FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 13)
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Note: When I first published the article, I didn’t include the CBS rostership rates. I don’t have time to go through each one and add the players I found interesting. Instead, I just went with all players at or below 40% rostership who where added in 2% or more of leagues. Sorry for this inconvenience. -Jeff
Hitters
Jeff McNeil: Playing every game while hitting for power (8 HR in 163 PA).
Jake Mangum: Solid add for speed (10 SB) and batting average (.310 AVG).
J.P. Crawford: Steady production (6 HR, 5 SB, .288 AVG).
Ernie Clement: Has just a 6% K% in June, thereby bumping his monthly batting average up to .343.
Abraham Toro: Hitting second or fourth since the Devers trade. Batting .293 with 5 HR.
Ramón Laureano: Continues to start (13 starts in 14 games) while batting .264/.335/.507 with 9 HR.
Dane Myers: Having a solid season (4 HR, 8 SB, .324 AVG in 151 PA) thanks to a .410 BABIP.
Otto Lopez: His batting average is down to a .235 AVG. He still has 6 HR and 8 SB.
Tyler Freeman: The Rockies finally move Freeman up from batting ninth. So far, he’s batting .315/.405/.435 with 6 HR.
Max Kepler: Strong-side platoon bat who only provides some power (9 HR, 0 SB, .215 AVG).
Jurickson Profar: Profar can play in the majors on July 2nd. There were some reports that he would immediately bat second, but that can’t be backed up with the original report being deleted.
Wenceel Pérez: Starting about 80% of the time. He has 5 HR and a .286 in 70 PA. If a manager thinks his playing time is more secure, move him up into the top five.
Michael Toglia: This time up, Toglia has been great (.300/.364/.750, 3 HR). His strikeout is just 27% K%. It was 39% before getting demoted.
Mickey Moniak: Starting about two-thirds of the time while batting .245/.296/.489 with 10 HR on the season.
Brooks Lee: On fire in June (.350/.381/.550, .474 BABIP). Fine injury replacement.
Brady House: House is starting, but that’s about it (.263/.333/.263). He showed some minor league power (13 HR in AAA) but none in the majors.
Casey Schmitt: With Chapman on the IL, Schmitt (.250/.344/.393, 3 HR) is the Giants’ third baseman.
Max Muncy (ATH): Since the three homers in four games, he’s batting .200/.282/.286 with a 36% K%. At least he’s still playing every game.
Otto Kemp: Harper’s replacement is not doing much like his projections predicted (.256/.319/.302).
Catcher
Carlos Narváez: Not a drain (.270/.356/.439, 6 HR), but not much more.
Victor Caratini: Not a drain (.260/.326/.403, 5 HR), but not much more.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil 2B NYM | 38% | 42% | 4% |
| J.P. Crawford SS SEA | 35% | 43% | 8% |
| Carlos Narvaez C BOS | 34% | 38% | 4% |
| Jurickson Profar LF ATL | 25% | 48% | 23% |
| Ernie Clement 3B TOR | 24% | 29% | 5% |
| Brooks Lee 3B MIN | 20% | 29% | 9% |
| Brady House 3B WAS | 17% | 34% | 17% |
| Michael Toglia 1B COL | 16% | 26% | 10% |
| Max Muncy 2B ATH | 9% | 12% | 3% |
| Wenceel Perez RF DET | 7% | 12% | 5% |
| Tyler Freeman RF COL | 6% | 10% | 4% |
| Andrew McCutchen DH PIT | 6% | 8% | 2% |
| Mickey Moniak RF COL | 3% | 7% | 4% |
| Gary Sanchez C BAL | 2% | 6% | 4% |
| Victor Caratini C HOU | 2% | 4% | 2% |
Starting Pitchers
Brandon Walter: Elite so far with a 1.53 ERA (2.26 xFIP), 0.91 WHIP, 9.7 K/9, and 52% GB%).
Ben Casparius: Currently, he’s Ohtani’s follower and could be a great source of Wins. He only went 3.2 IP after Ohtani, but got the Win. Must roster in all formats.
Charlie Morton: Continues to throw strikes with a 2.95 ERA (2.95 xFIP) and 10.6 K/9 since his April start.
Michael Soroka: He’s been solid (3.50 SIERA) so far but prone to home runs (1.9 HR/9, 4.93 FIP). I’m a little surprised about the home runs with his 47% GB%. Solid buy-low option.
