Dynasty Due Diligence: Early May 2026

Series Overview
This series aims to help readers conduct their routine due diligence in their dynasty leagues. It makes use of up-to-date OOPSY Peak projections and my own arbitrary whims to suggest free agent adds and drops as well as trade candidates and targets. Each entry will highlight a handful of players, both prospects and major leaguers, who have seen their perceived value shift recently. For each player I will offer a “verdict,” an open-ended recommendation on how I would value the player moving forward. Forgive me as these suggestions may sometimes enter the realm of “hot takes.” Most of my dynasty leagues are 14 to 20-team 5×5 roto leagues, but this series aims to be broadly relevant for all keeper and dynasty formats. Any reference to how a player projects using the FanGraphs auction calculator uses these settings with OOPSY DC (ROS) unless I say otherwise (15-team 5×5 SV 2 C). When referencing an OOPSY Peak WAR projection, I am referencing their up-to-date peak WAR projection assuming a full season of playing time, 600 PA for hitters and 198 innings pitched for arms.
MLB Players
Fernando Tatís Jr. OOPSY Peak WAR Projection: 5.4
Tatís’ zero home run output has understandably received a lot of attention of late. His launch angle is at a career low, while his BB% and K% are aligned with expectations and he’s stealing a ton of bases. There are plenty of reasons for optimism despite the slow start: his bat speed, barrel rate, and hard hit rate are each elite and above 2025 levels, while his .352 xwOBA is much better than his .284 wOBA. Further, launch angle is more of a descriptive indicator as opposed to a predictive one. Projections remain bullish on Tatís across the board accordingly, particularly OOPSY and THE BAT X, which give more weight to his good Statcast metrics. Both systems project him as the 7th best hitter for the rest of the season, similar to how they projected him in the preseason. Try as I may, I find it hard to worry even a little about Tatís.
Verdict: Send aggressive trade offers to see if Tatís managers have lost any patience waiting for that first home run. Expect to be rejected swiftly as he is almost too obvious of a bounce back candidate. For instance, I would move Sal Stewart and Chase DeLauter for him. Stewart (3.8 OOPSY Peak WAR) and DeLauter (2.6 OOPSY Peak WAR) are very good players but they don’t quite project as fantasy superstars.
Jordan Walker. OOPSY Peak WAR Projection: 2.1
Walker has been one of the biggest breakouts of the 2026 season. OOPSY was the highest projection system on him entering the year, forecasting a 103 wRC+, while all the other systems rated him as an average or worse hitter. His projections are way up across systems given the hot start, with his OOPSY wRC+ now at 114, and THE BAT X now leading the way at 116. OOPSY Peak’s wRC+ is slightly more bullish, up to 117. Both systems now have him projected as a top 80 fantasy hitter for the rest of the 2026 season. His breakout appears real, but if you roster him, it’s probably worth testing the waters to see if someone is excessively weighing his 2026 performance and expecting fantasy superstardom.
Verdict: Walker has emerged as a legitimate top-75 dynasty bat. I would be tempted to try to use him as a headliner in a package to land a first or second round bat. For instance, you could try Walker and Bryce Eldridge (1.8 OOPSY Peak WAR) for Pete Crow-Armstrong (4.8 OOPSY Peak WAR) or Zach Neto (3.9 OOPSY Peak WAR). Otherwise, it’s fine to hold.
Bryan Woo. OOPSY Peak WAR Projection: 3.7
I initially wanted to write about Jesús Luzardo (4.8 OOPSY Peak WAR) and Cole Ragans (4.4 OOPSY Peak WAR) here, but I was ultimately too slow as both have looked better lately after a rough start to the season. At this point, they’d be boring choices to write up: Luzardo is OOPSY’s 5th best projected starting pitcher for the rest of the season, a bit better than he was rated in the preseason, while Ragans is 26th, a bit worse than he was rated in the preseason. Bryan Woo strikes me as a more interesting case. He is coming off probably the worst two-game stretch of his MLB career, a nightmarish nine innings featuring six strikeouts, zero walks, and a whopping six home runs. His Stuff+, velocity, and pitch mix are all basically identical to last year, however, so I don’t think he’s suddenly broken. The likelier scenario is that he starts to pitch more in line with his projections moving forward. In part because of T-Mobile, OOPSY remains super bullish, rating him as a top 10 starting pitcher the rest of the way, while Steamer places him at a slightly more sober 15th. Either way, the rough stretch may have created a window to acquire Woo on a discount.
