Ottoneu Top 20 Third Basemen for 2020
Using a format similar to the one Paul Sporer recently posted for 2020 Roto player rankings, below is the 2020 ranking of the Top 20 Third Basemen for Ottoneu fantasy baseball. Ottoneu leagues are auction style, but with no salaries listed (league dependent), think of these lists as simplified “snake draft” rankings (“which player would I take before the next”), or a value ranking of players above replacement level for 2020. Players with multi-position eligibility may receive a slight bump in value (2020 positions listed). You can reference average Ottoneu player salaries here, but keep in mind these salaries fluctuate throughout the winter as rosters shape up towards the January 31st keeper deadline for all leagues.
Previous 2020 Ottoneu rankings:
Since a majority of Ottoneu leagues are points leagues (offense based on linear weights), you’ll notice speed is less of a factor here than Paul’s rotisserie ranking lists. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, this list might be a good proxy for OBP, OPS, or sabermetric leagues, so keep that context in mind as you review. If I’ve missed an important player, or you believe I’ve wildly over or under-valued someone, please let me know in the comments and I’ll be sure to update.
In 2019, the 30 qualified third basemen averaged the following production:
- 5.93 Points Per Game (P/G)
- 28 HR
- 9% BB%
- 19% K%
- .220 ISO
- .279 AVG
- .351 OBP
- .500 SLG
- .355 wOBA
- 120 wRC+
RK | Player | 2020 POS | Outlook |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Alex Bregman | SS/3B | A perennial MVP candidate entering age 26; .315/.446/.663/1.1.09 line away from HOU |
2 | Anthony Rendon | 3B | Stretch of three great seasons continues, now looking for new ballpark |
3 | Rafael Devers | 3B | Will play all of 2020 at age 23; everything is pointing up |
4 | Nolan Arenado | 3B | Consistency and age (29) can still push him to #1 on this list |
5 | Kris Bryant | 3B/OF | Still an elite hitter but the hope of a true .400 wOBA+ breakout is quietly fading |
6 | Jose Ramirez | 3B | wOBA > .400 July onward will eliminate discounts based on terrible start to 2019 |
7 | Josh Donaldson | 3B | Safe bet for 35+ home runs regardless of league, stadium, or ball |
8 | Max Muncy | 1B/2B/3B | 35 home runs makes him valuable in three key spots for 2020 |
9 | Jeff McNeil | 2B/3B/OF | Hit 20 of 23 HR vs. RHP; expect shift adjustments in 2020 that could impact power output |
10 | DJ LeMahieu | 1B/2B/3B | .349 BABIP hard to repeat but NYY, 20+ HR, and xwOBA make him a mainstay solution |
11 | Manny Machado | SS/3B | Three separate months with wRC+ < 100; hard hit rate up so rebound probable |
12 | Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. | 3B | Hype train still rolling strong despite slow, steady improvements throughout 2019 |
13 | Miguel Sano | 1B/3B | 53% Hard Hit % trailed only Judge in 2nd half; he’ll be 27 y/o |
14 | Eugenio Suarez | 3B | Monster 2nd half (.300/.397/.684); most underrated on this list |
15 | Matt Chapman | 3B | All signs support a consistent 30 HR bat with upside for 40 at peak |
16 | Justin Turner | 1B/3B | Expect the over on Steamer’s .851 projected OPS, but closer to 125 GP |
17 | Hunter Dozier | 1B/3B/OF | Top seven in Hard Hit % makes 2019 breakout appear real; 3B/OF helps |
18 | Yoan Moncada | 3B | At age 24 expect further development, but his .406 BABIP should temper expectations |
19 | Mike Moustakas | 2B/3B | Steamer’s projected .340 wOBA and 35 HR seems just about right |
20 | Yuli Gurriel | 1B/3B | He’ll be 36, but he just keeps hitting |
If you’re interested in tools and resources to help find or create your own Ottoneu player values ($), bookmark the community site, which will be updated often. You can also find a ranking of these players on the 2020 version of the Surplus Calculator.
Just missing this list:
Luis Arraez (2B/3B/OF)
J.D. Davis (3B/OF)
Brian Anderson (3B/OF)
Gio Urshela (3B)
Yandy Diaz (1B/3B)
Trey is a 20+ year fantasy veteran and an early adopter of Ottoneu fantasy sports. He currently administers the Ottoneu community, a network of ~1,200 fantasy baseball and football fans talking sports daily. More resources here: http://community.ottoneu.com
DEEEEEEEEEEEP
So deep, that everyone after Arenado should just be ranked on eligibility at OTHER positions.