Mitch Spence: Solid arm with a 3.50 ERA (3.88 xFIP), 1.24 WHIP, and 7.8 K/9.
Ryan Gusto: Over the last three games (ATH, CHW, PIT), he got his walks under control (2.4 BB). In the six games before that, it was an 8.3 BB/9. At this point, he needs to be added to see if he keeps the walks in check. In June, he posted a 21% K%-BB% (23rd of 140 among starters with 10 IP).
Jacob Lopez: Has nine strikeouts in three of his last four games while keeping the walks under control (3.1 BB/9). Lopez’s issue will be home runs with just a 17% GB%. That’s a ton of balls in the air as seen by his .341 BABIP (25% LD%) and 1.5 HR/9. He’s going to look great in games where the ball stays in, but when it fliesout, he could put up a dude.
Eric Lauer 라우어: I remain in shock on how Lauer is performing. And he has improved each month (4.62 xFIP to 3.56 to 2.67). None of his pitches standout but he’s getting around a 10% SwStr% from each. The only issue might be homeruns since his 30% GB% points to higher than a 1.0 HR/9. Enjoy him while useful.
Didier Fuentes: While his results weren’t great for his debut (5 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, 4 ER), the STUPH models love him (123 Pitching+, 70 BotOvr). Add and see how the next start goes.
Ryne Nelson: He has three horrible blowups (including one on June 7th), but great otherwise. Even with the disasters, he has a 3.88 ERA (3.98 xFIP), 7.3 K/9, and 1.08 WHIP.
Colton Gordon: One of several guys with home run issues (2.0 HR/9, 34% GB%, 91 mph fastball). With a normal home run rate, his stats point to a 3.50 pitcher. He struggles to get righties out. It’s a 5.19 FIP vs righties and a 2.26 FIP against lefties. At this point, he doesn’t have a pitch to put away lefties.
Mike Burrows: Being home run prone (1.9 HR/9, 35% GB%) leads to a 4.82 ERA and matching 4.86 xFIP. If he keeps the ball in the yard, he could be a 3.75 ERA talent. For now, target him in parks and/or teams that limit home runs.
Brayan Bello: He’s got the walks under control in June (2.8 BB/9) and has a small bump in strikeouts (7.5 K/9). Instead of producing like a 5.00 ERA pitcher, he’s closer to streamable 4.00 ERA talent. He has to keep the walks in check.
Eduardo Rodriguez: A .355 BABIP has bloated up his 1.62 WHIP and 5.93 ERA on the season, but he has been better since coming off the IL (2.81 ERA, 1.38 WHIP). He’s been leaning into his cutter more (+10% points, 10% SwStr%, 101 Pitching+, 43 botOvr). Looks to be a streaming option.
Kumar Rocker: Getting crushed with a .387 BABIP and 1.3 HR/9. His ERA estimators and projections disagree and point to him being a 4.00 ERA talent. The hits might continue since lefties are crushing him. I could go with several stats, but his WHIP is the most extreme. A 2.23 WHIP against lefties and a 1.14 WHIP against righties.
Lucas Giolito: His ERA estimators point to a 4.00 ERA talent, but he keeps getting hit around (1.2 HR/9, .333 BABIP). He’s not able to put away righties. His changeup is getting lefties out, but his slider has degraded (80 Pitching+, 29 BotOvr, 9% SwStr%). Righties are posting an .835 OPS against him while just a .697 OPS for lefties.
Emmet Sheehan: While looking great in his debut (4 IP, 6 K, 0 BB, 1 ERA), the team demoted Sheehan to the minors. Add if bench space exists.
Ryan Yarbrough: After being lucky to start the season (88% LOB%, .227 BABIP until June, 3.06 ERA), his starts normalized to being a solid low-5.00 ERA talent in June. I’m guessing he’s closer to the middle as a 4.00 ERA arm.
Slade Cecconi: He has a great 10.1 K/9 but has been homer (1.8 HR/9, 35% GB%) and walk (3.3 BB/9) prone. The walks have pushed his WHIP to 1.35. Good strikeout numbers are the only item to count on.
Patrick Corbin: A 4.50 ERA talent to be streamed against weaker teams. Next week, he faces Baltimore and Seattle.
