FanGraphs now has NFBC ADP data!
NFBC ADP data used to be hosted at Stats, Inc. Prior to last week, 2018 data had only been available to NFBC contestants.
Where can I find the data?
How often do the ADPs update?
Daily at NFBC; thus, daily at FanGraphs.
What is ADP?
Average draft position. Mathematically, it’s the numerical pick at which a player is selected in a snake draft averaged across every draft that has occurred.
Why NFBC? Alternatively: Why should I care about NFBC?
The National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC) features high-stakes fantasy baseball contests with entry fees ranging from $50 to $15,000. In any fantasy league, there will exist dead money — just because you shell out some dough to play fantasy baseball doesn’t automatically make you an expert — but the high cost simultaneously deters those less confident, and attracts those more confident, in their skills. The result is a pool of fantasy talent that exceeds that of a casual (or, rather, low-stakes — because are any of us truly “casual” enthusiasts?) fantasy baseball league. Accordingly, NFBC ADP can be seen as a more accurate assessment of player talent.
An aside: I, as someone who references and uses ADP routinely to evaluate players, have never seen a comparison between NFBC and other ADP data resources such as ESPN’s or Yahoo!’s ADP results. It would be interesting to see how much they diverge, if at all.
Lastly, the NFBC doesn’t allow for trades in order to prevent collusion. This inherently skews the dynamic of the contests a bit, whether it’s a draft-and-hold (no trades or transactions, so there’s a premium placed on players with healthy track records and guaranteed playing time) or a classic mixed-league format with a free agent acquisition budget (FAAB).
A nuance about ADP data in general:
A player’s ADP likely does not correspond directly with his numeric ordered rank among all players. As a demonstration, here’s a current snapshot of the NFBC’s 63rd through 65th picks:
|Rank||Player||Team||Position(s)||ADP||Min Pick||Max Pick|
|63||Posey, Buster||SF||1B, C||62.9||27||113|
While Buster Posey’s ADP (62.9) closely matches his ordered rank (63), the subsequent two players — A.J. Pollock and Daniel Murphy — have ADPs that do not move linearly with rank, their ADPs exceeding their ordered ranks by a couple of picks. Such is the nonlinear nature of ADP. This makes little difference in the grand scheme of things — only in the very late rounds of drafts do ADPs begin to markedly drift from ranks, and at that point one could argue it barely matters.
You may also notice the table includes earliest and latest picks (“Min Pick” and “Max Pick,” respectively). Once featured on the Stats, Inc. version of NFBC’s ADP data, it appears these colums are excluded from FanGraphs’ tables and, accordingly, reserved for NFBC contestants.
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Let me know if you have any other questions. Otherwise, enjoy!
Currently investigating the relationship between pitcher effectiveness and beard density. Two-time FSWA award winner, including 2018 Baseball Writer of the Year, and 5-time award finalist. Featured in Lindy's Sports' Fantasy Baseball magazine (2018, 2019). Tout Wars competitor. Biased toward a nicely rolled baseball pant.