Daily Fantasy Strategy – 8/12/13 – For Draftstreet

A lot of factors to consider when picking hitters have discussed in this space this year. Weather factors like temperature and wind are more important than I realized at the beginning of the year. Park factors are a big deal. The extent to which the opposing starter is susceptible to the long ball matters. And on and on and on.

But before I look at any of those other factors each day, I start by looking at whether the batter has the platoon advantage. As both Blake Murphy and I have discussed, some guys have reverse splits when it comes to the handedness of the opposing pitcher. But, for the most part, having the platoon advantage should be requirement numero uno when selecting hitters. I know I’m not breaking any news by harping on the platoon advantage, but because it’s the first thing I look at, I wanted to give everyone a reminder of its importance. Below is a chart showing how batters have performed with and without the platoon advantage so far this season.


The Daily Five

Doug Fister, $15,075 – It would be nice if Yu Darvish against the Astros was an option today, but I’m playing in a contest that doesn’t start until the late games. And so Fister is my expensive pitcher option of the day. He’s been as Fister-ish as ever this year with his average strikeout numbers, elite control, and above average ground ball rate, which has actually improved to elite at 56% this year. And he’ll face the White Sox who have the third worst wRC+ against right-handed pitching like Fister.

Danny Salazar, $14,320 – Salazar made his debut back in early June allowing one earned in six innings with seven strikeouts against the Blue Jays. He got his second start six days ago and struck out ten Tigers while allowing four earned over seven and two thirds. That’s seventeen strikeouts in his first 13.2 IP, which certainly grabs your attention. And when you see that the kid had a 35.5% K% between AA and AAA this year, it’s obvious he can punch ’em out. And he’s got a good match up for strikeouts today against the Twins who have the fourth highest K% when facing right-handed pitching. They also have the 6th worst wRC+ vs. RHP.

Scott Feldman, $7,924Ricky Nolasco is a little better than Feldman (3.73 xFIP compared to 3.94), and Nolasco has a little bit better match up today, but that’s not enough to justify the almost $5,000 price difference between the two. Feldman is the cheapest pitching option of the day despite having a league average K%-BB% and being just below average in ERA- and xFIP-. And his match up is with the Diamondbacks who are a smidge below average against right-handed pitching. There’s risk of a blow up here, but there’s also value in this price.

Christian Yelich, $6,317 – Kansas City is one of the few places where night games have a game time temperature in the 80’s, and tonight is no different. Yelich, a left-hander, will be facing right-hander Wade Davis in those warmer temperatures. Davis has allowed a wOBA about 20 points higher to lefties in his career, and he has a 1.43 HR/9 against lefties this year. After selecting my three starters, the average price I could spend on hitters was $6,965, so I like Yelich being under that price.

Lyle Overbay, $5,742 – The highest park factor in the league for home runs based on handedness is Yankee Stadium with a 118 HR as L factor. So I’ll take a shot on left-hander Lyle Overbay hitting his 14th home run against right-hander Garrett Richards, especially since Overbay is well below my average cost for hitters and gives me fake money to spend elsewhere.

One Day FREE Fantasy Contest – $300 in cash prizes

Daily Fantasy is easy — you pick a lineup that’s good for one night only, and then you’re eligible to win cash. FanGraphs readers are hereby invited to enter a FREE week one NFL competition with $1,000 in prizes.

CLICK HERE to sign up now!

This free contest will be Pick ’em style drafting. The way Pick ‘Em leagues work is you have eight tiers of players and each tier will have players to choose from. You select one player from each tier. Nothing to lose and it takes five minutes to build a team. You can adjust your roster up until the contest starts when the NFL regular season starts, at which time your rosters will lock and the Live Scoreboard will be available.

This post, covering one of the leading sites for daily fantasy is sponsored and made possible by the generous support of Draftstreet. FanGraphs will maintain complete editorial control of the postings, and brings you these posts in our continued desire to provide the best analytical information on the latest in baseball.

We hoped you liked reading Daily Fantasy Strategy – 8/12/13 – For Draftstreet by Brett Talley!

Please support FanGraphs by becoming a member. We publish thousands of articles a year, host multiple podcasts, and have an ever growing database of baseball stats.

FanGraphs does not have a paywall. With your membership, we can continue to offer the content you've come to rely on and add to our unique baseball coverage.

Support FanGraphs

You can find more of Brett's work on TheFantasyFix.com or follow him on Twitter @TheRealTAL.

newest oldest most voted

Where do you get information on weather/wind at the start of games?

Colin Zarzycki

There are a few links that cull weather model data/forecasts. One I use is here: http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl