Crowdsourcing Results: Nathan and A-Rod

Here are the results from this week’s groundbreaking editions of ADP Crowdsourcing, as it was our first time trying out a closer, a player who missed all of 2010, and a top-25 talent.

Joe Nathan
My vote: 8
Average: 11
Median: 11
Std Dev: 4

So, none of us really have much of an idea where Nathan will go, do we? If there’s one thing we can all agree on, it’s that Nathan would go somewhere around the seventh round if he were healthy, maybe even earlier if a closer run gets going. But, we just don’t know how he’ll respond coming back from his injury, at least not yet. If we did this with Nathan in spring training, when we have some sort of read on his status, our results would probably be very different. If he looks healthy, an 11th round selection is obviously a steal. But if he’s healthy, you aren’t going to get him in the 11th, are you? Just because of the inherent risk involved, I’m probably not going to draft Nathan this year, but if I did, it’d be in the 10-12 range.

Alex Rodriguez
My vote: 2
Average: 2.21
Median: 2
Std Dev: 1.05

Reader “Jason B” brought up a very good point in the comments on Wednesday, wondering why I didn’t group the selections for A-Rod by pick number rather than round number. I probably should have, but I did want to see how the format worked with an early round talent. I’ll probably try an early round guy soon, and will try out pick number instead of round. But, the old method held up fine, showing that A-Rod will likely go in the early second round, and he probably won’t fall further than the early third. I think he’s a great 1-2 turn candidate this year, and I’d be more than happy to take him there.





Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.

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DonCoburleone
13 years ago

Heck yeah if I end up with one of the 10-12 picks I’d definately consider taking him either there or the 1-3 picks of the 2nd round.. Just think if you end up with the #12 pick you could easily have the opportunity to take A-Rod then Utley (2 potential studs at 2 of the 3 toughest fantasy positions to fill)…

One question I have though, if both A-Rod and Zimmerman are on the board in the early 2nd round who do you take? I’d have to go Zimm myself…

Schu
13 years ago
Reply to  DonCoburleone

You have to go with the RBI production that ARod provides. The Nats aren’t going to score many runs next season.

phoenix
13 years ago
Reply to  DonCoburleone

zimmerman is the better player, but arod might give just as good 5×5 stats because of the rbi and run totals in that lineup.