Bullpen Report: June 15, 2014
• Hector Rondon owners slept much better last night after hearing that the Cubby closer made it through an 11-pitch bullpen session healthy. Everything sounded so good, it appeared likely Rondon would be available on Sunday. However, with a 3-0 lead, it was Neil Ramirez, not Rondon, who notched another save for the North Siders.
So, what, do we have a changing of the guard in Chicago? Well, before the game manager Rick Renteria said that Rondon was available, but he hoped to squeeze an extra off-day out of him, likely to make sure his elbow bounced back fine after throwing from a mound Saturday. One could arguably read into that and figure that with a 3-0 lead (an easy save opportunity), Renteria decided to hold true to his word in a marginal save situation. However, even with the public positivity around Rondon, there is a degree of intrigue with Ramirez’s performances over the last week. If anything, the former Rangers farmhand’s peripherals (43% K%, 1.83 xFIP) have been slightly better than Rondon’s already-stellar marks (28% K%, 2.76 xFIP). It remains to be seen whether Ramirez can keep up these elite rates (especially since his minor league track record as a starter points to a higher BB%), but this certainly wouldn’t be the first time a closer with a tenuous grip on the stopper gig was “Pipped.” We’ll flip this back to red for the time being; Rondon owners need to handcuff with Ramirez if they haven’t already done so and all others looking for saves should take a flier, at least until we see Rondon back and healthy in the ninth.
• Jenrry Mejia scared some last week after having to leave a game with back stiffness, but he made a triumphant return this afternoon. In what amounted to essentially a bullpen game thanks to an early Daisuke Matsuzaka injury, Mejia picked up the old-fashioned two-inning save, retiring all six batters he faced. Mejia only garnered one swing-and-miss on 18 pitches this afternoon (and no punchouts), but his velocity looked fine (fastball around 93-94 mph which lines up with his yearly mark) so he looks good to go heading forward. Of note, Terry Collins did say that the two-inning save was a result of him wanting to make sure Meija’s back didn’t act up. If it did, he had Jeurys Familia waiting in the wings. Sounds like Mejia owners know who their handcuff is.
• Committee member Jake McGee was called upon to get the save in Tampa today and he breezed through an easy ninth inning, striking out one while pitching around a rogue single. Joe Maddon’s decision might have had a little something to do with the fact that Jon Singleton (a lefty) was hanging out waiting to pinch hit (the pitcher’s slot was up third), although as we’ve covered before, McGee is much more than just a LOOGY. Singleton did make it up to hit (after a Matt Dominguez hit) but struck out swinging to end the game. There’s nothing earth-shattering that hasn’t been covered in this space before; Joel Peralta and McGee are the better pitchers, but Grant Balfour appears to be the guy the Rays want right and in the ninth. If you are desperate, all three should be owned, but it promises to be tough to prognosticate who gets the next save chance, at least until someone separates themselves (one way or the other) here.
• Quick hits: Mike Scioscia said both Ernesto Frieri and Joe Smith may see save chances going forward, implying he’s not 100% in Frieri’s camp yet. This is probably the result of yesterday’s non-save blowup, but underscores that Smith should be owned in all leagues, even if Frieri is the guy looking at the majority of opportunities. Casey Janssen got a rare four-out save today. Sergio Santos was activated a few nights ago, but Janssen has this job under lock and key right now, so don’t blow FAAB dollars — it isn’t April anymore.
• The infirmary: Josh Fields has hit the disabled list with forearm soreness. While forearm issues are always scary, it’s worth noting Fields dealt with a similar ailment last year. Unfortunately, it comes at an inopportune time for the Houston righty, as he had posted a 25/4 K/BB since the end of April. Fernando Salas also landed on the DL. The Angels promoted Dane de la Rosa to replace him. de la Rosa has had some arm/velocity issues this year, but could work his way up the ladder if he’s healthy and effective.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.
McGee or Neil Ramirez ROS?
Cubs are winning more games the past 2 weeks and face easier hitters and ballparks.
Ramirez probably has the easier path to getting the job, but McGee has more upside IMO. If McGee somehow was able to secure the job, with full backing from Maddon, he would easily be a top 15 closer the ROS.
As it is, I suspect outings like today are probably going to be hit and miss with Balfour, Peralta and possibly Boxberger or Oviedo getting chances as well.
Ramirez just has to pass over Rondon and the job is his as he seems ahead of Strop in the pecking order.
Can we move Cody Allen to green yet?
Hard to consider him green when Francona keeps saying that he wants Axford to regain the job.
Hard to imagine them giving Axford the job when Axford walks the bases loaded when he’s put into a late and close game for a change.
Oh I agree Axford isnt very good, but it’s also tough to go all in on Allen as long as his manager seems to avoid actually giving him a full endorsement.
We should note, Axford got royally hosed by the umpire in the game last night….inning should have been over, but a perfect strike on the inside half of the plate was called a ball.
Forgot to post this – pitch #7 was called a ball; should have been strike 3.
http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/numlocation.php?pitchSel=446099&game=gid_2014_06_15_clemlb_bosmlb_1/&batterX=72&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=3&league=mlb&cache=1
Seems likely Allen will close until he blows one. Then it will be up in the air.
How many innings do you think Martinez can reasonably go in his spot start on Monday?
5IP
Depends on what his pitch count is probably, but my guess is Martinez starts, but it will be a bullpen game. My guess is he goes 3-4 innings tops and they turn it over to the pen. I just dont see the Cardinals allowing him to push it too far.
Honestly, I am shocked they are even starting him and not just calling up a spot starter from the minors.
Francona says that…yet Ax pitches regularly in the 6th or 7th inning..Ax wont sniff the 9th unless Allen implodes.
What does LaTroy have to do to get rid of that ugly yellow stain? 1 run allowed since May 19th, 4 saves and 1 win, including 3 saves in 3 nights, 2 of the 1 run variety, whip & ERA under 1.00, FIP under 2.80. (Apologies for the SSS, but it is the nature of these reports, right?)
If all things were equal, I doubt the arbitration-eligible rivals in Colorado would get a serious sniff at the closer’s job… but in fact Brothers & Ottavino have been wobbly.
Perfect excuse was tonight, with Hawkins having pitched 3 of the previous 4 nights, and Rex already in the game. No dice.
IMHO… It’s Hawkins job all the way, and it is not close. If he blows it, look for a non-arbitration eligible arm to get the opportunities, unless one of these young guys signs long term a la Doolittle.
‘What?’ you say… How about ‘ be younger!’ He can be affective but he sucks against lefties, sucks at home, sucks with runners in scoring position, and doesn’t strike out anybody. The guy signed to ‘bridge the gap’ to Brothers. Sub with Ottavino if you want, but he should be yellow from first pitch this year to last pitch unless the change is to red!
I’m not sure Colorado is too concerned about the arbitration numbers, that seems more of a Tampa or Oakland thing. I mean, this is an organization that handed a big money deal to Boone freaking Logan, clearly they value bullpen arms more than some teams. Plus, they let Brothers run with the closer job last year when Betancourt broke down, so I’m not sure that plays a big part in their thought process.
Hawkins has regained a lot of his job security, but I think yellow is a fair color for him. This is who he is, since he doesnt miss bats anymore, he is going to have outings where he is far more prone than a lot of closers to be BABIP’d to death and put his job in jeopardy.
advice on whether to drop belisario for joe smith? 12 team redraft league, no holds.