Roto Riteup: May 1, 2013
It is no small secret that the present author is an Oakland Athletics fan. While not a baseball historian by any means — and too young to remember this event and subsequent speech live — on this date 22 year ago, Rickey Henderson became the “greatest of all time.”
On today’s agenda:
1. Andrelton Simmons is coming around
2. Musings on Marco Estrada
3. The Los Angeles Angels swap leadoff hitters
4. Tim Hudson earns win number 200
Andrelton Simmons is coming around
With seven hits in his past five games, Andrelton Simmons might not be lighting the world on fire, but he is making himself useful in fantasy leagues again. Simmons’ .241/.299/.333 line isn’t awe-inspiring, however he has been hampered by his .250 BABIP in the early goings. The author recently made a fantasy trade and in doing so acquired Simmons as a buy low/throw in player. Finding a shortstop that can hit .270 near the top of a solid offensive club carries value. For a MI spot, Simmons is a serviceable player. He isn’t widely available except in Yahoo! formats where he is owned in just 41% of all leagues. If you are working on a trade with the current owner of Simmons, ask for him as a throw in. Simmons’ rest-of-season projections seem conservative, and the author would take the over on the runs and stolen bases.
Musings on Marco Estrada
In many ways Marco Estrada is an excellent pitcher. His current 8.66 K/9 and 1.79 BB/9 would indicate a pitcher with talent as well as skill. His 34:7 strikeout to walk ratio is outstanding and if his 3.51 xFIP counted in fantasy leagues, Estrada would be a near stud. Unfortunately for fellow Estrada owners, his current 4.58 ERA — thanks almost entirely to his current 22.2 HR/FB% — is frustrating us to no end.
He has always given up his fair share of home runs, sometimes more than his share, however to see the makings of a great pitcher underneath the dingers is both hope and rage inducing. Since hope isn’t a fantasy category just yet (if it was, Brett Anderson would be MVP), we have to substitute it with a patient approach. Eventually Estrada’s home run rate will regress back down to his (still worse than average) career rate, and the world will begin to make sense again. Float the idea that you are looking for a pitcher and make sure to email the owner of Estrada. By now there is no doubt that frustration has crept in seeing Estrada obliterate a day’s pitching line with his elevated rate stats. Swing a trade and buy low on Estrada.
The Los Angeles Angels swap leadoff hitters
After Monday’s 19-inning marathon, the Angels have placed leadoff hitter and center fielder Peter Bourjos on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left hamstring. Hitting .313/.370/.458 on the year (albeit with just one steal), Bourjos has surprised in his offensive contributions to date. Upon his return, expect a solid amount of runs scored as well as a few steals and home runs. He is fringe-ownable in shallow 10-team mixed leagues, but should be owned in all leagues 12-teams or more.
The Angels replaced Bourjos — at least at the top of their lineup — with the returning Erick Aybar. Given how thin the shortstop position is, it is surprising to see Aybar available in 50% of Yahoo! leagues, 60% of ESPN formats, and 70% of CBS leagues. If it comes down to getting Aybar or Simmons for your MI spot, go with Aybar. He should provide a higher average than Simmons as well as more steals, with the runs scored being very comparable.
Tim Hudson earns win number 200
Objectivity and perspective is key to any writing, but the reader will indulge me, I must wax poetic when it comes to Tim Hudson. As noted above, I am a an A’s fan. It hurt to see Huddy be traded away and thinking of what we got back in that that trade (Juan Cruz, Dan Meyer, and Charles Thomas) makes me want to pull my hair out. Regardless of what uniform he wears, I will forever remain a fan of Tim Hudson. I am happy to see him have a long career and to achieve 200 wins. I’m not advocating the legitimacy of the win, but en toto, 200 wins is impressive…that he hit a home run yesterday too is the icing the on cake. Congrats Huddy. Just know that A’s fans — at least one of them — still miss you.
You can catch David spouting off about baseball, soccer, esports and other things by following him on twitter, @davidwiers.
Sent a proposal yesterday morning for a Cishek for Estrada trade and felt a little nervous after seeing his results last night. After reading this really hoping his owner, in frustration, accepts this morning. Great info and reading as always!
I really like that deal for you, hopefully it goes through. Thanks for the kind words!
I’m getting killed in WHIP. Estrada is on waivers. Should I drop Morrow for Estrada?
I wouldn’t do that just yet. Morrow is a very good pitcher too that is also in a bit of a funk, but I like him more than I like Estrada.
Also, Estrada isn’t any kind of whip savior. The easiest way to normalize whip is to pick up an elite setup guy and let him moderate your stats for a few weeks.
Simmons is currently available in my league. Would you take him over Brandon Crawford the rest of the year? Crawford is off to a hot start but feel like he will regress to his normal self.
Yeah, I think we’ve seen the best of Crawford and the worst of Simmons. Before you straight up drop Crawford, maybe try and trade him?
I am trying to trade Elvis Andrus for a SP. I was offered Estrada for Andrus but turned it down. Mistake? 12-team 6×6 daily league. I counter offered Andrus for Samardzja (SP?) which he rejected.
Estrada isn’t enough for Andrus. I think Samardzja for Andrus isn’t enough either, really.
Andrus is a great shortstop. He should fetch any pitcher outside of the top 15 or so.
All right. My thinking is in line with yours. I figured Samardzja was a reach on my part, but I have had a number of offers turned down already (Scherzer, Cain, Sale and the aforementioned Samardzja). I figured Cain was going to get rejected, but thought I would offer based on his poor start. I don’t think Scherzer and Sale are top 15, but maybe so. I guess I will hold on to Andrus and be happy about it!!!
I would not move Andrus for Estrada. Even with a regressed HR/FB%, Estrada is going to have an inflated ERA, because he is a fly baller in Miller Park. Also, he may not give you more than 160-170 innings (last year’s 138 was a career high).
Can you get Alex Cobb? Cobb won’t strike out as many, but you get a ground baller in a pitchers park.
Hi,
Would you drop Smyly for Lilly in a weekly league where either of them would likely be on the bench?
Also, would you drop Marshall for Hernandez or Reynolds as a speculative saves option? If so, which one?
Thanks!