Michael Simione’s Outfield Rankings

March 29, 2022

Rank	Player	Team	Position(s)	ADP	Notes
1	Juan Soto	WAS	OF	5.43	In the second half, he hit .348 with a 199 wRC+ and 1.164 OPS. Insanity.
2	Bryce Harper	PHI	OF	9.75	Bryce Harper now has three consecutive seasons (ignoring the short season) with at least 34 home runs and 13 stolen bases.
3	Kyle Tucker	HOU	OF	11.32	Kyle Tucker had a fantastic season in 2021 propelling him into a first-round pick. The Astros don’t like to run so I don’t agree with the projections thinking he steals more than 15 bags.
4	Mookie Betts	LAD	OF	16.46	Mookie is still great but with the decline in exit velocity and with just three stolen bases in the second half he might not be as safe as we think.
5	Luis Robert	CWS	OF	17.11	If we see 600 plate appearances we could see Robert have a 25 HR 15 SB type of season with a solid average. Could easily be a first round pick next year.
6	Mike Trout	LAA	OF	15.64	We know the story, arguably the best hitter in baseball but he continues to struggle to stay healthy.
7	Yordan Alvarez	HOU	OF	30.57	He finished 2021 with a 138 wRC+, .346 OBP, 15.9 Barrel%, and .369 wOBA – such a good pure hitter.
8	Whit Merrifield	KC	2B, OF	31.89	Merrifield is the king of PA’s. In the past three seasons no one has walked up to the plate more than Merrifield. The power might be dwindling but the speed still holds true.
9	Teoscar Hernandez	TOR	OF	32.75	A power-plus speed option who is in the middle of the best offense in the league. Yes please.
10	Cedric Mullins	BAL	OF	36.46	Our great Justin Mason predicted his 2021 breakout. All hail Justin!
11	Starling Marte	NYM	OF	25.21	Marte is behind due to a sore oblique usually this saps power but with Marte, you aren’t taking him for his power. If you need a hitter with average plus speed Marte is your guy.
12	Aaron Judge	NYY	OF	40.89	Judge gives you everything plus a little bit of speed. He is a massive power source with a 119.0 maxEV and 17.6 Barrel%.
13	Byron Buxton	MIN	OF	51.54	PLEASE STAY HEALTHY. Buxton is a league winner if he can play for the entire season but it’s a big if.
14	Tyler O’Neill	STL	OF	54.11	Tyler has some serious speed and some serious power but the high 31.3 K% is worrisome. I think we tend to overplay strikeouts since the entire league essentially does it. I wouldn’t shy away from him.
15	Ronald Acuna Jr.	ATL	OF	9.5	Acuna won’t see the field until “maybe” May. Yea the maybe is scary. Even if he is back in May at the DH there is no way he is stealing bases.
16	Kris Bryant	COL	3B, OF	105.54	His 25 home runs and 10 steals last season made him valuable. We saw a nice step forward from 2020 and Bryant should perform just fine in 2022 in Coors.
17	Randy Arozarena	TB	OF	60.96	Arozarena didn’t produce what most had hoped for. He is still a solid 20/20 option in a good offense.
18	Nick Castellanos	PHI	OF	71.39	He is a lock to be a four-category contributor and his 140 wRC+ from last season is a good representation of his skill set.
19	Eloy Jimenez	CWS	OF	72.93	Think Teoscar Hernandez without the steals. Good power bat in a great lineup who could see a ton of runs and RBIs. In 2020 we saw a .373 wOBA and .263 ISO, I would expect more of the same.
20	George Springer	TOR	OF	63.54	It was a messy season for Springer due to injuries but his plate discipline stuck and he continued to hit the ball hard.
21	Tommy Edman	STL	2B, OF	83.21	Edman is the perfect hitter if you need speed at this point in the draft. There is no power here but it also isn’t non existent either.
22	Ketel Marte	ARZ	2B, OF	84.07	If he could just stay healthy I fully believe Marte can be a top-five second baseman. He had a 139 wRC+ last season and a .385 wOBA, both fantastic numbers. Please stay healthy.
23	J.D. Martinez	BOS	OF	97.82	J.D. Martinez just keeps doing J.D. Martinez things. He contributes in every category besides speed and doesn’t seem to be slowing down.
24	Bryan Reynolds	PIT	OF	98.82	Last season Reynolds was top 10 in the league in wRC+, wOBA, and OPS.
25	Giancarlo Stanton	NYY	OF	108.39	Stanton was able to stay healthy for the first time since 2018 and he didn’t disapoint hitting .273 with 35 home runs. Expect more of the same this season.
26	Jesse Winker	SEA	OF	114.43	Jesse Winker was traded to Seattle and moves from a hitter-friendly ballpark to a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Expect him to take a slight hit in the power department.
