MASH Report (8/1/13)
Not much injury news with the trade deadline taking all the headlines, bylines and small print. I looked at a few players (Moore, Beachy and Butler) and ran an updated SLOW ranking.
• Matt Moore was placed on the DL with elbow soreness. A 2-mph drop in his average fastball velocity from last season was a big red flag to go along with some command issues. Last off season I was able to identify his high walk rate as an injury red flag.
Moore looked to have a bright future a couple season ago, but it is getting dimmer and dimmer by the day.
• Just over a month ago, I identified Billy Butler as hitter playing through an injury, but couldn’t find any reports of an ailment. His power, contact and speed were all down (and still are). He now states he is dealing with a neck injury. He didn’t state how long it has been affecting him, but it may be behind his decline.
• Brandon Beachy returned from the DL with disastrous results (7 Runs, 8 hits, 2 HRs, 5 Ks, 1 BB). On the injury front, some good and bad news to report. First, the 26-year-old’s average fastball velocity was similar to his 2012 value.
OK. Also he was able to throw a good number of strikes with a 49% Zone%. The problem I noticed was a inconsistent release point.
Over a 1 foot difference in the horizontal direction and half a foot in the vertical direction. This issue may not cause problems in what is left of the 2013 season, but it may limit his long term health.
SLOW (Swinging Late or Whiffing) Hitters (2013 with a min 40 pitches in the heart of the strike zone)
2013 SLOWest Bats
Name | 2013 SLOW |
Tim Lincecum | 81 |
B.J. Upton | 80 |
Justin Upton | 76 |
J.P. Arencibia | 73 |
Henry Blanco | 68 |
Mike Morse | 67 |
Adeiny Hechavarria | 66 |
John Buck | 64 |
Jeff Francoeur | 63 |
Dayan Viciedo | 63 |
Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 63 |
Yoenis Cespedes | 63 |
Martin Maldonado | 61 |
Jeff Mathis | 61 |
Drew Stubbs | 61 |
Tyler Moore | 61 |
Ian Desmond | 60 |
Will Middlebrooks | 60 |
Delmon Young | 60 |
Rick Ankiel | 59 |
Wilin Rosario | 58 |
Hector Gimenez | 58 |
Tyler Colvin | 58 |
Josh Donaldson | 57 |
Carlos Corporan | 55 |
Hitters who got SLOWer from 2012 to 2013
Name | Increase in SLOW from 2012 to 2013 |
Greg Dobbs | 96 |
Carlos Corporan | 60 |
Henry Blanco | 55 |
Justin Upton | 46 |
Chris Herrmann | 45 |
Will Middlebrooks | 41 |
Jordan Danks | 40 |
Devaris Gordon | 38 |
Wilin Rosario | 35 |
Ramiro Pena | 35 |
Charlie Blackmon | 33 |
Adeiny Hechavarria | 32 |
Clayton Kershaw | 32 |
Marlon Byrd | 31 |
Rick Ankiel | 31 |
Dan Uggla | 30 |
Freddy Galvis | 29 |
Martin Maldonado | 28 |
Brett Gardner | 26 |
Nick Markakis | 25 |
Nate McLouth | 25 |
Nate Schierholtz | 25 |
Garrett Jones | 25 |
Matt Dominguez | 24 |
Evan Longoria | 24 |
Will Middlebrooks name sticks out on both lists. His fastball pitch values agree with his bat slowing down. I would stay away from Middlebrooks now and in the future. A hitter, who already has plate discipline issues (career .17 BB/K), needs to at least be able to hit fastballs down the middle of the plate.
Players on the DL
(*) 15 Day Disabled List
(**) 60 Day Disabled List
(***) 7 Day Concussion List
Red colored entries are updates since last report.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Thanks for your MASH report. Your red flags about Moore convinced me to trade him for Homer Bailey. Most of league mates laughed at me, especially on the roll Moore was on. I don’t like to see guys get hurt, but you helped me during the stretch run. Your MASH report is a must read.