Verdict: Send out aggressive offers for Woo. For instance, I would move Shota Imanaga (2.4 OOPSY Peak WAR) and Clay Holmes (2.7 OOPSY Peak WAR) for him.
Cam Schlittler. OOPSY Peak WAR Projection: 3.9
Schlittler has been the very best pitcher in fantasy this year according to our player rater. It hasn’t been an obvious case of good luck, either, as his xFIP and SIERA are each below 3.00. OOPSY Peak has him inside the top 30 pitchers in terms of peak projected WAR, while Steamer and OOPSY project him to be around 45th best starting pitcher for the rest of the 2026 season. He’s admittedly a tough guy to deal given how dominant he’s been; aim high if shopping him.
Verdict: There is no urgency to move Schlittler, but it could be worth trying to turn him into a young MLB bat, like Wyatt Langford (4.7 OOPSY Peak WAR), given the riskiness of pitcher health relative to hitter health. I’d also endorse challenge trades where you’d be swapping him for another young arm with even better projections, like Chase Burns (4.8 OOPSY Peak WAR). Or for a win now team, you could try Schlittler for Jesús Luzardo.
MILB Players
Anthony Eyanson has jumped to second best pitching prospect according to OOPSY Peak WAR. Kade Anderson stands alone ahead of him now. Seth Hernandez has also joined the top five pitching prospects on the back of his pristine Class A performance. Anderson and Hernandez both made the FanGraphs Top 100, while Eyanson’s upside got him a spot on this offseason’s Picks to Click article. Each of the three arms has the stuff to thrive in the majors, with Eyanson and Hernandez both able to reach 100 MPH. They’re all likely long gone in your leagues, but it’s possible Anderson and Eyanson may still be undervalued in the trade market. Hernandez, on the other hand, is already appropriately hyped as the industry was already bullish on him heading into the season. I discussed Anderson in the last edition of this article. For Eyanson, I’d be willing to swap him straight up for Ryan Sloan, who has struggled in Double-A this year. Note, Eyanson was just promoted to Double-A himself.
Other OOPSY Peak top 25 pitching prospects that may still be available in your leagues are Miguel Sime Jr., JT Quinn, Andrew Morris, and Coleman Crow. They aren’t must add prospects, but depending on who you’d have to cut, it’s worth considering adding each of them in leagues that roster 100 prospects leaguewide. Morris is probably the least hyped of the four. The Twins have been using him as a multi-inning reliever, but he could get a chance to start soon enough as his latest outing reached 3.2 innings. His Stuff+ is above average and his fastball averages 95 MPH.
Turning to prospect hitters, the battle for the top spot among non-debuted prospects in terms of OOPSY Peak WAR in the midseason Top 100 update is between Franklin Arias, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Rainiel Rodriguez. This trio stands a tier apart from the rest of the non-debuted prospect bats. Emmanuel Rodriguez offers loads of power and patience and absolutely belongs in the conversation for baseball’s best prospect in midseason lists. I’d be willing to move Max Clark or Leo De Vries for him, a high price to pay as both are also top 15 bat prospects according to OOPSY Peak. A.J. Ewing, now OOPSY Peak’s fifth best hitting prospect, has an outside shot to join the above prospect trio if he stays scorching hot. I’d be willing to move Carson Benge, Jett Williams, or Joshua Báez for Ewing straight up at this point. Among debuted “prospects,” Munetaka Murakami will have eclipsed the 130 MLB AB rookie threshold by the time this article is published. His hot start has OOPSY Peak viewing him as a younger Kyle Schwarber with the ability to play first, which was seen as the glass half full outcome this preseason, as opposed to the Joey Gallo glass half empty outcome. And Konnor Griffin remains well above any other prospect per OOPSY Peak.
Other OOPSY Peak top 50 hitting prospects that may be available in your leagues are Henry Bolte, Luis Lara, Carson Williams, Nelson Rada, Chris Suero, Edwin Arroyo, John Gil, and Pedro Ramirez. These guys should be virtually universally rostered in dynasty leagues. Suero’s primary position is catcher, but he also plays some first and outfield and may be more likely to stick in the outfield in the long-term.
No Ryan Clifford love?? Peak woba .350
OOPSY Peak continues to be enthusiastic on Clifford, he’s among the top 50 hitting prospects also!
