Catchers ADP Market Report: 1/12/21

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day.

Top 100 Players Rising
None

Top 100 Players Falling
None

Top 200 Players Rising
Daulton Varsho (+34.89) – Varsho continues his climb up the ADP in part because of an errant pick in November, but also because he is emerging as a popular “sleeper” pick. He now rests inside of the top 150 and as the sixth catcher off the board. I have been anti-Varsho for a while now after getting some information from inside of the Diamondbacks organization that told me that “the only person that thinks he is a catcher long term is the GM” and that he has a questionable work ethic. That being said, he has catcher eligibility for now and he has tremendous upside with the bat. He could easily be a 20/10 .275 guy if given full time playing time and there aren’t many catchers that could deliver numbers like that.

James McCann (+41.31) – It is not surprising to see McCann continue to climb up the ADP after he signed a long term deal with the Mets. In some ways it is a great landing spot, but it also has its drawbacks. The park factors are going to make it much harder for the 30-year-old to hit for as much power and he will now hit at the bottom of the lineup. I still like McCann, but I as the ADP continues to rise I am starting to not love the price. Taking him over the upside of catcher like Gary Sanchez and Mitch Garver seems silly to me and if he continues to climb over guys like Austin Nola and Sean Murphy, I will definitely be out.

Top 200 Players Falling
None

Top 300 Players Rising
Mitch Garver (+22.61) – It is not surprising to see Garver to start to rise back up the ADP. He had a huge 2019, but struggled with injuries that hampered his 2020. In spite of the disappointing 2020, his average exit velocity was still great (in a very small sample). You should throw out his 2020 for the most part and if you do that, you are probably getting a 15 homer bat with a .250 average if he is getting usual catching time. Now, if you add some more plate appearances at DH with both Nelson Cruz and Eddie Rosario gone, now we are potentially talking about him getting to 20-25+ home runs. Playing time questions are there, but if he can catch 2-3 times a week and DH or play first 2-3 times as well, 500 plate appearances aren’t out of the question.

 

Top 300 Players Falling
Gary Sanchez (-8.45) – Oh, how the mighty has fallen! In 2018, Sanchez was a top 25 pick, in 2018, he was a top 60 pick and last season he was a top 80 pick. Now, Sanchez is going around pick 205! I get the drop in ADP, but it is not like he doesn’t still have huge upside left in his bat. He still has an average exit velocity in the 89th percentile, a hard hit percentage in the 92nd percentile and a barrel percentage in the 97th percentile! The problem is swing and miss. He has a swinging strike rate of almost 14% and swings out of the zone 31.5% percent of the time. At his current price, he is definitely worth the gamble considering he could easily be the #1 catcher if he makes more contact or just gets lucky. At worst, he is a Mendoza line hitter with a ton of power and at catcher, that is still better than a lot of options.

Jorge Alfaro (-7.72) – It isn’t too surprising to see Alfaro dropping in the ADP. Alfaro missed the first part of the season due to COVID-19 and then never really got going. He still hits the ball hard, but hits it a lot on the ground and swings and misses a lot. There is also the chance he isn’t the main catcher which would obviously hurt his value, but I think he is considering he caught 19 of the Marlins games in September. Alfaro is a risky C2 that is a bit of a boom or bust.

Catchers ADP Market Report: 1/12/21
12/1/2020-1/12/2021 Player Team Pos 10/1/2020-10/31/2020 11/1/2020-11/30/2020 Change
36.9 J.T. Realmuto FA C 38.25 38.15 1.25
77.83 Salvador Perez KC C 101.25 82.58 4.75
105.93 Will Smith LAD C 122.75 109.35 3.42
132.27 Willson Contreras CHC C 136.5 136.04 3.77
141.17 Yasmani Grandal CWS C 146.75 142.73 1.56
148.57 Daulton Varsho ARZ C, OF 211 183.46 34.89
150.5 Travis d’Arnaud ATL C 156.5 148.92 -1.58
153.43 Christian Vazquez BOS C 159 162.31 8.88
170.97 Sean Murphy OAK C 171.5 171.23 0.26
171.47 Austin Nola SD C 165.25 168.27 -3.2
185.57 James McCann NYM C 247.75 226.88 41.31
205.07 Gary Sanchez NYY C 194 196.62 -8.45
219.7 Mitch Garver MIN C 236.75 242.31 22.61
254.03 Jorge Alfaro MIA C 246.75 246.31 -7.72
265 Buster Posey SF C 256.75 279.81 14.81
285.77 Yadier Molina FA C 306.25 281.12 -4.65
300.1 Danny Jansen TOR C 293 330.81 30.71
300.9 Carson Kelly ARZ C 318.25 295.38 -5.52
317.67 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 376.75 358.27 40.6
320.5 Ryan Jeffers MIN C 311.25 344.19 23.69
339.9 Tom Murphy SEA C 353.5 322.58 -17.32
347.47 Tyler Stephenson CIN C 350.25 362.96 15.49
349.97 Sam Huff TEX C 350.25 353.5 3.53
352.33 Yan Gomes WAS C 346.5 365.35 13.02
356.63 Pedro Severino BAL C 280.75 309.15 -47.48
381.27 Omar Narvaez MLW C 385.25 367.92 -13.35
386.2 Jacob Stallings PIT C 382.5 362.12 -24.08
388.63 Wilson Ramos FA C 356.5 327.38 -61.25
394.3 Max Stassi LAA C 356.5 359.12 -35.18
399.8 Joey Bart SF C 295.75 289.12 -110.68
422.6 Luis Torrens SEA C 439 483.38 60.78
437.97 Victor Caratini SD C 447.5 445.27 7.3
447.43 Kyle Higashioka NYY C 407.25 456.81 9.38
451.37 Adley Rutschman BAL C 390.75 383.96 -67.41
454.07 Jose Trevino TEX C 507.25 513.31 59.24
456.53 Martin Maldonado HOU C 416 439.42 -17.11
472.43 Elias Diaz COL C 661 672.62 200.19
474.23 Kurt Suzuki WAS C 462 460.77 -13.46
480.63 Chance Sisco BAL C 482.75 525.85 45.22
483.47 Roberto Perez CLE C 457.5 454.88 -28.59
494.93 Tucker Barnhart CIN C 519.25 490 -4.93
499.6 Francisco Mejia TB C 593.5 575.92 76.32
503.13 Andrew Knizner STL C 617.5 500.85 -2.28
527.47 Austin Barnes LAD C 498 493.73 -33.74
537.27 Mike Zunino TB C 576.5 628.31 91.04
541.17 Andrew Knapp PHI C 601.25 567.35 26.18
559.6 Austin Romine FA C 480 506.65 -52.95
565.83 Jason Castro FA C 630.25 623.08 57.25
578.97 Curt Casali SF C 516.5 612.12 33.15
596.6 Kevin Plawecki BOS C 629.75 613.12 16.52
622.4 Keibert Ruiz LAD C 657.5 597.31 -25.09
632.77 Jacob Nottingham MLW C 508.75 590.35 -42.42
654.23 Austin Hedges CLE C 589.25 696.92 42.69
661.3 Willians Astudillo MIN C 625.75 666.73 5.43
665.57 Jonah Heim OAK C 651.5 684.27 18.7
689.97 William Contreras ATL C 712 699.08 9.11
712.97 Grayson Greiner DET C NA NA NA
713.47 Cam Gallagher KC C 706.75 727.81 14.34
714.1 Tyler Flowers FA C 731.5 712.92 -1.18
715.73 Stephen Vogt ARZ C 741.25 741.58 25.85
722.93 Jake Rogers DET C 718.75 711.65 -11.28
725.8 Dom Nunez COL C NA NA NA
727.83 Robinson Chirinos NYM C 715 727.42 -0.41
733.3 Austin Allen OAK C 724.25 736.69 3.39
736 Manny Pina MLW C 735 748.23 12.23
737.73 Tony Wolters COL C 695.5 717.42 -20.31
739.37 Ronaldo Hernandez TB C NA 722.58 -16.79
739.97 Alex Jackson ATL C NA 737.69 -2.28
740 Kevan Smith TB C 730.25 731.5 -8.5
742.47 Reese McGuire TOR C NA NA NA
743.93 Michael Perez PIT C 742 746.69 2.76
746.5 Tomas Nido NYM C NA 739.46 -7.04
746.8 Chadwick Tromp SF C 713.5 744.73 -2.07
747.63 Matt Wieters STL C NA 740.31 -7.32
747.7 Cal Raleigh SEA C 695.25 734.19 -13.51
747.87 Anthony Bemboom LAA C NA 745.19 -2.68
749.2 Garrett Stubbs HOU C NA NA NA
750.03 Deivy Grullon CIN C NA 749.85 -0.18
750.2 Dustin Garneau HOU C NA NA NA
750.23 Chad Wallach MIA C NA NA NA
750.63 Jose Briceno LAA C NA NA NA
NA Alex Avila FA C NA 750.62 NA
NA Eric Haase FA C NA 748.04 NA
SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as random topics that float into his juvenile brain. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and a fantasy football and baseball writer for Fantasy Alarm. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

8
Leave a Reply

8 Comment authors
LightenUpFGcarterSculpinAnonNathan Recent comment authors
newest oldest most voted
rthompson
Member
Member
rthompson

People are catching on to Ryan Jeffers. I see him rising on the list and once people discover his hitting ability, he’s gonna take off. He’s my go to #2 C.

elkabong
Member
Member
elkabong

Shhh, don’t ruin it for the rest of us!