Bullpen Report: August 11, 2012

• It finally happened. Bob Melvin has (temporarily, at least) removed Ryan Cook from the closer role. Since July 19th, Cook has given up runs in six of his eight appearances leading to a bloated 10.13 ERA over that time frame. Cook’s 4.24 xFIP remains well above his 2.76 ERA and his BB% rate remains one of the worst among qualified relievers. Melvin has left the door open for Cook to regain his job in the ninth if he can make it through a couple clean innings first, but for the time being Grant Balfour (who wrapped up Saturday’s 9-7 win) will get save opportunities. Balfour’s 4.16 xFIP is nearly as uninspiring as Cook’s but he holds a 0.63 ERA since the beginning of June with a solid 15/4 K/BB in 14.1 innings. Sean Doolittle, while a lefty who has hit a bump or two in the road recently, has a 2.43 xFIP and a 5.6 K/BB and also may be a dark horse candidate for saves in the interim but probably would require continued slips by both Cook and Balfour.

John Axford had another “uh-oh” Friday night, allowing two runs (one earned) to rack up his eighth blown save of the year. Since the middle of July, Axford has now allowed nine earned runs in 11.2 innings while owning an extremely subpar 9/7 K/BB. Axford’s stats might confuse some — his fastball velocity is up to 96.2 miles per hour after sitting at 95 last year — correspondingly his SwStr% is actually up a tick from his studly 2011 campaign — but it all boils down to the BB% being up nearly 50% from last year (8.2% up to 12.0%). While he’s deposed (either temporarily or permanently) it looks like recent minor league callup Jim Henderson is the go-to guy in Milwaukee. Much has been written about him this week, so I’ll keep the analysis terse, but Henderson will need to improve on his career 5.3 BB/9 in AAA to impress with regularity in the majors. EDIT: After an impressive ninth (tie game) where he struck out the side, Henderson gave up infield single, walk, walk, single to send the Brewers to another walk-off loss. Henderson is probably still the favorite for the next save opportunity, but the Brewers ‘pen remains messy.

Huston Street racked up his 21st save of 2012 on Friday night but it came at a price for fantasy owners as Street injured his calf covering first base on the final play of the game. Street’s sparkling 2.27 xFIP will be missed by Padres and fantasy owners alike. At 3.19, Luke Gregerson has the next lowest xFIP in the bullpen and will compete with Dale Thayer (4.15 xFIP) who has some 2012 closing experience (five saves) when Street was on the shelf earlier this year.

Wilton Lopez took his first blown save of the season for the Astros tonight, allowing the Brewers to force extras by allowing a couple hits and a run to eventually score on a Jean Segura groundout. Even with tonight’s hiccup, Lopez’s 2.47 xFIP makes him far and away Houston’s best option in the late innings and — as long as his elbow holds up — he should continue to man the ninth inning for the team with the second fewest (21) saves in baseball.

For those of you who play daily fantasy games like FanGraphs: The Game, or just like to stream players, here is a matchup you may be able to exploit.

A Pitcher for Tomorrow: J.J. Putz (AZ) vs. WAS

Putz hasn’t allowed a single run in the past month and his 13/0 K/BB, 0.85 xFIP combination over that time frame isn’t too shabby, either. Young Patrick Corbin has been fairly solid for Arizona this season and if the Diamondbacks are going to take Sunday’s game, they’ll likely need a solid inning from Putz at the back end.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second Off 25-Man
Arizona J.J. Putz David Hernandez Takashi Saito
Atlanta Craig Kimbrel Eric O’Flaherty Jonny Venters
Baltimore Jim Johnson Pedro Strop Darren O’Day
Boston Alfredo Aceves Andrew Miller Mark Melancon Andrew Bailey
Chicago (NL) Carlos Marmol James Russell Shawn Camp
Chicago (AL) Addison Reed Brett Myers Matt Thornton
Cincy Aroldis Chapman Jonathan Broxton Sean Marshall
Cleveland Chris Perez Vinnie Pestano Tony Sipp
Colorado Rafael Betancourt Matt Belisle Rex Brothers
Detroit Jose Valverde Joaquin Benoit Octavio Dotel
Houston Wilton Lopez Francisco Cordero Wesley Wright
KC Greg Holland Kelvin Herrera Aaron Crow
LAA Ernesto Frieri Kevin Jepsen LaTroy Hawkins Jordan Walden
LAD Kenley Jansen Brandon League Javy Guerra
Miami Steve Cishek Heath Bell Mike Dunn
Milwaukee Jim Henderson John Axford Francisco Rodriguez
Minnesota Glen Perkins Jared Burton Alex Burnett Matt Capps
NY (NL) Frank Francisco Bobby Parnell Jon Rauch
NY (AL) Rafael Soriano David Robertson Boone Logan
Oakland Grant Balfour Sean Doolittle Ryan Cook
Philly Jonathan Papelbon Antonio Bastardo Josh Lindblom
Pittsburgh Joel Hanrahan Jason Grilli Jared Hughes
St. Louis Jason Motte Mitchell Boggs Edward Mujica
SD Luke Gregerson Dale Thayer Brad Brach Huston Street
SF Sergio Romo Jeremy Affeldt Santiago Casilla
Seattle Tom Wilhelmsen Shawn Kelley Stephen Pryor
Tampa Bay Fernando Rodney Kyle Farnsworth Jake McGee
Texas Joe Nathan Mike Adams Alexei Ogando
Toronto Casey Janssen Brandon Lyon Darren Oliver
Wash. Tyler Clippard Drew Storen Sean Burnett

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]





There are few things Colin loves more in life than a pitcher with a single-digit BB%. Find him on Twitter @soxczar.

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Jason
12 years ago

There is some word that Bell is shortly getting another chance for the Fish. Don’t know how definite that is. Last night he still took the 8th and Cishek the 9th in a non save opportunity.