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Mining the News (3/16/22)

American League

Angels

Mike Trout will now be playing centerfield and Brandon Marsh doesn’t have a position after a conflicting report earlier in the week.

The Angels considered starting Brandon Marsh in center but ultimately decided to keep Trout there after he indicated that’s where he’d like to play and he’s in good health. Notably, Marsh also has to earn his spot on the roster this spring and there remains the possibility Marsh could be traded for pitching.

Guardians

• The starters will be throwing around 65 pitches on Opening Day.

Add it all up and Francona believes pitchers will likely only get built up to about 65 pitches, on average, by the time Opening Day arrives April 7 in Kansas City.

For now, the Guardians will spend the next three weeks stretching out relievers to help ease the burden on the starters.

Chris Antonetti said. “So, the more pitchers that are capable of pitching multiple innings, the better. Pitchers that have a history of starting demonstrated a track record of kind of holding more innings, so we could look at some of those guys who have been historically starters as relief options.”

I wonder if teams are going to plan on several tandem starters early on to help save the traditional bullpen arms for the other starters.

Orioles

Rougned Odor will be a second baseman and not play third.

Upon his signing, Odor slid directly to the top of the O’s depth chart at second base. And there’s no overbearing competition at his flank; Jahmai Jones and Richie Martin could incite a conversation with strong camps, as could No. 13 prospect Terrin Vavra. But someone like Shed Long Jr., whom Baltimore signed to a Minor League deal this offseason, is fighting against the reality of a full 40-man roster with other needs ahead of him — as well as rehab from right leg surgery in October.

Odor does have some experience at third base, though it only came across 33 games for the Yankees last season after DJ LeMahieu was injured. How was that experience?

“Uncomfortable,” Odor said.

It seems like Kelvin Gutierrez will get the first shot at the third base job.

Rangers

Eli White reworked his swing.

“Donnie (Ecker, new hitting coach) said it was Eli White, without a doubt,” Woodward relayed. “He’s always been kind of an east-to-west (swinger), shoulders kind of coming around. And he’s working north to south now with that bat angle. I saw (the batting practice pitcher) put it on the inside corner on him, and he hit one almost off the batting cages out there in left-center. The only way you can do that is with the proper path. So that was really encouraging. … Hopefully it sticks, because that was probably the most impressive part of the day.”

It’s not unusual for a player to overhaul their swing during the offseason. What is unusual is to do it successfully in an offseason in which a player isn’t allowed to talk to his hitting coaches. In fact, the new tandem of hitting coaches Ecker and Tim Hyers had just one short Zoom meeting with White before baseball’s lockout forced them into radio silence for three-plus months.

Tigers

Casey Mize plans on revamping his arsenal by mainly throwing his splitter more.

[Mize] buckled Javier Báez with a breaking ball. He says he plans to work in his curveball, which opponents hit .129 against in 2021, more often this season. He will likely cut back on using his sinker, maybe working it in occasionally to right-handers but eliminating it completely against lefties (left-handed batters hit .327 against the sinker last season).

And central to everything is the splitter.

Last season that splitter oddly disappeared. Consider, then, the fact Mize posted a 3.71 ERA largely without his most important weapon. Mize threw his splitter only 13.2 percent of the time.

“I would just throw a couple in a game that I didn’t like early on and abandon it, which is something I had never done in the past,” Mize said. “I told myself, ‘Keep throwing this pitch because it’s so good for you.’ But I did that a few games in a row, where I threw a couple in the first two innings that I didn’t like and didn’t throw it (again). … I think the decrease in volume led to a decrease in feel.”

Mize didn’t miss many bats with any of his pitches but at least a couple generated some groundballs.

Casey Mize’s Pitches
Pitch SwStr% GB% Usage
Four-seam 11% 33% 30%
Slider 11% 45% 28%
Sinker 5% 53% 22%
Splitter 10% 70% 13%
Curve 9% 33% 7%

National League

Brewers

Devin Williams is adding a slider/cutter.

Would he describe the pitch as more cutter or more slider?

“It depends,” Williams said. “Sometimes it’s a cutter, sometimes it’s a slider.”

The Brewers will let Williams tinker with the pitch during Spring Training and then make a collective decision at the end of Spring Training. A full camp is a bonus in itself; last year, Williams was limited after ending 2020 with a right shoulder injury.

• For now, Tyrone Taylor will not be getting full-time at-bats.

Brewers officials could not yet publicly discuss their agreement with veteran outfielder Andrew McCutchen on Tuesday morning because the deal was still pending a physical exam, but Counsell did answer a question about one player potentially impacted by the acquisition: Tyrone Taylor. Said Counsell: “Tyrone’s role is going to be dependent on other guys. That’s probably where we’re going to sit here. The way you’d expect a season to go, that’s going to mean a lot of at-bats.”

Cardinals

Alex Reyes is delusional.

Reyes said he attempted to build up his arm stamina throughout the offseason by playing catch on a regular basis. However, Reyes said he has yet to throw off a pitching mound — something that he wanted to avoid because of the soreness in his throwing shoulder.

“I played catch pretty much most of the offseason,” Reyes said. “But, like I said, it was just kind of like soreness staying in there a little bit. But hopefully I’ll have worked through here in the next few days.”

So for the entire offseason, Reyes has dealt with shoulder soreness, but magically he’ll be fine in a day or two. I don’t buy it one bit.

Cubs

Justin Steele and Keegan Thompson could start the season in a piggyback starter situation.

Last season, the trio of Alzolay, Justin Steele and Keegan Thompson gained MLB experience both out of the rotation and in the bullpen. As camp opens, Steele and Thompson will be in the mix for one of the rotation jobs.

That said, Steele and Thompson also found success as multi-inning relievers for the Cubs last year. Given the shorter spring schedule, pitching coach Tommy Hottovy noted that there could be “piggyback” outings, if starters are not stretched out all the way. Steele and Thompson could fit that mold as hybrid options come Opening Day.

• The Cubs will not go with one person as the designated hitter.

The way manager David Ross sees things going, the Cubs will have a revolving door in the designated hitter role this season. Ross will want to mix and match players in that slot based on matchups, rest or other factors.

“It gives us some more flexibility, right?” Ross said. “I’m sure that’ll be an ever-changing spot of who’s swinging the bat well and who needs rest.”

Ross noted that outfielder Ian Happ, who is working his way back from a right elbow issue, could be used as a DH early in the season. Catchers Willson Contreras and Yan Gomes could also see time at DH this season to have them both in the lineup when it makes sense.

Marlins

Brian Anderson could spend time in the outfield.

With the addition of utility player Joey Wendle, Brian Anderson may see some looks in left field — a position he hasn’t played in his professional career. Anderson, who was an NL Gold Glove finalist at third base in 2020, last appeared in the outfield in 2019 — with 55 games in right. Mattingly compared Anderson to free agent Kris Bryant when it comes to being an athlete with defensive versatility.

“I’m always open to it,” said Anderson, who will continue to get his infield work in before taking fly balls. “I haven’t done it in a couple of years. But the last couple of times that I did it, it helped me out and helped the team out. That’s my job now, especially getting a guy like Wendle that can play multiple positions.

Mets

Carlos Carrasco pitched with a bone fragment in his elbow for seven years.

“Everything’s really good right now,” Carrasco said afterward, noting that he had pitched with the bone fragment for the past seven seasons. “It was the time to take it out. That’s what I did, and I’m glad I did, because I feel better.”

At least it’s gone now.

Jeff McNeil will be the Mets starting second baseman.

“I don’t think it will be split. Mac will get the majority [of playing time] there,” he said. Asked about Canó’s role, Showalter replied “I think Robbie knows he’s not going to play second base for us as much as he wants to. But we hope he’s not a pure DH either. There’s the potential for him to play some first base if needed. I wouldn’t put him in the outfield.”

Padres

Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 will get the first shot as Fernando Tatis Jr.’s replacement.

In Tatis’ absence, the Padres plan to give Ha-Seong Kim the bulk of the reps at shortstop, and he’s penciled in as their Opening Day starter. An excellent defender, Kim has question marks surrounding his bat after a debut season that saw him hit .202/.270/.352.

The Padres are optimistic about the strides Kim has made adjusting to velocity from year one to year two — a focal point during the offseason. But if the offensive struggles persist, Jake Cronenworth could slide from second to short on occasion. Or, perhaps the most intriguing option, top Padres prospect CJ Abrams could earn his big league breakthrough if he performs this spring.

Phillies

Didi Gregorius had surgery to remove multiple bone spurs in his elbow that prevented him from hitting or throwing last season.

“They just tried to figure out what it was,” he said. “I had to play like that because I told them I didn’t want to miss any games. I wasn’t my best. … I couldn’t swing. I couldn’t extend. I couldn’t do anything. I couldn’t throw, so my throws were going all over the place. And swinging, if I can’t extend it, I couldn’t hit any pitch. The only pitches I was hitting were mostly pitches away. I even backed off the plate so I could kind of get extended. I was going through a lot last year, but that’s behind my back.”

Gregorius said he is healthy now. He is ready to compete, even if it means playing third base.

