Prorated 2018 Pitcher Roto Values
A while back, I ranked hitters if all their 2018 stats were prorated to 600 plate appearances. It’s now time for the pitchers. In all fairness, the rankings are a huge disappointment with no surprises coming through.
I adjusted the rankings for 180 innings for starters and 60 innings for relievers and no one seemed out of place. With the hitters, Raul Mondesi at the top was an attention-getter. Looking over both sets of top-25 pitchers, the biggest surprise was Joshua James and he’s not really a surprise since he dominated at the season’s end. Time to get bored.
First, the starters. I included any pitcher who threw five innings and started at least half the games they appeared in. For the formula, I used the SGP points formula from last season’s The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. Here are the top-25.
| Rank | NAME | IP | Unadjusted SGP | 180 IP SGP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Sale | 158.0 | 28.3 | 32.2 |
| 2 | Blake Snell | 180.2 | 31.2 | 31.1 |
| 3 | Max Scherzer | 220.2 | 35.9 | 29.3 |
| 4 | Justin Verlander | 214.0 | 34.3 | 28.8 |
| 5 | Jacob deGrom | 217.0 | 32.4 | 26.9 |
| 6 | Gerrit Cole | 200.1 | 29.7 | 26.7 |
| 7 | Trevor Bauer | 175.1 | 25.0 | 25.7 |
| 8 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 82.1 | 11.5 | 25.3 |
| 9 | Aaron Nola | 212.1 | 29.5 | 25.0 |
| 10 | Corey Kluber | 215.0 | 29.1 | 24.4 |
| 11 | Charlie Morton | 167.0 | 21.7 | 23.4 |
| 12 | Carlos Carrasco | 192.0 | 24.8 | 23.3 |
| 13 | Luis Severino | 191.1 | 24.6 | 23.2 |
| 14 | Walker Buehler | 137.1 | 17.7 | 23.2 |
| 15 | Patrick Corbin | 200.0 | 24.9 | 22.4 |
| 16 | Mike Foltynewicz | 183.0 | 22.8 | 22.4 |
| 17 | James Paxton | 160.1 | 19.6 | 22.1 |
| 18 | J.A. Happ | 177.2 | 21.3 | 21.6 |
| 19 | Clay Buchholz | 98.1 | 11.4 | 20.9 |
| 20 | Rich Hill | 132.2 | 15.3 | 20.8 |
| 21 | Jack Flaherty | 151.0 | 17.2 | 20.5 |
| 22 | Joshua James | 23.0 | 2.6 | 20.4 |
| 23 | David Price | 176.0 | 19.8 | 20.3 |
| 24 | Clayton Kershaw | 161.1 | 18.0 | 20.1 |
| 25 | Stephen Strasburg | 130.0 | 14.4 | 20.0 |
Not one unexpected name really pops up. Clay Buchholz would have pre-season but his Wins helped push him up.
For reference, here are the top-5 starters who threw under 50 innings.
| Rank | NAME | IP | Unadjusted SGP | 180 IP SGP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | Framber Valdez | 37.0 | 3.7 | 18.0 |
| 102 | Chris Bassitt | 47.2 | 2.9 | 11.1 |
| 116 | Thomas Pannone | 43.0 | 2.4 | 9.8 |
| 118 | Adalberto Mejia | 22.1 | 1.2 | 9.7 |
| 123 | Touki Toussaint | 29.0 | 1.5 | 9.1 |
Besides Valdez, an owner isn’t going to be excited about any of them. In all fairness, I expected some more popup names but once a starter has about 50 innings, his talent level is well known.
For the closers, the lack of surprises is even more obvious because Saves are a category.
| 1 | NAME | IP | Unadjusted SGP | 60 IP SGP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Edwin Diaz | 73.1 | 23.4 | 19.2 | 57 |
| 3 | Craig Kimbrel | 62.1 | 18.3 | 17.7 | 42 |
| 4 | Blake Treinen | 80.1 | 23.3 | 17.5 | 38 |
| 5 | Sean Doolittle | 45.0 | 13.0 | 17.4 | 25 |
| 6 | Aroldis Chapman | 51.1 | 14.7 | 17.3 | 32 |
| 7 | Wade Davis | 65.1 | 14.8 | 13.7 | 43 |
| 8 | Brandon Morrow | 30.2 | 6.8 | 13.4 | 22 |
| 9 | Josh Hader | 81.1 | 17.9 | 13.2 | 12 |
| 10 | Felipe Vazquez | 70.0 | 15.3 | 13.1 | 37 |
| 11 | Brad Hand | 72.0 | 15.3 | 12.7 | 32 |
| 12 | Kenley Jansen | 71.2 | 14.7 | 12.4 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeremy Jeffress | 76.2 | 15.6 | 12.3 | 15 |
| 14 | Roberto Osuna | 38.0 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 21 |
| 15 | Keone Kela | 52.0 | 10.5 | 12.1 | 24 |
| 16 | Kirby Yates | 63.0 | 12.7 | 12.1 | 12 |
| 17 | Jose Leclerc | 57.2 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 12 |
| 18 | Corey Knebel | 55.1 | 10.7 | 11.6 | 16 |
| 19 | Brad Boxberger | 53.1 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 32 |
| 20 | Raisel Iglesias | 72.0 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 30 |
| 21 | Bud Norris | 57.2 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 28 |
| 22 | Arodys Vizcaino | 38.1 | 6.8 | 10.7 | 16 |
| 23 | Will Smith | 53.0 | 9.4 | 10.6 | 14 |
| 24 | Pedro Strop | 59.2 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 13 |
| 25 | Seranthony Dominguez | 58.0 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 16 |
No surprises at all to me with Saves being counted. So, I went and pulled the top-15 pitchers with five or fewer Saves.
| Rank | NAME | IP | Unadjusted SGP | 60 IP SGP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Adam Ottavino | 77.2 | 13.3 | 10.3 | 6 |
| 28 | Dellin Betances | 66.2 | 11.2 | 10.2 | 4 |
| 29 | Trevor May | 25.1 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 30 | David Robertson | 69.2 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 31 | Collin McHugh | 72.1 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 0 |
| 33 | Corbin Burnes | 38.0 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 39 | Chad Green | 75.2 | 11.2 | 9.0 | 0 |
| 41 | Scott Oberg | 58.2 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 0 |
| 42 | Seung Hwan Oh | 68.1 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 3 |
| 44 | Caleb Ferguson | 49.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 46 | Oliver Perez | 32.1 | 4.5 | 8.4 | 0 |
| 47 | Lou Trivino | 74.0 | 10.3 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 48 | Craig Stammen | 79.0 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 0 |
| 49 | Steve Cishek | 70.1 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 50 | Justin Miller | 52.1 | 6.9 | 8.0 | 2 |
- Damn Yankees with three of the top seven.
- I see some nice high inning guys in this group who could be great middle reliever options like Chad Green and Craig Stammen.
After running both lists, I not sure I got much out of them that I didn’t get by just ranking the pitchers by K%-BB%. I’m not sure it’s an exercise I’ll perform in the future but at least you and I know the lack of information gained from it.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Top reliever chart is missing a reliever.