Brad Johnson Baseball Chat – 6/27/2017
The results of today’s chat. Very Domingo Santana focused!
3:48 |
: I’ll begin with some life advice
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3:48 |
: If you ever see Sarah Huckabee Sanders trending on twitter, don’t become curious and investigate.
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3:49 |
: Because you’ll only become angry – that holds true no matter where you fall on the political spectrum.
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3:49 |
: So, shall we talk baseball?
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3:50 |
: Walk rate down, strikeouts up, hard hit % down. What to do about Carlos Santana in a 6×6 OBP & SLG league. Droppable for Granderson?
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3:50 |
: I’ll have to take a closer look
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3:51 |
: Because it’s an OBP league, I think you should stick with Santana. That said, I have to imagine there’s a different alternative. There are many players with low ownership rates who are better than Grandy
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3:51 |
: I’ve had a pretty meh season, and Baseball Savant has my xwOBA 20 points higher than my already blah wOBA allowed (.349 vs. .328). You concerned? Paul still put me in the must-start tier and close to the top 10.
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3:52 |
: Well, there were the reports of blisters. I think he’ll be fine if/when those resolve. We don’t get good information as to when that will happen
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3:52 |
: Jose Pirela: yay or nay?
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3:52 |
: Do you see Lonnie chisenhall sustaining his recent improvements to some degree ROS?
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3:52 |
: These are two guys I’d grab before Granderson
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3:52 |
: risk they’ll turn pumpkin, but you can churn to the next guy at that point
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3:53 |
: I’ll say, I’m intrigued by both of them
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3:53 |
: Odds are, at least one of the pair will regress
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3:53 |
: but I have shares of both for now
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3:53 |
: Why does Jimmy Nelson have fantasy trade value, but Zack Godley does not?
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3:53 |
: Zack Godley is better than Jimmy Nelson
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3:53 |
: treat him as such
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3:54 |
: Whats a fair return for Darvish? Maybe Stanton? Manny? Aim lower/higher? Somehow acquired a ton of strong SP (with MadBum due back soon) but am average at best pretty much everywhere on offense.
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3:54 |
: With almost no reliable SP in the league, I’m aiming very very high when swapping out pitchers
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3:54 |
: That depth can turn into a gaping pit of despair with little warning too
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3:55 |
: pitchers asplode
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3:55 |
: Will the humidor really make that much of a difference in Arizona?
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3:55 |
: Probably
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3:55 |
: I saw some figures awhile back, I don’t remember the details
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3:55 |
: the effect was supposed to be larger than at Coors though
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3:55 |
: Trevor Story for Paxton what do you think?
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3:55 |
: redraft? That’s an interesting challenge trade
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3:55 |
: they’re both playing terribly
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3:56 |
: Where do you stand on Bellinger? Will this guy continue to be a fantasy stud this year and beyond OR will regression hit him like a pre-Buster Douglas Mike Tyson uppercut?
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3:56 |
: Well, I’d bet on some regression, he doesn’t seem quite as good as Judge despite keeping pace
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3:56 |
: but he’s a legit bat
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3:56 |
: 10tm mixed – I can get Quintana for Price or Ray. Worth it for Price?
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3:56 |
: Keep Ray, that’s for sure
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3:57 |
: not sure I see much point shifting from Price to Quintana. Similar projections
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3:57 |
: Need to drop a SP (or 2) Have Cmart, deGrom, Stroman, Severino, Wood, Manaea, and Godley. Is it one of the last 2 guys?
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3:58 |
: So…you have to keep CMart, deGrom, and Wood. I have to imagine you can strike up a swap for one of the others. Those are all top 30 guys with the exception of Manaea (also you’re first cut)
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3:58 |
: Yesterday morning I traded Starlin Castro and Cespedes for Madbum and Kemp. Now the other guy is complaining that he’s getting a bad deal because castro got hurt and is calling for me (the commissioner) to undo the trade. That’s absurd, right?
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3:59 |
: Yep, unless there’s something to the contrary in the league constitution
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3:59 |
: The league I run gives owners 24 hours to reverse a swap for any reason
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3:59 |
: but then they can’t trade those players for 10 days (to prevent trade tampering)
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3:59 |
: story for paxton trade is a keeper ottoneu 5×5
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3:59 |
: ah…that’s…more complicated
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4:00 |
: All else equal, I’d hold Story. Depends a bit on the prices involved.
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4:00 |
: Alonso for an injured Hendricks…pick a side 10-teamer, ROS?
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4:00 |
: Alonso unless you’re drowning in offensive depth – which you very well could be in 10 team
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4:01 |
: Do you see Miggy rebounding in the second half?
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4:01 |
: I can see it!
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4:01 |
: Drop McCarthy for Fister? Fister’s newfound velocity is quite attractive.
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4:02 |
: Drop McCarthy for something. Unless the league is super deep. Not sure Fister’s the answer, but who knows.
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4:02 |
: Looking for 3 keepers in a league where 100 guys are kept. Thames, Dee, Dickerson, Zimmer, Barreto, Zimmerman, deGrom, Alex Wood. Do I even have 3? Albies/Mejia/Frazier are available.
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4:02 |
: You easily have 3. But ideally, you want higher end talents.
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4:02 |
: Santana Follow Up: Granderson has 1.000+ OPS since May 1 and a .297 ISO and a 15.6% BB%. Chisenhall is gone, and Grossman, Bonifacio and Renfroe are the other options.
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4:03 |
: Granderson is streaky. My response is to just avoid him altogether. But if you think he’ll keep running hot, I suppose there are worse gambles. Personally, I’d stick with Santana, but I don’t feel strongly about it
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4:04 |
: Is Francisco Mejia in the Indians plans for 2017?
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4:04 |
: I doubt it
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4:04 |
: They already have 2 solid catchers
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4:04 |
: 12 team mixed H2H– Starling Marte sitting there on the wire. Grab him now?
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4:04 |
: Getting to be ’bout that time
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4:04 |
: assuming the opp cost isn’t painful
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4:04 |
: Manaea, Nelson, or Grey for 1 SP slot in a league with K/9, BB/9, and K/BB?
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4:05 |
: I’ll bet on Nelson – all the same asset class imo
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4:05 |
: Catcher question: would you drop someone like LuCroy, Molina or Contreras for Ramos? I like his upside in h2h
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4:05 |
: I’m inclined to go down with the ship with Lucroy. The others are worth dropping for a dice roll
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4:05 |
: Thoughts on Trevor Bauer?
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4:05 |
: Usually a dumpster fire
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4:05 |
: command just hasn’t ever improved
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4:06 |
: paxton a top 20 arm ROS?
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4:06 |
: That’s a good question. He’s been terrible since returning
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4:06 |
: he was a top 5-10 arm before the injury
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4:06 |
: my team is in first place and barring a huge collapse is playoff bound. I’ve been propped up by a pitching staff that has been very successful, but some of the arms who got me here, most notable Fulmer, Nova and Vargas, keep popping up on sell-high lists. Should I try to consolidate and get a safer pitcher or two? Or ride out with my depth intact?
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4:07 |
: Vargas in particular has already declined to below average
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4:07 |
: if you can get something for him, do it
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4:07 |
: I like nova and fulmer to remain useful
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4:07 |
: Worth rolling with Lemahieu as a starting 2B? Or better to roll the dice with a waiver option (Happ, Pirela, etc.)?
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4:07 |
: Roll
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4:07 |
: What do you make of Barreto? How does he compare to other rookies who might get the call this year?
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4:07 |
: I don’t see much fantasy potential here
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4:08 |
: at least not immediately, long term, he could be a stud
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4:08 |
: I don’t think he’ll run as much as people expect, whiffs will be a problem, and accessing power in game could be an issue too
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4:08 |
: I’m not going out of my way to acquire him in redraft
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4:09 |
: that said, surprises happen. Bradley Zimmer profiled as only slightly better and he’s been quite solid, albeit in a way that could fall apart at any moment
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4:09 |
: If I need HR in a 12 tm, could I get away trading Yelich for Schebler or Duvall?
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4:09 |
: Upgrade a CL in the deal too
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4:09 |
: but yea, I’d prefer Schebler to Yelich at this point
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4:10 |
: If Brad Hand gets traded to the Nats, will he be slotted in as the closer?
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4:10 |
: They almost have to try it, no?
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4:10 |
: That bullpen is a mess
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4:10 |
: they really need to add multiple arms. Treinen is starting to look better too
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4:11 |
: Is this recent power surge from Moreland legit?
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4:11 |
: I worry about the thumb injury
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4:11 |
: Any hope for a Thames turnaround? Obviously he’s not getting back to his Bonds-ian April, but he has looked really bad for the past two months.
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4:11 |
: He’s been fine, power’s still there. Had that period where he was playing hurt. He’s a low average, high OBP, high power guy
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4:12 |
: I’m desparate at SS in a 15 team keeper. Now that Gleyber (injury) and Barreto (already held) are off the table, is there any other SS who gets called worthy of starting?
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4:12 |
: Tyler Wade?
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4:12 |
: In a 12-team mixed keeper league (5×5), who ya got?
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4:12 |
: Broxton has the ceiling, Altherr is a high floor bat
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4:12 |
: Is Mallex Smith worth owning in a 12 tm if I’m doing well in steals without him?
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4:13 |
: Somebody should own him. You can let him go to someone else or try to hoard the category and leverage a good swap
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4:13 |
: Who are some lesser known guys in the minors who could go nuts on the basepaths later in the season?
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4:13 |
: Zach Granite jumps to mind
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4:13 |
: He leads the International League in batting average. He isn’t making outs
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4:14 |
: Triston McKenzie vs. Dominic Smith: McKenzie, right?
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4:15 |
: That’s either a push or Smith for me. I’ll admit, I’m quite impatient. I’m also edgy about waiting 3 years for a pitcher.
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4:15 |
: I’d rather try to catch the Alex Woods and other breakouts
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4:15 |
: Needs saves…have Kahnle, Doolittle, and Bedrosian stashed, Arodys is owned, who else could inherit a closer role? SF? KC? SD?
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4:16 |
: Hand or Neshek could be traded into one. Or just promoted. Kela and LeClerc might inherit from Bush
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4:16 |
: Do you forsee Alex Wood as a Top 5 pitcher the ROS? What about 2018 outlook?
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4:17 |
: Probably the 5-10 range for both until we see otherwise
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4:17 |
: Pollock ($13) and Story ($11) for Sale ($35) Ottoneu 5×5 which side wins?
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4:17 |
: Good swap
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4:17 |
: Long term, the position players probably win. Now, I’d prefer Sale
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4:17 |
: Will the wrist injury and move to 3B zap some of Freeman’s value? Should I try to sell him before he returns?
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4:17 |
: Go ahead and look into it. Never know when somebody will go crazy
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4:18 |
: Hanley Ramirez? Be patient or time to move on?
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4:18 |
: Depends on the format. The shoulder injury isn’t going away
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4:18 |
7th in GB%, 23rd in FIP, 25th in HR/9, 32nd in BB/9 but he’s 136 of 137 in LOB% at 53%. League average is 72.5%LOB, this has to normalize, right? |
4:19 |
: Not sure. I don’t have a good read on him. I do know he’s very SB prone which doesn’t help
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4:19 |
: Obviously, all those other indicators are interesting
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4:19 |
: I am holding onto Rosenthal for spec saves. At what point do I use his roster spot to chase short term saves like David Hernandez or Matt Albers?
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4:20 |
: When you’re absolutely desperate for those saves. Because those are some nightmares
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4:20 |
: Matt Bush implodes and then bounces right back to lock down a save. Can he be trusted as a closer?
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4:20 |
: Nope
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4:20 |
: I’m guessing the Bullpen Report has him listed as yellow
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4:20 |
: Who’s worth more over next 4 years, Bellinger at $5-$9-$13-$17 or Judge at the same price? 5×5 roto auction keeper league
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4:20 |
: Judge
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4:21 |
: Was last year the outlier for Corey Dickerson and should he be considered a top 15-20 OF again?
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4:21 |
: He’s very good right now. Seems to be a mechanical and approach based change
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4:21 |
: not everything is merely statistical variation
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4:21 |
: he was not the same player last year
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4:21 |
: Is Kingery being called up to AAA just a brief stop over on his way to a down and out Phillies team?
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4:22 |
: Nah, that’s not how they handle prospects
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4:22 |
: I doubt he’ll even get a September call.
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4:22 |
: In fact, he doesn’t need to be protected from the Rule 5 this winter. He won’t be added. Their roster is a nightmare.
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4:23 |
: Wieters or Ramos ROS? 12 team OBP league
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4:23 |
: Ramos
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4:23 |
: Thoughts on Zunino? Top 8 catcher for the rest of the season?
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4:23 |
: Gross. I’m not getting tricked into buying Zunino after his annual 15 days of decency
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4:23 |
: Who would you like to have ROS – Maybin, Broxton, or Zimmer?
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4:24 |
: Maybin with the caveat that he’s frequently unhealthy
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4:24 |
: Is Alex Avila, the silver medalist of exit velocity, a useful piece in 12 team leagues after VMART comes back or is the lack of Plate Appearances make him droppable?
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4:24 |
: He’ll play enough to be a catcher. McCann is bad.
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4:25 |
: Is Mazara a genuine future fantasy stud, or just one of those Heyward-type bodies people love to dream on? I know he’s still super young, just curious as to your opinion
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4:25 |
: I think he’ll grow into a monster
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4:26 |
: Last year, I noticed he’d get fooled and make bad contact. Eventually, he probably won’t be fooled as often.
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4:26 |
: There’s always risk the development just stops
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4:26 |
: Drop McCarthy for Rodon? McCarthy has been pitching well, when healthy of course
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4:26 |
: You can, but don’t play Rodon until he shows some life
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4:26 |
: he was terrible on rehab assignment
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4:27 |
: Jose Ramirez is a superstar on paper and keeper gold right?
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4:27 |
: Yep
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4:27 |
: Does Norris regain the closer’s job when he returns?
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4:27 |
: I doubt it. Who can predict Mike Scioscia though
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4:27 |
: Joey Bats….in April his avg/obp were .178/.309
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4:27 |
: Regression is good.
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4:27 |
: Would you recommend using Newcomb at SD today in 10-team NL only?
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4:27 |
: Yes
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4:28 |
: great park, terrible offense, volatile/high ceiling pitcher
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4:28 |
: Also follow up here. Thinking about trading Cueto for Kenley Jansen in NL-only. Have Wood, Ray, Godley, Leake, spot start Chatwood, with MadBum and Cahill on DL, but bullpen has been a mess all year. Seem fair?
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4:28 |
: Try it. Kenley’s worth a lot more
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4:28 |
: What’s your level of interest in the Reds’ Luis Castillo? In his first start his fastball averaged 98…
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4:28 |
: And that is interesting, as was his changeup
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4:29 |
: I’m watching him closely
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4:29 |
: what are the odds on Braves trading Jim Johnson in your view?
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4:29 |
: 30%?
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4:29 |
: I don’t think there will be much demand
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4:29 |
: at some point, a decent reliever on a bad team is worth more than a bag of balls
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4:29 |
: Chris Taylor has a .703 Ops in the last month: Is he worth hanging on to as a MI or should I pursue a waiver option like Harrison or Gennett?
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4:29 |
: He’s also still hitting homers and stealing bases
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4:30 |
: hold until the other categories start to disappear
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4:30 |
: Got Tanaka in exchange for Nova. Did I play myself?
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4:30 |
: 😀
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4:30 |
: *nods
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4:30 |
: Rodon or J. Montgomery ROS roto?
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4:30 |
: monty
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4:30 |
: In shallow dynasty would you drop Greg Polanco for Domingo Santana or Trey Mancini? 10-team, 3 OF
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4:30 |
: Santana is my preferred bat of the trio
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4:31 |
: Mancini and distant 3rd
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4:31 |
: Machado seems to be coming around…you buying?
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4:31 |
: He has to at some point, right?
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4:31 |
: How long do I hold on to Brach after Brittons return? Have them both but would obviously love to switch out Brach for someone more useful if Brittons fully healthy
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4:31 |
: 3 weeks or so
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4:31 |
: I’m looking to use my pitching to upgrade my hitting. Who are some OF I could get for conforto and fulmer in a 2 for 1?
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4:31 |
: Dickerson?
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4:31 |
: A better version of Conforto basically
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4:32 |
: Mitch Moreland fractured his toe and is playing through it. I see no reports of a thumb injury. Did you mean toe?
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4:32 |
: Yes, I meant toe.
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4:32 |
: Looking to consolidate pitching. King Felix and Peacock for Quintana too much in a 12 tm?
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4:32 |
: Kinda prefer Peacock’s absurd K rate to the others
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4:33 |
: Throw some thoughts down. 4×4 mixed 15 teams. I have Kershaw, Strasburg, Fiers, Bauer, Nova all in SP roles. Have 4 RP and will be cutting one. So. I need 6 SP. I have Rodon, Cahill, Sabathia, Morton and Gray Of Rockies all coming off DL soon. I have Thor in Maybe ?. What 6 SP to go to battle with. I get Kershaw and Stars for sure. Pick 4 in 4×4 for me.
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4:33 |
: Nova, Morton, Cahill, Thor when you’re at full health
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4:33 |
: I think you can discard Sabathia with confidence
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4:33 |
: give Rodon some time to build value
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4:34 |
: Gray is always tricky
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4:34 |
: Best scoring method for fantasy baseball…your thoughts?
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4:34 |
: Standard 5×5 roto with deep rosters and 14 teams
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4:35 |
: or 6×6 with holds, OPS and shallow bench
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4:35 |
: The former is the perfect blend of (sort of) uncorrelated stats
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4:35 |
: the latter forces managers to punt somewhere.
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4:35 |
: hold on, door
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4:37 |
: Tanaka: Buy low or avoid?
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4:37 |
: I’m avoiding
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4:37 |
: Drew Pomeranz or Michael Pineda?
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4:37 |
: And that’s a coin flip of ugly
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4:37 |
: either could rebound
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4:37 |
: The most under-owned pitcher is fantasy is___________?
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4:37 |
: Jordan Montgomery
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4:38 |
: Is Luke Weaver going to be a 2nd half stud this year?
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4:38 |
: The Triple-A stats are enticing, but I fear he’s one of those guys who doesn’t translate well to the majors
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4:38 |
: i have lindor & boegarts can i keep both or trade 1 for a position of weakness? luv both players…..
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4:38 |
: it’s your team, you can do anything!
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4:39 |
: as always, it depends on the opportunity costs and what’s available
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4:39 |
: try to drive a hard bargain
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4:39 |
: Can Brad Peacock stick in the rotation all year, or is he bound for the pen?
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4:39 |
: he’ll return to the bullpen
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4:39 |
: if they didn’t already have Devenski, he’d be doing the multi-inning role
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4:39 |
: the Astros have an embarrassment of pitching riches.
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4:39 |
: Who wins this deal ROS; Trout and Britton for Wood and Cueto?
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4:40 |
: uh
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4:40 |
: Trout
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4:40 |
: by 3X
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4:40 |
: Do you consider Pineda a must-start pitcher in 12-team league formats?
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4:40 |
: No
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4:40 |
: In one of my leagues, when you drop a guy with a salary over $10, they keep that salary on the wire, meaning to pick up that guy you have to make a FAAB bid of at least that amount. Aaron Nola has been sitting on the wire for weeks. it would cost me about %50 of my remaining FAAB budget, and I make a lot of bids throughout the season. Is it worth handicapping my future ability to make moves to get a top-30 starter?