• The Phillies bullpen is not going to start the season with any defined roles.

The manager has interchangeable parts for late-inning situations. That is helpful, especially since Girardi has strict rules for his relievers’ workloads.

“You look towards the first couple of weeks of the season, you’re going to expect more innings out of your bullpen,” Girardi said. “So you’re going to probably need to interchange more than you normally would.”

Reds

Kyle Farmer will be the Reds shortstop … until he is traded away.

Right now, Farmer is the man, Bell said.

“Kyle, everything he did last year offensively, defensively, what he means to our team — I don’t even think that is a question,” Bell said. “He’s coming in as the shortstop.”

• The Reds have several outfield and DH options.

Before the trade, Bell had projected Winker in left, Nick Senzel in center and Tyler Naquin in right. Senzel and Naquin both finished the year injured, but the good news is that Bell said Senzel was in camp and looked good.

“I’m very confident that it’s going to be a big year for Nick and he’s healthy,” Bell said. “He is here. He looks good. He’s ready to go. A good mindset.”

The team also has Aristides Aquino, Shogo Akiyama, TJ Friedl, Max Schrock, and now Jake Fraley, who was acquired in the Winker deal. A lineup with Naquin at DH and Senzel, Aquino, and Fraley patrolling the outfield is a possibility.

Here are the group’s splits and projections.

Reds OF & DH Options
Name Career OPS vs LHP Career OPS vs RHP Projected OPS (DC)
Aristides Aquino .792 .780 .763
Tyler Naquin .633 .804 .753
Jake Fraley .475 .726 .744
Nick Senzel .773 .681 .744
Shogo Akiyama .594 .594 .705
Max Schrock .891 .735 .700

Senzel, Naquin, Fraley, and Aquino look like nice bets for regular playing time.

Rockies

Sam Hilliard lost 20 pounds over the offseason because of a stomach virus.

“My body feels good after doing all my training in Fort Worth, but when I went to the Dominican [Winter League] I actually got a stomach virus and lost about 20 pounds,” Hilliard said. “I had to hurry and gain a bunch of that weight on, but I’m working with the dieticians and strength coaches.”


Mining the News (3/14/22)

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

American League

Angels

• The Angels are going with a six-man rotation.

The Halos will have a six-man rotation again in 2022, so they could look to add another starter.

• In the shortstop battle, Joe Maddon thinks Andrew Velazquez has a leg up on the competition.

Outside of pitching, the club’s biggest weakness is at shortstop. Maddon said he sees Andrew Velazquez as the current leader there, ahead of Luis Rengifo and Tyler Wade. All three will compete for the job, but there remains a chance the Angels acquire a shortstop.

Projected wOBA for the three shortstops
Velazquez: .290
Rengifo: .304
Wade: .281
Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (12/7/21)

Free agents

Masahiro Tanaka will not be coming back to the MLB to play.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka’s two-year contract with the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles contained an opt-out clause this winter, but the team announced that Tanaka will return to the club in 2022 (hat tip to Yahoo Japan). Tanaka’s comeback season in NPB went well, as he posted a 3.01 ERA with a 20.19% strikeout rate and a 4.65% walk rate over 155 2/3 innings with the Eagles.

American League

Astros

Lance McCullers Jr. is still about a month away from throwing and may not be ready by the start of Spring Training.

The right-hander said that he is “about a month” away from beginning to throw, which represents a longer rest timeline than the six-to-eight weeks McCullers projected in late October.

Still, it would seem like McCullers is still tentatively on pace to proceed relatively normally during Spring Training, and then be ready for Opening Day

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (11/30/21)

General

Charlie Morton talks about how rehabbing players won’t have access to team training facilities if a lockout happens.

Yeah, I don’t think many people have given much thought to how a lockout could affect things like injury rehab. Folks think mostly in terms of starting spring training and the season on time. But yeah, for guys rehabbing, it could be a pretty significant thing for them.

Yeah, because their life as a professional doesn’t stop. I mean, you go from working out at the team facility — I mean, Acuña and Soroka, those guys are working out at the stadium and rehabbing with our PTs — and then you’re on your own. Which I’m sure is probably pretty unsettling, especially if you have, like, franchise-caliber players involved.

It’s tough to know if this situation should move back any player return timelines, but it’s something to consider going forward. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (11/12/21)

Free Agents

Justin Verlander touched 95-96 mph in his latest tryout.

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (10/25/21)

Free Agents

• Seiya Suzuki of Japan’s Hiroshima Carp might get posted this winter.

