Bullpen Report: May 22, 2019
The ground ball has been Luke Jackson’s best friend this season, and on Tuesday night it was his worst enemy. Jackson is one of only two qualified relievers to have a ground ball rate above 70 percent (Zack Britton is the other), and that had helped him to compile a 2.31 ERA with six saves heading into the Braves’ series in San Francisco. He was called on to protect a 3-1 lead in the bottom of the ninth inning on Tuesday night, and he began predictably enough by getting Evan Longoria to hit into a groundout. Then Brandon Crawford stung a line drive for a single, but Jackson struck out Steven Duggar to get on the cusp of his seventh save.
That’s when the parade of ground ball singles began. Kevin Pillar and Pablo Sandoval both got base hits on grounders that had xBAs of .250 and .090, respectively. Pillar’s single scored Crawford, and then both Pillar and pinch-runner Mac Williamson scored on a Joe Panik grounder that just eluded the outstretched glove of Ozzie Albies, giving the Giants a walk-off win.
It was second straight appearance in which Jackson blew a save, making him potentially vulnerable to having to share the closer’s role with Sean Newcomb, who got the save for the Braves on Monday night. I am not marking this down as a closer committee in our closer grid just yet, but it’s getting close.
On Monday, Chris Woodward told Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram that Jose Leclerc had a chance to return as the Rangers’ closer on Tuesday night, at least on a temporary basis. However, when Lance Lynn exited after seven innings with a 3-2 lead against the Mariners, Woodward called on Leclerc to pitch the eighth inning. Though he had a 1-2-3 inning that required only seven pitches, he was relieved in the ninth inning by Shawn Kelley. This was a surprising move, given that Kelley had been activated just hours before the game. (He also had just learned that the lumps removed from his vocal cords were benign.)
Joey Gallo’s two-run homer in the bottom of the eighth gave Kelley a three-run lead to work with, and he needed the extra cushion, having allowed a solo shot by Omar Narvaez. However, that was all that Kelley gave up, so he came away with his third save. We should still assume that Leclerc will regain the closer’s role, and possibly very soon. It just may not happen the next time the Rangers find themselves in a save situation.
The Nationals and Mets kept fantasy owners on the edges of the seats, tossing the lead back and forth over the final three innings of their Tuesday night tilt. The intrigue began in the sixth inning when Wander Suero, who had been recently used as the eighth-inning bridge to Sean Doolittle, came in with the game tied, 1-1. He breezed through the inning, retiring the Mets’ 3-4-5 hitters, but ran into trouble in the seventh inning while preserving a two-run lead. Suero allowed a leadoff single to Wilson Ramos and issued a one-out walk to Dominic Smith. Pinch-hitter J.D. Davis made Suero pay by clubbing his fifth homer of the season.
Mickey Callaway took this opportunity to give Jeurys Familia his highest-leverage situation since returning from the IL on May 14, but he promptly lost the Mets’ lead by allowing a Howie Kendrick single and a Trea Turner RBI double. Turner subsequently scored the go-ahead run on a Juan Soto double hit off Daniel Zamora. The Nationals’ lead was also short-lived, as Tanner Rainey gave up a Peter Alonso solo home run in the bottom of the eighth.
Edwin Diaz restored order in the top of the ninth, keeping the game tied. Rainey returned for the bottom of the ninth and issued back-to-back one-out walks. He was relieved by Kyle Barraclough, who gave up Amed Rosario’s walk-off single.
The Nationals’ set-up situation is a puzzle now, especially given that Barraclough wasn’t brought in sooner. Suero still appears to be the primary set-up pitcher, and he may have been brought in early to take care of the toughest part of the Mets’ order in a crucial situation (which he did). It looks as if Barraclough’s grip on any kind of setup role is tenuous.
The Phillies were presumably without Hector Neris and Adam Morgan on Tuesday night, so Juan Nicasio got his second save opportunity of the season (and his second save chance in two nights, having finished off the 10th inning on Monday). He retired only one of the six batters he faced, with his night ending on Javier Baez’s game-winning, bases-loaded single. Pat Neshek, who ranks second on the team with three saves did not appear in the game, though he was reported to have felt some soreness prior to Monday’s series opener.
But that wasn’t all of the bullpen drama in the NL East on Tuesday night. Sergio Romo blew his first save of the season, letting a two-run lead against the Tigers go by allowing a Miguel Cabrera RBI single and a Ronny Rodriguez sacrifice fly. Joe Jimenez gave up the winning run in the top of the 11th inning, and Nick Anderson captured his first career win with two scoreless innings of relief (including five strikeouts). Despite the loss, owners in holds leagues should not worry too much about Jimenez. Over his last 11 innings, he has 20 strikeouts, three walks and a 19.9 percent SwStr%.
