Justin Morneau has 26 home runs in his past 270 games played, which over 162 games would be a measly 16 long balls. For a first baseman, that just does not cut it. Yet still, Morneau is owned in 58% of Yahoo leagues.
While his RBI totals have not been bad and he still nets a 100 wRC+, the guy just does not have the skills he once had and is a drag on your first base slot if you throw him out there every week. He currently ranks 24 in wRC+ so even though he has been league average, everyone knows and understands the quality of first basemen around the league and that the fantasy worthwhile first basemen hit well above Morneau’s current levels.
It seems like, much similar to Dan Haren, that people are holding onto him due to his past. That past is far from relevant when you see how much he has struggled over his past three years. His average is okay, as is his on base percentage, but he just lacks the power he once had likely for a variety of reasons. This is now his third consecutive year with his HR/FB rate below his career average and his second of the three with a mark lower than 4%. Even if that does rise, the expectation that he will provide value with his power going forward should not be very high.
ZiPs has Morneau at seven home runs for the rest of the year, as does Steamer. Both also have him with a lower average going forward and reaching 70-80 RBI for the season. So what is the reason to hold onto him at this point? Hope he has a couple hot stretches and you can trade him? There simply is not much left to like about Morneau anymore.
It is sad, because he once was one of the premier talents at the position and was a model of consistency. Unfortunately, players age and deteriorate and their fantasy usefulness does as well. With that said, it is time to part ways with Morneau and look for a more worthwhile option. Here is a hint, there are plenty.
Ben has been at RotoGraphs since 2012 and focuses most of his fantasy baseball attention toward dynasty and keeper leagues.