The Hiroshima Carp of Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball could make top outfielder Seiya Suzuki available to Major League teams via the posting system this winter, according to a report from Yahoo Japan. The Carp have begun taking some of the necessary steps, per the report, conducting a recent MRI for updated medical records and beginning to put together the requisite paperwork.

Hernandez quotes a big league scout calling Suzuki a “five-tool guy” and “the best player in Japan the last few years.” Sung Min Kim 김민, who’s written for both FanGraphs and The Athletic, tweets that several MLB Pacific Rim scouts have considered Suzuki the top NPB or KBO player with a realistic chance of being posted in recent years.

Suzuki is an interesting add for leagues where every player is rostered. I looked around for some projections or MLE’s and no one has any yet. Once they become available, I’ll post them here. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (10/1/21)

American League

Angels

Matt Thaiss is moving back to catcher.

Maddon reiterated Thursday that the organization views Thaiss as a catcher in the long term. He threw out 21 percent of 28 would-be base stealers this season, and registered five passed balls in 461 1/3 innings behind the plate.

He’s currently working with Angels catching coach Jose Molina, and Maddon said the reports back have been positive. Thaiss didn’t single out any one thing he needed to improve, but said he’s worked on just being able to handle the duties the position requires in a competitive game.

He might be a nice draft-and-hold dart in the later rounds. I could see him being the backup. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (9/7/21)

American League

Guardians (maybe)

Bradley Zimmer has been working on his swing.

Van Burkleo noted that Zimmer’s hand placement has been instrumental during his recent surge, as well as getting “his lower half engaged and started on time.” It all works in concert, Zimmer said, to improve his contact point so he can make solid, timely contact.

“I have long arms,” Zimmer said, “so it’s a blessing and a curse. The theme, motto of the year for me is just ‘short to the ball.’ You work on that stuff in the cage and it translates eventually.”

Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (7/28/21)

Note: It has been a while since I’ve published a Mining the News and this 4000-word edition is what happens. Some of these reports are over a month old, but I still found them useful to help explain some player changes.

American League

Athletics

Matt Olson cut his strikeout rate by using a “little red machine”.

You might be wondering: What pitching machine is this, and where can I purchase one for my Little Leaguer? Unfortunately, Martins conceded that he didn’t remember the name of this seemingly transformational piece of technology, but says that the A’s swear by it.

“The machine has some ride to it,” Martins said. “It feels like the ball is rising on you, and you can’t make contact if you’re working underneath the baseball — if you’re not in a good position to hit. So I just think the muscle memory of getting on top of the ball has created some good habits for him and reinforced some other stuff that he’s done in the past.

“It’s cleaned up his bat path, helped him keep his barrel on the baseball as he gets into the zone, so those are the habits that he creates while using it. You can’t be lazy with this thing. You have to be direct to the baseball.”

Everyone should be using the red machine if it’s able to cut a strikeout rate from 31% K% to 16%.

Blue Jays

• If Nate Pearson returns this season, it will be as a reliever.

If this works — which remains an “if at this point” — Pearson’s upside is still significant. Look no further than the 2020 American League Wild Card Series against the Rays, when Pearson came in and pitched two dominant innings, striking out five. This would also offer the Blue Jays the type of length they’d love out of the bullpen, with a high-leverage arm capable of carrying multiple innings at a time.

Once Pearson is built back up physically, he’ll be sent on a rehab assignment. He won’t be rejoining the Blue Jays tomorrow by any means, but if he can work his way back at some point in August, that could provide the exact boost Walker envisions.

Mariners

Luis Torrens is trying to control the strike zone and use the whole field since being recalled.

Torrens cleaned up some things on the defensive side in Tacoma but also did a better job making swing decisions. He also showcased the kind of power the team always felt he had, hitting six home runs in 19 games.
….
“He does have a better idea of the strike zone and where he’s at,” Servais said. “I think Luis is at his best when he’s using the whole field and to see him hit that home run to right field was awesome. He’s doing a better job of controlling the strike zone. He has a good swing and stays inside the ball. And when he does that, good things happen.”

He is performing a ton better. Before being demoted, he had a 4% BB%, 26% K% and a .519 OPS. Since returning the strikeouts have stayed the same (25%), but his walk rate is up to 13% with a .949 OPS.

Ty France has played most of the season with a bone bruise in his wrist.

France continues to play with a bone bruise in his left wrist that bothers him from time to time, especially on a swing-and-miss. It’s residual from when he injured the wrist in April in Houston while diving for a groundball. He then hurt it again during an at-bat as he tried to escape a close pitch.

“I’m taking really good care of it trying to eliminate all the pain. The training staff here has done an unbelievable job taking care of me,” France said. “There’s some days where I don’t feel it at all and some days where the swing-and-miss doesn’t feel very good.”

