Archive for Mining the News

Mining the News (6/6/23)

One issue during the season is that the news cycle, even for projection-altering details, moves at such a fast clip. Or it’s a repeat of the box score. Or player movement news. Or a preview of the next game. I just don’t find many details during the season but here are a few times that some might find useful. Instead, I plan on putting out smaller and more timely news blurbs.

American League

Astros

• The Astros aren’t looking to replace José Abreu while they are still winning.

Baker receives Abreu-related questions routinely. His answers do not change. One of his responses in Milwaukee did, perhaps, illustrate the manager’s outlook on Abreu’s anemia.

“We’re still winning,” he said.

Until they aren’t, changes may be few. Abreu did inspire more confidence during a 1-for-4 showing on Monday, mashing two balls with 109 mph exit velocities or harder. He turned on Twins closer Jhoan Duran’s 103.6 mph fastball for a ninth-inning single, too. Games like this will only extend his runway further.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (5/4/23)

MLB

• Pitchers with sweepers might have problems getting out opposite handed hitters.

That’s the big flaw with the sweeper. It had the second-biggest platoon split among all the pitch types — the difference in production between same- and opposite-handed hitters is the second-largest in baseball over the last two years.

So what do you do with a pitcher that has a great weapon against same-handed hitters and needs something for opposite-handed hitters? Scan down to the bottom of that list. The oldest answer in baseball: Get a changeup. The changeup is still the best way for a righty to get lefties out.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (4/11/23)

American League

Angels

José Suarez’s spot in the rotation isn’t in question … just yet.

Nevin deflected a question about his level of concern about Suarez, but it’s likely too early for Suarez’s spot in the rotation to be in question, especially because he’s out of Minor League options. But if his struggles continue, he could be sent to the bullpen. In that scenario, Canning could be the club’s fifth starter, and Davidson would serve as the sixth starter and occasional long reliever.

He’s not getting the swings-and-misses from last year (12% SwStr% to 10%) because he is filling up the strike zone (53% Zone% to 56%). Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (3/27/23)

• Just read/analyze this whole article that is full of lineup information and potential closers.

American League

Angels

Carlos Estévez is not guaranteed to be the closer.

Angels manager Phil Nevin indicated to reporters (including Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register) that the club would not be naming right-hander Carlos Estevez as the closer to open the season, instead opting for a committee approach to open the season. Estevez signed with the Angels earlier this offseason on a two-year deal and was expected to step into the closer role to open the season, but that does not appear to be the plan, at least for the start of the 2023 campaign.

Still, Nevin told reporters that Estevez “is definitely going to get some big outs late in the game most of the year for us,” leaving the door open to the right-hander remaining the conversation to close games for the Angels this season. The Angels have a fairly deep group of pitchers with late inning experience at the back of their bullpen in addition to Estevez that includes Ryan Tepera, Matt Moore, Aaron Loup and Jimmy Herget.

Athletics

Aledmys Díaz will face righties and Nick Allen will face lefties as the team’s shortstop.

It appears one key decision has been made, with the shortstop position described as a platoon between Díaz and Allen.

“I think the way we’re going to start the season, the projection right now is to have Aledmys at short against right-handed pitching and Nick will play at short against left-handed pitching,” Kotsay said.

Orioles

Jorge Mateo played some centerfield but it seems to for an in-season emergency.

In the sixth inning of a home Grapefruit League win over the Yankees, Jorge Mateo moved from shortstop — where he played all 1,257 1/3 of his defensive innings for Baltimore last season — to center field. Then, the 27-year-old started back in center again in Sunday afternoon’s 4-2 win over the Phillies at Ed Smith Stadium.

“The more flexibility you can create with your roster, the better,” Hyde said. “It’s not like Jorgie’s never been out there before, so we just wanted to kind of give him a look, just in case it did happen in the season where we did need some coverage in center field.”

National League

Cubs

Jameson Taillon finally likes how his sweeper is performing.

