Michael Simione’s Outfield Rankings by Michael Simione March 29, 2022 Michael Simione’s Outfield Rankings Rank Player Team Position(s) ADP Notes 1 Juan Soto WAS OF 5.43 In the second half, he hit .348 with a 199 wRC+ and 1.164 OPS. Insanity. 2 Bryce Harper PHI OF 9.75 Bryce Harper now has three consecutive seasons (ignoring the short season) with at least 34 home runs and 13 stolen bases. 3 Kyle Tucker HOU OF 11.32 Kyle Tucker had a fantastic season in 2021 propelling him into a first-round pick. The Astros don’t like to run so I don’t agree with the projections thinking he steals more than 15 bags. 4 Mookie Betts LAD OF 16.46 Mookie is still great but with the decline in exit velocity and with just three stolen bases in the second half he might not be as safe as we think. 5 Luis Robert CWS OF 17.11 If we see 600 plate appearances we could see Robert have a 25 HR 15 SB type of season with a solid average. Could easily be a first round pick next year. 6 Mike Trout LAA OF 15.64 We know the story, arguably the best hitter in baseball but he continues to struggle to stay healthy. 7 Yordan Alvarez HOU OF 30.57 He finished 2021 with a 138 wRC+, .346 OBP, 15.9 Barrel%, and .369 wOBA – such a good pure hitter. 8 Whit Merrifield KC 2B, OF 31.89 Merrifield is the king of PA’s. In the past three seasons no one has walked up to the plate more than Merrifield. The power might be dwindling but the speed still holds true. 9 Teoscar Hernandez TOR OF 32.75 A power-plus speed option who is in the middle of the best offense in the league. Yes please. 10 Cedric Mullins BAL OF 36.46 Our great Justin Mason predicted his 2021 breakout. All hail Justin! 11 Starling Marte NYM OF 25.21 Marte is behind due to a sore oblique usually this saps power but with Marte, you aren’t taking him for his power. If you need a hitter with average plus speed Marte is your guy. 12 Aaron Judge NYY OF 40.89 Judge gives you everything plus a little bit of speed. He is a massive power source with a 119.0 maxEV and 17.6 Barrel%. 13 Byron Buxton MIN OF 51.54 PLEASE STAY HEALTHY. Buxton is a league winner if he can play for the entire season but it’s a big if. 14 Tyler O’Neill STL OF 54.11 Tyler has some serious speed and some serious power but the high 31.3 K% is worrisome. I think we tend to overplay strikeouts since the entire league essentially does it. I wouldn’t shy away from him. 15 Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL OF 9.5 Acuna won’t see the field until “maybe” May. Yea the maybe is scary. Even if he is back in May at the DH there is no way he is stealing bases. 16 Kris Bryant COL 3B, OF 105.54 His 25 home runs and 10 steals last season made him valuable. We saw a nice step forward from 2020 and Bryant should perform just fine in 2022 in Coors. 17 Randy Arozarena TB OF 60.96 Arozarena didn’t produce what most had hoped for. He is still a solid 20/20 option in a good offense. 18 Nick Castellanos PHI OF 71.39 He is a lock to be a four-category contributor and his 140 wRC+ from last season is a good representation of his skill set. 19 Eloy Jimenez CWS OF 72.93 Think Teoscar Hernandez without the steals. Good power bat in a great lineup who could see a ton of runs and RBIs. In 2020 we saw a .373 wOBA and .263 ISO, I would expect more of the same. 20 George Springer TOR OF 63.54 It was a messy season for Springer due to injuries but his plate discipline stuck and he continued to hit the ball hard. 21 Tommy Edman STL 2B, OF 83.21 Edman is the perfect hitter if you need speed at this point in the draft. There is no power here but it also isn’t non existent either. 22 Ketel Marte ARZ 2B, OF 84.07 If he could just stay healthy I fully believe Marte can be a top-five second baseman. He had a 139 wRC+ last season and a .385 wOBA, both fantastic numbers. Please stay healthy. 23 J.D. Martinez BOS OF 97.82 J.D. Martinez just keeps doing J.D. Martinez things. He contributes in every category besides speed and doesn’t seem to be slowing down. 24 Bryan Reynolds PIT OF 98.82 Last season Reynolds was top 10 in the league in wRC+, wOBA, and OPS. 25 Giancarlo Stanton NYY OF 108.39 Stanton was able to stay healthy for the first time since 2018 and he didn’t disapoint hitting .273 with 35 home runs. Expect more of the same this season. 