This post continues our Depth Chart Discussions. In an effort to suss out every team, we’ve divided them into four parts (infield, outfield, rotation, and bullpen) and will continue to break them down for you over the next few weeks. You can find the Depth Chart Discussion posts gathered here.
As Paul Swydan recently examined, the Mets’ hopes for success in 2015 largely depend on what happens with their rotation. How quickly will ace Matt Harvey return to form? Will Zack Wheeler and Jacob deGrom build on their potential? When will Noah Syndergaard arrive in the big leagues, and how good will he be during his initial transition to the Majors?
Indeed, these are likely the same questions that fantasy owners are asking as they search the Mets roster for 2015 value. One thing Swydan points out in the above-linked article is that Steamer and ZiPS envision different tracks for Mets starters in 2015. Per said: “Steamer paints them as having one legit good pitcher, and a bunch of guys who can be good on any given day but at the end of the season won’t amount to much. … ZiPS, on the other hand, paints them as having two leading men in Harvey and deGrom and a strong number three in Zack Wheeler.”
Which of these projection systems should we trust more as fantasy owners? Or, what might these projections be missing?
The Front End
Matt Harvey |
IP |
W |
K |
ERA |
WHIP |
K% |
BB% |
FIP |
2013 |
178.1 |
9 |
191 |
2.27 |
0.93 |
27.7% |
4.5% |
2.00 |
Steamer |
144.0 |
9 |
154 |
3.13 |
1.13 |
26.1% |
6.9% |
3.10 |
ZiPS |
153.0 |
– |
140 |
3.12 |
1.16 |
22.0% |
7.7% |
3.24 |
Fans |
169.0 |
12 |
178 |
2.98 |
1.06 |
– |
– |
2.78 |
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