Taillon believes he found a sweet spot with the sweeper. He felt he was executing it well in bullpens but was struggling to bring that form into games. But he figured out some cues with the pitch heading into his last start.

“I was kind of out in front too much with it,” Taillon said. “So I started thinking about a little closer to my ear and then trying to backdoor it. It’s a weird cue, it’s almost curveball-y. It feels like I’m releasing it back (by my ear) instead of (out front) like my fastball, cutter and changeup. The key is create topspin and it catches the seams.”

Diamondbacks

Drey Jameson will be a multi-inning reliever with the possibility of being used in high-leverage spots.

Jameson, though, was also impressive and earned a spot.

“Knowing where the pitch counts [for starters] is going to be, [it] felt like having a long guy in the ‘pen that could give us some length was of some benefit,” Hazen said. “Look, we felt like he was one of our 13 best pitchers, and at the end of the day, we just made that decision.”

Just because he’s opening the season in the bullpen, don’t rule out the possibility that Jameson will start this year or in the future. The D-backs will look to keep him stretched out early in the season, pitching multiple innings so that he can jump into the rotation if needed.

Jameson has the stuff to be a late-inning reliever, so it could turn out that he pitches so well in that role that he stays in it, like Archie Bradley did in 2017. But that remains to be seen.

“We are mindful of the stuff he brings to the table and what we are looking for in our ‘pen, and he has the stuff to do that,” Hazen said. “He also has the stuff to do that as a starting pitcher.”

Kyle Lewis made the roster because the team faces several lefties to start the season.

The D-backs’ Opening Day roster became clearer Sunday when the team made six roster moves, optioning Pavin Smith and Emmanuel Rivera to Triple-A Reno and reassigning Phillip Evans, P.J. Higgins, Jake Hager and Peter Solomon to Minor League camp.

The D-backs like Smith a lot, and he was their only true backup first baseman. He also had a very nice spring, but Lewis’ performance was too good to ignore.

Another factor is that Arizona will see a number of left-handed starters early in the season, and Lewis allows them to use a right-handed batter in the designated hitter spot.

“He had an incredible spring,” Hazen said. “I think we’re going to get a lot of lefties out of the chute based on how we think the rotations are lining up against us. I think [his] power element is something that we talked about not necessarily having, and he can represent that for us in a lot of ways.”

Giants

Casey Schmitt is making the transition over to shortstop.

Notably, they’ll be watching him play just as much shortstop as third base in Sacramento.

“The fact that Casey Schmitt can play shortstop … is a really, really good development for our organization,” Kapler said. “The fact that we’re already talking about him spending 50 percent of his time at the minor-league level at shortstop is a huge step forward for all of us.”

Bryce Johnson made the team.

They don’t have another viable center fielder behind Mike Yastrzemski, who is having a terrible spring at the plate and must be protected from left-handed starters.

Johnson is not just capable of playing center field. He’s a potential asset out there. And his 12-for-12 showing on the basepaths in exhibition games demonstrated the value he can provide off the bench in a game with rule changes instituted to incentivize range and athleticism.

Johnson isn’t merely on the roster as an extreme role player. He’s “making a push to be a significant part of the roster,” Zaidi said.

“Talent … doesn’t predict performance, necessarily,” Kapler said. “But the talent is undeniable.”

I don’t think the at-bats will be there for him to show value to start the season but if the playing time increases, he’s a great source of steals.

Marlins

• If the team needs a starter, Daniel Castano is likely to get the call.

Miami also needs to determine the order of its rotation following Opening Day starter Alcantara. One thing we do know is Castano, who allowed just one run in 12 2/3 innings this spring, would be the next man up. The Marlins would have to make space for him on the 40-man roster.


“Castano did everything he was supposed to do to warrant a spot in the rotation or in the bullpen,” Schumaker said. “The fact is that we have a lot of really good pitchers right now, and sometimes you have to go down [to the Minors] and get built up in case something happens — and he’s that guy that unfortunately was squeezed out, because we need him to be built up and be in the rotation-type thing if anything happens up here. He’s a really good insurance piece — depth piece — to have, and we’re confident that when he does come up, that he’s going to help us right away.”