27	Mitch Haniger	SEA	OF	119.43	Haniger finished 2021 with 39 home runs, a .232 ISO, and a 12.6 Barrel%. The power is legit.
28	Ryan Mountcastle	BAL	1B, OF	122.36	The fence being moved out will hurt his power production but he still gives you a decent average as well as a little bit of speed.
29	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	OF	130.29	Kyle Schwarber joins a lineup where he could be in position for a ton of runs and rbi. Projections peg him for 35 home runs and over 160 R+RBI, I think he can beat those numbers.
30	Myles Straw	CLE	OF	118.57	Myles Straw is another speed play where if you are lacking it at this point of the draft he should be your target. The Guardians will play him everyday and the team loves to run.
31	Cody Bellinger	LAD	OF	100.07	Bellinger is a tough cookie to crack. After an MVP season he decided to try and change his swing which is very odd. He then was hit with injuries and Bellinger has been pretty terrible the last two seasons. Will he return to MVP Bellinger, or is he just not that good?
32	Christian Yelich	MLW	OF	100.5	I’m not sure we ever see Yelich hit over 30 home runs again, but I think 20 home runs with double-digit steals and a secent average is possible.
33	Chris Taylor	LAD	2B, SS, OF	137.89	Chris Taylor was a pleasant surprise last season as he finished 2021 with 20 home runs, 92 rubs, and 13 stolen bases. You can expect more of the same in 2022.
34	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	TOR	OF	144.11	Gurriel’s expected stats all show his 2021 was legit and while a hitter having 20 home runs while hitting .276 is boring it’s still useful.
35	Austin Meadows	TB	OF	158.14	It looks like Meadows has basically stopped running and has essentially become a power bat.
36	Alex Verdugo	BOS	OF	159.75	With an xwOBA of .342 and an xSLG of .446 we could see a better average from Verdugo next season. Interestingly enough he has raised his barrel rate the last three seasons.
37	Avisail Garcia	MIA	OF	167.04	Avisail seems grossly undervalued. He will see a ton of playing time, he gives you power, he gives you speed, and he has a decent batting average.
38	Jarred Kelenic	SEA	OF	137.43	After a tough start to his career, Kelenic in the final month hit .248 with a 135 wRC+, seven home runs, and three stolen bases.
39	Trent Grisham	SD	OF	137.5	Grisham has great contact skills but the average wRC+ and ISO make me think he is, well, just average.
40	Hunter Renfroe	MLW	OF	168.5	Renfroe has now hit over 30 home runs in the last two full seasons, but last season he was able to raise his average. With an xBA matching his BA it looks like the average increase was legit.
41	Eddie Rosario	ATL	OF	176.61	Rosario signing with the Braves could not have been more perfect for him. Going back to the place where he was able to play well should do wonders. A 20/10 season is possible.
42	Andrew Benintendi	KC	OF	178.29	Benintendi is a bit undervalued. The .276 average is helpful, the 17 home runs is helpful, and the 8 steals is helpful. He doesn’t excel in any one specific category but he is “good” in all of them.
43	Dylan Carlson	STL	OF	180.79	Dylan Carlson in the second half: 11 home runs, .227 ISO, 127 wRC+, and .357 wOBA.
44	Robbie Grossman	DET	OF	182.71	Grossman gave you a ton of production in 2021 and I would expect the same in 2022 with a little less power (7.6 Barrel%).
45	Marcell Ozuna	ATL	OF	192.29	Ozuna should be slotted into the middle of the Braves lineup and his upside is intriguing.
46	Enrique Hernandez	BOS	2B, OF	218.14	I love me some Enrique Hernandez because he leads off (his manager loves him), will give you 80 runs, and should give you over 20 home runs.
47	Akil Baddoo	DET	OF	153.29	Baddoo is a true power/speed threat but he has to start hitting LHP better.
48	Ian Happ	CHC	OF	193.46	Happ had a really good second half in 2021, but he has done that before. Can he put it all together?
49	Seiya Suzuki	CHC	OF	196.43	Suzuki should play every day usually it takes a bit of time for overseas players to adjust but I could see 20 home runs with about five steals from him.
50	Michael Conforto	–	OF	201.43	Conforto has had some highs as well as some lows in his career. The power numbers dipped last year as he looked completely lost at the plate. It’s hard to ignore his 2017-2019 seasons though, where he for 88 home runs.
