Four Outfielders: Soderstrom, Garcia, Friedl, Laureano.

Katie Stratman-Imagn Images
Previous Outfield Reviews
- Marsee, Caglianone, Carpenter, & Crews
- Marte, Doyle, Stowers, & Butler
- Nimmo, Ward, Profar, Happ
- Simpson, Adell, Rafaela, & Kwan
- Suzuki, Robert, Reynolds, & Cruz
Tyler Soderstrom (90 ADP)
After a fine 2024 season (9 HR and .233 AVG in 213 PA), Soderstrom took a major step forward in 2025 by raising his contact rate from 72% to 78%. The added contact dropped his strikeout rate (25% K% to 23% K%) and improved his batting average (.233 AVG to .276 AVG). Additionally, he saw in-season improvements with a 23% K% in the first half and a 21% K% in the second half.
While the 23-year-old’s power metrics remain constant compared to the previous season, he provided some unexpected help with 8 SB. He didn’t attempt a steal in his previous two seasons. I could see his steals going down to zero or increasing to a dozen; it’s tough to know. I don’t have a read either way since his 27.4 ft/s sprint speed is right at league average.
There could also be another gear in Soderstrom if he’s able to hit more flyballs. If his 49% GB% (leading to an 8 degree launch angle) dropped 10% points, it could push his home run total up into the low-30’s. Pay for 25 HR, knowing there could be more.
Final Take: Tyler Soderstrom took a major leap forward in 2025 by making more contact and stealing bases. His 25 HR power appears legit, and his power numbers could take another step forward by hitting more balls in the air.
Adolis García (234 ADP)
Garcia’s production had been steady until he dealt with a forearm injury in May 2024 and a lingering knee injury that ended his 2024 season. Then in 2025, he dealt with oblique, ankle, and quadricep injuries. His .665 OPS and 547 PA were the lowest since 2020. I’m unsure if he was ever healthy. Since coming back from the forearm injury, he has posted a .654 OPS. Not good, Bob.
In the past, when he’s experienced such lows, his production has bounced back. Not so this time.

Normally, I would expect his decline to be power or contact related, but in his case, it was small hits around the edges.
- His power hasn’t returned to 2023 levels (2021 to 2023 ISO: .226, 2024 to 2025: .172). His average bat speed in 2023 was 73.6 mph. It dropped to 72.0 mph in 2024 and to 72.1 last season.
- He used to pull the ball more for home runs but his Pull% is on a five-year decline (50.0% to 44.8% to 42.3% to 42.5% to 39.9% to 39.6%).
- His sprint speed (ft/s) is experiencing a similar decline (28.4 to 27.9 to 27.3 to 26.8 to 27.0).
The narrative I’m going with is that a 32-year-old dealt with injuries for two straight seasons, and his body won’t rebound to previous levels in his age 33 season. Now, he could rebound, but I’m not going to pay for it.
Final Take: The 32-year-old Adolis Garcia has struggled for two straight seasons while dealing with several injuries. He’s going to need to stop and reverse several negative trends as he ages into his mid-30’s.
TJ Friedl (264 ADP)
A lot is going on with Friedl. He more than doubled his plate appearances from 2024, but the rest of his counting stats didn’t change.
| Stat | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| HR | 13 | 14 |
| SB | 9 | 12 |
| R | 35 | 82 |
| RBI | 55 | 53 |
The 30-year-old is trying his hardest to be an Isaac Paredes clone (low power, high pull, good eye). While I hate the Baseball Savant lollipops, they show his extreme profile along with how much he pulls the ball. Normally, a batter has twice as many barrels as home runs, but not in Friedl’s case (13 Barrels, 14 HR).


He was going with an extreme pull fly ball approach, but backed off on it. From the first three months to the last three months, his pulled-air rate dropped from 22.1% to 19.5%. One of my tools, which compares similar batted ball profiles, points to the possibility of 20 HR.
As for the stolen bases, I don’t see any upside after this sprint speed dropped from 28.3 ft/s (74th percentile) to 26.7 ft/s (32nd percentile) since 2023. It could be even lower with only two second-half attempts.
Final Take: TJ Friedl is a high-variance play in home runs and stolen bases. When looking at his projections, I would take the over in home runs and the under in stolen bases.
Ramón Laureano (217 ADP)
In 2025, Laureano set a career high with 488 PA. From 2018 to 2024, Laureano’s paced 17 HR and 13 SB per 488 PA. That’s about what Friedl posted last season (15/13). If given enough playing time, he could be a solid fantasy value just by being himself.
Besides having a solid base coming into 2025, Laureano made two improvements. His contact% jumped from 70.8% to 74.8%, which is his highest since 2021. With more contact, his strikeout rate dropped from 31% to 24%, pushing his batting average up to .281.
The other improvement was a career high 90.3 average exit velocity and 112.7 max EV. With the extra power, he tied his career high with 24 HR.
As for the stolen bases, his sprint speed has varied from just 27.6 to 27.9 over the past six seasons. Around 8 SB to 10 SB is a reasonable estimate.
One final note: several of our playing time estimates seem a little on the low side (450 PA to 500 PA). If he were to go into the 600 PA or more range, he’s a steal at his current ADP.
Final Take: If Ramón Laureano can keep the contact and power gains he made in 2025 while playing a full season, he becomes a solid sleeper
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
I’m all in on Soderstrom. He’s still so young, pounds the ball and you could expect him to improve his feel for the zone and ability to lift the ball. Wouldn’t be surprised at all to see his power and OBP take a big jump.
I’m not sure why projection systems aren’t bought in on him.