Reviewing My 2026 Potential Batter HR/FB Rate Surgers & Decliners

We continue my 2026 analysis review season! Today, let’s investigate the names that made my 2026 Preview: Potential Batter HR/FB Rate Surgers & Decliners list. I used Statcast’s xHR calculation to calculate the hitters that most underperformed and overperformed according to the formula and then implied that assuming all else was equal, a higher xHR total would mean a higher HR/FB rate and vice versa. Let’s find out how they ended up doing.








