Mining the News (10/29/25)

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
• Anthony Kay will return to the majors after pitching in Japan
Lefty Anthony Kay, the Mets' 2016 first-round pick, is expected to return to MLB after two years in Japan. He led NPB this year in groundball rate (57.8%) while setting Yokohama's single season ERA record (1.74) and pitching 155 innings. His fastball averaged 94.6 MPH.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) October 22, 2025
Here are the MLB results for his comps. His 7.6 K/9 with a “high” 2.4 BB/9 limits his upside.
| Name | Season | Age | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | ERA | SIERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez | 2022 | 31 | 106 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 3.47 | 4.03 | 1.29 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma | 2012 | 31 | 125 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 3.16 | 3.85 | 1.28 |
| Naoyuki Uwasawa | 2024 | 30 | 4 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 2.25 | 4.89 | 1.00 |
| Luis F. Castillo | 2025 | 30 | 7 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 7.71 | 6.75 | 2.71 |
| Kodai Senga | 2023 | 30 | 166 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 2.98 | 4.00 | 1.22 |
| Ryota Igarashi | 2010 | 31 | 30 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 7.12 | 4.50 | 1.55 |
| Kohei Arihara | 2021 | 28 | 40 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 6.64 | 5.39 | 1.43 |
| Robbie Erlin | 2022 | 31 | 2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 9.00 | 5.73 | 1.50 |
| Shun Yamaguchi | 2020 | 32 | 25 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 8.06 | 5.09 | 1.75 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 2019 | 28 | 161 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 5.46 | 5.17 | 1.52 |
| Kenta Maeda | 2016 | 28 | 175 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 3.48 | 3.69 | 1.14 |
| Average | 30.0 | 76.6 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.39 | 4.83 | 1.49 | |
| Median | 30.0 | 40.2 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 5.46 | 4.89 | 1.43 |
• And now Kazuma Okamoto will be posted at some point.
The Yomiuri Giants will allow Kazuma Okamoto to move to MLB via the posting system. https://t.co/BG3jqp7LHY
— Jason Coskrey (@JCoskrey) October 22, 2025
American League
Red Sox
• Kristian Campbell plans on “adding weight and gaining strength”.
Campbell is expected to head to Fort Myers, Fla. soon. The Red Sox are hosting their offseason training program there for minor leaguers, which began in early October and runs through mid November. Once there he’ll get back into baseball activities, but the main goals there will be on adding weight and gaining strength.
“A big focus for him this offseason, he lost some weight during the year, adding some of that weight back and it’ll be getting back the strength that allowed him to impact the baseball the way he could,” Abraham said. “That allowed him to have the range in both the infield and outfield and that will be a focus.”
…
But a lack of strength and mass likely led to Campbell’s dip in exit velocity and his ability to impact the ball. His ferocious swing and hard-hit rates had been his calling card. In the spring, he made it to the final four of a hitting tournament the team held for its minor leaguers. That hard-hit ability was part of the reason he was added to the team at the start of the season.
Here are his 2025 MLB avgEV per month and his AAA average.
Month: avgEV
Apr: 89.5
May: 89.0
Jun: 85.9
MiLB: 84.0
He suffered a rib injury May 1st, but his exit velocities stayed up in May, but everything else fell apart. He posted a .902 OPS in April and just a .355 OPS in May (.799 OPS in AAA).
Tigers
• According to his manager, Troy Melton will be a starter.
Melton will not have to handle another move next year. And as the Tigers revisit questions about their rotation for next season, Melton — who totaled 129 1/3 innings in the Minors, regular season and playoffs — is a potentially big part.
“He’s a starter,” Hinch said.
• The team expects to have some help from players in AA …
“I expect the players that posted dominant years in Double-A to factor into our big league team next year,” Harris said. “They’ve earned it. They posted incredible years as 20-year-olds, very young for the level. I expect their progress to continue, and I expect them to be in Detroit at some point next year.”
… and here are the players listed on options.
Kevin McGonigle, IF (Tigers No. 1, MLB No. 2)
…
Max Clark, CF (Tigers No. 2, MLB No. 8)
…
Max Anderson, IF (Tigers No. 9)
…
Josue Briceño, C/1B (Tigers No. 3, MLB No. 33)
Yankees
• Ben Rice started the 2025 season with a new batting stance and added weight.
