| 7:30 |
: Welcome and congrats for making it through the season.
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| 7:31 |
:
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| 7:31 |
: Here are the few adds in the two 15-team redraft Tout Wars league.
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| 7:32 |
: FYI, I’m watching the Chefs game, so I might get distracted.
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| 7:32 |
: K. Harrison or A. Blubaugh in deep AL only roto?
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| 7:32 |
: Harrison for this year. I’m worried Blubaugh won’t go deep into his game.
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Denny Medley-Imagn Images
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Sal Stewart: He hit 4 HR in 48 PA since being promoted and started in eight of the last 10 games.
Harrison Bader: Leading off every day for the Phillies.
Daylen Lile: Batting cleanup every game with 6 HR, 8 SB, and .286 AVG in 326 PA.
Austin Martin: Starting and batting second. He has a .295 AVG and 9 SB in 151 PA.
Caleb Durbin: Started in 14 straight games with a .741 OPS on the season.
Romy Gonzalez: Starting some against righties with seven starts in the last 10 games. A .749 OPS in August.
Jake Burger: Started only three times in the last five games. Batting .229/.255/.521 since coming off the IL.
Zach Cole: Six starts in the last seven games. Batting .273/.360/.545 with 2 HR (36% K%, .364 BABIP).
J.P. Crawford: Batting ninth but playing every game. Normal season for him with a .268 AVG, 11 HR, and 8 SB.
Jared Triolo: Qualified at all four infield positions while batting .226/.318/.351 with 6 HR and 12 SB in 340 PA.
Ha-Seong Kim 김하성: Since joining the Braves, he has been productive (.316/.375/.439) but with 0 SB.
Chase Meidroth: In the second half, he’s batting .306/.363/.414 with just 2 SB.
Dominic Canzone: Strong-side platoon bat who is hitting .400/.441/.733 in September.
Jake Mangum: Only three starts in the last seven games, but a nice source of stolen bases (26 SB).
Mickey Moniak: Colorado will be on the road next week (at SEA, at SF). Hopefully, there are better options.
Brandon Marsh: Eight starts in the last 10 games with middling overall numbers (11 HR, 6 SB, .283 AVG).
Carlos Cortes: Just four starts in seven games, but 4 HR in 82 PA.
Kody Clemens: Even with a September .923 OPS, he started seven of the last 10 games.
Josh Bell: Just seven starts in the last 10 games. Not good enough to be fantasy relevant if not playing.
Thomas Saggese: Starting every game at shortstop but not much else (2 HR, 3 SB, .266 AVG in 261 PA).
Bryce Eldridge: Strong-side platoon bat with major contact issues (50% K%, 54% Contact%). Of the 626 batters with 10 PA, Eldridge’s Contact% is the fourth lowest.
Otto Kemp: Now irrelevant with Alec Bohm off the IL.
Carter Jensen: Six straight starts with three of the games coming as the DH. So far, he has a 1.135 OPS with 2 HR.
Gabriel Moreno: Solid source of batting average (.285 AVG) with a little more power and contact this season.
Moisés Ballesteros: Started at DH in seven of the last eight games. Solid bat with 2 HR and a .286 AVG.
Tyler Stephenson: While he provides some power (11 HR), an increase in his strikeout rate means a .223 AVG.