51	Jorge Soler	–	OF	209.82	Soler is a solid power source, if he lands in a friendly ballpark we could see close to 35 home runs.
52	Adolis Garcia	TEX	OF	183.43	Adolis was fantastic in the first half of the season. The second half was a different story as he posted a 69 wRC+, 31.8 K%, and a .626 OPS.
53	Jesus Sanchez	MIA	OF	222.5	Sanchez exemplified true power with his 113.9 maxEV and 12.7 Barrel%. A ton of upside here.
54	Joey Gallo	NYY	OF	192.5	Gallo is extremely tough to build around with his horrendous average. Yes, the power is for real but unless he brings his average to the .220 range he will only hinder your team.
55	AJ Pollock	LAD	OF	212.36	We all know the story, if Pollock can stay healthy he is great. But that never happens.
56	Harrison Bader	STL	OF	214.96	Bader is slotted to be a start for the Cardinals and should see over 500 PAs. He has 20/10 potential and wont hurt you with average.
57	Josh Rojas	ARZ	2B, SS, OF	222.57	Rojas is a popular name for draft and holds due to his playing time path and his multi-eligibilty. He is a decent late speed option otherwise.
58	Ramon Laureano	OAK	OF	223.68	The suspension hurts his value but if you can stomach keeping him on the bench then go for it.
59	Adam Duvall	ATL	OF	232.82	Duvall is a solid power bat but the poor batting average and horrendous OBP could hold him back.
60	Jo Adell	LAA	OF	234.71	Maybe Adell is one of those prospects we forget about who suddenly breaks out?
61	Charlie Blackmon	COL	OF	238.79	The speed has been gone for a while now but he should still have some power with a good average while also being solid in R+RBI.
62	Lane Thomas	WAS	OF	251.36	Lane Thomas should see plenty of PA for Washington the OBP is good enough to keep him in the lineup. 10 homers and 10 steals seem plausible.
63	Austin Hays	BAL	OF	243.39	Hays didn’t see a breakout but he did make improvements by lowering his ground ball rate and doubling his Barrel rate.
64	Raimel Tapia	COL	OF	248.39	There is zero power here but if you need speed and average Tapia is your guy.
65	Mark Canha	NYM	OF	275.64	Canha gives you a nice blend by contirbuting in every category but average.
66	Max Kepler	MIN	OF	283.04	Kepler saw a dip in power, yet he had the highest Barrel% of his career. The problem could be that he pulled the ball less, I think we could see a bounceback from him.
67	Mike Yastrzemski	SF	OF	289.64	Yastrzemski hit a disappointing .224 but his plate discipline didn’t really take a hit. With a 254 BABIP he may have just been unlucky. If he can hit for a high average with 20 home runs again he could be useful.
68	Connor Joe	COL	OF	312.32	Whether Joe sees a lot of playing time or not is hard to tell because it’s the Rockies and you never know with them. He was impressive in his 200 PA’s so I hope we get to see a lot of him.
69	Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD	SS, OF	1.82	Crushing news that Tatis fractured his wrist and could miss a few months.
70	Tommy Pham	–	OF	256.75	The 34-year-old still isn’t signed but if/when he does sign with someone he could give you 15 home runs and 10 bags.
71	Andrew Vaughn	CWS	OF	257.89	Vaughn had a below-average OPS but his Barrel rate and maxEV both show the type of power potential he has. It’s a matter of his manager giving him a shot.
72	Garrett Hampson	COL	2B, OF	260.32	Hampson will give you 10/10 production but the average will drag you down.
73	Michael Brantley	HOU	OF	264.32	Brantley is really just an average play at this point, can he maybe get you 20 home runs? Perhaps but I wouldn’t bet on it.
74	Wil Myers	SD	OF	265.64	If you need PA’s Wil Myers is your man at this point. Some projections have him penicled in for 20 home runs and 10 steals which at this point, is pretty dang good.
75	Anthony Santander	BAL	OF	266.96	The wall moving in will hurt Santander since he is a power bat. Injuries hurt his power as we saw a dip in his metrics compared to 2020. He is only 27 so a bounceback could happen.
76	Riley Greene	DET	OF	294	Some think we see Riley Greene in the lineup opening day. Greene his .308 in AAA last year with a 153 wRC+ (185 PAs).
77	Julio Rodriguez	SEA	OF	284.14	Julio bounced up to AA last season and in 206 PAs he hit .362 with a 173 wRC+. With a log jam in Seattle it’s tough to tell when we will see him but some think it will be sooner than later.
