FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 13)
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Batters
Zach Neto: Hitting a solid .251/.300/.434 with 10 HR and 9 SB.
David Hamilton: Strong-side platoon bat who is tied for fifth in the league with 20 SB.
Tommy Pham: Solid .282/.353/.410 with 4 HR and 4 SB. His stock should head up once he is traded to a contending team.
Andrew Vaughn: On fire in June by hitting .352/.370/.592 with 5 HR. The key has been cutting his strikeout rate from 28% in April to 18% in June.
Carlos Santana: Starting most days while posting a 1.076 OPS in June.
Mauricio Dubón: Twelve straight starts with a .301 AVG, 3 HR, and 2 SB.
Jarred Kelenic: He is leading off against lefties and righties while hitting .268/.310/.426 with 6 HR and 2 SB on the season.
Paul DeJong: Hitting for power (14 HR) and not his normal batting average drain (.237 AVG).
Tyler Soderstrom: He finally started against a lefty so his platoon may be over. He is hitting .247/.354/.454 with 5 HR and 0 SB in 97 PA.
Jose Siri: Started in nine of the last 10 games. While providing 9 HR and 10 SB, he also has a .214 AVG.
Will Brennan: Strong-side platoon bat with six righties on the schedule next week.
Mickey Moniak: Strong-side platoon bat scheduled to face six righties next week.
Miguel Rojas: Since Betts went on the IL, Rojas has started in four of five games. He is hitting for average but not much more (.270/.313/.421).
Jake McCarthy: Starts for two to three games and then sits. On the season, he is hitting .293/.376/.415 with 3 HR and 12 SB.
Jose Miranda: While productive (.795 OPS), he has only started in six of the last ten games.
Joc Pederson: Strong-side platoon bat who only faces four lefties next week.
Spencer Horwitz: Only faces righties and five are on the schedule next week. Hitting .343/.439/.400 with a .400 BABIP.
Daniel Schneemann: Seven starts in the last 10 games. A .409 BABIP has him hitting .303/.439/.515 with 1 SB and 1 HR.
Nolan Schanuel: Transformed from a good batting average source to a middling power first baseman who is a batting average drain. Barely a bench streamer.
Lenyn Sosa: Starting but with only a .595 OPS. Injury replacement.
Joey Meneses: Nine straight starts but just a .625 OPS for a first baseman. Hopefully, better options are on the wire.
Enmanuel Valdez: Strong-side platoon bat who is only hitting .217 AVG with 6 HR.
Hunter Goodman: Six starts in the last seven games with five games at catcher. Even with half his games at Coors Field, he only has a .683 OPS.
Michael Toglia: Rostered for the seven-game homestand. Next week, he’s on the road and only for five games. Drop.
Brett Wisely: Strong side of a shortstop platoon. Next week, the Giants only face four righties. Ignore.
Garrett Mitchell: On a AAA rehab assignment while hitting .269/.345/.654 with 3 HR and 2 SB in 29 PA.
Charlie Blackmon: Strong-side platoon bat on the IL .
Orelvis Martinez: Just promoted to the majors but his playing time is up in the air. In AAA he was hitting .260/.343/.523 with 16 HR and 0 SB. 80-game suspension for PEDs, effectively done for 2024.
Catchers
Jose Trevino: Hitting a solid .252 AVG with 8 HR.
Patrick Bailey: Cut his K% by 10% points and has a nice .299 AVG with 5 HR.
Tyler Soderstrom: He finally started against a lefty so his platoon may be over. On the season, he is hitting .247/.354/.454 with 5 HR and 0 SB in 97 PA.
Ben Rice: Struggling in his first four games (.468 OPS).
Freddy Fermin: At least he’s not a batting average drain (.294/.342/.434).
Mitch Garver: Huge batting average drain (.175 AVG) but has hit 8 HR.
Hunter Goodman: Six starts in the last seven games with five games at catcher. Even with half his games at Coors Field, he just has a .683 OPS.