His power was continuously dropping until mid to late June. While it has rebounded some, it’s still not up to 2020 or early 2021 levels.

Orioles

Jahmai Jones needs to work on his defense before being promoted.

… Jahmai Jones, despite the clamoring for him publicly, is not ready defensively at second base, according to the decision-makers.

Jones still remains on my Voit-Muncy All-Stars, so fantasy managers should be interested in him once he gets promoted.

Rangers

Mike Foltynewicz is working on a new curveball.

The short way to explain it is that his fingers are now perpendicular to the horseshoe when they used to be parallel. But more importantly than the grip, Foltynewicz explained on Wednesday, is that his arm angle has changed. Where he used to try to “get on top of it” to create more 12-to-6 movement, he says the new curveball breaks more like a slider, but moves a lot more, and is 7-9 mph slower. He credits pitching coach Brendan Sagara with the suggestion.

“The shapes he was creating, he had to really cheat his arm slot up,” explains Sagara. “His fingers are enormous, so it’s (a matter of) finding a grip that aerodynamically catches the seams better, but also put his fingers in a better place to spin it consistently. And then the byproduct is now everything comes out of the same slot. The fastball, the sinker, the changeup the slider, the curveball all come from the same area.”

The difference in movement can be seen in the following graph.

The adjustment has not helped his overall game. All the new curveball games were in July where he has a 10.42 ERA and a 6.66 xFIP.

Rays

Brandon Lowe is a constant tinkerer.

“He’s a competitor. He’s a worker. He is very meticulous,” Rays hitting coach Chad Mottola said. “Every day he’s probably tinkering, tinkering, tinkering to a fault in order to get this to happen. You’d rather have that guy that’s always working than the guy that just shows up. So he’s handled it the best way he can handle it, and that’s by working.”

He’s constantly working with Mottola and the Rays’ staff, and his most recent tweak — tucking in his back elbow earlier in his swing — has helped him stay through the ball longer and drive more back-spun balls to left field. Getting more comfortable with that adjustment, Mottola believes, will only continue to pay dividends.

Great, he’s going to be one of those guys who has something that works and then adjusts himself back to being unproductive.

Red Sox

Eduardo Rodriguez has reworked his changeup.

Rodriguez credits the work he did with pitching coach Dave Bush a few weeks back on a side day when he used the Rapsodo machine to help him key in on reducing the speed of the pitch from the high 80s to the low to mid 80s.

Rodriguez threw 25 changeups on Friday, averaging 85.3 mph.

“Four or five starts ago against the Yankees, the first changeup I threw was like 84, 83 [mph] and now I tell [catcher Christian Vázquez] every time he’s behind the plate, ‘Bro, every time you see a changeup up there 88, 89 just slap me in the face or tell me something,’ because I feel like that’s working [at a slower speed],” Rodriguez said.

Before the adjustment in early June, he had a 5.64 ERA, 9.9 K/9, and 1.44 WHIP. Since then it’s a 4.71 ERA, 11.3 K/9, and 1.24 WHIP.

Royals

Daniel Lynch reworked his slider.

A tweak to his slider gave the Royals more confidence. So did his continued ability to finesse his changeup from behind in the count. Add in his consistent lead arm, his overall mindset, and a 5 1/3-inning, three-earned run performance at Triple-A Omaha on July 20, and the Royals were confident enough to promote Lynch back to the big leagues.

Nicky Lopez has gone back to focusing on hitting fastballs.

“The main focus was, ‘We’re not revamping your swing. We’re not changing your mechanics. Let’s just focus on getting you back to that main simple priority of hitting the fastball and not missing,’” Zumwalt said. “His skillset has always been there. His track record has been the same all the way up until he got to the big leagues. He doesn’t swing and miss at fastballs.”

“One of his biggest gifts is his bat-to-ball skills,” Zumwalt said. “Solid contact is going to produce hard contact. That’s the main focus. When we were doing work in the cage, it was built around that. Trust your mechanics and focus on solid contact in the zone. That’ll help you not chase, help you stay within yourself, help you from not overswinging.”

He is performing the best of his career against fastballs with his vsOPS going from .663 to .687 to .759 and his 3.1% SwStr% against them is a career-low.

Kris Bubic is feeling confident in his curveball.

To get out of that situation was big for Bubic, but to do it using a curveball was even bigger for his development. It’s a pitch he’s worked tirelessly on since he was drafted by the Royals, gaining the trust and confidence to throw it in games and in big situations.

“It’s going to be a difference maker for me,” Bubic said the day after he shut down the Yankees. “There’s another level within me, but it’s easier said than done. And bringing in the curveball is the next step.”

