alfonso Soriano | 28 | 96 | 71 | 99 |
74![]() |
Will Venable | 66 | 102 | 45 | 84 |
| 75 | Michael Saunders | 60 | 64 | 89 | 85 |
| 76 | Denard Span | 61 | 78 | 73 | 86 |
| 77 | David Murphy | 87 | 59 | 87 | 65 |
78![]() |
Chris Carter | 64 | 88 | 63 | 90 |
| 79 | Lorenzo Cain | 88 | 72 | 84 | 70 |
| 80 | B.J. Upton | 78 | 99 | 60 | 78 |
| 81 | Carlos Quentin | 94 | 41 | 86 | 95 |
82![]() |
Oscar Taveras | 121 | 38 | 92 | 66 |
| 83 | Corey Dickerson | 102 | 69 | 78 | 72 |
84![]() |
Lucas Duda | 83 | 65 | 91 | 83 |
| 85 | Garrett Jones | 80 | 71 | 98 | 79 |
| 86 | Andre Ethier | 82 | 82 | 100 | 80 |
87![]() |
James Jones | 110 | 97 | 65 | 75 |
88![]() |
Josh Reddick | 86 | 93 | 80 | 91 |
89![]() |
Wil Myers | 74 | 104 | 88 | 88 |
90![]() |
Seth Smith | 118 | 42 | 121 | 74 |
91![]() |
Nick Swisher | 89 | 108 | 79 | 82 |
| 92 | Dustin Ackley | 79 | 92 | 101 | 89 |
| 93 | Chris Young | 85 | 101 | 77 | 98 |
| 94 | Cameron Maybin | 107 | 63 | 121 | 73 |
95![]() |
Drew Stubbs | 70 | 91 | 121 | 87 |
96![]() |
Michael Choice | 65 | 121 | 90 | 97 |
| 97 | Eric Young | 90 | 86 | 106 | 92 |
98![]() |
Nate Schierholtz | 93 | 107 | 81 | 93 |
| 99 | David DeJesus | 99 | 94 | 99 | 94 |
100![]() |
Chris Denorfia | 101 | 79 | 114 | 105 |
| 101 | Justin Ruggiano | 95 | 121 | 82 | 104 |
| 102 | Cody Ross | 109 | 110 | 83 | 100 |
| 103 | Jose Tabata | 91 | 111 | 102 | 112 |
104![]() |
Juan Lagares | 106 | 83 | 121 | 106 |
| 105 | Robbie Grossman | 117 | 121 | 85 | 96 |
106![]() |
Jonny Gomes | 121 | 81 | 109 | 108 |
107![]() |
Craig Gentry | 121 | 89 | 108 | 103 |
108![]() |
A.J. Pollock | 103 | 105 | 104 | 111 |
| 109 | Ryan Ludwick | 116 | 95 | 107 | 107 |
110![]() |
Jackie Bradley Jr | 98 | 117 | 113 | 98 |
| 111 | Jon Jay | 119 | 90 | 121 | 102 |
112![]() |
Kelly Johnson | 104 | 120 | 96 | 115 |
113![]() |
Ichiro Suzuki | 105 | 121 | 95 | 117 |
114![]() |
Joc Pederson | 112 | 106 | 121 | 101 |
| 115 | Peter Bourjos | 115 | 109 | 97 | 121 |
| 116 | David Lough | 96 | 121 | 120 | 113 |
| 117 | Alex Presley | 100 | 119 | 121 | 114 |
118![]() |
Jarrod Dyson | 114 | 98 | 121 | 121 |
| 119 | Nate McLouth | 108 | 121 | 117 | 118 |
120![]() |
Grant Green | 121 | 114 | 121 | 109 |
| 121 | Aaron Hicks | 120 | 121 | 105 | 121 |
| 122 | Jason Kubel | 121 | 115 | 121 | 120 |
| 123 | Chris Heisey | 121 | 118 | 119 | 121 |
Ranked by one analyst: Raul Ibanez, Kyle Blanks, Ryan Doumit, Ryan Raburn, Jesus Guzman, Charlie Culberson, Scott Van Slyke, Anthony Gose, Jimmy Paredes, Abraham Almonte, Logan Forsythe, Marc Krauss, Jordan Schafer, Darin Ruf, Danny Santana, Chris Colabello,
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.


Where would Ryan Zimmerman fit in this as he has shifted to Left Field for the foreseeable future.
Nelson Cruz at 26, Mike?