Patrick Bailey: Started hitting for power in September (4 HR, .255 ISO). His season-long stats are almost identical for previous seasons.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Moniak RF COL | 40% | 47% | 7% |
| Caleb Durbin 3B MIL | 39% | 45% | 6% |
| Jake Burger 1B TEX | 38% | 41% | 3% |
| J.P. Crawford SS SEA | 36% | 38% | 2% |
| Gabriel Moreno C ARI | 34% | 40% | 6% |
| Tyler Stephenson C CIN | 34% | 35% | 1% |
| Harrison Bader CF PHI | 30% | 40% | 10% |
| Sal Stewart 1B CIN | 25% | 31% | 6% |
| Daylen Lile RF WAS | 23% | 32% | 9% |
| Bryce Eldridge 1B SF | 23% | 27% | 4% |
| Romy Gonzalez 1B BOS | 22% | 23% | 1% |
| Ha-seong Kim SS ATL | 19% | 22% | 3% |
| Jake Mangum LF TB | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Jared Triolo SS PIT | 18% | 19% | 1% |
| Chase Meidroth SS CHW | 16% | 18% | 2% |
| Josh Bell DH WAS | 15% | 17% | 2% |
| Brandon Marsh CF PHI | 13% | 17% | 4% |
| Moises Ballesteros DH CHC | 12% | 15% | 3% |
| Patrick Bailey C SF | 10% | 14% | 4% |
| Kody Clemens 1B MIN | 9% | 13% | 4% |
| Carter Jensen DH KC | 6% | 8% | 2% |
| Otto Kemp 3B PHI | 5% | 9% | 4% |
| Dominic Canzone RF SEA | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Thomas Saggese 2B STL | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Austin Martin LF MIN | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Zach Cole RF HOU | 2% | 6% | 4% |
| Carlos Cortes RF ATH | 0% | 2% | 2% |
Starters (Team and day of expected start in parentheses)
Trey Yesavage (vs TB, TB): Besides going deep into the game (69 pitches last game), he needs to be added to see if he can repeat his debut (9 K, 2 BB, 1 ER, 5 IP), which was also against the Rays.
Connelly Early (vs DET, Fri): My only worry is that he won’t go five innings for a Win; otherwise, solid add.
Michael McGreevy (at SF, at CHC, Mon, Sun): The two starts are going to get everyone’s attention. While he won’t get many strikeouts, he’s a solid add.
Jason Alexander (at LAA, Friday): Anybody against the Angels is a must start, especially a 4.00 ERA talent.
Ryan Weathers (at PHI, vs NYM, Tues, Sun): Since coming off the IL, he has a 3.68 xFIP while facing the Rockies and Nationals. A chance some fantasy managers need to take, but it could be a ratios explosion.
Stephen Kolek (at LAA, Wed): Easy matchup and has seen his groundballs up and strikeouts down since joining the Royals.
Simeon Woods Richardson (at PHI, Sat): Since being recalled, he upped his splitter (18% SwStr%, 46% GB%) usage to 24% after not throwing the pitch to start the season. Putting a value on him is tough with Sunday’s start (vs CLE) determining his value and/or cost. He could easily be three spots higher or lower, depending on how I feel at the moment.
Chad Patrick (vs CIN, Sat): Solid matchup for a solid arm.
Patrick Corbin (at CLE, Fri): I could see adding the low-4.00’s ERA talent.
Tyler Wells (vs TB, Wed): One of several 4.00 ERA talents with reasonable matchups.
Joey Cantillo (vs TEX, Sat): He has his place in bid lists, but he won’t be the top choice. A fallback option for teams low on FAAB. His 1.30 WHIP (4.2 BB/9) could be a determinant for teams fighting in the category.
Eduardo Rodriguez (at SD, Fri): He’s struggled with walks and hits this season, posting a 1.56 WHIP with no late season changes. Stay away.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez SP ARI | 35% | 37% | 2% |
| Patrick Corbin SP TEX | 34% | 35% | 1% |
| Connelly Early SP BOS | 30% | 50% | 20% |
| Michael McGreevy SP STL | 27% | 30% | 3% |
| Jason Alexander SP HOU | 26% | 32% | 6% |
| Ryan Weathers SP MIA | 26% | 27% | 1% |
| Joey Cantillo RP CLE | 19% | 29% | 10% |
| Chad Patrick SP MIL | 14% | 15% | 1% |
| Trey Yesavage SP TOR | 13% | 33% | 20% |
| Simeon Woods Richardson SP MIN | 12% | 15% | 3% |
| Tyler Wells SP BAL | 11% | 17% | 6% |
| Stephen Kolek SP KC | 9% | 11% | 2% |
| Name | IP | BotERA | Pitching+ERA | SwStr% ERA | FBv ERA | SIERA | xFIP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connelly Early | 10.1 | 2.90 | 3.19 | 2.35 | 4.06 | 1.59 | 1.44 | 2.59 |
| Trey Yesavage | 5.0 | 4.08 | 3.94 | 0.21 | 3.94 | 2.17 | 1.36 | 2.62 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | 11.0 | 4.29 | 4.75 | 3.09 | 4.14 | 2.57 | 2.54 | 3.56 |
| Ryan Weathers | 9.0 | 3.92 | 3.83 | 3.56 | 3.73 | 3.97 | 3.68 | 3.78 |
| Patrick Corbin | 11.0 | 3.66 | 4.13 | 3.39 | 4.22 | 3.93 | 3.55 | 3.81 |
| Chad Patrick | 6.1 | 5.27 | 4.41 | 4.70 | 3.98 | 2.76 | 2.38 | 3.92 |
| Tyler Wells | 12.2 | 4.29 | 4.23 | 3.41 | 4.17 | 3.62 | 3.87 | 3.93 |
| Stephen Kolek | 21.0 | 4.22 | 4.35 | 4.49 | 4.03 | 3.56 | 3.22 | 3.98 |
| Joey Cantillo | 13.0 | 3.85 | 4.08 | 3.97 | 4.21 | 4.39 | 4.03 | 4.09 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 11.1 | 3.79 | 4.09 | 4.10 | 4.29 | 4.48 | 4.02 | 4.13 |
| Michael McGreevy | 13.0 | 4.51 | 4.01 | 4.98 | 4.20 | 3.86 | 3.72 | 4.21 |
| Jason Alexander | 11.2 | 4.46 | 4.67 | 4.47 | 4.49 | 3.94 | 3.61 | 4.27 |
Relievers: Saves-based ranks
Shawn Armstrong: Good reliever who is the closer.
Jordan Leasure: Good reliever, but may be now sharing the closer’s role.
Keegan Akin: Average reliever who is the closer (last three Saves).
Riley O’Brien: Good reliever who might be the closer (last two Saves).
Andrew Kittredge: Good reliever who is sharing the closer duties.
Brad Keller: Good reliever who is sharing the closer duties.
Phil Maton: Good reliever who is a step or two from closing.
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Armstrong RP TEX | 23% | 31% | 8% |
| Andrew Kittredge RP CHC | 12% | 25% | 13% |
| Jordan Leasure RP CHW | 12% | 13% | 1% |
| Keegan Akin RP BAL | 11% | 12% | 1% |
| Phil Maton RP TEX | 10% | 11% | 1% |
| Riley O’Brien RP STL | 6% | 7% | 1% |
| Brad Keller RP CHC | NA | 19% | NA |
Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Instead of examining the top adds of the week, I decided to look into the drops here at the end. I hoped to see some teams trying going for it and made some major drops to move up in the standings. After looking over the moves, not much happened.
I’ll go ahead and look at a few of the interesting drops and the league standings for the drop (number of leagues dropped in parentheses).
• Kenley Jansen (1): This manager was in 14th place in Saves and needed four to get to 13th and 21 ahead of the 15th place team.
I’m surprised there weren’t more teams dropping closers. The next two “best” dropped closers were Calvin Faucher and Blake Treinen.
• Jorge Soler (1): The team was in last place in home runs and could move up in batting average. Solid move
• Nick Lodolo (1): With the drop of Lodolo, he added Bryan Abreu. The team is in first place by 20 points, but needs 5 Wins to move up or 2 Wins for the three people 8 Wins behind him. With Saves, he is four behind the person ahead of him, and one person is within one spot of catching him.
• Jasson Domínguez (2), Nick Castellanos (2), Cedric Mullins (2), Paul Goldschmidt (2), Hyeseong Kim 김혜성 (3), Miguel Andujar (3), and Spencer Steer (3): These managers are finally cutting players who are not getting regular at-bats. I parted ways with Mullins and Goldschmidt over a month ago.
These too-late drops have got me thinking about creating an automated process to highlight my players who aren’t reaching certain minimum playing time requirements.
• Trea Turner (3): Three teams decided they needed the roster space after they heard the latest news on Turner from Rotowire:
Turner is not with the team in Los Angeles on Monday for the start of their road trip, and the Phillies hope the star shortstop will return to action before the regular-season finale on Sept. 28 against Minnesota. Philadelphia won’t travel back home until the Sept. 23 contest versus the Marlins, so Turner, who’s nursing a Grade 1 right hamstring strain, appears unlikely to make his way back into the lineup for at least another week.
Sounds like the managers who kept him may get a partial week from Turner … maybe.