So Rice spent last offseason teaching himself to begin with his right foot nearly at the edge of the batter’s box — or in an open stance. It made all the difference. With a new stance — and with approximately 10 pounds of added strength — Rice turned in a stellar second big-league season at the plate, hitting .255 with 26 home runs, 65 RBIs and an .836 OPS. His 131 OPS+ meant that he produced at a rate 31 percent better than the league-average hitter.
National League
Brewers
• William Contreras may have surgery on his finger and Caleb Durbin did have elbow surgery.
End of season injury news from the Brewers:
– William Contreras will see a hand specialist next week for a “potential correction” of his fractured left middle finger.
– Caleb Durbin will have arthroscopic elbow surgery on Oct. 30. Expected healthy in time for ‘26.
— Adam McCalvy (@AdamMcCalvy) October 23, 2025
• Sal Frelick will not have surgery on his bothersome knee.
Frelick battled knee soreness over the final months of the regular season. He missed a handful of games in early August, but never went to the IL. Offseason imaging on the knee came back clean, with the team describing the findings as “unremarkable.” Frelick is expected to have a normal offseason.
Cardinals
• There is a chance Lars Nootbaar misses the start of the season.
This morning during “Sports on a Sunday Morning” on @KMOXSports, #STLCards POBO Chaim Bloom told me that Opening Day is not off-the-table but not guaranteed for Lars Nootbaar following his heel surgery. They will not hurry the rehab process but if he does miss time at the start…
— Matt Pauley 🎙️ (@MattPauleyOnAir) October 26, 2025
Dodgers
• Tommy Edman might need offseason surgery on his ankle.
However, while Edman stated before Game Two that his ankle is “healthy,” he said that potential offseason surgery could be an option.
“Ankle’s feeling really good,” Edman said. “I haven’t really talked that through with Doc. I think the plan is just second base for now. Maybe that will be a conversation. I’m not really sure. But for now, just second base.”
Edman was unable to give a clear answer when asked if he would need surgery on his right ankle during the offseason.
Mets
• Francisco Lindor had minor surgery on his elbow.
Francisco Lindor underwent a right elbow operation after the completion of the 2025 regular season, the Mets announced Wednesday, but the shortstop is expected to make a full recovery before the start of Spring Training.
The surgery, a right elbow debridement, came two years after Lindor underwent a procedure to remove bone spurs from the same elbow.
• Christian Scott expects to be a “full participant in spring training” …
With the season over, however, Scott said the plan is to move on to a “de-load” period before ramping things back up in January. The Mets’ top pitching prospect in 2024, according to The Athletic’s Keith Law, Scott hopes to be a full participant in spring training.
“It’s going really smoothly,” Scott said over the phone from Port St. Lucie, Fla., which he has essentially called home since Jan. 4. “I haven’t really had any setbacks or had anything that’s really come up at all. I’ve looked back at the nine games I’ve pitched in the big leagues and I know what I’ve needed to work on to improve my game.
… with a new changeup and similar fastball velocity.
Notably, Scott has tinkered with his changeup, a pitch he hopes can help him against left-handed batters (Scott held right-handed batters to a .532 OPS, but lefties produced a .942 OPS against him). Previously, Scott utilized more of a split-finger grip with his changeup. Now, he is using more of a traditional grip, he said.
“The in-zone percentage just wasn’t good enough with the split-finger before I got hurt,” Scott said. “Just being able to have a pitch that’s in the zone a little bit more and also moves a little bit better, in theory, is going to help me get more outs against left-handed hitters.
During his bullpen sessions, Scott’s fastball velocity has checked in around 94 mph, his average speed in 2024. At times, he said, he has recently flashed 96 mph.
Phillies
• Zack Wheeler could be rotation ready by Opening Day.
Philadelphia Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski said on Foul Territory on Thursday that right-hander Zack Wheeler (shoulder) could have a chance to be ready for Opening Day in 2026, and that they aren’t expecting Wheeler to have any setbacks during his recovery this offseason from thoracic outlet surgery. “We’re hopeful it’ll [his return] be on the front end, which would even get him ready for Opening Day, but right now he’s doing very good,” Dombrowski said.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.