Bubic has been encouraged by Royals coaches and officials to throw the curveball more, in part because he’s not going to get deep into games with his fastball and changeup mix, especially not when one or both pitches feel off on a particular night. Bubic has struggled with commanding his fastball or leaving his changeup in the middle of the plate, leading to lopsided scores and high pitch counts.

From the start of the season to the end of June, he threw his curve 12% of the time. In July, he’s doubled its usage to 23%. The pitch hasn’t gotten the best results with just a 9% SwStr% but a 72% GB%.

Tigers

Matt Manning just recently added a sinker and reworked his curveball.

First, he made a slight change to the grip on his curveball — a very effective pitch for him on his way up the Tigers’ system — but a secondary pitch for him behind his slider in his previous few starts.

That little adjustment made a big difference. Manning’s curveballs averaged 2,347 rpm in spin rate Monday and accounted for three of his four strikeouts, though he also hung one for Brent Rooker’s home run that sailed 460 feet in the sixth inning. By comparison, his curves are averaging 2,230 rpm this season, according to Statcast. He also had five more inches of vertical break on the curve compared to his season average.

The second adjustment was a new pitch — a sinker that Manning had just started working on between starts.

Twins

Trevor Larnach has been struggling against breaking pitches but the Twins want him to work through them.

While he’s got an expected slugging percentage of .631 against left-handed fastballs this season, Larnach has a .199 mark against breaking pitches and an .045 clip against offspeed offerings from southpaws — and you’d better believe he knows that. But at this point in the season, with the Twins well out of contention, he’ll likely keep getting those opportunities to learn — and keep bettering himself for continued chances in those spots for years to come.

“I’ve been grateful, very grateful,” Larnach said. “I’ve been doing the best I can with those opportunities, but at the same time, I think the biggest thing I’m taking from them is I’m learning. What the situation will look like, I’m taking it all in and learning from it. At the same time, later on, I’m trying to make my adjustments based on what I’m getting myself out with.”

Larnach has a ton of swing-and-miss right now (34% K%, 43% K% in July). He might need to be benched or dropped in shallower formats.

White Sox

Yermín Mercedes will need to improve his chase rate if he wants to remain an MLB regular.

Mercedes has hit some of the hardest and farthest batted balls in the league this year (his 116.8 mph maximum exit velocity is in the 99th percentile), but Menechino’s eyes lit up at the mention of his approach sapping his ability to drive the baseball, and for good reason. The combination of Mercedes’ standout raw power and a high-contact approach can seem like the best of both worlds at times. But one of the highest chase rates in the league has resulted in a blizzard of weak contact (second percentile for hard-hit rate) for a below-average runner, and some of the worst performance against above-average fastball velocity in the game. That is not the best of both worlds.

Of all the hitters with at least 250 PA, his chase rate ranks 8th worst.

National League

Braves

Touki Toussaint has decided to just throw the ball over the plate and hope his stuff is good enough to get by.

“Just try to fill up the zone, honestly,” Toussaint said. “I think everybody knows that’s been my biggest problem, not throwing enough strikes. So (Gwinnett pitching coach) Mike Maroth was like, ‘Man, you just need to throw the ball in the zone. Let guys get themselves out.’ So that’s basically what I did, see how many strikes I could throw and go from there.”

Even though he has a career 5.4 BB/9, he’s pounded the plate this year with career bests of 53% Zone%, 63% F-Strike%, and 1.3 BB/9. Roster away.

Brewers

• The Brewers are ditching the six-man rotation.

The Brewers were able to have Peralta throw in such a way because they used Adrian Houser as the other end of the tandem start Friday night. Houser pitched two scoreless innings. Houser is expected to stick in such a role, at least for the short term.

“I think we’ll probably split up a start again, still kind of working through an exact day on it,” Counsell said, “but we’ll do it again, not with Freddy, somebody else.”

The Brewers no longer are using a six-man rotation. With Houser operating from the bullpen, Milwaukee’s other two starters are Brett Anderson and Eric Lauer. The idea behind ditching the six-man rotation in the second half was to keep the pitchers fresh.

• Luis Urias bulked up this offseason

Before the season, Urías told The Athletic he didn’t play winter ball because he wanted to prioritize his health and add strength. He said in spring training that he packed on around 10 additional pounds and was better informed on how to sustain that weight over the course of the season. He believed it would help him drive the ball more.

His 8% Barrel% is double his previous high and his 111.5 mph Max EV beats any previous high by 4 mph.

Cardinals

Harrison Bader is working on improving his plate discipline.

