Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 24–27
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
PHI | 0.340 | 106 | SEA | 0.302 |
CLE | 0.296 | 101 | COL | 0.311 |
BAL | 0.343 | 95 | BOS | 0.330 |
TBR | 0.389 | 94 | HOU | 0.318 |
CIN | 0.311 | 116 | TEX | 0.328 |
TOR | 0.324 | 105 | CHW | 0.311 |
ATL | 0.348 | 98 | MIA | 0.304 |
MIN | 0.300 | 96 | NYY | 0.322 |
MIL | 0.329 | 103 | DET | 0.277 |
LAA | 0.316 | 107 | OAK | 0.292 |
ARI | 0.318 | 94 | KCR | 0.264 |
SFG | 0.328 | 90 | STL | 0.349 |
PIT | 0.340 | 95 | LAD | 0.347 |
NYM | 0.330 | 97 | WSN | 0.294 |
CHC | 0.347 | 98 | SDP | 0.308 |
I’ve started pulling current season data for team offenses to assess matchups rather than continue utilizing the rest-of-season projections. That means there are a bunch of teams who were projected to be good who are currently underperforming and vice versa.
Teams with easier schedules include the Braves, Brewers, Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Guardians, Mets, Royals, and Yankees.
Teams with tougher schedules include the A’s, Mariners, Marlins, Rangers, Reds, Tigers, and White Sox.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% | HR/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brad Keller | 49.36% | ARI | 0.318 | 4.37 | 5.7% | 0.43 |
Jhony Brito | 40.06% | MIN | 0.300 | 4.12 | 6.3% | 0.60 |
Kyle Gibson | 33.01% | DET | 0.277 | 4.76 | 7.4% | 1.14 |
José Suarez | 29.49% | OAK | 0.292 | 6.15 | 0.0% | 1.54 |
Zach Plesac | 13.46% | COL | 0.311 | 4.55 | 10.0% | 1.38 |
Griffin Canning | 8.33% | OAK | 0.292 | 4.19 | 12.2% | 0.87 |
Colin Rea | 0.32% | DET | 0.277 | 4.16 | 11.9% | 0.84 |
Brad Keller sits just below our 50% ownership cutoff and he’s been a common recommendation in these columns this year. He’s continued to struggle with his command early this season but he’s also only given up a single home run and just 14 hits in 21 innings. He gets a nice matchup against the Diamondbacks in their dinger suppressing ballpark next week.
Another common recommendation, Kyle Gibson lines up to face the Tigers two starts in a row, once this weekend and again on Thursday. His last start against the White Sox didn’t go super well — four runs on seven hits and two walks with just a single strikeout in 5.1 innings — but the other three starts he’s made this season have been solid. His two-step against Detroit is just too good to pass up.
Colin Rea is also lined up to face the Tigers next week. He’s been a serviceable starter for the Brewers after Brandon Woodruff went down with his shoulder injury. He had a pretty good season in Japan last year and has looked decent in his return to the States. He held the Padres to a single run across 5.2 innings in his first start but was knocked around by the Mariners in his second.
José Suarez and Griffin Canning are scheduled to face the A’s at home next week. That’s a pretty juicy matchup, but beware the high home run park factor of Angel Stadium. Suarez hasn’t been good this year, with a walk rate that matches his strikeout rate. A date against Oakland seems like a good candidate for a get-right start. Canning is a bit more interesting. Injuries derailed a very promising start to his career over the last few years. He’s healthy and has made a couple of solid starts so far this year.
Jhony Brito bounced back from his ugly start against the Twins by holding the Angels to just a single run across 4.1 innings on Wednesday. He’s scheduled to face Minnesota again next week and will be looking to improve on his seven-run disaster the last time he faced them.
Recap: April 17–20
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 5 | 25.0 | 5.00 |
Michael Wacha | 4 | 6.6 | 1.65 |
Brad Keller | 4 | 10.8 | 2.70 |
Dean Kremer | 6.2 | 47.9 | 7.19 |
Matt Strahm | 5.1 | 35.4 | 6.63 |
Hunter Gaddis | 5 | 15.2 | 3.04 |
Peyton Battenfield | 6 | 25.3 | 4.22 |
Total | 36 | 166.2 | 4.62 |
Season Total | 226 | 740.4 | 3.28 |
A really good week with four clear wins and no obvious losses. Keller’s start against the Rangers was dragged down by the five walks he allowed and Michael Wacha just hasn’t been able to replicate the magic he showed in his second start of the season against the Braves.
Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.