Brantley is still underrated. It’s a joke he’s under Marte.
Mike’s ranking of Stanton at 19 is a headscratcher, too. Behind Heyward, Werth and Holliday, just ahead of Cespedes, Moss, Springer and Beltran?
Harper so low in the consensus (39th) is kinda strange. I get that he’s out another month but replacement-level followed by three months of top-20 would indicate something higher than 39, no?
I have to assume (and maybe this is known already and I’m the guy who doesn’t know yet) Mike is letting a spreadsheet make his picks. That’s fine if he’s formula-driven, but I’d argue you need a common-sense check, too.
I am confused about Harper as well. Although Blackmon got off to a great start this year the fact that he is ahead of Harper for the remainder of the season (9 spots at that) is crazy.
One guy even had Harper at 60…time to drop him for Ben Revere I guess?
Stanton’s projection wasn’t adjusted. He’s a batting average risk and his injury history meant I couldn’t project a full season of at-bats. Plus, I guess I expected the Marlins offense to be much worse than it has been. That would hurt his R/RBI numbers.
Bryce Harper is down where he is because of his injury. You can’t add a replacement player to just him, otherwise you’d have to add one to every single player until they add to the same plate appearance total.
Of course I’m using a spreadsheet. How else are you going to value players?
Garbage out
First thing that I saw, Brantley UNDER Marte. Give me Brantley all day over Marte.
I used my preseason projections/dollar value as a baseline and adjusted the projections as necessary. Both Cruz and Marte were actually adjusted. But really folks, it’s been a little over 2 months. We have an entire career from Cruz and last season of fantastic power/speed combo from Marte.
Bayes Bayes Bayes
Marte recently just sat 4 games in a row… so clearly their coaching staff weighs this recent slump rather heavily. Also, Marte had 3 second half home runs last year… 3. And hit .254 2nd half. His poor performance dates back all the way to july 1 of last year, almost a full season.
He has Melky Cabrera at 69… lower than BJ Upton
Dom Brown at 29? I will now invite Mike to every league and poker game I ever assemble. Wow.
What about Melky at 69 (when the others have him ranked 23, 22, and 19)…ludicrous.
You’re weighting 2 months of this season far too heavily.
Mike, you seem to be ignoring 2 months worth of data, which happens to be the 2 most recent months of data.
you’re my favorite fantasy writer on the site and one of my favorites out there period, but the rankings you guys put out are just consistently shocking.
Weighting 2 months of this season too heavily? I’d say you are weighting one month of last season too heavily.
Brown has 31 homers since the beginning of 2013, 12 of them last may. That means 19 in the other 8 months.
Over the last calendar year, he has 13 homers, 50 runs, 69 RBI, 6 SB, and a .241 average in 139 games. That is not the 29th best outfielder.
I really think you guys should start using median for these instead of mean.
The median of four numbers?
Luckily my outfielders in a 14 team keeper consist of Alex Gordon, Matt Holliday, Jason Heyward, Bryce Harper, Khris Davis, and Oscar Taveras.
Bless your heart.
Ryan Braun at #2? Why? Whyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy?
He’s on a full season pace of 30 HR, 200+ R/RBI, and close to 20 SB. While hitting .300.
HAHAHAHA man I want to play in Mike’s league
Why, so you can get rolled on?
I hate to be rude but can we get a consensus re-rank without Mike’s rankings?As others have pointed out, they’re… interesting.
Or toss out the high-low for every rank and average the middle two.
“The table is designed to be sortable in case you prefer one of the rankings.”
I hit “like” by accident here, though no offense, Brian.
Podhorzer has won a bunch of tough leagues and always has good reason for this rankings. Analysts differ, and it’d be boring if they didn’t.
What I’d really like is to see an “interesting differences” column from the rankers, where each one picks four or five guys they’re different on (Zack has Fowler at 33, which I’d really like to believe, considering my shares). Pod does something like this at the beginning of the season, but it’d be fun to see them at update time.
@Jeff: I agree, I really like Mike’s analysis and I really enjoy reading his articles. But a consensus rank isn’t that useful when one of the ranking skews the consensus so much.
Average the middle two = median
@Roman: I know the table is sortable. But I’d like to see the consensus of the opinions that I’m valuing at the moment.
@MDL: Oh my god, you’re right.
I agree. Kill the different. It’s confusing and causes stress. And it’s as dangerous as trying to drive against the traffic on the interstate. What’s the point of having rules if we just allow some people to do whatever they want.