Jacob Stallings: The seven games in Coors had him on radars but he will head to the waiver wire with just five road games next week.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn 1B CHW | 39% | 60% | 21% |
| David Hamilton SS BOS | 37% | 66% | 29% |
| Jarred Kelenic LF ATL | 37% | 50% | 13% |
| Joc Pederson DH ARI | 36% | 48% | 12% |
| Mitch Garver DH SEA | 36% | 38% | 2% |
| Zachary Neto SS LAA | 33% | 42% | 9% |
| Patrick Bailey C SF | 30% | 34% | 4% |
| Charlie Blackmon DH COL | 27% | 34% | 7% |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B LAA | 27% | 29% | 2% |
| Paul DeJong SS CHW | 22% | 29% | 7% |
| Orelvis Martinez SS TOR | 20% | 26% | 6% |
| Tommy Pham CF CHW | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Jose Miranda 3B MIN | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Tyler Soderstrom 1B OAK | 18% | 48% | 30% |
| Carlos Santana 1B MIN | 16% | 34% | 18% |
| Garrett Mitchell CF MIL | 13% | 15% | 2% |
| Jake McCarthy RF ARI | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Jose Siri CF TB | 12% | 14% | 2% |
| Mauricio Dubon LF HOU | 10% | 13% | 3% |
| Jose Trevino C NYY | 9% | 13% | 4% |
| Spencer Horwitz 2B TOR | 9% | 12% | 3% |
| Joey Meneses 1B WAS | 9% | 11% | 2% |
| Will Brennan RF CLE | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Enmanuel Valdez 2B BOS | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Ben Rice 1B NYY | 3% | 29% | 26% |
| Michael Toglia 1B COL | 3% | 9% | 6% |
| Brett Wisely SS SF | 3% | 9% | 6% |
| Hunter Goodman RF COL | 3% | 7% | 4% |
| Mickey Moniak CF LAA | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Freddy Fermin C KC | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Jacob Stallings C COL | 2% | 5% | 3% |
| Lenyn Sosa 3B CHW | 2% | 5% | 3% |
| Miguel Rojas SS LAD | 1% | 8% | 7% |
| Daniel Schneemann SS CLE | 1% | 3% | 2% |
Starting Pitchers
Spencer Schwellenbach: With a short major-league stint, all signs are pointing up. Projections point to an ERA around 4.00 to 4.25. The STUPH metrics love him with an overall 105 Pitching+ and a 3.53 botERA. Also, he has a nice two-step next week with games at St. Louis and versus Pittsburgh. This is perfect and last week to add him before his stock takes off.
DJ Herz: After Herz’s 13 K performance last weekend, all eyes were on his Colorado start. While not many managers started Herz, I am sure they were elated to see a zero in the walks column. In four starts, he has a 2.5 BB/9 after only having one walk rate under 4.00 while going through the minors. With his xFIP and SIERA near 3.00, he’s a must-add to see if the results continue.
Jonathan Cannon: Cannon has been decent so far (3.34 ERA, 3.47 xFIP, 1.24 WHIP, and 7.8 K/9) and has a start against the Tigers on Sunday. For those with Sunday FAAB, how this start goes will go a long way to setting his cost.
Miles Mikolas: A 1.3 HR/9 has come back to bite him with 4.59 ERA (4.12 WHIP). Just above a 4.00 ERA talent.
Alec Marsh: Solid 4.00 ERA talent to be streamed against weaker opponents.
Carson Spiers: With Spiers starting this past Monday, he lined up for two starts but it seems like he’ll start Monday. While he was great as a reliever (2.00 ERA), he’s been unlucky as a starter (50% LOB%, .350 BABIP). So far, his fastball has elite results (13% SwStr) with his slider being average (14% SwStr%). He throws a sinker and curve with both having a sub-6% SwStr% (sinker at 1%). He has been throwing his cutter (11 SwStr%) more. With maybe two-starts next week, he might be worth a roster-and-monitor.
Landon Knack: If Knack was not on the Dodgers and on the Pirates, there would be no excitement for him. Instead, he’s moving up. In 25 IP he has a 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP from an unsustainable .183 BABIP. His ERA estimators hover around 4.50. I’m not sure how he’s going to be good. A 93-mph fastball is below average. His slider (13% SwStr%) and change (11% SwStr%) get a below-average amount of swing-and-miss for secondaries. The hope is for some Dodger magik … which this season means he’ll be on the IL in a start or two.
Cade Povich: Matching 5.1 K/9 and 5.1 BB/9 is not how a pitcher wants to start. While some of his ERA estimators are over 6.00, he’s been able to keep an ERA under 4.00 by not getting hit around (0.6 HR/9, .204 BABIP). I know he has prospect pedigree but he can’t be started with all the walks.
Tobias Myers: I don’t understand the demand for Myers. It’s not that he’s being rostered, it’s that he’s 56% rostered. A .240 BABIP and 86% LOB% suppress his 3.26 ERA (4.12 xFIP) and 1.13 WHIP. Streaming option.
Albert Suárez 수아레즈: He’s struggling right now with his K%-BB% dropping each month from 19% to 10% to 3%. Also, his velocity slowly heading downward.
I think Suárez can be a good pitcher but all indications point to his talent heading downward.
