Guys to Target and Avoid Using Platoon Splits

The daily salary cap format has become much more prevalent in the past few years. I would imagine a large part of that has to do with the fact that daily fantasy sites have figured out a good way to monetize fantasy sports. But those sites couldn’t make money if we didn’t like playing the format.

If you’re thinking of trying the format out, or if you play and are looking for thoughts on strategy, allow me to describe the strategy I employ.

Let me start by noting that I’m not a huge fan of risk, so I generally play low-risk, low-reward games like double ups, which pay out roughly the top half of the entrants each day. You get the same payout as a head-to-head matchup, but you don’t have to take on the risk of having just one opponent. As a result, my strategy might not be best suited for those who like to play the “lottery ticket” type games where you risk a small amount of money to win a big pot against a lot of other players. You need upside and luck to win those pools.

My strategy begins with the idea that you should save on pitchers when possible. There are quite a few guys I’m higher on than most, so I target them because they’re usually underpriced in my opinion. If I can’t find two bargain pitchers, I’ll just pick a stud with a good matchup to go along with a bargain. Depending on how much money I can save on pitching, I prefer to grab as many high priced hitters as possible. Hitting is just so variable day-to-day, so I’m willing to pay for the guys who go oh-fer less often.

When choosing hitters, the number one thing I look at is platoon splits. I want to pick guys who are really good against pitchers of a certain handedness and who happen to be facing such a pitcher on that day. Other factors like the park and the skill of the opposing pitcher come in to play, but platoon splits are the biggest consideration.

When you can’t find bargain pitching and don’t have much money to spend on hitters, splits can help you find undervalued players. And when you have a lot of money to spend on hitting, it’s important that you be careful not to pick good hitters who struggle against pitchers of a certain handedness.

To help me pick players each day, I created a spreadsheet with a tab listing all players who had 100 or more plate appearances against lefties last year and a tab with all players who had 240 or more plate appearances against righties. I used a different number of plate appearances because there are more plate appearances to be had against righties. I wanted to look at players who got a fair number of plate appearances against pitchers of a certain handedness.

I listed each player’s wRC+ alongside their name. I chose wRC+ because it easily allows you to see how far above average that player is against pitchers of a certain handedness. The league average wRC+ is 100, so if a guy has a wRC+ of 140 against LHP, that means he’s 40% better than average against lefties.

Below are four lists. The purpose of each list is:

  • Identifying potentially underpriced options against LHP
  • Identifying good hitters to avoid when they are facing LHP
  • Identifying potentially underpriced options against RHP
  • Identifying good hitters to avoid when they are facing RHP

For the potentially underpriced options, I listed guys with who aren’t owned in all leagues (with one exception) on the assumption that guys with lower ownership percentages will usually have lower prices on daily sites. I also tried to list at least a guy or two from each position. For good guys to avoid, I listed big name guys with high ownership percentages. Enjoy!

Potentially Underpriced Options Against LHP

Position

Name

wRC+

C

Wilin Rosario

194

1B

Chris Carter

149

2B

Jeff Keppinger

158

2B

Mark Ellis

145

2B

Omar Infante

134

3B

Trevor Plouffe

148

3B

Alberto Callaspo

134

SS

Jamey Carroll

136

SS

Daniel Descalso

126

OF

Justin Ruggiano

199

OF

Dayan Viciedo

177

OF

Jonny Gomes

171

OF

Cody Ross

164

OF

Chris Denorfia

150

OF

Justin Maxwell

144

Good Hitters to Avoid When Facing LHP

Name

wRC+

Ike Davis

52

Anthony Rizzo

56

Jimmy Rollins

65

Jason Kipnis

66

Neil Walker

69

Andre Ethier

69

Jason Heyward

72

Robinson Cano

78

Pedro Alvarez

78

Shin-Soo Choo

78

Elvis Andrus

83

Alex Gordon

84

Carlos Gonzalez

86

Adrian Beltre

89

Bryce Harper

93

Freddie Freeman

95

Brandon Phillips

96

Potentially Underpriced Options Against RHP

Position

Name

wRC+

C

John Jaso

163

C

A.J. Pierzynski

130

1B

Justin Morneau

141

1B

Garrett Jones

138

2B

Kyle Seager

121

SS

Jed Lowrie

124

3B

Eric Chavez

143

OF

Andy Dirks

140

OF

Carlos Quentin

131

OF

David Murphy

127

OF

Matt Joyce

126

Good Hitters to Avoid When Facing RHP

Name

wRC+

Shane Victorino

73

Jose Altuve

86

Nelson Cruz

90

Matt Wieters

92

Desmond Jennings

94

Paul Goldschmidt

95

Starlin Castro

96





You can find more of Brett's work on TheFantasyFix.com or follow him on Twitter @TheRealTAL.

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chri521
11 years ago

Interesting and very useful in some formats. I think the underpriced is a little more helpful to most leagues since they are streaming / lesser owned options. Some of the avoid hitters may help daily leagues like ottoneu but nobody is every benching Harper, Freeman, Beltre and their WRC is almost near 100 anyway.

Jon L.
11 years ago
Reply to  chri521

Beltre hit the hell out of lefties in 2011, and has hit them somewhat better than righties across his career. His bad showing against them in 2012 may have just been a statistical blip.

Great lists, btw – Beltre just jumped out at me as surprising, so I looked him up.