26 Jesse Winker SEA OF 114.43 Jesse Winker was traded to Seattle and moves from a hitter-friendly ballpark to a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Expect him to take a slight hit in the power department. 27 Mitch Haniger SEA OF 119.43 Haniger finished 2021 with 39 home runs, a .232 ISO, and a 12.6 Barrel%. The power is legit. 28 Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B, OF 122.36 The fence being moved out will hurt his power production but he still gives you a decent average as well as a little bit of speed. 29 Kyle Schwarber PHI OF 130.29 Kyle Schwarber joins a lineup where he could be in position for a ton of runs and rbi. Projections peg him for 35 home runs and over 160 R+RBI, I think he can beat those numbers. 30 Myles Straw CLE OF 118.57 Myles Straw is another speed play where if you are lacking it at this point of the draft he should be your target. The Guardians will play him everyday and the team loves to run. 31 Cody Bellinger LAD OF 100.07 Bellinger is a tough cookie to crack. After an MVP season he decided to try and change his swing which is very odd. He then was hit with injuries and Bellinger has been pretty terrible the last two seasons. Will he return to MVP Bellinger, or is he just not that good? 32 Christian Yelich MLW OF 100.5 I’m not sure we ever see Yelich hit over 30 home runs again, but I think 20 home runs with double-digit steals and a secent average is possible. 33 Chris Taylor LAD 2B, SS, OF 137.89 Chris Taylor was a pleasant surprise last season as he finished 2021 with 20 home runs, 92 rubs, and 13 stolen bases. You can expect more of the same in 2022. 34 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR OF 144.11 Gurriel’s expected stats all show his 2021 was legit and while a hitter having 20 home runs while hitting .276 is boring it’s still useful. 35 Austin Meadows TB OF 158.14 It looks like Meadows has basically stopped running and has essentially become a power bat. 36 Alex Verdugo BOS OF 159.75 With an xwOBA of .342 and an xSLG of .446 we could see a better average from Verdugo next season. Interestingly enough he has raised his barrel rate the last three seasons. 37 Avisail Garcia MIA OF 167.04 Avisail seems grossly undervalued. He will see a ton of playing time, he gives you power, he gives you speed, and he has a decent batting average. 38 Jarred Kelenic SEA OF 137.43 After a tough start to his career, Kelenic in the final month hit .248 with a 135 wRC+, seven home runs, and three stolen bases. 39 Trent Grisham SD OF 137.5 Grisham has great contact skills but the average wRC+ and ISO make me think he is, well, just average. 40 Hunter Renfroe MLW OF 168.5 Renfroe has now hit over 30 home runs in the last two full seasons, but last season he was able to raise his average. With an xBA matching his BA it looks like the average increase was legit. 41 Eddie Rosario ATL OF 176.61 Rosario signing with the Braves could not have been more perfect for him. Going back to the place where he was able to play well should do wonders. A 20/10 season is possible. 42 Andrew Benintendi KC OF 178.29 Benintendi is a bit undervalued. The .276 average is helpful, the 17 home runs is helpful, and the 8 steals is helpful. He doesn’t excel in any one specific category but he is “good” in all of them. 43 Dylan Carlson STL OF 180.79 Dylan Carlson in the second half: 11 home runs, .227 ISO, 127 wRC+, and .357 wOBA. 44 Robbie Grossman DET OF 182.71 Grossman gave you a ton of production in 2021 and I would expect the same in 2022 with a little less power (7.6 Barrel%). 45 Marcell Ozuna ATL OF 192.29 Ozuna should be slotted into the middle of the Braves lineup and his upside is intriguing. 46 Enrique Hernandez BOS 2B, OF 218.14 I love me some Enrique Hernandez because he leads off (his manager loves him), will give you 80 runs, and should give you over 20 home runs. 47 Akil Baddoo DET OF 153.29 Baddoo is a true power/speed threat but he has to start hitting LHP better. 48 Ian Happ CHC OF 193.46 Happ had a really good second half in 2021, but he has done that before. Can he put it all together? 49 Seiya Suzuki CHC OF 196.43 Suzuki should play every day usually it takes a bit of time for overseas players to adjust but I could see 20 home runs with about five steals from him. 50 Michael Conforto – OF 201.43 Conforto has had some highs as well as some lows in his career. The power numbers dipped last year as he looked completely lost at the plate. It’s hard to ignore his 2017-2019 seasons though, where he for 88 home runs. 51 Jorge Soler – OF 209.82 Soler is a solid power source, if he lands in a friendly ballpark we could see close to 35 home runs. 52 Adolis Garcia TEX OF 183.43 Adolis was fantastic in the first half of the season. The second half was a different story as he posted a 69 wRC+, 31.8 K%, and a .626 OPS. 53 Jesus Sanchez MIA OF 222.5 Sanchez exemplified true power with his 113.9 maxEV and 12.7 Barrel%. A ton of upside here. 54 Joey Gallo NYY OF 192.5 Gallo is extremely tough to build around with his horrendous average. Yes, the power is for real but unless he brings his average to the .220 range he will only hinder your team. 55 AJ Pollock LAD OF 212.36 We all know the story, if Pollock can stay healthy he is great. But that never happens. 56 Harrison Bader STL OF 214.96 Bader is slotted to be a start for the Cardinals and should see over 500 PAs. He has 20/10 potential and wont hurt you with average. 57 Josh Rojas ARZ 2B, SS, OF 222.57 Rojas is a popular name for draft and holds due to his playing time path and his multi-eligibilty. He is a decent late speed option otherwise. 58 Ramon Laureano OAK OF 223.68 The suspension hurts his value but if you can stomach keeping him on the bench then go for it. 59 Adam Duvall ATL OF 232.82 Duvall is a solid power bat but the poor batting average and horrendous OBP could hold him back. 60 Jo Adell LAA OF 234.71 Maybe Adell is one of those prospects we forget about who suddenly breaks out? 61 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 238.79 The speed has been gone for a while now but he should still have some power with a good average while also being solid in R+RBI. 62 Lane Thomas WAS OF 251.36 Lane Thomas should see plenty of PA for Washington the OBP is good enough to keep him in the lineup. 10 homers and 10 steals seem plausible. 63 Austin Hays BAL OF 243.39 Hays didn’t see a breakout but he did make improvements by lowering his ground ball rate and doubling his Barrel rate. 64 Raimel Tapia COL OF 248.39 There is zero power here but if you need speed and average Tapia is your guy. 65 Mark Canha NYM OF 275.64 Canha gives you a nice blend by contirbuting in every category but average. 66 Max Kepler MIN OF 283.04 Kepler saw a dip in power, yet he had the highest Barrel% of his career. The problem could be that he pulled the ball less, I think we could see a bounceback from him. 67 Mike Yastrzemski SF OF 289.64 Yastrzemski hit a disappointing .224 but his plate discipline didn’t really take a hit. With a 254 BABIP he may have just been unlucky. If he can hit for a high average with 20 home runs again he could be useful. 68 Connor Joe COL OF 312.32 Whether Joe sees a lot of playing time or not is hard to tell because it’s the Rockies and you never know with them. He was impressive in his 200 PA’s so I hope we get to see a lot of him. 69 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD SS, OF 1.82 Crushing news that Tatis fractured his wrist and could miss a few months. 70 Tommy Pham – OF 256.75 The 34-year-old still isn’t signed but if/when he does sign with someone he could give you 15 home runs and 10 bags. 71 Andrew Vaughn CWS OF 257.89 Vaughn had a below-average OPS but his Barrel rate and maxEV both show the type of power potential he has. It’s a matter of his manager giving him a shot. 72 Garrett Hampson COL 2B, OF 260.32 Hampson will give you 10/10 production but the average will drag you down. 73 Michael Brantley HOU OF 264.32 Brantley is really just an average play at this point, can he maybe get you 20 home runs? Perhaps but I wouldn’t bet on it. 74 Wil Myers SD OF 265.64 If you need PA’s Wil Myers is your man at this point. Some projections have him penicled in for 20 home runs and 10 steals which at this point, is pretty dang good. 75 Anthony Santander BAL OF 266.96 The wall moving in will hurt Santander since he is a power bat. Injuries hurt his power as we saw a dip in his metrics compared to 2020. He is only 27 so a bounceback could happen. 