In 85 MLB innings, he has a 3.89 ERA, 4.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, and a 45% GB%. He won’t be on my priority add list.

Padres

Xander Bogaerts is always dealing with wrist pain.

Xander Bogaerts received a cortisone shot in his left wrist, and isn’t expected to play again until Sunday. As Melvin told Sanders and company, “there’s no concern, [Bogaerts] has one of these a spring,” due to periodic soreness in his wrist. The prized signing of San Diego’s offseason, Bogaerts is in no danger of missing his first Opening Day in a Padres uniform.

Phillies

• The team is looking into Nick Castellanos playing first base

Right fielder Nick Castellanos has been taking ground balls at first base following the season-ending injury to Rhys Hoskins. Thomson said it was Castellanos’ idea and it shows the skipper that “he’s trying to help the team any way he can. … That’s a good sign, and I’m all for it.”

“I’ll talk to him about it and see where he’s at with it,” said Thomson, who added it’s too early to draw any conclusions from it. “There’s more to it than just fielding the ball. There’s positioning, cuts and relays — a whole bunch of stuff that you’d have to cover.”

…or possibly Alec Bohm.

Another first-base option is to slide over third baseman Alec Bohm, a right-handed batter, against lefties. The Phillies could then cover third with versatile platoon players, such as Edmundo Sosa or Josh Harrison.

“I think we’re open to a lot of things at this point,’’ Dombrowski said. “[Hoskins’ injury] just happened last night, so we haven’t even had a chance to talk to our players about some of the scenarios that could exist.’’

Pirates

Johan Oviedo has tabled adding a sinker.

Oviedo came into camp wanting to add a sinker to his pitch mix. However, he shelved the pitch a couple of weeks ago to focus on his four-seamer and changeup. He still expects to use the sinker at some point this season.

“I’m definitely going to need that pitch, especially when I need a groundball,” Oviedo said. “The season is almost here and I need to perform. It’s a long season, so I can’t show (the hitter) everything right away anyway.”

Rockies

Daniel Bard’s fastball velocity is still down but “hopefully” it will head up soon.

In the ninth inning of Saturday’s 4-2 loss to the Guardians, Bard hung his second pitch — a 93.6 mph sinker — for a David Fry solo homer before chalking up a strikeout and two grounders.

“A 93 mph fastball — Daniel’s not there yet, but he’s getting there,” Black said. “He threw one 96, which is good, so the velocity is not there, but hopefully in the next week it shows up.”


Mining the News (3/21/23)

American League

Angels

Ben Joyce could end up being the closer this season.

Carlos Estévez looks to be the likely closer for the Angels, but what odds would you give Ben Joyce to take over the role this year? Is there someone we aren’t paying attention to who could steal saves?

Estévez has had a brutal spring training. Normally, that wouldn’t matter much. But the numbers are truly gaudy. Still, the job is likely his at this point. Joyce is a wild card. He has just about 50 competitive innings above the high school level. That includes college and pro ball. He throws 104 miles per hour. He seems to have solid command. The question is how often the Angels could use him, and how durable he’d be over a full season. The odds are good that he’s pitching for the team this year. And he has closer-type stuff.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (3/20/23)

American League

Athletics

Aledmys Díaz should get plenty of playing time, especially at shortstop.

“You could see Díaz at shortstop. That’s kind of been a trend this Spring Training. That’s not set in stone,” Kotsay said. “Aledmys can play in left, we have the opportunity to DH as well. So there’s a ton of combinations that we can put together that we feel good about. We’re still evaluating and nothing is set in stone. And even when we open the season with the Opening Day lineup, things can change.”

With a late ADP (423 in Main Events), 15 HR power, and several qualified positions, he’s a nice bench bat. When he has started this Spring Training, he has hit in the top third of the lineup. Read the rest of this entry »


Wednesday Morning Thoughts (3/15/23)

For the next few days, I’m going to have limited time to write each morning so here are my thoughts.