Cal Quantrill: At least he’s on the road to face the White Sox next week. On a neutral field, he projects to be a ~4.50 ERA talent and should be streamable in this matchup.
David Peterson: No consensus exists on his talent. Steamer values him with a 3.35 ERA with ZiPS at 4.64 ERA. He has a 3.97 ERA with a 5.60 xERA. He has a 95 Pitching+ (near average) but a 5.00 botERA (not near average). For now, I’m going to focus on his 4.1 K%-BB%. Of the 183 starters with at least 20 IP, it’s the ninth smallest value. I’ll ignore him until he has a rolling K%-BB% is over 10%.
Hogan Harris: Harris has needed a little luck to get a 2.37 ERA with a .225 BABIP and 82% LOB%. He’s struggled with walks in the minors (7.4 BB/9 in AAA) but has just a 3.3 BB/9 in the majors. His 37% Ball% points to a 3.2 BB/9. If the walks stay down, I see him as a ~4.25 ERA talent. Streamable 25% of the time … maybe.
Colin Rea: A 3.62 ERA looks shiny but everything under the hood is rusty and broken. I would expect regression to his 4.49 career ERA, especially with a career-low 5.9 K/9.
Michael Lorenzen: A .222 BABIP is leading to a 1.15 WHIP and 3.00 ERA while his ERA estimators are closer to 5.00. I expect his BABIP to regress to his career .279 mark and he’ll be unrosterable.
Logan Allen: I wondered why an over 5.00 ERA talent was being rostered. A two-start week (at BAL, vs KC).
Kyle Hendricks: His 88-mph fastball continues to get hit around with a 2.0 HR/9 and .331 BABIP. He’s no longer a major league quality pitcher. Since 2021, he has a 4.77 ERA in over 400 IP. Cooked.
Starting Pitcher Stashes
Robbie Ray: Made 4 GS in Complex ball and thrown 7 IP.
Jeffrey Springs: Made 5 GS across two levels for a total of 6 IP.
Jake Bloss: Bloss was going to be near the top of the regular rankings, but he’s on the IL (shoulder).
Brandon Sproat: In AA, the 23-year-old has a 2.27 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and 10.1 K/9 in 35 IP.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh SP KC | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Michael Lorenzen SP TEX | 40% | 48% | 8% |
| Miles Mikolas SP STL | 37% | 49% | 12% |
| Cal Quantrill SP COL | 36% | 41% | 5% |
| Logan Taylor Allen SP CLE | 35% | 38% | 3% |
| Robbie Ray SP SF | 33% | 36% | 3% |
| Jeffrey Springs SP TB | 32% | 36% | 4% |
| Colin Rea SP MIL | 24% | 32% | 8% |
| Cade Povich SP BAL | 24% | 30% | 6% |
| Tobias Myers SP MIL | 22% | 56% | 34% |
| Spencer Schwellenbach SP ATL | 22% | 42% | 20% |
| Albert Suarez SP BAL | 20% | 27% | 7% |
| David Peterson SP NYM | 14% | 18% | 4% |
| Landon Knack SP LAD | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| Hogan Harris SP OAK | 5% | 10% | 5% |
| Davidjohn Herz SP WAS | 4% | 41% | 37% |
| Kyle Hendricks SP CHC | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Brandon Sproat SP NYM | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Jonathan Cannon SP CHW | 3% | 20% | 17% |
| Carson Spiers RP CIN | 3% | 12% | 9% |
| Jake Bloss SP HOU | 1% | 6% | 5% |
Relievers – Saves-based ranks
Chad Green: Good reliever who is now the closer.
Ryne Stanek: Average reliever who is sharing the closer duties.
Alex Vesia: Good reliever who gets some Saves if the hitters in the ninth are lefties.
Keegan Thompson, Drew Smyly, Tyson Miller, Mark Leiter Jr., and Colten Brewer: OK relievers who one might be the closer now or if Héctor Neris continues to struggle.
Nate Pearson: Good reliever who is the backup closer.
Colin Holderman: Great reliever who is the backup closer.
Bryan Hudson: Good reliever who is the backup closer.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Hudson RP MIL | 19% | 23% | 4% |
| Ryne Stanek RP SEA | 12% | 20% | 8% |
| Alex Vesia RP LAD | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Chad Green RP TOR | 4% | 17% | 13% |
| Colin Holderman RP PIT | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Nate Pearson RP TOR | 2% | 4% | 2% |
| Keegan Thompson RP CHC | 0% | 2% | 2% |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Look forward to these articles every week, thanks for doing them. Just one thing – Cleveland is only expected to face four righties next week as Baltimore has lefties going Monday and Tuesday and then they see Ragans later in the week.