November ADP Market Report: Third Basemen

December 11, 2020

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day.

Top 100 Players Rising
Jeff McNeil (+11.55)- See the last piece in this series on second basemen.

Top 100 Players Falling
None

Top 200 Players Rising
Ke’Bryan Hayes (+19.13)- The more and more I look at Hayes, the more I begin to buy in on him as a potential top 100 player. His ADP is moving that way as well. Hayes’ StatCast data is beautiful and he could be a version of early career Anthony Rendon. We have alway known he has a great hit tool, but he is a launch angle adjustment away from locking into some power with the assistance of the juiced ball. His ADP in the 2 Early Mocks was 210 and now he is looking like he could cut that in half by the time we get to the new year and I am here for it.

Jean Segura (+.)- See the last piece in this series on second basemen.

Top 200 Players Falling
Kris Bryant (-11.2)- Bryant’s fall in ADP may have something to do with the rumors he could be non-tendered, but that deadline has come and gone, so now we are left with a player with immense talent, but some warts. While he has an “injury prone” label, he has played in 147 or more games in all but two of his seasons (2018, 2020.) I don’t love his price, but if he continues to drop he will begin to offer a bargain, with less risk than may
Be the general public gives him credit for.

Tommy Edman (-11.29)- See the last piece in this series on second basemen.

Gio Urshela (-11.56)- Urshela is consistently overlooked in fantasy, which explains why he is dropping. He has great plate skills and has added exit velocity in each of his last two seasons. He isn’t a league winner, but he is a very steady and safe CI that is going at a nice price and behind much more risky options.

Top 300 Players Rising
Austin Riley (+27.26)- Unless the Braves add another piece or two for their lineup, it appears they may be ready to roll with Riley full time. Riley is what he is at this point, a cheap power source. He is a good guy to draft later if you like punting batting average or have a safer team average due to earlier draft picks. If the Braves go out and get a third baseman, I would be less inclined to draft him with Christian Pache already having made his debut and Drew Waters expecting to make his at some point.

Ryan McMahon (+15.91)- See the piece in this series on first basemen.

Top 300 Players Falling
Jeimer Candelario (-15.98)- See the piece in this series on first basemen.

November ADP Market Report: Third Basemen

11/1/2020-11/30/2020	Player	Team	Position(s)	10/1/2020-10/31/2020	Change
8	Jose Ramirez	CLE	3B	6.25	-1.75
20.19	Manny Machado	SD	3B	20.75	0.56
26.59	DJ LeMahieu	NYY	1B, 2B, 3B	28.75	2.16
34.37	Nolan Arenado	COL	3B	36.75	2.38
36.3	Alex Bregman	HOU	3B	32.75	-3.55
42.67	Anthony Rendon	LAA	3B	40.75	-1.92
45.3	Rafael Devers	BOS	3B	50	4.7
55.41	Cavan Biggio	TOR	2B, 3B, OF	57	1.59
85.22	Eugenio Suarez	CIN	3B	91	5.78
87.48	Yoan Moncada	CWS	3B	93	5.52
97.52	Max Muncy	LAD	1B, 2B, 3B	104	6.48
97.7	Jeff McNeil	NYM	2B, 3B, OF	109.25	11.55
106.67	Alec Bohm	PHI	1B, 3B	106.5	-0.17
115.85	Matt Chapman	OAK	3B	113	-2.85
134.7	Kris Bryant	CHC	3B	123.5	-11.2
139.37	Ke’Bryan Hayes	PIT	3B	158.5	19.13
145.04	Tommy Edman	STL	2B, 3B, SS, OF	133.75	-11.29
154.81	Gio Urshela	NYY	3B	143.25	-11.56
190.89	Josh Donaldson	MIN	3B	191.5	0.61
198.15	Jean Segura	PHI	2B, 3B	217.25	19.1
203.59	Brian Anderson	MIA	3B	195.75	-7.84
210.48	J.D. Davis	NYM	3B, OF	207.25	-3.23
214.78	Andres Gimenez	NYM	2B, 3B, SS	223.75	8.97
219.74	David Fletcher	LAA	2B, 3B, SS	221.25	1.51
222.67	Justin Turner	LAD	3B	222.75	0.08
239.74	Austin Riley	ATL	3B	267	27.26
242.48	Jeimer Candelario	DET	1B, 3B	226.5	-15.98
245.33	Willi Castro	DET	3B, SS	239	-6.33
255.59	Ryan McMahon	COL	1B, 2B, 3B	271.5	15.91
267.44	Kyle Seager	SEA	3B	263	-4.44
309.78	Joey Wendle	TB	2B, 3B, SS	323.75	13.97
314.78	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	TEX	3B, SS	378.25	63.47
329.41	Eduardo Escobar	ARZ	3B	339.5	10.09
338.63	Maikel Franco	KC	3B	341.25	2.62
351.11	Edwin Rios	LAD	3B	374.25	23.14
401.96	Luis Urias	MLW	2B, 3B, SS	394	-7.96
416.41	Yandy Diaz	TB	3B	372.25	-44.16
425.3	Mike Brosseau	TB	1B, 2B, 3B	440.5	15.2
430.52	Evan Longoria	SF	3B	420	-10.52
455.74	Carter Kieboom	WAS	3B	470.5	14.76
477.11	Travis Shaw	TOR	1B, 3B	435.5	-41.61
478.33	Marwin Gonzalez	MIN	1B, 2B, 3B, OF	471.75	-6.58
481.56	Asdrubal Cabrera	WAS	1B, 3B	472.25	-9.31
486.81	Rio Ruiz	BAL	3B	477.25	-9.56
503.33	Yoshi Tsutsugo	TB	3B, OF	471	-32.33
527.33	Spencer Torkelson	DET	3B	499	-28.33
542.67	David Bote	CHC	2B, 3B	576.75	34.08
564.37	Chad Pinder	OAK	2B, 3B	577	12.63
575.07	Isaac Paredes	DET	3B	601.5	26.43
606.78	Matt Carpenter	STL	3B	588.5	-18.28
614.3	Abraham Toro	HOU	3B	632	17.7
615.85	Brad Miller	STL	3B	617.75	1.9
616.37	Jedd Gyorko	MLW	1B, 3B	631.75	15.38
620.67	Nolan Jones	CLE	3B	672	51.33
636.3	Erik Gonzalez	PIT	3B, SS	697.5	61.2
656.3	Jake Lamb	OAK	1B, 3B	676.5	20.2
673.96	Josh Harrison	WAS	2B, 3B	657.75	-16.21
698.59	Johan Camargo	ATL	2B, 3B	683.25	-15.34
724.59	Wyatt Mathisen	ARZ	3B	NA	NA
733.19	Josh Jung	TEX	3B	729.5	-3.69
733.74	Nolan Gorman	STL	3B	NA	NA
734.3	Joe Panik	TOR	2B, 3B, SS	720.25	-14.05
736.07	Phillip Evans	PIT	3B	738.5	2.43
737.04	Todd Frazier	NYM	1B, 3B	NA	NA
748.96	Brock Holt	WAS	3B, OF	NA	NA
749.3	Eric Sogard	MLW	2B, 3B, SS	735.5	-13.8
749.44	Jonathan India	CIN	3B	691.5	-57.94
750.59	Ehire Adrianza	MIN	3B, SS	NA	NA
NA	Jose Rojas	LAA	3B	NA	NA

SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball