Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 9/18/2018

Here’s today’s chat transcript. It was a good one.

4:01
Brad Johnson: Hey folks, we’ll get started in a moment or two.

4:03
Jake Junis Priest: Aroldis: is he a quick activate or wait and see? He can kill a ratio but might get saves off the bat…

4:03
Brad Johnson: I think he’ll quickly return to the 9th inning, and there isn’t much risk to your ratios

4:04
Brad Johnson: Obviously there is SOME risk, but he’s more likely to help than hurt

4:04
High Strikes Low Balls: Have to start either Josh James or Touki Toussaint this week. Who would you risk going with?

4:05
Brad Johnson: This is a tough one. They’re the same asset class – precocious, unestablished talents. They’ve both avoided hard contact in tiny tiny samples

4:05
Brad Johnson: James has the better whiff rate, but again, the sample were working with is so small

4:06
Brad Johnson: I’d lean towards James I think

4:06
Brad Johnson: They’re both almost 50% likely to pitch fewer than 5 innings

4:06
Southern Bleacher Bum: Which 5 current 2018 rookies have the best chance for a HOF career?

4:07
Brad Johnson: Pitchers are always a poor bet, and we don’t know what HOF is going to mean when this current class retires

4:07
Brad Johnson: They won’t be used like existing HOFers

4:07
Brad Johnson: So let’s focus on the bats

4:08
Brad Johnson: Acuna and Soto obviously

4:08
Brad Johnson: I honestly wouldn’t bet on any others getting there. Gleyber, Ohtani, and…

4:09
Brad Johnson: I’m trying to find somebody I might have overlooked

4:09
Brad Johnson: Mejia, Meadows, Urias? Somebody like them.

4:09
Brad Johnson: Willians Astudillo, obviously

4:10
Brad Johnson: Who did I miss?

4:10
Bort: Uh, did Fangraphs just get rid of the ability to look at a player’s splits for non-members?

4:10
Brad Johnson: I doubt it

4:10
Brad Johnson: I can check

4:11
Brad Johnson: Nope, I’m looking at the splits page for Meadows right now

4:11
sasha: hi brad! it’s the finals in my league, and i need saves this week! who of shane greene/nate jones/mychal givens seems like my best bet? plz help!!

4:11
Brad Johnson: What about Buttrey?

4:11
Jake Junis Priest: Start bieber vs Boston this week? Ratios more important than counting stats.

4:11
Brad Johnson: Kinda lean against it in this case

4:12
Brad Johnson: Bieber, btw, is my pick for most likely rookie pitcher to have a HOF career

4:12
Brad Johnson: Excluding Ohtani

4:13
Brad Johnson: I thought that might be controversial, but he’s actually the WAR leader among pitcher rookies (FIP-based, not RA9-WAR).

4:13
stretch: I’m looking at 1 week replacements for T Story in the finals: Profar, Cano, McNeil, Muncy. 5 cat plus BB and TB. Thanks

4:13
Brad Johnson: Those are very high quality replacements. Can you stream to target specific stats as needed?

4:13
Brad Johnson: For example, McNeil is great for R and AVG, but doesn’t HR or SB at all

4:14
Brad Johnson: Profar is more rounded. Muncy is a pure HR play.

4:14
Brad Johnson: LAD faces way too many LHP though

4:14
Brad Johnson: so you need to target him for specific days

4:14
High Strikes Low Balls: Do you believe the Cards will keep Jose Martinez with his weak defense or do you think he actually gets dealt to the AL to become the DH he should be? Keepers are due at the end of the year and he is only valuable in my league as a 1st baseman.

4:15
Brad Johnson: Unfortunately, it won’t be this simple

4:15
Brad Johnson: They’re not going to trade him for nothing so it comes down to finding a partner

4:16
Brad Johnson: And in a league where Matt Adams, Mark Reynolds, and Adam Lind are completely free, I have trouble imagining a good return for Martinez

4:16
Om Shanti: I traded E5 for Whit months ago on your tip about winning league not trade. Iā€™m currently in 1st a lot of which is that trade. Thanks!

4:17
Brad Johnson: Glad to here it!

4:17
Brad Johnson: See, I occasionally give good advice

4:17
Rhys Hoskins Jr.: Ryan O’Hearn: Fluke, or actual coming out party? What do you see for his value?

4:17
Brad Johnson: Lemme look a little closer, I’ve been putting off worrying about sustainability with him

4:17
Brad Johnson: I’ve assumed he’s exploiting a broken scouting report like many rookies do

4:18
Brad Johnson: Ok, the thing to watch is his line drive rate. He sucked in the minors because he didn’t hit liners. In the majors, he’s been league average (~21%)

4:19
Brad Johnson: If that drops back to his MiLB rates (11.2% and 16.5% in two Triple-A stints)

4:19
Brad Johnson: Well, that could get messy

4:19
Brad Johnson: Outcomes range from unplayable to Matt Olson

4:20
Tony Kemp’s 2nd biggest fan: Hey Brad (moving over to here from Twitter), do you think people should consider weather and umpires more for their streams or is that sort of obsessive behavior totally unnecessary?

4:20
Brad Johnson: Here’s my take on that: if you have the capacity, you should absolutely look into that stuff. I do, but I also do this as a profession

4:21
Brad Johnson: And even I don’t always have time to fuss about these smaller details because I’m managing too many leagues

4:22
Brad Johnson: For example, I used to put in way more time managing against my opponents stats. For example, I used to scrounge up extra CL then trade them at the deadline for nothing to non-contenders who could catch my rivals but not me.

4:22
Brad Johnson: I don’t have the time to get that involved anymore

4:22
Brad Johnson: But if you do have time and enjoy these very marginal metagames, you should play ’em

4:22
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe: H2H playoff match-up. My opponent has 13 pitcher starts this week. I have 7. What do I do if I have my rate stats blow up? I have a better bullpen by far (he just has two guys) but I don’t think I’ll be able to compete with counting stats.

4:23
Brad Johnson: The good news is your opponent is unlikely to post nasty-good ratios

4:23
Brad Johnson: So you’ll have some margin for error

4:23
Brad Johnson: You need to either win them or trounce on offense

4:24
MHIG: Would you drop Wil Myers for Ryan Zimmerman season long. Standard 5×5 scoring? Balanced offense, I have plenty of steals.

4:24
Brad Johnson: I prefer riding Myers

4:25
Brad Johnson: I know he’s chilly, but he’s as likely as anyone (from the waiver wire) to go on a homer binge

4:25
Drew: How do you expect Norris to fare tonight vs MIN?

4:25
Brad Johnson: I’m hoping he does well since I’ll be using a couple shares. I expect 4.2 innings with a home run and 4.5 K

4:26
Jackson B: In a 12 team, everyone must keep 3 league, I’m torn between Stanton, Yelich, Soto, and Hoskins.  Kluber’s late struggles and Paxton’s lack of health (nothing new there) soured me on keeping a starter.   Somehow I see more potential in the younger guys than Stanton … am I nuts?

4:26
Brad Johnson: Yelich seems must-keep these days

4:26
Brad Johnson: I can’t imagine cutting Stanton is the right move

4:26
Brad Johnson: I love Soto, but his lack of SB limits him to 4 category upside

4:26
Brad Johnson: Today, I lean towards cutting Hoskins

4:27
Brad Johnson: He’s the least obviously top 36 player of the bunch

4:27
Guest: Do you have one pitcher and one hitter you’ll be targeting in late rounds of drafts next year?

4:28
Brad Johnson: Too soon, too soon (he went down on Madonna too soon)

4:28
Brad Johnson: I have some vague notions, but I’m not ready to share

4:28
High Strikes Low Balls: Do you think Velasquez is worth dropping either James or Toussaint? I could use him instead of either of those 2 for this week but he has only gone 5 innings in each of his last 6 starts and a couple ended after 2 innings.

4:28
Brad Johnson: Same asset class

4:28
Big Tuna: You going with TB stack or MIL stack tonight? Or a combo?

4:29
Brad Johnson: I haven’t really dug into it that far yet. TB stack looks tasty tasty though

4:29
joromacsquibb: In a deep H2H categories w/ OPS keeper league (20 teams w/ 20 keepers each) where real life contracts matter (players become FA at end of contract unless resign with team) do you keep Yo Cespedes even given his injury? What do you think is his most likely fantasy impact next year?

4:30
Brad Johnson: I can’t imagine you have 20 players with a better median than Cespedes

4:30
Brad Johnson: We’re obviously looking at a range of outcomes from nothing to mid-lineup monster

4:30
Prospectz4Dayz: In deeper leagues with 400+ players kept, is it worth keeping young pitching prospects like Cease/Gohara/Gore/Keller/etc who are somewhat close to the majors? Too much risk or worth the upside?

4:31
Brad Johnson: Depends on the opportunity cost. They probably fit better on a roster that spent a lot of resources aggregating talent

4:32
Joe: Hi Brad,

4:32
Brad Johnson: Hi Joe

4:32
Joe: Thanks for the chat. Please rank these deep league starters for 2019. Gausman, Minor, Bucholz, Fiers.

4:32
Brad Johnson: Paul Sporer is our pitcher rankings guy. I’ve actually stopped using rankings altogether.

4:32
stretch: re: story replacement. it’s a 10 tm where most teams aren’t making move so I can mix and match. thanks for the advice, i’ll stream as stats are needed.

4:33
Brad Johnson: In that case, you definitely should stream until you find something too good to cut

4:33
kevinthecomic: What happened to the MASH report?

4:34
Brad Johnson: Good question. It would be better to ask Jeff Zimmerman. He chats Sunday nights and can be found on twitter.

4:34
Mike: Not a scientific analysis but Villar seems to thrive on bad teams that let him run wild.  Assuming he’s back in Baltimore next year, do you think he can have a similar year to two years ago?

4:34
Brad Johnson: I wouldn’t pay for it happening, but I’ll be keen to land a few late-round fliers just in case

4:34
Guest: What’s going on with Villar?  He’s been going nutso ever since he got to Camden Yards.  Think he could come close to repeating his 2016 next year?

4:34
Brad Johnson: ok ok, I’ll look closer

4:35
Brad Johnson: Ok, I have tasted his stats and they’re basically the exact same as prior to the trade

4:35
Brad Johnson: There is one very large difference

4:36
Brad Johnson: He’s traded nearly 20 points of GB rate for nearly 20 points of FB rate

4:36
Brad Johnson: I’d like to think that’s sustainable and intentional, but I kinda doubt it

4:36
John Bradson: Any tips for trying to stream AVG?

4:36
Brad Johnson: Jeff McNeil for days

4:37
Brad Johnson: In general, you’re looking for hard contact line drive hitters against crappy low strikeout pitchers

4:37
Error: Is Austin Meadows going to get called up? Added him two weeks ago and I feel like a fool. Like I did when I added (and finally dropped) Willy Calhoun.

4:37
Brad Johnson: I assume so. The Bulls made the Triple-A final which I think was to be played today… or sometime soon if not today

4:38
Brad Johnson: Ironically, the final game of the International League playoffs was supposed to be in Durham. But they moved it to Scranton PA in deference to Florence

4:39
Brad Johnson: And I just so happened to have fled half an hour from Scranton so I got to see the game anyway

4:39
Cole: Who would you start tonight: Josh Bell or Choi?

4:39
Brad Johnson: EZ Choi

4:39
t Bone: Would you start Derek Holland today against the padres in a playoff h2h against the biggest streaming team in our 12 team league?

4:39
Brad Johnson: Yes

4:39
kevinthecomic: In the semi-finals of my H2H 7×7 (obp, not avg) 12-team redraft league.  Slightly worried about the recent power outages from Suarez, Carpenter, Realmuto and Zimmerman.  Would any of the following be suitable replacements (assuming I can slot them into positions) or do I ride it out: Astudillo & Meija for Realmuto; Choi, Davidson or Bour for Zimmerman or Suarez (using CI position); Polanco, Mondesi, Profar or Wendle for Carpenter; Schebler, Cave, Laureano or Dahl if I could move some current guys on my team from OF to other spots?  Thanks!

4:40
Brad Johnson: Of those you listed, I would only actively try to replace Zimmerman. Choi, Mondesi, and Laureano are the best options with which to do it

4:40
Brad Johnson: Choi if you want pure power, Mondesi if you need to optimize for SB, Laureano if you want a mix of the two

4:41
Next Ace: Berrios or Walker B for a keeper?

4:41
Brad Johnson: This might be against consensus, but I kinda like Buehler’s future a little more

4:41
Brad Johnson: Shame to have to choose

4:41
Kyle Hendricks: After last night’s performance, does it look like Kris Bryant broke out of his slump

4:41
Brad Johnson: I mean, one game is just one game

4:41
Brad Johnson: But I was never really too worried about him

4:42
HappyFunBall: Isn’t trading CL to non-contenders to goose your own standings collusion? I don’t generally veto trades, but I’d vote that down in a heartbeat

4:43
Brad Johnson: I don’t see it as such because there’s no agreement for the other party to behave in a certain way

4:43
Brad Johnson: Everybody’s acting in their own best interest

4:44
Brad Johnson: There’s nothing preventing the other guy from re-trading the reliever (which is why I wait for the deadline). Or cutting him (that’s happened too)

4:44
Down with OBP: Is Rodon a good start in 5×5 league today.  Need to hold my place in counting stats and ratio (about a 3.65 ERA and 1.20 WHIP).

4:44
Brad Johnson: I think I’d have him projected slightly worse than those rates

4:45
Brad Johnson: Not that a 4.00 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 5+ IP would have ANY affect on 1450 IP of ratios

4:45
Brad Johnson: I think you can play him

4:45
joromacsquibb: How does the White Sox outfield shake up next year? Avi Garcia showed some power when healthy this year but with Eloy, Palka, Engel, and others it seems crowded and playing time doesn’t seem guaranteed.

4:46
Brad Johnson: Well, I doubt Engel really factors into anything

4:46
Brad Johnson: but Delmonico might so your point kinda stands

4:46
Brad Johnson: I figure you get Eloy around April 15, Avi starts daily, and they sign a veteran CF of some kind

4:47
Brad Johnson: lemme refresh myself on options

4:47
Brad Johnson: Span would be a really nice fit in that no OBP lineup

4:48
Brad Johnson: Cutch, Jones, and Jay seem like plausible fall backs

4:48
Brad Johnson: All but Cutch should be very cheap – like 1yr/$5MM tops

4:48
Brad Johnson: And Cutch shouldn’t be too pricey either

4:49
Brad Johnson: The other guys are semi-interesting, but they’re not really MLB starters

4:49
Brad Johnson: at best second division

4:49
Brad Johnson: and the White Sox should be pivoting out of that side of the pool

4:49
bbboston: Brad,

4:49
bbboston: Who’s a better keeper: Jorge Polanco or Tyler White?

4:49
Brad Johnson: White

4:50
Brad Johnson: Real breakout. Right-handed Max Muncy-ish

4:50
HappyFunBall: re: Jackson B and Soto:  If you don’t believe Soto is going to be a God, someone else in your league does. Make that trade!

4:50
Brad Johnson: Very true

4:50
Brad Johnson: And another reason to keep Soto over Hoskins

4:50
Brad Johnson: Even if you have doubts, you should get a huge haul after the draft but before the start of the season

4:50
Tony Kemp’s 2nd biggest fan: Which cheap team has more upside tonight (excluding ownership): Mariners or Rangers?

4:51
Brad Johnson: EZ Seattle

4:51
cak199164: in my 2-week championship. Do you drop Abreu/Benintendi/E5 for someone producing/playing? replacement options are White/Renfroe/Mazara

4:51
Brad Johnson: I’d probably grab White for Abreu

4:51
Brad Johnson: not so sure he’ll bounce back from abdominal surgery

4:51
Big Tuna: With regards to daily stacks, do you always have a minimum number of players. 3? 4? Or is just rolling with 2 enough?

4:52
Brad Johnson: I’m flexible

4:52
Brad Johnson: This season, I’ve found stacks to be very ineffective

4:52
Brad Johnson: So I’ve been forcing myself away from those big four and five person pairings

4:53
Brad Johnson: That’s just me though, and I often do weird things like intentionally replace the best player in the stack with somebody unexpected (Tony Kemp is a favorite for this)

4:53
Jessica: What have you seen with Alcantara? Has his MLB success been legit?

4:53
Brad Johnson: Honestly, all I’ve seen are some video highlights

4:53
Brad Johnson: which, given they’re all of him striking out somebody, look very promising

4:54
Brad Johnson: My read of the stats is that he might be a max effort starter like McCullers (i.e. good short outings) or a premium reliever on a team that doesn’t have enough pitching to move him into the right role

4:54
Matt: Is McNeil gonna be overrated or underrated in drafts next season? Such an interesting case

4:55
Brad Johnson: Interesting indeed. I think we’ll find a VERY wide range of pick on him.

4:55
Brad Johnson: The problem with AVG only guys like him (or Joe Mauer) is that there’s so much pressure on them to never slump.

4:55
Brad Johnson: A Stanton can slump for half the season and still whomp 35 HR

4:56
Brad Johnson: The other issue is that it’s really hard to visualize their contributions to the stat sheet. So they don’t develop appropriate trade value

4:57
Brad Johnson: He’ll probably be undervalued long term, I’m just unsure about 2019

4:57
JBeeks49: Do you see the Rays making a run for the WC spot next year? Do you see them landing any FA?

4:58
Brad Johnson: 1. I think it could happen 2. Maybe a catcher and an assortment of retread arms

4:58
Brad Johnson: Matt Wieters has shown some hints of life. It would be so Rays for them to sign him to a $1.5MM contract and get a 3 WAR season in return

4:59
Parts and Gleyber: Two studs in tough positions this week: Price @nyc and Paxton coughing through maybe Houston. Start either if ratios matter most?

4:59
Brad Johnson: Can’t do Price against the Yankees

4:59
Brad Johnson: I buy into that narrative

4:59
Brad Johnson: Also, Yankee Stadium doom

4:59
Brad Johnson: I’d reserve judgment on Paxton until later

4:59
joromacsquibb: Does Adam Duvall play in Atlanta next year? Bench bat right now but Markakis’ contract is up after this season.

5:00
Brad Johnson: Kinda figure he’s gone unless they see something they think they can fix

5:00
Tim: Is there any batting average upside in Aaron Hicks?  Switch hitter, good walk and strikeout rates but only a .245 hitter.  Or is he just a victim of shifts?

5:00
Brad Johnson: I don’t really see upside. It’s a downside of being a patient hitter.

5:00
micah: Please pick two keepers: Hoskins, Torres, Correa, Bogaerts, Ozuna, Suarez

5:00
Brad Johnson: Woof

5:01
Brad Johnson: I don’t think I can do that for you without a LOT more information.

5:01
Brad Johnson: Not Ozuna

5:01
SharpChiCity: Looks like the standings portion of the site is broken!

5:01
Brad Johnson: Someone else mentioned an issue with the splits page. I think they’re probably trying to implement some changes in the backend

5:02
Brad Johnson: Shhh

5:02
Brad Johnson: I’m probably not supposed to share that

5:02
Not Jeff: Jeff’s article about Acuna got me thinking…how high do you think he goes on the board next year? Would top 10 be foolish?

5:02
Brad Johnson: Foolish but possible

5:02
Brad Johnson: Remember Mookie Betts the year after his debut

5:02
Brad Johnson: I seem to recall him going in the 8 to 14 range

5:02
Brad Johnson: It was a bad bet. It also paid off

5:03
Brad Johnson: Acuna is probably less risky than Betts was back then

5:03
Paul: Seeing a lot of Story replacement questions. Are you definitely dropping? I’ve been debating what to do and this chat and making me lean drop. Just didn’t sound like he was definitely out for the year.

5:03
Brad Johnson: Oh, I wouldn’t drop him just yet

5:03
Brad Johnson: But I would move in a temporary filler. I dumped Justin Wilson to do it

5:03
DJ Tanner: In a dynasty league with farm players, you think Vidal Brujan is a future top 50 fantasy guy? 70 speed with a high walk rate and sneaky pop

5:04
Brad Johnson: I’m never going to say a prospect is a future top 50 guy – at least not until they’re doing late-minors Acuna or Vlad type things

5:04
Brad Johnson: I wouldn’t even say Eloy is a future top 50 guy yet

5:05
Brad Johnson: That’s just how I treat prospects. I’d rather focus my resources on players who don’t require a breakout to be valuable.

5:05
Brad Johnson: Plenty of my colleagues feel otherwise

5:06
Brad Johnson: The upside is pretty impressive with Brujan. You’ll want to swat away all those pesky flies trying to trade you for him over the winter

5:06
kevinthecomic: Brad, I agree with you regarding trading of a CL.  As long as you get something of equal value (or close to equal value) in return for the CL, I don’t see what the problem is.

5:06
John Oleruds Helmet: Mr Brad!! May your wisdom grace the cosmos! Enlighten thee!! Going forward is Goodrum a guy that will improve, decline or is this what he is??

5:06
Brad Johnson: I see him as a second division starter at best. He’s not showing any signs of improvement, but that doesn’t mean he can’t improve

5:07
Brad Johnson: Playing time is very important to development. You never really know who will see the light and who will just keep flailing

5:07
Bob: Can Godley be trusted later this week?

5:07
Brad Johnson: You can never trust Godley. His results are seemingly unrelated to quality of competition

5:08
Wildtsunami: Lewis Brinson worth keeping

5:08
Brad Johnson: Without knowing a lot more about your league, I’d venture a no

5:08
Brad Johnson: If we’re talking 20 team, keep 28 or something, then yes

5:08
John: Josh James, Toussiant, Bryse Wilson,  more likely to start 20+ games next season?

5:08
Brad Johnson: One of the Braves for sure

5:09
Brad Johnson: Wilson might not be stretched out for much more than 20 starts, but I’m not sure Toussaint is quite good enough to pitch regularly on a contender

5:09
Brad Johnson: We’ll see how quickly he adjusts to the majors

5:09
Brad Johnson: I kinda smell a bullpen future for him

5:10
Jackson B: My doubts were about Stanton and not Soto, but I did not mention that this is a ‘keep so long as you wish’ league, which is where Hoskins comes in.  I fear Giancarlo’s injury history in years past clouds my judgment … many of those could have been pure bad luck.

5:10
Brad Johnson: Stanton’s only about 3 years older than Hoskins

5:10
Brad Johnson: Honestly, I would expect them to both phase out of keeper relevance around the same time

5:11
Bob: Do you think Rosario plays again this year?

5:11
Brad Johnson: Y’all need to be more specific sometimes.

5:11
Brad Johnson: I assume you mean Willin Rosario, and no, I do not think he’ll play again

5:12
Brad Johnson: And no, I’m guessing Eddie Rosario will be sent home. Maybe he’ll DH a couple days at the end

5:12
Brad Johnson: Amed Rosario is fine btw

5:12
Not Jeff: There are obviously no guarantees with TJ surgery, but would it be crazy to keep Ohtani (in a league where he is two way eligible) over a more established pitcher (Nola) with the hope that Ohtani can rake for a good part of next season then return to 2-way glory in 2020?

5:12
Brad Johnson: If you could come up with a “more established pitcher” who isn’t also a top 10 SP

5:12
Brad Johnson: then yes

5:13
Brad Johnson: Charlie Morton for example

5:13
George: h2h, traditional stats, weekly lineups (not day by day) – this week is the finals, so I just want max production from my 1B over these last 7 days: was I wrong to start Tyler White over Jose Abreu?

5:13
Brad Johnson: Nope, you made the right call in my opinion

5:13
Sum: thanks for chatting, Brad. apologies if you’ve already answered this. why l

5:13
Brad Johnson: I did not answer that yet

5:13
Sum: thanks for chatting, Brad. why did you list Josh James as a stack target tonight? thanks!

5:14
Brad Johnson: because he’s a volatile unestablished pitcher and it’s not unusual for such pitchers to throw a few too many juicy fastballs right down the pike

5:14
Brad Johnson: I’m not saying he’s definitely going to have a bad game. I’m just saying there’s a real chance he allows something like 7 runs in 3 innings.

5:15
Brad Johnson: And that’s what you’re chasing with a stack, that chance.

5:15
Brad Johnson: Is a stack against Yovani Gallardo more likely to bear fruit? Absolutely. But you’ll also share that stack with practically half the GPP field

5:16
Brad Johnson: So going after James instead gives you similar upside, more downside risk, and a chance to really separate from the pack if Gallardo happens to pitch well.

5:16
Treinen: My ERA and WHIP are both 0.85 right now. Am I perfect?

5:16
Brad Johnson: Perfect would be 0.00, no?

5:17
Silvia: I just read the Abreu/White question that I wrote (but you didn’t publish) in a different form, written by someone else. Is that more a case of great minds thinking alike, or fools rarely differing?

5:17
Brad Johnson: I don’t know. You’ve fooled me though. Or I’m confused.

5:17
Klonk: Is the stolen base dead? Who is our next 60-steal savior?

5:17
Brad Johnson: Mallex Smith is my pick

5:18
Brad Johnson: After kinda lagging to start the season, he’s really picked it up after making some adjustments at the plate

5:18
Brad Johnson: Mallex is going to be one of the biggest ADP growers between whatever first drafts are published and middle of March

5:18
Short Question About Short Stops: Royce Lewis or Wander Franco?

5:18
Brad Johnson: Do I have to pick?

5:18
Brad Johnson: They’re both so good

5:19
Brad Johnson: Lewis probably climbs faster which has value

5:19
Future Greg Bird: Mondesi will probably go 20 HR/50 SB next year, right?

5:19
Brad Johnson: “probably” isn’t the word I’d use

5:19
Brad Johnson: It’s certainly in the solution set

5:19
Brad Johnson: And he’s going to be the reason Mallex climbs so much

5:20
Brad Johnson: Mondesi’s going to be very expensive, and people are going to realize Mallex has a better all-around 5×5 profile for less

5:20
Silvia: Eric Thames: do I draft him next season? even as a flyer?

5:20
Brad Johnson: Yes. As a flier

5:20
Puper: Choi over Muncy ROS, or is that getting too cute?  Muncy has a lot of left handed match-ups…I’m worried he’s going to ride the pine too much to help.

5:20
Brad Johnson: Can you play matchups. I’d like it more if you can mix and match

5:21
Justin Upton: How many more of seasons of .260, 30HR, 170 R+RBI seasons are left in this bat? I’m not getting any younger.

5:21
Brad Johnson: 2.5?

5:21
Silvia: Brandon McKay, Triston McKenzie, MacKenzie Gore – which of these three would you rather have shares of in a former keeper league with one pitcher and one batter minor league slot

5:22
Brad Johnson: I think I like Brenden McKay most. I’m also intrigued by the two-way profile

5:22
Klonk: Is Bryce Harper a top 15 pick next season (redraft)? What if he signs with SFG?

5:22
Brad Johnson: He’ll sign with the Phillies or Yankees and everybody will freak out about all the extra homers that will never happen because he doesn’t hit “just enough” home runs

5:22
diadem: Matt Strahm a starter next year?

5:23
Brad Johnson: Kinda doubt it. They had every opportunity to make him one this year

5:23
Brad Johnson: Could be an Opener or Follower

5:24
Sister Martha: I opened up your blog and was accosted by Fernando Rodney shooting an arrow. I feel like you need to disclaim something like that. That image burns my eyes.

5:24
Brad Johnson: We’re in your face over on Patreon šŸ™‚

5:24
Slurp: Is devers a decent buy low in a deep dynasty? Or is he gonna go full Mazara and forever underperform the prospect hype?

5:25
Brad Johnson: I kinda doubt anybody will sell low. They’ll be more willing to sell at cost which wasn’t true in the past, but it won’t be cheap

5:25
Brad Johnson: I’m not too worried about him

5:25
Brad Johnson: Though I don’t really think he’s underperformed my expectations either

5:26
Brad Johnson: So it could be a matter of the market at large overestimating his performance

5:26
Brad Johnson: Ok, I’m way over my normal allotment. Thanks for playing everyone

5:26
Iggy Pop’s Raw Power: Drop D. Holland or Skaggs for tomorrow’s streamer?

5:26
Brad Johnson: Skaggs I think

5:26
E: Is Trevor Story a first round pick next year?

5:26
Brad Johnson: No. There’s just too many good players. The difference between 2017 and 2018 Story is too minute to take the chance.

5:26
SV + HLDS: In an otherwise traditional h2h league that counts both, is Hader or Treinen the better pick next season?

5:26
Brad Johnson: Treinen. We don’t know how pitchers will hold up in Hader’s role. History tells us they breakdown.

We hoped you liked reading Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 9/18/2018 by Brad Johnson!

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