Bullpen Report: July 20, 2015
• Jonathan Papelbon closed out a rare Phillies win for his 16th save of the season tonight against the Rays. With Ken Giles throwing in the previous two games, the Phillies went Jake Diekman –> Luis Garcia –> Jeanmar Gomez for the bridge to Papelbon. However if/when Papelbon is traded, Ken Giles is ready to become the closer. There are no strong trade rumors at the moment and the deadline is approaching, but I’d still expect Papelbon to change teams. He’s not particularly cheap next year but it’s not a long term commitment and he’s proving to still be quite effective pitching to a 1.72/2.95/3.18 ERA/FIP/xFIP line. Throw in the fact that he’s vocally expressed a preference to change teams and I would be a bit optimistic if I were a Giles owner.
• Joakim Soria threw a perfect ninth tonight for his 21st save. Soria has had a few up and downs this year, so it’s nice to see him start the second half on the right foot. New teammate Neftali Feliz isn’t breathing down Nathan’s Soria’s neck, but he would be a threat to replace Soria if he goes back to his home run happy ways that crept up a few times this year.
• Recently promoted Rafael Soriano saw his first action for the Cubs tonight, throwing a scoreless eighth inning down by a run. Soriano threw 23 pitches with 12 going for strikes while allowing one hit. The ninth inning is still Jason Motte’s to lose and I still wouldn’t put Soriano above Hector Rondon, who has been pitching excellent of late, in the pecking order. But, I would say that Soriano is closer to saves than Pedro Strop given the former’s previous history and added him to the grid below.
• While it’s expected for Johnny Cueto to be moved before the deadline, Aroldis Chapman should be staying in Cincinnati. Chapman did what he’s known to do this evening and closed out his 19th game throwing a perfect inning with two strikeouts. Chapman is having another stellar season with a 1.56 ERA and 72 strikeouts. It’s a testament to how great he has been over the past few years that we don’t gawk much over him anymore. J.J. Hoover pitched a scoreless eighth lowering his ERA to an impressive 1.31. His ERA might suggest a shutdown reliever but it’s a little inflated with a .190 BABIP and 4.22 xFIP. Hoover is one injury away from saves but there are better options to own for both speculative saves and ratio help, in spite of his shiny ERA.
• It wasn’t the cleanest inning but Jim Johnson pitched around three base hits for his seventh save. If Johnson stays on Atlanta, he should tally up saves the rest of the year. However, Jim Johnson, like Papelbon, is expected to be traded sooner rather than later. In that scenario I’d expect the young Arodys Vizcaino to get a chance at the ninth. Vizcaino wouldn’t be the first choice if you care about closer experience, but it would behoove the Braves to see what they have in him.
Closer Grid:
[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]
When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias
Remind me why Feliz is breathing down my neck, while I’m on the DL for the year?
Felix eyein’ the DL?
Because quaaludes.
Whoops, he’s not breathing down Soria’s neck. This has been fixed.
The continued love affair with Edward Mujica is hilarious.
The continued love from the A’s or from the Bullpen Report? Haha
This is what happens when your first closer gets hurt, the next guy is in trade rumors and the three guys behind him all have warts. Scribner seemed to be the guy before a rough patch, Mujica creeped in with his Closer Experience and Drew Pomeranz is obviously a candidate as well.
In the event Clippard is moved, I’m not sure the A’s would fully commit to Pomeranz in essentially a one inning role. He would seem to have more value as a jack of all trades in the pen.
Does Tolleson need a break? He’s been rough lately.
About Arodys Vizcaino, I gleaned this from an article recently. Aardsma might be the play here if Jim Johnson gets traded.
“Vizcaino has been showing high-90s gas since debuting earlier this month, but he still has control issues and there are clear financial incentives to keep him out of the closer’s role. While he’s pitched just 26 innings as a major leaguer, Vizcaino already has nearly 2 1/2 years of service time because of all of his days on the DL. It won’t be enough to qualify him for arbitration this winter, but every save he earns will start really adding to his salary come 2017.”
You gleaned that from Matthew Pouliot at Rotoworld.
It’s a fair point and I should mention Aardsma anytime Vizcaino or Johnson rumors are brought up.
Atlanta’s bullpen usage moving forward is certainly worth following closely.
help. Mujica over Scribner when Clippard gets traded?
Mujica or Pomeranz will most likely get the first shot at closing if/when Clippard is traded. Scribner has sucked lately, so he has definitely been moved down in the A’s bullpen.
Any thoughts of yellowing the rays bullpen after McGee grabbed a save with Boxberger setting him up the other day?
Cash is going to play musical chairs with his closer by committee again, giving Boxberger some rest when he falters. I’d probably pick up both McGee and Jepsen if you’re desperate for saves.
As he has all season, Cash used Boxberger in the most important situation, which happened to be the 8th inning, when the best hitters were coming up to bat. It seems like the Rays don’t really use traditionally defined bullpen roles, but Box will most often still get the save, unless there’s a crucial situation where the best RP is needed earlier in the game. A really intelligent way to manage a bullpen in real life, but annoying for fantasy.
+1
Box didn’t set-up for McGee, he was used to get the top of a dangerous lineup out. He appears to be 100% the guy for TB.
Feel like Osuna is pretty close to yellow