Jay Bruce at 9? In what world is he better than Joey Bats at this point?
Hell, in what world is he better than Brandon Moss?
The real world.
Another thing that I find interesting is that Mike Trout always seems to get a bonus for his youth — but that Stanton and Puig never do.
Trout is a stud and should be #1, but if you’re not factoring in his age, he’s an arguable #1, not a straight up #1.
Is Trout actually better than Puig or Stanton if you treated them the same? And if he is (he is) how do you justify putting half a dozen players between them?
Puig (23) 335/430/591 11 HR 6 SB
Trout (22 10months) 293/375/554 12 HR 6 SB
Stanton (24) 301/393/589 17 HR 4 SB
Stanton is clear winner in power, none of them really run, and Puig is everything Trout is.
Again, not hating on Trout at #1 but cannot see a justification for the gap between he and his fellow youngsters.
Trout isn’t running as much this year but he’s clearly demonstrated in the last two years that he has the capability of putting up a ton of SBs. His potential to do so again keeps him at the top. Just because he hasn’t stolen a lot through the first two months of 2014 doesn’t mean he never will again.
These are rest of season rankings, why are you comparing only the stats from this year? Those only factor a small amount into rest of season projections.
Do you have some reason to believe that Trout, Puig, or Stanton will meaningfully deviate from what they’ve done so far this year? Or is that just a red herring response.
Stanton is healthy, and he’s really really good. Puig is really really good. Trout is really good, but he hasn’t run as much and is striking out more.
Are you saying the gap between the three is justified? Or that Trout isn’t getting a bonus for his age while Stanton/Puig don’t?
Ranking lists generally tighten the pantaloons, but this list makes my eyes rain.
You have two options:
1. Post a better list without Mr. Roborank, and make the children happy
2. Don’t post a better list, and suffer absolutely no consequences
Just gonna point out, you can copy-paste the table into a spreadsheet and do this yourself.
This is America, people do things for me because yes.
Is there a more under-rated OF this year than Angel Pagan? I submit, no.
He hits first in the order of one of the best teams in baseball. Is hitting for average supported by a strong walk rate (leading to an exception OBP). Can hit a homer or two (probably like 10-13 for the season) and is on pace for 30+ steals.
Aside for the more than occasional day off to help his knees, he’s pretty much shown that he can put up across the board stats that add up to a top-25 OF. I don’t expect major decline as his BABIP numbers are not ridiculous.
Nice to see Zach noticed this, ranking him at 19, which i think is extremely appropriate. It’ll be interesting to see him jump 15 spots in the ranks when the other four rankers follow suit.
Angel Pagan has always been and will always be consistently underranked because he a) got a late start, b) has no standout tool. But I love me some Crazy Horse.
I like Pagan as much as the next guy, but I think you’re overstating things a little. His AVG and BABIP are 35-40 points above his career averages, so one would expect those to come down some. His “strong walk rate” is below league average by 0.5%. It would take a miracle or northward migration of the Santa Ana winds for him to hit 10-13 HR playing in SF, hitting LH 70% of the time, and with a FB% of 28.3%. 20-25 steals is a lot more likely than 30+.
He’s basically a one and a half category guy, which if you’re looking for steals is fine, but more like top 40 than top 25.
Amen.
Giancarlo at 19 and Dom Brown at 29. Seems legit.
Maybe for Brown, he meant there’s a 29% chance he ends the year on a major-league roster? Guy’s been atrocious.
Anal Hershiser… what a name.
The players I have on my team never get the respect they deserve in the meta game that is fantasy fantasy baseball rankings.
I have a feeling Kemp is going to make ya’ll look pretty dumb.
Austin Jackson continues to be ranked very high on this and other sites for someone who does absolutely nothing
Last time we saw a healthy Melky in 2012, he was top 50…overall players, well into August. Here he is again, two months in. Same. His 2011 season (last full healthy one) saw 100+runs, .305avg., 20SB, 87RBI, 18 HR.
Is your ultra low designation predicting another steroid bust, or another tumor in his back? Assuming a little risk, thats still too low. Assuming a clean urine sample and health bill, that rank is ludicrous.
can’t wait until Dickerson and Blackmon swap spots.
Take a look at the Steamer projections for Josh Willingham (or Zips, but pro rate it to 75 games). Then take a look at Matt Holliday. The Hammer is severely underrated. Health is always an issue, but when he’s healthy, he rakes.