The Beat the Shift Podcast – LIVE from First Pitch Arizona Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guests: Tristan Cockcroft & Derek Carty

2023 Projections

• How will projections handle the new MLB rule changes?
  • Hits due to banning the shift
  • Stolen Bases
  • Balanced Schedule
• Will fantasy players overreact to the changes?
• How did 2022 projections handle the universal DH?

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Strategy Section

• What makes a risky player?
  • Can we determine / quantify player risk?
    • ATC Parameter Risk
• Should we be avoiding risk more in drafts, particularly in the early rounds?
  • Should reliable Freddie Freeman be a top-6 draft pick?
• Should risk be looked at on the (fantasy) team aggregate level, or only on an individual player basis?
  • Mike Podhorzer’s risky LABR team
• Corner Infielders in 2022 – Where was the value?
  • Where will the value be for corner infielders in 2023?

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The End of Season Wrap-Up Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ian Kahn

Most memorable moment of the season

Fantasy MVPs

• Drafted Hitters
• Undrafted Hitters
• Drafted Starting Pitchers
• Undrafted Starting Pitchers
• Relief Pitchers

Strategy Section

• Which is more important – the draft, or in-season play?
• Should we be avoiding risk more in drafts, particularly in the early rounds?
  • Should reliable Freddie Freeman types be pushed up in drafts?
  • Jose Ramirez vs. Trea Turner vs. Aaron Judge for 2023 drafts?
• Lessons learned in 2022
  • What was the optimal closer strategy in 2022? Will it change in 2023?
  • What were some waiver wire strategy lessons learned from 2022?
  • Was the market premium for speed justified in 2022?
  • Were catchers worth taking early in drafts? Will they be worth taking early in 2023?
  • Was starting pitching worth buying early in drafts in 2022? Where should we look to purchase pitching in 2023?
• Who are some potential “Spencer Strider” type candidtates for 2023?

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The 2022 Home Stretch Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Baseball Section

• Most Valuable Player – Aaron Judge vs. Shohei Ohtani
  • What will be the terms of Judge’s next contract?
• Albert Pujols resurgence
  • Who else can join the 600 HR club?

Strategy Section

• Last two weeks FAAB
  • Leagues restricting the picking up of already dropped players
• Making sure your roster has backups at every position
• 2022 differences
  • Ending the season mid-week
  • Smaller September rosters
  • Upcoming IL stints in the final week
• Know your league settings

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The Trading Ethics Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

• The ethics of making late season trades
  • Trading in redraft leagues late in the season – trades between a top team to a middle/bottom team
• What should a team well out of the money be compelled to do down the stretch, and what should they not be allowed to do (if any)?
• The Mathematics of a Fair Fantasy Sports Trade (article linked)
  • Making a team “better” – is it a higher points total potential, or a higher probability of winning / cashing in a league?
• Measures that we can take to prevent late season ethics issues, and still keep engagement
  • Changing trade rules
  • Adding engagement deterrents
  • Penalties for bottom finishers

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The Reflection Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Patrick Davitt

Strategy Section

• Successful fantasy strategies in 2022
  • Spread the risk at auctions
  • Not overpaying for stolen bases
  • Find the hotspots
  • Staying away from higher risk players at the top
  • The aggregation of small value gains
• Kevin Gausman’s high BABIP
• What was the ideal closer strategy in 2022?
• Unsuccessful fantasy strategies in 2022
  • Pocket Aces
  • Taking on too much injury draft capital
• What can we do better in 2023?
  • Not relying on closers from the waiver wire
  • More stars & scrubs in mixed leagues
  • Waiver Wire
    • Not bidding too high
    • Being more patient
• How to handle starting pitchers late in season with poor upcoming matchups
• Activating starting pitchers immediately upon return from injury

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The Draft Strategy Look Back Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Justin Mason

TGFBI Update

• What we can learn from the top teams
• Draft success versus superior in-season play

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The Mets & LABR Update Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Adam Ronis

Softball Team

New York Mets

• Thoughts on deadline acquisitions
• Mets postseason bullpen
• Mets consistency
• Jacob deGrom rest of season
• Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
• How many wins will the Mets accumulate in 2022?

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The Trade Deadline Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Steve Gardner

MLB Trade Deadline

• Closers / Relievers
  • Braves – Raisel Iglesias / Kenley Jansen
  • Brewers – Devin Williams / Taylor Rogers
  • Phillies – David Robertson / Seranthony Dominguez
  • Orioles – Felix Bautista / Cionel Perez / Dillon Tate
  • Twins – Jorge Lopez
  • Angels – Jose Quijada / Ryan Tepera
• Starting Pitchers
  • Mariners – Luis Castillo
  • Athletics – JP Sears
    • Are traded pitcher prospects good short term fantasy investments in redraft leagues?
  • Yankees – Frankie Montas
    • Where should Montas be drafted amongst starting pitchers in 2023 drafts?
  • Cardinals – Jose Quintana & Jordan Montgomery
    • Dylan Carlson – Are we missing something on him?
  • Twins – Tyler Mahle

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The Injury Returnee Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

• Should you immediately insert injury returnees into your active fantasy lineups?
  • Hitters vs. Pitchers

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The NL West Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Derek Van Riper

All-Star Game Thoughts

Strategy Section

• What are you doing from a fantasy standpoint with your time at the all-star break?
• Using Rest of Season Projections
  • ATC Rest of Season Projections
  • Auction Calculator
  • When do you stop using pre-season projections?
• Looking at recent performance
  • What is the proper time frame to use for a recent player snapshot?
• How to tell the difference between underperformance and injury?

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