The Braves option Bryce Elder and Ian Anderson to the minor league camp.

I didn’t see this one coming as I have several shares of both in draft-and-holds. The two pitchers still in the major league camp are Jared Shuster and Dylan Dodd who were completely off my radar. Here is the information I have on them from the Baseball America Handbook and the BaseballHQ Minor League Analyst. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (3/14/23)

American League

Angels

Griffin Canning is back to his old self and in the battle for the team’s sixth rotation spot.

But that’s behind him — at least for now — and Canning’s fastball velocity is up from what he’s shown in the past. His fastball averaged 93.5 mph in 2021, and over his first two Cactus League starts this spring (in which he’s given up one run over five innings), it’s been consistently hitting 95 mph.

Canning’s secondary stuff — a slider, a changeup and a curveball — has been playing well in his return, too. One of his sliders in the second inning Sunday led to Chicago’s Seby Zavala lunging at the pitch while the bat flew out of his hands toward third base, capping the second of three strikeouts Canning had on the afternoon.

While Canning has looked good so far this spring, he does face some headwinds in his quest to fill the role — he has Minor League options remaining, whereas others in the group competing for the same job are out of them. That group includes left-hander Tucker Davidson and right-hander Chase Silseth.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (3/13/23)

American League

Angels

• Chase Silseth added a cutter.

Silseth, ranked as the club’s No. 4 prospect by MLB Pipeline, is competing for the sixth spot in the rotation and made his second start of the spring in Wednesday’s 4-3 walk-off win over the Rockies, striking out five and allowing one run over four innings. He’s added a new pitch to his arsenal this year — a cutter — which he believes will especially help him against left-handed hitters.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (3/9/23)

American League

Angels

Brett Phillips revamped his swing this offseason.

“I went through a full swing revamp this offseason, so this is all kind of new to me,” Phillips said. “But, it feels really good. I’m confident and feeling very encouraged with where I’m at, especially this early in Spring Training. I know we’ve got some time to iron out all the flaws with timing and mechanical stuff, but I feel like I’m in a good direction to be as successful as I can for this team.”

Mariners

Logan Gilbert added a splitter.

Specifically, and ironically given how effective it is, Gilbert’s fastball felt the least functional within his arsenal. He also unveiled the new split-changeup that’s been all the talk among his teammates, including Ray, who is also toying with it.

Last spring, it was the harder, firmer slider Gilbert added with consultation from Jacob deGrom that was all the rave. But Gilbert wound up taking a little off that pitch as the season went on. He recognizes that the split could be the same work in progress into the regular season.

Rays

Luis Patiño is throwing 96 mph (94.5 in ’22, 95.7 in 21) and has added a sinker.

The 23-year-old right-hander held Philadelphia hitless through 1 2/3 innings, walking two and striking out one while leaning on his mid-80s slider and 96 mph fastball in Tampa Bay’s 7-3 win. Even better for the Rays was that Patiño’s velocity didn’t dip from his first inning to the second, something that plagued him last year.

Along with a new sinker, Patiño said he’s working on throwing two types of sliders this year — one that acts like a cutter and another that breaks like a sweeper. Thirteen of his 29 pitches Tuesday were sliders, and according to Cash, some of them were giving Snyder flashbacks.

• The Rays are looking to extend Curtis Mead.

I might consider Mead in the last round or two of a redraft league to see if he signs and starts the season in the majors.

Royals

Nick Loftin added weight and hit a new career-high Exit Velocity.

After one month of “more,” Loftin crushed his goal of 190 pounds. He kept going and reached 205 before settling at 200, which he’s maintained since the start of big league camp. He also made a small change to his swing, getting rid of his toe tap and adopting a small leg kick, which helps him simplify the load in his swing and be on time with pitchers more consistently.

The results have been eye-opening.

On Saturday, Loftin hit his first spring homer to the left-field berm at Surprise Stadium, with an exit velocity of 107 mph. Loftin can’t remember a time he’s hit a ball that hard, if ever.

Loftin isn’t in play in the outfield just yet, but he could be once the other candidates start to struggle.

Tigers

• The team has decided to enter the 21st century by creating individualized throwing plans and focusing on injury prevention.

In a broad sense, the goal of the changes was to modernize the Tigers’ performance department. This spring, there are glimpses of what’s new. You see players training with metaballs or water balls and other new gadgets. There’s a host of nutrition staffers roaming around the complex. Throwing programs have supposedly become more individualized.

Those changes hint at what the Tigers are trying to accomplish in this realm. It is less about overhauling a specific training method or revamping throwing programs. Instead, the Tigers are trying to create a greater level of connectivity between all their departments.

That’s where they were lagging behind before. The Tigers’ training methods focused largely on treating the symptoms of injuries. Missing was a greater emphasis on injury prevention or incorporating data and science to identify injury risks before they happen.

Twins

Jose Miranda’s repaired shoulder is still an issue and won’t be able to play third base. The list replacement options are suboptimal.

He spent the offseason getting into better shape in preparation for the switch, but Miranda has been held back from throwing until the shoulder soreness is sorted out. In the meantime, he continues to be in the Twins’ lineup at DH.

“We’re still quite hopeful that he’s going to be ready to go Opening Day,” Baldelli said.

If the shoulder soreness isn’t resolved by the end of camp, it’s possible Miranda could begin the season on the active roster in a role similar to 2022, playing first base and DH to keep his bat in the lineup, especially if Alex Kirilloff still needs more time to return from August wrist surgery. Potential fill-in options at third base include Solano, Kyle Farmer, Nick Gordon and Willi Castro.

Joe Ryan perfected his sweeper and learned a split-change.

“He’s got the perfect (arm) slot for a sweeper,” Driveline director of pitching Chris Langin said of Ryan. “The main modification was an alteration to the grip. It was a spike on the index finger and it allowed him to stay in front of the ball when he threw it, which basically makes it when you’re in a game environment you’re not backing it up too much. … It was just pretty clear that if he can just develop some 50-grade secondary stuff, that’s going to help you a ton.”

Driveline also offers a strength and conditioning assessment and provides ideas on pitch design. With Ryan, Driveline also suggested he develop a split-changeup.

National League

Braves

Kyle Wright is still on track to miss just one start.

Going back to the start of Spring Training, the Braves have said they expect Wright to start during one of the regular season’s first two series. Progress over the past three weeks has only strengthened that opinion. The right-hander will throw live batting practice on Friday, and then possibly make his spring debut next week.

Cubs

Adrian Sampson 샘슨 is having issues differentiating his sinker and four-seamer.

Sampson said a main issue he is ironing out is creating more separation between his sinker and four-seam fastball. When those pitches are not functioning properly, the result is too many left over the middle. In a preseason setting, a pitcher has the luxury to work on such things.

“I’m very lucky it’s Spring Training — that’s the biggest thing right now,” Sampson said.

Dodgers

Noah Syndergaard’s fastball velocity was down for his first appearance after it averaged 94 mph last season.

Syndergaard’s first pitch was clocked at 91 mph. So was his next one. After a couple of heaters, his velocity did tick up to 92 mph, flashing 93 a few times. It was just his first start of the spring, but the lack of velocity was a bit surprising, even for Syndergaard himself.

The key for Syndergaard might be his ability to mix in his slider and changeup. In his first spring outing, his changeup was his best pitch, helping him toss two scoreless innings.

And was still down in his next start.

Daniel Hudson will probably not be ready by the start of the season.

That positions Hudson for a potential high-leverage relief role, though he might not ready right out of the gate. Skipper Dave Roberts told reporters this afternoon that Hudson’s availability for Opening Day is in question (relayed by Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times). While he’s seemingly past his ACL rehab, the 13-year veteran was delayed in camp after battling ankle tendinitis over the winter.

Padres

Ryan Weathers has a new windup.

Weathers has debuted a new over-the-head windup, along with crisper stuff.