Archive for Beat the Shift

Beat the Shift Podcast – Streaming Episode w/ Michael Simione

The Streaming Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Michael Simione

Joes vs. Pros Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Streaming Players
    • Definition of streaming
    • Long-term holding of players streamed
    • Streaming hitters
    • Should you stream players in-season from the very beggining?
      • Should you set aside roster spots in your draft for streaming?
  • Streaming Starting Pitchers
    • Advice for first-time players
    • How to determine which starting pitchers to stream
      • What stats to consider?
      • Can you avoid getting “Gombered?”
    • Budgeting FAAB for Streaming
      • How much should you pay per week in FAAB on starting pitcher streamers?
    • How to manage your bench in-season for streamers?
      • How many slots should you allocate?

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Healing Episode w/ Ron Shandler

The Healing Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ron Shandler

LABR Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Dealing with the current injury frequency level in baseball
    • Roster construction
    • Risk management
      • Broad Assesment Balance Sheet (BABS)
    • Reasons for injury frequency by team
    • Risk-adjusted pricing vs. managing to a risk budget
    • First round picks
  • How to think about Binary Risk
  • Playing fantay against “Power Drafters” who take on more risk
  • Is the market still right to draft risky elite starting pitching?
  • Is the market overpricing stable closers in early drafts?
  • How to value prospects in drafts?

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Understanding Statistics Episode w/ Mike Podhorzer

The Understanding Statistics Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Mike Podhorzer

Bar Mitzvah Talk

  • Coke & Pepsi

Projections

  • Pod Projections
  • Manual vs. automated projections
  • Where do automated projections fail / blind spots?

In-Season

  • At what point in the season should you rely on in-season statistics vs. pre-season projections?

Understandings Statistics Section

  • Hitting Statistics
    • BA
    • OBP
    • SLG
    • OPS
    • BB%
    • K%
    • HR/FB%
    • Barrel%
  • How can you tell if a YOY increase in a statistic is real skill, or if it was a fluke?
  • BABIP
  • Using Statcast to identify pockets of value / undervalued players
  • What in-season statistics should you use when setting waiver wire pickups for hitters?
  • Pitching Statistics
    • ERA
    • WHIP
    • Swing Strike %
  • How to adjust for a potential universal DH in 2022?
  • Strand Rate (LOB%)
  • ERA Estimators
    • FIP vs. xFIP vs. SIERA
      • Descriptive vs. Predictive
  • What in-season statistics should you use when setting waiver wire pickups for pitchers?
    • K% is superior to K/9
    • K-BB% or K% – Which is more valuable to track in-season?
  • What statistics should one track to tout relievers for saves in 2022?
  • Scouting for saves in 2022
  • Other important statistics to track
    • Plate discipline metrics
      • O-Swing%, Z-Swing%, O-Contact%, Z-Contact%, etc.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Jeremy Hefner (New York Mets)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jeremy Hefner, New York Mets

Interview

  • Highlight of career
  • Game preparation
    • Preparing players for the mental & physical aspects of the game
    • Is game planning more about having players pitch to their strengths, or about exploiting weaknesses of your opponents ?
    • In-game management
      • 3rd time through the order
    • Use of an “opener”
    • How “first-in” and “next-in” pitchers coming out of the bullpen are decided
  • Health
    • Keeping pitchers healthy throughout the season
    • Extended rest between outings – good or bad?
  • Analytics
    • How best to use analytics as a coach
      • Objective vs. subjective view
    • Analytics vs. Gut
      • Pulling Blake Snell in the World Series
      • Trusting analytics, and when to go with your gut
    • How are stats/analytics used to help players on the major league level?
      • Which are the key stats/indicators that you look at?
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Rule changes in baseball
    • Universal DH
    • 3 batter minimum rule for pitchers
    • Extra inning runner on 2nd base rule
  • Position players pitching in baseball
    • Effectiveness of Ariel pitching in the major leagues

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Trevor May (New York Mets)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Trevor May, New York Mets

Interview

  • Highlight of Career
  • Game planning
    • Is about pitching to your strengths, or exploiting your opponents weaknesses?
    • Game planning team by team
    • Helping other teammates with game planning
    • Having a “default” game plan
    • Using MLB the Show
    • Learning from other teammates
  • Health
    • Recovering from TJS
    • Switching from starter to reliever
    • Keeping healthy all season long
    • Extended rest between outings – good or bad?
  • Injury Guru Trivia of the Week
  • Analytics
    • Trevor’s own stat – Command Quality Ratio (CQR)
    • Trevor’s CQR and Ariel’s wPDI
    • Horizontal movement vs. vertical movement on pitches
    • Pitch velocity, spin rate, spin efficiency
    • Hanging out with the analytics staff
  • Mailbag
    • Who do you NOT want to face with the bases loaded?
    • Why #65?
    • Day games vs. night games
    • Favorite inning to pitch in
    • Love of cats
    • Favorite podcast

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Beat the Shift Podcast – End of Season Recap Episode

The End of Season Recap Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

The focus of this podcast is on fantasy baseball strategy.

Today, we look back at the topics and highlights of our season-long coverage, and give thanks to all those that made our show extraodinary this year.

 

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021

The Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021 of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Derek Carty

What’s new in THE BAT X for 2022?

Strategy Section

  • Risk
    • How to deal with injury risk
    • How to discount for binary risk
    • Low risk players / consistent players
      • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
    • Categorical Risk
    • Replacement Level Risk
    • Ace Pitcher Risk – Should you draft pitchers in the first few rounds?
    • Stacking Risk – Doubling up in one league vs. spreading out in two different leagues
  • Auction
    • Spread the Risk vs. Stars & Scrubs
      • League depth matters
      • Grab value in every price tier
    • The value at the corner infield position
    • The Joey Votto nomination strategy

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Season Wrap-Up Episode w/ Ian Kahn

The Season Wrap-Up Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ian Kahn

Most memorable moments of the baseball season

Strategy Section

  • Which is more important at the draft – Having better knowledge of the players, or better valuation & auction/drafting skills?
  • Which is more true?
    • Leagues are won on draft day vs.
    • Leagues are won with great in-season moves & pickups
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Do you have to walk away with speed in the first few rounds?
  • The Case for An Ace – Do you need to walk away with an ace (or two aces) in the first few rounds?
  • Is it worth paying up for a super elite catcher (Salvador Perez / J.T. Realmuto)?
  • Is it worth paying up for closers?
  • Can you wait on corner infielders?
    • Should you disregard positions in the first few rounds?

Our successes and failures in 2021

Sandy Alcantara – Is he a top 10 pitcher for 2022?

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Final Week Decisions Episode

The Final Week Decisions Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

League Updates

Strategy Section

  • Final Week Strategies & Decisions
    • No fear of droping players
    • Categories categories categories
    • Players in a pennant race
    • Younger players
    • Hot hand
    • Projections vs. final month stats
    • Roster flexibility in the final week
    • Go with your gut
    • Rotation schedules revamped for playoff bound teams

Injry Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.

Housekeeping

  • Upcoming Episode Schedule
  • Thank you for listening !!!

 

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Mid-September Episode

The Mid-September Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Last 2 weeks of the season
    • No more fear of droping players
    • Specific team schedules in the penultimate week, and lineup decisions
    • Contending teams and playing time

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.

Live show announcement!

 

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