• Hayden Birdsong: Someone came out of a coma and checked their team’s roster.
Thoughts
Again, I was hoping for more drastic moves to highlight. Maybe there is too much talk on making major moves.
1. I’m weeks behind the major moves. These managers needed to make a move, and a week or two wouldn’t make a difference. Going back a few weeks, I found some moves from teams focusing on individual categories. For example, one manager led the stolen base category by 22 Steals and dropped Chandler Simpson. I might need to do a similar piece to this one closer to the first of September next year.
2. Dead teams. Even though these managers paid $2500 or more to be in these leagues, some may know it’s over and focus on their competitive teams or football.
3. Out of FAAB. After starting with $1000 FAAB, these managers should have some spending control and have a few dollars left to make moves. I know some don’t. Out of that $1000, I leave myself with $10 per week, or $260 total to win the week. Managers would still have $740 left over for adding pop-up players.
I’ve won leagues by streaming my leagues over the last few weeks. I’m close to doing it again this year. Just a little restraint during the season can lead to huge dividends later.
4. Sunk costs. Seeing those Goldschmidt drops is a perfect example of someone who managers probably relied on but couldn’t move on.
| Name | Leagues |
|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 11 |
| Dustin May | 7 |
| Nabil Crismatt | 6 |
| Masyn Winn | 5 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 5 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | 4 |
| Jonah Tong | 4 |
| Tylor Megill | 4 |
| Oswald Peraza | 4 |
| J.T. Ginn | 4 |
| Janson Junk | 4 |
| Yoan Moncada | 4 |
| Bryce Elder | 4 |
| Will Smith | 4 |
| Spencer Steer | 3 |
| Brooks Baldwin | 3 |
| Dominic Smith | 3 |
| Miguel Andujar | 3 |
| Luis Matos | 3 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 3 |
| Shane Baz | 3 |
| Ryan Bergert | 3 |
| Reid Detmers | 3 |
| Hyeseong Kim | 3 |
| Anthony Volpe | 3 |
| Justin Topa | 3 |
| Jordan Walker | 3 |
| Sean Murphy | 3 |
| Blaze Alexander | 3 |
| Mitchell Parker | 3 |
| Drew Gilbert | 3 |
| Trea Turner | 3 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 3 |
| Cade Cavalli | 3 |
| Davis Martin | 3 |
| Sean Manaea | 3 |
| Mitch Farris | 3 |
| Charlie Morton | 3 |
| Victor Robles | 3 |
| Kyle Stowers | 3 |
| 7:30 |
: Welcome
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| 7:31 |
: Here are this week’s Tout Wars 15-team FAAB bids.
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| 7:31 |
:
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| 7:31 |
: Any interest in Beeter? Closing share and high Ks, but bad team and possibly just a hot streak for a volatile pitcher?
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| 7:32 |
: I’d hold off adding him
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| 7:33 |
: Just too few chances for Holds
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Arianna Grainey-Imagn Images
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »
Katie Stratman-Imagn Images
While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named “High Stakes Leagues,” and there are eleven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »
| 7:31 |
: Welcome
|
| 7:31 |
: Here are the winning bids in the two ToutWars 15-team leagues.
|
| 7:31 |
:
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| 7:32 |
: Hi Jeff, who gets saves for the cubs if Palencia hits the IL? Thanks!
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| 7:32 |
: I’m guessing Keller … one sec …
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| 7:34 |
: Looks like the team has used Keller and Thielbar in highest leverage situation (gLI): https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&season=2…
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Arianna Grainey-Imagn Images
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »
While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named “High Stakes Leagues,” and there are eleven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »
| 7:30 |
: Welcome.
|
| 7:30 |
: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars redraft leagues.
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| 7:30 |
:
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| 7:31 |
: Weekly league, h2h points playoffs- Agustin Ramirez (@Wash/Phil) 6 games or Sheets (BAL/@COL) Sheets could lose some of his usage with Merrill’s return imminent. And Agustin was raking this weekend and his swing seems back after a rocky patch? And he stole his 11th bag while he was at it?
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| 7:31 |
: Ramirez. The Merrill news is the key factor
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| 7:31 |
: Looking for steals wherever I can find them. Who to add: TFreeman or Stott?
Who to drop: Carpenter or Grisham? |