That type of success against breaking pitches hasn’t always been the case. Coming into this season, Bader was a career .171 hitter across 328 at-bats that ended in a breaking pitch. In 2019, he had a .132 batting average and .186 slugging percentage, far and away the worst season of his career against the funky stuff.

“This game’s a game of repetition,” Bader said. “So, just constantly working on understanding the ones I can handle in the zone and the ones I can do some damage on, and just fighting until I get that pitch in the at-bat.”

The approach has paid off with his strikeout rate going from 32% to 16%.

Cubs

Adbert Alzolay should finish the season in the Cubs rotation.

At his current pace and production, the team feels the rookie is on target for a complete campaign as part of Chicago’s rotation.

“The June 22 answer is, ‘Yes,'” Cubs pitching coach Tommy Hottovy said prior to Tuesday’s game against Cleveland. “I don’t have any concerns. I’d have concerns if we start seeing dips in velocity or pitch data and all that stuff. For right now, he’s doing the work and looks good.”

Alzolay came off the 10-day injured list on Monday and logged 4 2/3 innings in a 4-0 loss to Cleveland. The pitcher was dealing with a blister on the middle finger of his pitching hand, so the IL stint achieved two goals. It allowed Alzolay’s finger to heal, but also provided an in-season breather as he aims for a full body of work.

Dodgers

• While trying to regain some command, Tony Gonsolin has dropped and is back to use a windup.

Gonsolin has been working his way back to his typical command in games, but twirled his best outing of the year Saturday. His fastball had renewed life to it and his pitches appeared sharp, regardless of the lineup he was facing. One of the things he’s done differently — he’s recently gone back to pitching out of the windup, something he’d ditched when he had some command issues in his first few starts of the year.

His command has improved some with a 6.9 BB/9 in June but “just” a 4.7 BB/9 in July.

Zach McKinstry started hitting with his eyes open.

The hitting staff noticed something on video in San Diego for McKinstry to adjust, a rather important mechanical flaw: He wasn’t keeping his eyes open on contact.

“That was a new one for me,” Roberts said, laughing. “I actually commend Zach for having the success he’s had to this point, having his eyes closed on contact. Just one of those things you take for granted.”

McKinstry said it’s not the first time he’s had such an issue, as he closes his eyes to get a better feel for where his body is at and how it’s moving. It’s understandable, given he’s coming off an injury to an area heavily involved in his swing, that he’d want to test it out. But keeping his eyes closed as he swung was another issue entirely. Seeing the ball when you hit it is a significant adjustment, which Roberts credited for McKinstry’s re-emergence against the Cubs — two home runs, including his first grand slam, in Sunday’s big win.

When he was shutting his eyes, he was hitting .248/.304/.406. Since then, .170/.200/.434. Maybe he should go back to closing his eyes.

Giants

Mauricio Dubón retooled his swing.

He has continued to put in work in the cages and at home with Nancy by his side throughout the process, which made the solo homer on Tuesday night more special.

“I’ve been putting in a lot of work and the results are showing,” he said. “When I hit it, it felt kinda like it’s a such a relief, just because you’ve been putting in the work and she’s been by my side all the time. So it was really pretty good.”

Dubón has had limited at-bats in June, just 28, but the retooling of his swing has led to strong results more recently. He has slashed .462/.462/.769 in his last seven games.

The adjustment didn’t help him stay in the majors, but he is hitting .359/.434/.467 in AAA.

Nationals

Josh Bell has been working at possibly playing in the outfield.

In the weeks since Schwarber was sidelined with a significant hamstring strain, first baseman Josh Bell has been working with Martinez and outfield coach Bob Henley to refine his craft in left field. His debut at the position could come soon.

“He’s gonna be pretty good,” Martinez said Monday afternoon at Nationals Park as he and Bell returned to the dugout from a brief pregame drill in left.

Padres

Chris Paddack has been working on improving his curveball.

It was a filthy pitch that was emblematic of a larger trend. Paddack’s improvement with his curveball this season has been huge. Opposing hitters are slugging just .143 against the pitch (compared with a .583 mark last season and a .444 mark in 2019).

Paddack, of course, deserves most of the credit for the overhaul. He’s the one who put in the work to make the pitch a serious big league out pitch, complementing his fastball/changeup mix.

Before July, he threw the curve 10% of the time. This month he’s nearly doubled the usage to 19%. The pitch has been decent with a 13% SwStr% and 52% GB%.

Tommy Pham was never healthy to start the season.

Pham has said he continues to regain strength since being stabbed and undergoing offseason wrist surgery. His underlying numbers in April and May indicated he was suffering from rotten luck. He said earlier this season he was still experimenting with different contact lenses, though that seems to have been sorted out.

