Bullpen Report: June 25, 2015
• Jeurys Familia is back. After dealing with a bit of groin tightness, the righty closer saw his first in-game action in about a week this afternoon, cleaning up a 2-0 win for the Metropolitans. Good news for fantasy owners? Familia said he was discomfort-free after the outing, meaning the green light is on going forward. The Mets’ closer has been outstanding this year, notching 20 saves with a minuscule 1.34 ERA. While some regression is to be expected, Familia’s 2.48 xFIP implies that his overall line isn’t going anywhere. It’s been an impressive transformation for the righty, who has seen his velocity tick up 2 mph with his full-time move to the bullpen last year. While he’s always generated big whiffs on his slider, he also is generating 10+% SwStr% marks on both his sinker and four-seamer. It seems like a long time ago we were wondering if Bobby Parnell would regain his old gig before July.
• Tyler Clippard helped the A’s finish off a sweep of the Texas Rangers on Thursday, tossing a 1-2-3 ninth inning for the easiest save possible (or at least, the one with the biggest lead). It hasn’t been all rainbows and puppy dogs for the former Nat this season, however, as the relief ace has seen both his K% and BB% head the wrong direction, pushing his xFIP to a very unappetizing 5.22. It’s somewhat tough to figure out exactly what’s wrong. From a stuff standpoint, Clippard’s SwStr% is only down a tad and his velocity is essentially where it was last year. His F-Strike% is down to 54%, so it may be a matter of falling behind and either giving out free passes or becoming predictable with pitch selection. Luckily for the A’s, June has been Clippard’s best month so far (3.21 xFIP), which might be useful as the team talks turkey with other squads regarding a trade. It’s worth noting, though, that the A’s are not totally dead in the water in a fairly weak AL West, so they might be hesitant to significantly shake anything up for another few weeks. Evan Scribner is still not a bad add for those in deep leagues.
• Even though David Robertson put up a SV in the roto column, it was anything but easy for the ChiSox stopper this afternoon. Given a three-run lead, he allowed five baserunners (and two runs) before mercifully escaping. Robertson’s rates remain elite (2.32 xFIP), but it’s worth noting that he’s allowed a few more free passes than usual so far in June. No reason to panic, but it would be nice if he would pound the strike zone a bit more and trust his knockout stuff.
• Bruce Rondon saw his first big league action since the 2013 season today, fanning both batters he faced. He sat 97 and touched 101, so I’m cool with rolling the dice if you want a high-upside arm. Just don’t expect big things in the WHIP department.
• Quick hits: John Axford wrapped up his 13th save of this season this afternoon at Coors. The righty’s rates are right where they have been the last few years (mid 3.00’s xFIP), but a .258 BABIP is keeping his ERA suppressed. That seems somewhat unsustainable at Coors and the Rockies might move him if they get a good offer, so he’s a sell high in my book. Zach Britton got a little help from the home plate umpire today, but looked sharp after allowing a leadoff single against the Red Sox this afternoon. Tough to argue with his 1.89 xFIP going forward — there aren’t many closers I’d rather have. Daniel Hudson and Oliver Perez both had outings to forget in the aforementioned DBacks/Rockies game. Neither are closing games, but with Addison Reed now in the minors, it seems like Brad Ziegler owners will have at least a few more saves coming their way.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.
Might be safe to move Carson Smith to yellow. He hasn’t had a ton of chances lately duento the M’s uninspired play, but the more he dominates it seems the harder it will be for them to move away from them. I think McClendon has already backed off his Rodney support publicly.
I’ve grappled with keeping a potentially good starter on a bad team (Matz)or a good starter pitching in general on a bad team (Eduardo Rodriguez) vs. a useful good closer/reliever like Smith on a bad team.
For now, I’ve decided to rotate these guys until they get plucked :). I agree with you, Mike W-Smith is probably yellowed until he blows a few.
With Alex Meyer getting called up to work out of the bullpen after some strong numbers in AAA, what’s the odds of him becoming relevant in Holds leagues?
There’s a reasonable chance Ziegler gets moved- the Snakes will be sellers, and he’s a reasonable chit for a contender with his year and salary. Who in the world in that bullpen would take over as closer in that eventuality? I was thinking about buying some Hudson shares, but today changed that.
Burgos was getting the call and performing decently before he got injured. He’s the likeliest choice.
Snakes are pretty dysfunctional Look at the recent trade they made with Atlanta.
I don’t think they’ll even realize they should be selling.
Any SP-eligible relievers out there worth checking out? I had McAllister earlier this year to help with some Ks, but needed the roster spot back. Saves from an SP slot would be awesome (hello 2014 Britton and Mejia), but even just K and ratio help would be good.
Possibly,Drew Pomeranz, especially if Clippard gets traded, he’s role will be more important. His stuff plays up as an RP.
“he’s” = “his”, I mean. Need coffee…
I’ve been using Brandon Maurer and Liam Hendriks. No saves there, but some ratio help.
Wish Mauerer was getting holds… he’s pitching well but like an invisible man.
You are a bit behind the times re: the A’s… Mujica and Pomerantz are now their R/L late inning combination.. Scribner has been torched by long balls and is not quite in Purgatory but hasn’t won Melvin’ trust back yet.. O’Flaherty (and Abad) are both in the “I’ve got no one else fresh today– let me give them a shot” category.
So those of us looking for a SP who could rack of saves in the second half – is Maurer our best bet? If the Pads slip a little further, Kimbrel could be on the move.
I might actually lean towards grabbing Pomeranz. I doubt Kimbrel will be on the move unless the Pads get a Godfather offer for him.
Pomeranz has the easiest path in theory because if the A’s do indeed sell off (no guarantee since they have been playing a bit better lately in a mediocre division) Pomeranz would be in the mix with Scribner and Mujica to replace Clippard. Considering Scribner has been knocked down a bit in the pecking order over the last week or two and Mujica is a pretty average pitcher, Pomeranz could ascend to the top of that pecking order if he can have a dominant couple of weeks.