Even with the near 40% k percentage? He’s also been a below average hitter this year by wRC+. I know he hits the ball ridiculously hard but I don’t see how he can be successful with this level of strike outs
I agree he hasn’t been particularly impressive this year so far, but he has over 1500 PA pre 2026 that also feed into his projection…. I’d expect that K% rate to come back to earth and not be as problematic moving forward!
I’m not sure I’ll ever get the Emmanuel Rodriguez love from all stat models.
23-year-old lefty (platoon risk) with a 30 grade health history and a ~30% K rate in AAA. I imagine there are examples of studs who had his current profile at age 23 in AAA, but I can’t think of any off hand.
Models account for his whole performance as opposed to hyperfocusing on one metric, like K%. From the perspective of OOPSY (or ZiPS), his K% rates are perfectly acceptable once you take his patience and power into acccount…The way to earn the adoration of a projection system is generally to perform well at a young age relative to the level you’re in; in this regard, Rodriguez has crushed it throughout his professional career, and he offers plus defensive value in the outfield to boot
And it’s hard to find many stat-based comps good or bad given Rodriguez’s unique super patient profile, and looking for guys with a comparable statline at a single age and level is a messy exercise I wouldn’t really recommend… but if I was forced to do it, his AAA line at 22 and 23 compares reasonably well to Matt Olson’s AAA line at the same ages, albeit with a more patient approach. Brandon belt’s AAA performance at 23 is also a solid comp. And for a glass half full hitting comp, Domingo Santana works well enough imo
I dunno. I think the limitation in any model, almost by definition, is projecting outliers. And we agree ERod is an anomaly. So, yes, the upside is there, but downside is massive and I don’t think properly captured by models who are new to this profile. Domngo Santana (I used to have him) had one good season in MLB before having to leave for Japan after three consecutive rough years in his prime.
Matt Olson not only was in the majors at 23, but his AAA K% was 24% — never above 26% at any level of the minors.
Belt was in the majors as well at 23, and had a AAA K% of 23%.
These are not similar statlines to ERod’s.
The point is a huge K rate in AAA at a normal prospect age is tough to overcome, if we are talking about fantasy star potential, which clearly you are if you are willing to give up Leo De Vries for Rodriguez.
You wondered about successful players with his profile at 23 in AAA so I gave you two guys with comparable statlines at 23 in AAA (similar wrc+, power, bb vs k spread, etc), while adding the caveat about issues with the whole idea of finding stats-based comps at a single age and level. I’m not saying they’re perfect comps overall, and I’m not saying their whole milb body of work is comparable — there are plenty of high K%, high BB%, high power dudes one could reasonably comp him too, if they were really into comps. Additionally, I wouldn’t focus on K% alone, your analysis would be better served by looking at BB:K, or even better, BB% minus K%, in the same way K% minus BB% is a useful indicator for arms. In any case, even though we don’t agree on his evaluation overall, I agree that emm rod (and the other guys ranked around him) have a healthy amount of risk!
It doesn’t have to be exactly same age or level. But I’d like to see an example of a ~30% K prospect who turned into a long term fantasy stud. Plenty of those profiles exist historically at the MLB level, but these same players did not have a 30% K rate in the minors.
Yes, the BB rate and exit velo make him unique (to my knowledge). Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
As you can imagine, I’m even more baffled by Clifford.
I will leave that exercise to others who are more interested in a comps-based analysis as opposed to a typical component-based projection. I do think we have usefully highlighted how focusing on his K% as opposed to his BB% minus K% (or BB:K) leads to different levels of overall concern. OOPSY does project him for a whopping 33 K% right now after all, a figure i would readily agree is extremely concerning on its own!
This is a really valuable resource: thank you and looking forward to future installments!
Appreciate it!
I don’t know if Wyatt Langford’s stock could be lower right now. Even in dynasty leagues. With all the injuries to others, in re-drafts I keep reading people are giving up on him. I’d have a hard time believing in either format anyone is giving up Schlitter for him.
I was worried that readers would find Langford too ambitious of a target for schlittler so it’s actually reassuring to hear that you think it’s the other way around! I do think you’d be surprised at how high dynasty players still are on langford, he wont come cheaply
Jordan Walker is two months younger than PCA, believe it or not.
Jordan is giving everyone the closest things baseball fans and fantasy managers will ever get to the answers to the test. GOAT.