78	Brandon Nimmo	NYM	OF	295.86	Nimmo is a bit injury prone but will lead off for the Mets and has had an OBP over .400 for the last two seasons. I can see him sprinting to first on a ball four call as I type this.
79	Manuel Margot	TB	OF	318.25	Margot had a decent season with the Rays last year, he just doesn’t hit the ball hard (career 87 wRC+).
80	Rafael Ortega	CHC	OF	321.71	Ortega looks like he will lead off for the Cubs offense, they will struggle to produce runs which makes me think they will run a lot. Ortega could definitely see 15 stolen bases with a middling average and double digit home runs.
81	Kyle Lewis	SEA	OF	303.68	Lewis will start the year on the IL but when he is back he could give you a little bit of power and speed. Don’t forget in 2020 he had a 127 wRC+ and .801 OPS.
82	LaMonte Wade Jr.	SF	1B, OF	303.75	The Giants love to platoon making Wade a tough buy. He should give you 15 home runs and at least five steals, the upside makes him appealing.
83	Alex Kirilloff	MIN	1B, OF	180.5	Projections like Kiriloff and if he can put up 18 home runs, four steals, and a 2.70 average like they are calling for, that makes him a really solid bench piece.
84	Tyler Naquin	CIN	OF	328.68	The Reds have traded everyone so Naquin should see over 500 PAs as long as he is healthy. He is terrible against LHP so make sure you sit him against them.
85	Andrew McCutchen	MIL	OF	342.89	McCutchen landed in a good spot with the Brewers and he had the highest barrel rate of his career last season.
86	Luis Arraez	MIN	2B, 3B, OF	301.57	Think Madrigal but without the speed.
87	Eric Haase	DET	C, OF	317.96	Haase could play in the OF at times giving him plenty of playing opportunity. As long as he performs as good as last season he is a great option.
88	Jeff McNeil	NYM	2B, OF	327.86	It has been reported that McNeil will be the starting second baseman for the Mets. He saw a downtrend in wRC+ but continued to make a lot of contact. He should provide average but 2019 seems to be his ceiling.
89	Vidal Brujan	TB	OF	329.82	Brujan is an intriguing prospect but I wonder if he the Rays sending him back down last season and not always starting him means they don’t full believe in him.
90	Hunter Dozier	KC	3B, OF	349.18	Dozier had a nice second half turnaround by improving his plate discipline and if it sticks he could be a solid late round flier.
91	Brandon Marsh	LAA	OF	334.36	Marsh didn’t have the best start to his major league career last season but he has a little bit of pop and some speed with prospect pedigree.
92	Yoshi Tsutsugo	PIT	1B, OF	334.57	Yoshi should see a lot of PA’s in Pittsburgh and maybe we start to see some of his power in 2022.
93	Lorenzo Cain	MLW	OF	339.29	Lorenzo Cain doesn’t run as much but will still give you double-digit bases.
94	Josh Lowe	TB	OF	350.96	Lowe should be up at some point, he hit .291 in AAA with a 142 wRC+.
95	Randal Grichuk	TOR	OF	357.18	Grichuk at this point is someone you add for power upside.
96	Willie Calhoun	TEX	OF	386.61	Calhoun currently slots in as leadoff according to Roster Resource, I’m not sure if that sticks but it would be a nice bump in value for him.
97	Dominic Smith	NYM	OF	369.04	It was announced that Smith played injured last season but that doesn’t fix the log jam in front of him in NY.
98	Darin Ruf 러프	SF	1B, OF	374.68	Ruf is one of the best platoon bats in the bigs. A terrific matchup play in daily leagues.
99	Victor Robles	WAS	OF	379.96	Will he finally break out and perform?
100	Clint Frazier	CHC	OF	397.39	Will he finally break out and perform? Finding playing time could be an issue.

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AnonMember since 2025

3 years ago

I’m not sure what I’m missing but I don’t get why people aren’t more excited about Kris Bryant going to Coors. So many of his Statcast and Batted Ball numbers are dead ringers for Arenado’s numbers and Arenado was a locked-in 1st round pick from 2016-2020 good for .290/40/100/110 every year.

TheUncool

Reply to Anon

It’s probably due at least partly to his somewhat (perceived) injury-proneness on top of age (even though 30 isn’t actually that old). Even Arenado would likely be downgraded some at this point if he’s still in Colorado — he was very durable and more reliable than Bryant ever was, but might already be in entering gradual decline now…

Also, the Rockies lineup ain’t quite what it used to be during Arenado’s tenure either, and that matters for fantasy…

Last edited 3 years ago by TheUncool