Ottoneu Starting Pitching Drip: April 17–20
Welcome back to the SP Drip. My goal for this bi-weekly column is to comb through the upcoming schedule each week to find a few under-owned pitchers (less than 50% ownership across Ottoneu) who could be used to help you hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues or to make sure you’re hitting your innings pitched cap in points leagues. Tuesday’s article will cover the weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) and Friday’s article will cover the upcoming week (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday). That way, you’ll have time to start your auctions in time to actually drip these pitchers into your lineup.
Upcoming Schedule:
Home | wOBA | HR Park Factor | Away | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA | 0.318 | 99 | MIL | 0.322 |
BOS | 0.331 | 100 | MIN | 0.317 |
DET | 0.307 | 93 | CLE | 0.322 |
CIN | 0.317 | 116 | TBR | 0.320 |
MIA | 0.317 | 93 | SFG | 0.321 |
CHW | 0.321 | 108 | PHI | 0.324 |
KCR | 0.317 | 93 | TEX | 0.320 |
STL | 0.329 | 94 | ARI | 0.321 |
HOU | 0.335 | 102 | TOR | 0.335 |
COL | 0.310 | 111 | PIT | 0.317 |
OAK | 0.299 | 91 | CHC | 0.318 |
SDP | 0.334 | 98 | ATL | 0.338 |
LAD | 0.333 | 107 | NYM | 0.327 |
WSN | 0.311 | 104 | BAL | 0.321 |
NYY | 0.327 | 102 | LAA | 0.334 |
Its feast or famine this week. Easy schedules include the A’s, Cardinals, Cubs, Giants, Guardians, Marlins, Rangers, Royals, and Tigers.
A bunch of squads have a tough matchup to start the week including the Angels, Astros, Blue Jays, Dodgers, Mets, Padres, Pirates, Phillies, Reds, Twins, White Sox, and Yankees.
Highlighted matchups:
Pitcher | Roster% | Opponent | Opponent wOBA | FIP | K-BB% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ken Waldichuk | 47.76% | CHC | 0.318 | 4.24 | 14.2% |
Michael Wacha | 46.80% | ARI | 0.321 | 4.44 | 13.4% |
Brad Keller | 13.46% | TEX | 0.320 | 4.32 | 8.8% |
Dean Kremer | 11.86% | WSN | 0.311 | 4.28 | 11.5% |
Matt Strahm | 9.94% | COL | 0.330 | 3.92 | 18.3% |
Hunter Gaddis | 8.65% | DET | 0.307 | 4.68 | 14.1% |
Peyton Battenfield | 0.00% | DET | 0.307 | 4.55 | 11.0% |
There aren’t a ton of great matchups to recommend this week with a bunch of riskier plays if you’re desperate for innings or need to hit your games started cap. Michael Wacha has been a little overlooked in these columns in favor of his rotation-mates Nick Martinez and Seth Lugo, but Wacha’s actually been pretty decent in his two starts this year. Impressively, he held the Braves scoreless over six innings in his last outing with ten strikeouts. He’s lined up to start against the Diamondbacks in Arizona on Thursday.
Brad Keller continues to impress with his revamped breaking balls; Stuff+ loves both his slider (137 Stuff+) and curveball (114 Stuff+). The only knock against him has been his lack of control of those two pitches early on. Everyone has scrambled to pick up his teammate Kris Bubic, but Keller deserves some attention too. He just held the Rangers to a single run in 6.2 innings while striking out seven on Wednesday and he’ll get to face them again at home on Tuesday.
Matt Strahm has yet to allow a run in three appearances and two starts this year and as long as he’s getting a chance to contribute in the rotation, he’s worth considering dripping into your rotation. I didn’t recommend him for his start against the Reds in the bandbox in Cincinnati but he gets a really nice matchup against the Rockies at home on Thursday.
Ken Waldichuk has had a really rough start to the season, allowing 17 runs in 15 innings. To be fair, he ran into the Angels and the Rays for his first two starts and looked a bit better against the Orioles in his last outing. His ownership rate has dropped below 50% in Ottoneu as frustrated players have cut him loose. Still, he was ranked 86th on the 2023 Top Prospects list and looked promising during his cup of coffee last year. If you want to take a chance on him, he has a nice matchup against the Cubs at home on the docket.
There are a couple of Guardians starters worth mentioning for their matchup against the Tigers in Detroit. Hunter Gaddis looked great against the A’s a week ago but got crushed by the Yankees in his last start. Peyton Battenfield made his major league debut this week against those same Bronx Bombers and held them to just two runs in 4.2 innings. He was ranked 40th on Cleveland’s prospect list and fits their archetype of pitchers who have a deep repertoire with a strong breaking ball, but struggle with their fastball. Both would be pretty significant risks, but the matchup and venue are pretty favorable.
Recap: April 10–13
Player | IP | Pts | Pts/IP |
---|---|---|---|
José Suarez | 4 | 4.6 | 1.15 |
Kyle Gibson | 6.1 | 32.9 | 5.19 |
Dean Kremer | 4.1 | -12.5 | -2.89 |
Bryce Elder | 6.1 | 42.3 | 6.67 |
Chris Flexen 플렉센 | 2.1 | -37.3 | -16.00 |
JP Sears | 5 | 6.6 | 1.32 |
Matt Strahm | 5 | 35.6 | 7.12 |
Wade Miley | 5 | 8.7 | 1.74 |
Total | 38.1 | 80.8 | 2.11 |
Season Total | 151.2 | 463.4 | 3.06 |
Three wins and two losses last week and a bunch of meh. Strahm continues to be a solid recommendation and Bryce Elder impressed again. The Chris Flexen recommendation was an ugly affair but he had been such a consistent, if unexciting, starter last year I thought it would work out against the Cubs. It didn’t. Despite struggling against the A’s in his start on Wednesday, I’m recommending another Kremer start as you can see above. Maybe he’ll be able to handle the Nationals this time around.
Jake Mailhot is a contributor to FanGraphs. A long-suffering Mariners fan, he also writes about them for Lookout Landing. Follow him on BlueSky @jakemailhot.