David Festa: The walks (4.1 BB/9 in ’25, 4.5 BB/9 in June) make him unrosterable. Others have turned around their season by throwing strikes; hopefully, he can at some point.
Kyle Hendricks: Seeing a few more strikeouts by leaning into his changeup (35% usage to 43%). Even with the improvement, he’s still a 4.50 ERA talent.
Bailey Falter: His .237 BABIP kept his ratios in check for a while, but regression happened in June with a 1.36 WHIP and 5.14 ERA. 4.50 ERA talent.
Emerson Hancock: A solid 4.50 ERA talent with a 1.51 ERA in June. Don’t buy the hot streak, ignore.
Hunter Dobbins: While his overall starts seem streamable, his talent has been heading downhill each month (19% K%-BB% to 12% to 4%). He needs to start showing positive signs before I buy back in.
Stephen Kolek: Staying away. While the talent is barely streamable (4.47 SIERA, 6.3 K/9), This trend can’t be ignored:
Logan Allen로건: I could see why he was being added until I spotted the two-step next week (vs TOR, vs STL). While his 4.21 ERA is not ideal, his 1.48 WHIP does as much ratio damage as a 5.40 ERA. I’m out.
Pitching Prospects
Joe Boyle: In AAA, the 25-year-old righty has a 1.83 ERA (3.28 xFIP), 0.95 WHIP, and 11.4 K/9 in 64 IP.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito SP BOS | 40% | 56% | 16% |
| Brayan Bello SP BOS | 40% | 47% | 7% |
| Ryan Yarbrough SP NYY | 36% | 40% | 4% |
| Bailey Falter SP PIT | 33% | 36% | 3% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez SP ARI | 30% | 45% | 15% |
| Charlie Morton SP BAL | 25% | 34% | 9% |
| Patrick Corbin SP TEX | 24% | 29% | 5% |
| Stephen Kolek SP SD | 24% | 27% | 3% |
| Kumar Rocker SP TEX | 24% | 26% | 2% |
| Slade Cecconi SP CLE | 16% | 20% | 4% |
| Emmet Sheehan SP LAD | 15% | 33% | 18% |
| Joe Boyle SP TB | 15% | 22% | 7% |
| Ryan Gusto SP HOU | 13% | 19% | 6% |
| Ryne Nelson RP ARI | 13% | 15% | 2% |
| Hunter Dobbins SP BOS | 11% | 18% | 7% |
| Emerson Hancock SP SEA | 11% | 13% | 2% |
| Brandon Walter SP HOU | 10% | 22% | 12% |
| Logan Taylor Allen SP CLE | 8% | 11% | 3% |
| Michael Burrows SP PIT | 8% | 10% | 2% |
| Colton Gordon SP HOU | 7% | 10% | 3% |
| Garrett Whitlock RP BOS | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| Jacob Lopez SP ATH | 4% | 17% | 13% |
| Kyle Hendricks SP LAA | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| Mitch Spence RP ATH | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Eric Lauer RP TOR | 2% | 8% | 6% |
| Didier Fuentes SP ATL | 2% | 7% | 5% |
| Name | IP | BotERA | Pitching+ERA | SwStr% ERA | FBv ERA | SIERA | xFIP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmet Sheehan | 4.0 | 4.22 | 3.72 | 3.06 | 3.85 | 1.52 | 1.54 | 2.98 |
| Ryan Gusto | 11.0 | 3.17 | 3.60 | 3.47 | 3.97 | 2.31 | 2.22 | 3.12 |
| Brandon Walter | 12.2 | 3.62 | 3.93 | 2.85 | 4.32 | 2.24 | 2.02 | 3.16 |
| Charlie Morton | 13.1 | 3.66 | 3.94 | 3.37 | 3.98 | 2.46 | 2.01 | 3.24 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | 7.2 | 3.43 | 4.10 | 3.76 | 4.15 | 2.88 | 3.37 | 3.61 |
| Mitch Spence | 10.0 | 2.94 | 3.00 | 3.49 | 4.21 | 4.14 | 3.94 | 3.62 |