Quick hits: Kirby Yates recorded his 19th save of the season on Tuesday night. In striking out all three Diamondbacks he faced, it marked the seventh time this season that Yates had struck out three batters in an inning. It was also the second time he struck out three batters in a perfect inning…Raisel Iglesias (10) and Blake Treinen (9) also notched saves…Pedro Baez was hit on his right knee by a comebacker in Tuesday night’s game against the Rays, and he had to leave the contest. X-rays came back negative…On Tuesday, the Blue Jays placed Ryan Tepera on the IL with a right elbow impingement…In another IL move, the Astros put Collin McHugh on the list with right elbow discomfort. An MRI was performed on Monday, and no structural problems were found…The Dodgers reinstated Julio Urias from the restricted list on Tuesday. He had been placed on leave on May 14 following his arrest for domestic battery…David Hale recorded his first career save on Tuesday night, allowing one run over the final four innings of the Yankees’ 11-4 win over the Orioles.
Al Melchior has been writing about Fantasy baseball and sim games since 2000, and his work has appeared at CBSSports.com, BaseballHQ, Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster and FanRagSports. He has also participated in Tout Wars' mixed auction league since 2013. You can follow Al on Twitter @almelchiorbb and find more of his work at almelchior.com.
Wander Suero…who?
Probably the second best reliever in the WAS bullpen. Damning by faint praise indeed.
The Nats’ setup situation is not a puzzle. There is no inscrutable logic by which Dave Martinez operates. There is only meltdown, followed by disaster, followed by another meltdown. Oh, and the occasional injury thrown into the mix.
Rainey is the latest shiny object, and on the basis of his pretty good first outing as a National on Monday night he was given quite enough rope to hang himself on Tuesday night, thank you very much.
Bearclaw’s grip on the setup role is tenuous because he has proven himself to be untrustworthy. Then again, so has Suero. Then again again, so has everyone else in that bullpen not named Doolittle.
There is no mining for future save opportunities in this bullpen. If Doolittle goes down for any extended period, his replacement will likely be someone currently playing for another MLB organization.
FWIW Romo’s blown save was due to bad defense. Both runs were unearned. And poor Caleb Smith was denied the win.
I know McHugh is in the pen now and also on the IL now, but he is in no way relevant to the saves discussion for the Astros. He has to be, what, 6th on the depth chart at best? Maybe 7th? I’m thinking that if the Astros had injuries issues so bad that they were down to McHugh as the closer, they would trade for someone (likely multiple someones) or sign Kimbrel.
I thought about not putting him in the IL slot in the grid for that reason, but he does have value in his current role, even if saves are off the table. I still own him in one of my leagues, for example.
Fair point. That was just my gut reaction to seeing his name on there.
Or they could just slot in the guy w a 0.00 era whose better than their current closer?
Cody Allen? Completely droppable at this point, in an AL only league!! Thanks in advance.
I wouldn’t say “completely”, but he’s a candidate to drop if you have a roster crunch. I still think there’s an outside chance for him to get saves.
Agree with Al that there probably is a chance he gets back into the saves mix and AL-only might change my perspective, but I would think it’s probably more likely that he gets DFA’d before the AS Break myself. He’s kept runs off the board since coming off the IL but he is not pitching great. He’s working on a string of 4 straight appearances where he had 1 K, 1 BB and 1 H without giving up a run which is kind of living on the edge. That’s basically one barrel away from a 3-run disaster and he’s done it 4 games in a row. His xwOBA since coming off the IL is .401 so he’s been lucky to “only” give up a .365 wOBA over that time. His average exit velo since coming off the IL is 96.9 which is. . . .bad. Going back to before the IL stint he has walked a guy in 11 of his last 12 appearances.
Given that the Angels have 2 guys at the back of the pen who are pitching well, I would think Allen is a loooooong way from the closer chair myself.
Yes the roster crunch is real. I have 5 roster spots dedicated to RPs with closer potential. Colome / Hobles as closers…..Kelley and LeClerc as 2/3 of a committee, so owning Cody Allen is painful.
and thanks for the response!!
Wade Davis is hurt (IL-oblique) but buyer beware if you’re speculating on Oberg saves. Those peripherals are flashing red flags all over the place. xFIP of 4.9 is nearly 3x his ERA of 1.7 (FIP is 4.7 & SIERA is 5.2, more than 3x the ERA!). BABIP just under .200 and strand rate is 90%. K% is down 9 points from last year (25% –> 16%) and BB% is up 8% (5% to 13% – yikes!). And he pitches for Colorado. This dude is truly living on the edge right now.
Yep. Velo off 1 mph from last year and 2 from 2 years ago. Fewer chases and more contact. xwOBA is .335 vs. his actual wOBA of .264. Lot of warning signs.
OTOH, the manager specifically said he is the closer and the guy was pretty good the last 2 years. There are worse gambles out there frankly.
I don’t mean to seem critical but i read this article every day and didn’t see one mention of Wade Davis not pitching for 7 days. I guess Rockies kept his injury under wraps.