Mash Report (2/11/13)

Recent injury data

 • Felix Hernandez’s new 7-year contract is under dispute because of an elbow condition the team found. Last season he did see a drop in his velocity mid-season which came back up.

His other injury factors look fine (low inconsistency factor, high Zone%):

News flash, all people who throw a baseball over 90 mph will have elbow or shoulder problems eventually. I would not change his value and maybe pick him up cheaper as some owners may be scared off because of the news.

 • George Sherrill looks to return to the mound in late April. Even when he returns, he will be a non-factor in a stack Royals bullpen.

 • Victor Martinez says he his healthy. OK. I want to see him play a few games before totally believing this comment.

 • Scott Diamond is “Iffy” for opening day after having arthroscopic surgery to remove a bone chip shoulder. He could be a nice innings eater in AL-only leagues. Pick him cheaply on draft/auction day.

 • Jair Jurrjens is so broke down, the Orioles are trying to find ways to get out of a $1.5M contract. Just keep your distance.

 • Cory Luebke is on pace to return to the team in early June. He may be a nice DL stash for later in the season. The same article states Joe Wieland will be back anywhere from August to the start of 2014.

 • Matt LaPorta now has not hip pain. He did last season, quite a bit it sounds like. Even if he gets back to 100%, his 100% will probably not be enough. No need to roster him unless he somehow finds a major league starting position.

 • Good report concerning Colby Lewis, who has had his return date moved up to May instead of July as originally planned. Another possible DL stasher for a mid-season return.

 • Brian McCann’s return date has already been pushed back two weeks.

 • I couldn’t find any decent recent information on Juan Nicasio. Hopefully more will become available with the start of spring training.

 • Derek Jeter looks healthy. What else should be expected.

 • Michael Pineda’s timetable for return has been narrowed down to June or July.

Player Return Timetables

Name Injury Injury/Surgery Date Early Return Date Later Return date Status Source(s)
Scott Baker TJS 4/17/12 Start of Spring Training Opening day Throwing off mound (1)
Brandon Beachy TJS 6/21/12 Mid June Mid June Playing Catch (1)
Jeremy Bonderman TJS 04/24/12 Late March Late March Healthy (1)
Chris Carpenter Nerve 02/05/13 September Retire Rest (1)
 Andrew Cashner Thumb laceration 1/25/13 May May Rest (1)
Carl Crawford TJS 8/23/12 Early April Unknown Throwing (1)
Scott Diamond Elbow Surgery 10/1/12 Early April Early May Unknown (1)
Kyle Drabek TJS 6/19/12 Mid Season Mid Season Unknown (1)
Danny Duffy TJS 6/13/12 Late May/Early June All Star Game Playing Catch (1)
Neftali Feliz TJS 8/1/12 July August Playing Catch (1)
Corey Hart Right knee surgery 1/26/13 Late April Late May Rest (1)
Daniel Hudson TJS 7/9/12 July July Playing Catch (1)
Drew Hutchison TJS 08/08/12 August October Rehabilitation (1)
Derek Jeter Fractured Left Ankle 10/1/12 Late March Late March Fielding (1)
Ryan Kalish Shoulder Surgery 1/25/13 Early April Unknown Rest (1)
Matt Kemp Shoulder 8/1/12 Late March Late March Light Training (1)
Colby Lewis Elbow Surgery 7/1/12 May July Throwing (1)
Francisco Liriano Broken humerus 12/1/12 Early April Late May Rest (1)
Cory Luebke TJS 5/23/12 July July Unknown (1)
Ryan Madson TJS 04/11/12 Late March Late March Throwing off mound (1)
Brian McCann Torn labrum 7/4/12 Mid April May Running and throwing (1)
Logan Morrison Knee 9/1/12 Late March Late April Light Training (1)
Charlie Morton TJS 06/21/12 June Unknown Throwing (1)
Juan Oviedo TJS 09/06/12 September 2014 Rest (1)
Felipe Paulino TJS 7/3/12 Early July Early July Unknown (1)
Carl Pavano Ruptured spleen 1/25/13 Late March Mid April Rest (1)
Mike Pelfrey TJS 05/01/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
Michael Pineda Shoulder Surgery 5/1/12 June Early July Rest (1)
Alex Rodriguez Hip surgery 1/16/13 Early July 2014 season Rest (1)
CC Sabathia Bone Spur 10/1/12 Late March Late March Throwing (1)
George Sherill TJS 5/1/11 Late April May Bullpen Sessions (1)
Joakim Soria TJS 4/2/12 Late May Early June Playing Catch (1)
Eric Surkamp TJS 07/24/12 Late July September Unknown
Tsuyoshi Wada TJS 05/11/12 Late March Early July Unknown (1)(2)
Josh Tomlin TJS 08/22/12 August 2014 Rest (1)
Joe Wieland TJS 07/27/12 Early August 2014 Catch (1)
Brian Wilson TJS 4/19/12 Unknown Unknown Not ready to pitch (1)
Randy Wolf TJS 10/30/12 2014 2014 Rest (1)

Players Returning From Injury

Information will be added as it becomes available.

Players Playing Through Injuries

Name Injury Source
Hanley Ramirez Shoulder (1)

Here is the list of players who should exceed their power projections for 2013:

Ryan Zimmerman, Ryan Howard, Cameron Maybin, Trevor Plouffe, Justin Upton, Paul Konerko, Dustin Pedroia, Luke Scott, Matt Kemp, Joey Votto, Mike Moustakas, Pablo Sandoval, Carl Crawford, Giancarlo Stanton, Jacoby Ellsbury, Evan Longoria, and Troy Tulowitzki. New additions: Matt LaPorta





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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byronMember since 2016
12 years ago

Felix isn’t getting good advice if he lets any broad language about his elbow into the contract. There is no pitcher in the world right now that I don’t expect to have elbow trouble in the next seven years. It’d be like putting an “aging” clause into the contract Pujols signed last offseason.