| Didier Fuentes | 5.0 | 2.24 | 2.54 | 4.21 | 3.72 | 4.87 | 4.52 | 3.68 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 12.0 | 3.42 | 4.54 | 3.11 | 5.10 | 3.24 | 3.04 | 3.74 |
| Lucas Giolito | 12.0 | 4.74 | 4.71 | 3.28 | 3.98 | 3.07 | 2.84 | 3.77 |
| Eric Lauer | 9.1 | 3.71 | 4.76 | 3.73 | 4.27 | 2.96 | 3.19 | 3.77 |
| Jacob Lopez | 16.0 | 4.12 | 4.50 | 3.07 | 4.46 | 3.01 | 3.53 | 3.78 |
| Slade Cecconi | 10.0 | 4.48 | 4.73 | 3.65 | 3.99 | 3.05 | 2.94 | 3.81 |
| Kumar Rocker | 5.0 | 4.96 | 4.77 | 4.54 | 3.71 | 2.73 | 2.44 | 3.86 |
| Brayan Bello | 13.1 | 3.62 | 3.90 | 4.40 | 3.85 | 3.72 | 3.82 | 3.89 |
| Mike Burrows | 14.1 | 4.55 | 4.18 | 3.93 | 3.90 | 3.33 | 3.45 | 3.89 |
| Colton Gordon | 11.0 | 3.24 | 3.43 | 4.88 | 4.37 | 4.14 | 4.11 | 4.03 |
| Logan Allen | 11.1 | 4.21 | 4.43 | 4.30 | 4.51 | 3.98 | 4.17 | 4.27 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 11.0 | 4.50 | 4.62 | 3.19 | 4.40 | 4.52 | 4.66 | 4.32 |
| Ben Casparius | 8.2 | 2.82 | 2.50 | 5.09 | 3.68 | 5.82 | 6.06 | 4.33 |
| Patrick Corbin | 10.0 | 3.85 | 4.23 | 4.41 | 4.45 | 4.56 | 4.47 | 4.33 |
| Spencer Turnbull | 6.1 | 2.96 | 3.40 | 4.17 | 4.44 | 5.45 | 5.78 | 4.37 |
| Bailey Falter | 10.1 | 4.32 | 4.37 | 4.65 | 4.34 | 4.44 | 4.28 | 4.40 |
| Michael Soroka | 11.0 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 4.12 | 3.96 | 3.72 | 4.98 | 4.43 |
| David Festa | 9.2 | 4.15 | 4.52 | 3.88 | 3.99 | 4.94 | 5.25 | 4.46 |
| Emerson Hancock | 12.0 | 4.42 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 3.96 | 4.97 | 4.61 | 4.48 |
| Ryne Nelson | 13.2 | 4.17 | 4.00 | 5.46 | 3.89 | 5.17 | 5.19 | 4.65 |
| Hunter Dobbins | 15.0 | 4.36 | 3.99 | 5.59 | 3.85 | 5.43 | 4.94 | 4.69 |
| Stephen Kolek | 16.1 | 4.84 | 4.63 | 4.81 | 4.07 | 5.23 | 5.02 | 4.77 |
| Adrian Houser | 11.0 | 6.09 | 5.40 | 5.48 | 4.02 | 4.87 | 4.71 | 5.10 |
| Ryan Yarbrough | 14.0 | 5.31 | 5.41 | 4.63 | 4.95 | 5.27 | 5.59 | 5.19 |
Relievers
Calvin Faucher: Below-average reliever who is the closer.
Orion Kerkering: Good reliever who is sharing the closer’s role.
Matt Strahm: Good reliever who is sharing the closer’s role.
Dylan Lee: Great reliever who is the backup closer.
Garrett Whitlock: Great reliever who is the backup closer.
Reid Detmers: Good reliever who is the backup closer.
Greg Weissert: Good reliver who is the backup closer.
Spencer Turnbull: Only throwing 2 IP at a time and is getting lit up with a 7.11 ERA (5.78 xFIP) and 2.53 WHIP. Ignore until he shows some signs of improvement.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Faucher RP MIA | 16% | 21% | 5% |
| Reid Detmers RP LAA | 12% | 14% | 2% |
| Orion Kerkering RP PHI | 11% | 24% | 13% |
| Dylan Lee RP ATL | 8% | 10% | 2% |
| Garrett Whitlock RP BOS | 6% | 11% | 5% |
| Greg Weissert RP BOS | 3% | 7% | 4% |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Good information as always, Jeff. I think the autocorrect got you like it tends to get me. I think you meant dud and not dude in the Jacob Lopez comment … although putting up a dude would be a lot more interesting! 🙂