Phillies

• The Phillies want Spencer Howard to pound the strike zone with his breaking pitches.

The team optioned [Howard] to Triple-A Lehigh Valley prior to Tuesday’s game against the Marlins to make room for second baseman Jean Segura, who was activated from the 10-day injured list. Howard will continue to start with Lehigh Valley, where he will focus on building to 100 pitches and learning to pound the strike zone with his offspeed pitches.

Howard was 0-2 with a 5.82 ERA in nine appearances (five starts) this season. He started Monday night in Cincinnati, but he lasted only 2 1/3 innings. Howard has dominated hitters his first time through the lineup, holding them to a .103 batting average and a .350 OPS. But those numbers skyrocket to a .353 average and a 1.344 OPS the second time through.

Before his last start, he threw his fastball 72% of the time, but dropped it down to 58% in his last start.

Besides throwing his fastball fewer times, Howard reworked his slider.

While at Lehigh Valley, Howard worked on a new slider. The goal: to find a breaking ball that wasn’t soft and loopy; his curveball, slider and changeup didn’t have enough separation. Howard said he took his cutter grip from college and messed around with it in the minors. He tried throwing it with slider wrist action. It worked. His slider, before, averaged 79 mph, but it was 88.6 mph against the Yankees. It was a better secondary weapon to pair with his powerful fastball.

With the increased velocity, the pitch tracking systems think the slider is a cutter. His “cutter” hasn’t been great with a 6% SwStr% but a 70% GB%.

Sam Coonrod is using a new grip on his slider.

Sam Coonrod tied his month-long elbow problem to the decision to adopt a new slider grip in the middle of June. He wanted more bite on his slider, a pitch that was not effective in April and May. (Opponents batted .333 against it.) Phillies pitching coach Caleb Cotham suggested an unusual slider grip: a split grip.

Coonrod had continued to throw the new slider as he rehabbed, then realized last week at Triple A that he only felt elbow pain when he threw the slider. The Phillies shut down the righty for three days. He’ll resume throwing this week with the old slider.

Pirates

Cole Tucker stabilized his swing.

When spring training ended, Tucker was told to stick around Pirate City in Bradenton, Fla., to overhaul his swing. It was more about mending his mechanics than his approach. Working with hitting coach Jon Nunnally, Tucker stabilized his lower half and eliminated head movement, which helps him see the ball better. “There was a lot of off-the-wall kind of training stuff we were doing down there,” Tucker said.

Reds

Jonathan India has been dealing with a sore ankle for most of the season.

Second baseman Jonathan India was back in the lineup on Wednesday after he was pulled in the sixth inning Tuesday because of continued right ankle soreness. India’s ankle was rolled over by the Cubs’ Javier Báez during a stolen base attempt on Sunday, but India has been trying to play through it.

Rockies

Sam Hilliard spent time in AAA retooling his swing.

But Hilliard and the Rockies have no choice but to be awake and alert. He returned from a lengthy retooling at Triple-A Albuquerque…

“There’s always going to be something to work on, some adjustments still to be made,” said assistant hitting coach Jeff Salazar. “But we obviously want him here. He’s too good of an athlete. There’s too many ways on the field that he can [contribute], even the infield single.”

Rockies hitting coach Dave Magadan said Hilliard’s demotion was to work on ongoing swing traps — getting long and loopy against the fastball, directing his swing to the opposite gap. Fix those, Magadan noted, and Hilliard produces power with backspin. But the Rockies have to be patient.

Since returning, he’s hitting .269 .367 .538 with 2 HR in 30 PA.


Mining the News (6/18/21)

American League

Athletics

Matt Chapman is finally getting comfortable with his new hip.

What’s led to this sudden outburst from Chapman? Elvis Andrus said after Friday’s game that Chapman seemed more relaxed, and he agreed. But it also sounds like he’s finally trusting his surgically-repaired hip, which is something he knew heading into this season could take a while.

“The biggest thing, we’re just trying to find ways to get my back hip to fire a little bit better into the zone,” Chapman said. “Coming off surgery, it always takes time to get that trust and that feel back. Everybody I’ve talked to that’s had that surgery has said that it just took a little bit of time for them to get back to feeling the way that they’re accustomed to feeling. Some guys said that they felt like they’re in somebody else’s body for the first year. I wouldn’t (say) that I feel like I’m in somebody else’s body, but I definitely feel like I’m still getting that strength back and that trust back. It’s only been eight months since I had surgery so I think I gotta keep that in perspective and just find ways to help the team.”

Chapman’s OPS by month (.821 for his career)
April: .694
May: .618
June: .873
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