76 Riley Greene DET OF 294 Some think we see Riley Greene in the lineup opening day. Greene his .308 in AAA last year with a 153 wRC+ (185 PAs). 77 Julio Rodriguez SEA OF 284.14 Julio bounced up to AA last season and in 206 PAs he hit .362 with a 173 wRC+. With a log jam in Seattle it’s tough to tell when we will see him but some think it will be sooner than later. 78 Brandon Nimmo NYM OF 295.86 Nimmo is a bit injury prone but will lead off for the Mets and has had an OBP over .400 for the last two seasons. I can see him sprinting to first on a ball four call as I type this. 79 Manuel Margot TB OF 318.25 Margot had a decent season with the Rays last year, he just doesn’t hit the ball hard (career 87 wRC+). 80 Rafael Ortega CHC OF 321.71 Ortega looks like he will lead off for the Cubs offense, they will struggle to produce runs which makes me think they will run a lot. Ortega could definitely see 15 stolen bases with a middling average and double digit home runs. 81 Kyle Lewis SEA OF 303.68 Lewis will start the year on the IL but when he is back he could give you a little bit of power and speed. Don’t forget in 2020 he had a 127 wRC+ and .801 OPS. 82 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF 1B, OF 303.75 The Giants love to platoon making Wade a tough buy. He should give you 15 home runs and at least five steals, the upside makes him appealing. 83 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B, OF 180.5 Projections like Kiriloff and if he can put up 18 home runs, four steals, and a 2.70 average like they are calling for, that makes him a really solid bench piece. 84 Tyler Naquin CIN OF 328.68 The Reds have traded everyone so Naquin should see over 500 PAs as long as he is healthy. He is terrible against LHP so make sure you sit him against them. 85 Andrew McCutchen MIL OF 342.89 McCutchen landed in a good spot with the Brewers and he had the highest barrel rate of his career last season. 86 Luis Arraez MIN 2B, 3B, OF 301.57 Think Madrigal but without the speed. 87 Eric Haase DET C, OF 317.96 Haase could play in the OF at times giving him plenty of playing opportunity. As long as he performs as good as last season he is a great option. 88 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B, OF 327.86 It has been reported that McNeil will be the starting second baseman for the Mets. He saw a downtrend in wRC+ but continued to make a lot of contact. He should provide average but 2019 seems to be his ceiling. 89 Vidal Brujan TB OF 329.82 Brujan is an intriguing prospect but I wonder if he the Rays sending him back down last season and not always starting him means they don’t full believe in him. 90 Hunter Dozier KC 3B, OF 349.18 Dozier had a nice second half turnaround by improving his plate discipline and if it sticks he could be a solid late round flier. 91 Brandon Marsh LAA OF 334.36 Marsh didn’t have the best start to his major league career last season but he has a little bit of pop and some speed with prospect pedigree. 92 Yoshi Tsutsugo PIT 1B, OF 334.57 Yoshi should see a lot of PA’s in Pittsburgh and maybe we start to see some of his power in 2022. 93 Lorenzo Cain MLW OF 339.29 Lorenzo Cain doesn’t run as much but will still give you double-digit bases. 94 Josh Lowe TB OF 350.96 Lowe should be up at some point, he hit .291 in AAA with a 142 wRC+. 95 Randal Grichuk TOR OF 357.18 Grichuk at this point is someone you add for power upside. 96 Willie Calhoun TEX OF 386.61 Calhoun currently slots in as leadoff according to Roster Resource, I’m not sure if that sticks but it would be a nice bump in value for him. 97 Dominic Smith NYM OF 369.04 It was announced that Smith played injured last season but that doesn’t fix the log jam in front of him in NY. 98 Darin Ruf 러프 SF 1B, OF 374.68 Ruf is one of the best platoon bats in the bigs. A terrific matchup play in daily leagues. 99 Victor Robles WAS OF 379.96 Will he finally break out and perform? 100 Clint Frazier CHC OF 397.39 Will he finally break out and perform? Finding playing time could be an issue.