RotoGraphs Audio: The Sleeper and the Bust 2/27/2015
Episode 199
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!
In this episode, Paul Sporer and Eno Sarris discuss Adam Wainwright, Michael Saunders, and Homer Bailey injuries, the Johan Santana signing, Jonathan Papelbon’s desire to go to Toronto, and Chris Davis playing some OF this spring. Then they discuss the strategy behind trading including some real life examples that Eno is currently mulling over, and finish up by previewing the Milwaukee Brewers.
Relevant work:
- Eno on Fiers
- Most Shifted Players
- I feel like I’m missing something that I said I’d link to… if I am, let me know in the comments
As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.
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Thanks to Ian Miller, aka Teen Archer, for the intro music. Approximately 80 minutes of joyous analysis.
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I’m keeping Upton simply because Braun is older and is a guy with always some nagging injury. I think it was kind of overshadowed, but you mentioned PEDs and I think that is a bit notable. The most underrated aspect of PEDs is the ability for them to help your recover from injury and stay healthy. I think with age and possibly without PEDs, those nagging groin and calf injuries turn into DL time.
As for the second trade, I might try to search for a better OF. I might target a Choo or Martinez if you don’t mind an older guy along with another piece. Maybe a Dalton Pompey or Kole Calhoun if you want a younger guy. I just don’t love Garcia because he is the classic hits too many grounders to be a power hitter guy. It is a bit of the Yasiel Puig type, but without the ability to post silly BABIPs
Here’s a question…
I’m in a league where players are kept forever without cost, so I’ve always got at least half an eye to the future. But I’m also very much in a win-now mode, since I won last year and certainly aiming to do it again this year. We keep 10.
So what’s the right balance between the good-right-now and the potentially-great-for-a-decade? Some of the specific names I’m thinking about are Ellsbury, Braun, Hamels, and Reyes on the one side….and Bryant, Soler, Betts(qualifies at 2B), Pederson on the other.
I’ve got Kershaw, Abreu, Rendon and Upton as locks to be kept, so the other 6 spots come down to those 8 players.
I loves me some Mike Fiers. I think he’s learned a lot over the last 3 years of experience and will this year have his best year yet. Kranitz is also an under-rated pitching coach, which in part has influenced the staff over the last few years.
Love the podcast. I’ve got a topic suggestion for a future episode: (1) how predictable is a player’s likelihood to be traded and (2) if/how that trade likelihood should be applied to discount a player’s value in NL or AL-only leagues where a trade to the other league makes a player worthless? My gut is that most people don’t discount for this factor, so if I apply a discount to guys I think are most likely to be traded, I probably end up with none on my roster. But am I outthinking myself by thinking I can predict a trade? I lost a league one year when Bobby Abreu got traded to the Yankees, and have been unable to shake the horror of that ever since.
I love you guys and you give awesome analysis, but I think you gotta get these things under an hour. I’d email this if I knew how and I hope I don’t come off obnoxious, but know that I wouldn’t share my thoughts if I didn’t love the podcas! As a writer myself, I think the solution is to consider how long you’re discussing each topic…for example, there was like an 8 minute Alexei Ramirez discussion last week. Or Eno’s Upton/Braun trade, an interesting discussion looking at both, but it went on WAAAAAY too long. Sometimes one of you agrees with the other and then literally reiterates exactly what the last person just said. Maybe set a certain number of minutes for a particular topic and then really stick to it. Feel free to hit me up if you want to chat about this, I really think you guys can be the best fantasy podcast out there!
I also love the podcast but have no problem with the length. I prefer the long ones, actually, but not because you talk excessively about a trade (I don’t think you even fully explained the league details-thank goodness-but essential for trade discussions). player analysis and discussion never gets old, though.
I agree with Spud, I like the long length. There’s a lot to discuss, and I don’t see a reason to cut what may be important discussion short to hit an arbitrary end point.
Really enjoying having Paul on these podcasts. I’ve listened off and on for years, but I finally find myself pouncing on each episode as its released. Love the length: I find it really distracting when podcasts rush through topics solely for the sake of hitting a target number of minutes.