Low-Ownership Starters for Wednesday (9/27)
Ownership percentages are from CBS leagues.
Matt Andriese (18% Owned) @ Yankees (Luis Severino)
Andriese has lost some of his pinpoint control of last year and has suffered a nasty bout of gopheritis, serving up homers at an inflated 1.67 per nine innings. So few matchups could be worse than facing the Yankees at Yankee Stadium, against a team sitting near the top of the team home run leaderboard. Against a mediocre team, Andriese is a deeper league streamer. But he isn’t this time.
Erasmo Ramirez (17%) at Athletics (Kendall Graveman)
Ramirez has been a slightly better version of Andriese this season, but has a better matchup and will be pitching at home. That said, the Athletics are no pushover. They have hit the third most homers in baseball in the second half and are tied for eighth in runs scored. The Athletics have also been particularly strong against righties, hitting them better than lefties and sporting the third highest wOBA in baseball in that same second half against southpaws. This is by no means a good matchup. But it’s probably a bottom of the barrel stream.
Robert Gsellman (15%) vs Braves (Sean Newcomb)
Gsellman was a popular sleeper heading into the season, and deservedly so. Unfortunately, the highest strikeout rate of his professional career so far has proven to be a mirage, as he simply doesn’t induce many whiffs. This is a good matchup, but without hopes of a respectable strikeout total, there’s just not much reason to stream him.
Adalberto Mejia (7%) at Indians (Danny Salazar)
It’s a bit of a surprise that Mejia hasn’t been able to translate a strong slider and respectable changeup (from a whiff perspective) into more strikeouts. But since he hasn’t, has displayed suspect control, and isn’t very good at keeping the ball on the ground or in the park, he’s an obvious sit against the American League’s best team.
Homer Bailey (6%) at Brewers (Brandon Woodruff)
Oh Homer. You’re ERA is trending in the wrong direction and you’ve dealt with elbow problem after elbow problem. His control has deserted him, but at least his velocity has been fine. Obviously, he’s a sit regardless of opponent. I will say, however, that I’d love him for a buck in an NL-Only league next season.
Steven Brault (5%) vs Orioles (Gabriel Ynoa)
Sheesh, talk about low strikeout rates — Brault has just a 13.3% mark! He’s run respectable marks in the minors, but the stuff hasn’t translated just yet. Since he’s not a groundballer and his control has been nothing special, you’re left with a guy that owns a 5.17 SIERA. The Orioles own the seventh highest ISO against lefties for the season. I don’t want Brault anywhere near my active roster.
Gabriel Ynoa (1%) at Pirates (Steven Brault)
Ynoa’s weak skills have been hidden by an unsustainable 6.1% HR/FB rate, but of course that’s been done over a tiny sample of 31.2 innings. The Pirates offense stinks, so this is a good matchup, but it’s an away game for a guy who doesn’t strike out a lot of batters and has been an extreme fly ball pitcher. Too risky for me.
Nick Martinez (1%) vs Astros (Justin Verlander)
How Martinez keeps finding his way into the Rangers rotation is beyond me. His minor league skills have been meh and Major League skills terrible. Yet he keeps getting starts. Why?! Obviously, you don’t touch him.
Mike Podhorzer is the 2015 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Baseball Writer of the Year and three-time Tout Wars champion. He is the author of the eBook Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, which teaches you how to project players yourself. Follow Mike on X@MikePodhorzer and contact him via email.
What do you think about Salazar for tomorrow? He got dropped in my league, but if he’s only going to be good for 3 innings I’m not sure he’s worth the add.
Obviously I can’t predict how many innings he’ll throw. It depends on your situation, if you’re facing an innings max and what your alternative is.