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4:41 |
: I’d pass in that scenario
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4:41 |
: he’s not THAT good
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4:41 |
: Jordan Montgomery has been pitching great lately. Is he really this good, or should I shop him around and try to sell high.
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4:41 |
: Nobody is interested. Trust me
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4:41 |
: just keep riding the wave
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4:41 |
: Is Ken Giles for Knebel just a lateral move, or is Knebel that much better to make it worth?
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4:41 |
: Looks lateral to me
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4:42 |
: with the added benefit that the Brewers don’t have an itchy trigger finger with the ninth inning
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4:42 |
: How worried should Villar owners be with him losing significant time to Sogar and the outfield mix with Braun back too
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4:42 |
: Pretty worried. Sogard looks like he needs to play 6 days a week
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4:43 |
: Madbum and Sanchez for Cutch and Trumbo. H2H 7×7
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4:43 |
: Gary?
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4:43 |
: Sometimes I think people ask me these things just to show off
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4:43 |
: Gary Sanchez OR Madbum are worth more than Cutch and Trumbo
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4:43 |
: What do you expect out of me?
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4:44 |
: super utility guy with potential to swipe a handful of bags
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4:44 |
: have you seen who the DBacks are playing in the OF recently?
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4:44 |
: ayup, it’ll get much better soon
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4:44 |
: Is he truly a sub 800 ops SS or has he been unlucky/struggling? I know his defense is great but that has no fantasy implications.
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4:45 |
: I think he’s a .750-.900 OPS guy
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4:45 |
: I get that’s a big range, but it SHOULD be a big range
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4:45 |
: DBacks have been playing Hermann/Fuentes/Blanco in their OF…can’t Oswaldo Arcia help in corner OF? he killing it in AAA (granted its PCL) but isnt he an upgrade?
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4:46 |
: Arcia is in beast mode. It really says something about him that the club hasn’t given him a shot
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4:46 |
: they obviously don’t like what they see
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4:46 |
: Villar or Maybin ros?
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4:46 |
: ah, sadly I’m inclined to prefer Maybin
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4:46 |
: What are your thoughts on Carlos Martinez’s Home/Road Splits? Would you start him in Arizona tonight?
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4:46 |
: I’m starting him, but I’m also cringing
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4:46 |
: he’s too good to sit anywhere
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4:46 |
: Nova vs TB, or Gsellman (x2) vs MIA and PHI? Weekly H2H pts
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4:46 |
: Nova
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4:47 |
: I don’t want anything to do with Gsellman the starter
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4:47 |
: I’ll roster his reliever alter-ego though
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4:47 |
: Trade away Kluber for Lamb and Andrew Miller? 6×6 16 team keeper with OPS and holds.
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4:47 |
: I like that swap on both sides
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4:47 |
: Why do you say that Vargas is below average? 4 of his last 5 were quality starts. Not many K’s, but with so much bad pitching, isn’t he still valuable?
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4:47 |
: I guess if you’re in a QS league
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4:47 |
: Otherwise, he offers zero above average categories
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4:48 |
: which is by definition, below average
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4:48 |
: beep beep boop beep bop…do you think the White Sox could get Ablies in a Quintana trade with Atlanta?)
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4:48 |
: hahaha no
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4:48 |
: maybe before he pitched poorly for three months
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4:48 |
: they’ll get a decent return because the peripherals are fine, but they’ve lost the opportunity to command a premium prospect
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4:49 |
: Thoughts on Kendrys Morales? I was bullish on him preseason due to the ballpark/lineup upgrades, but he’s scuffling…GB% stinks, to boot. Thinking about dropping him so I can snag CarGo off waivers to DL-stash…then i’ll just find ANYBODY else, right?
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4:49 |
: I like Morales, but go ahead and stash Cargo
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4:49 |
: you won’t miss him that much
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4:49 |
: Mazara or Domingo ROS and next year
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4:49 |
: Domingo? Pretty close through end of 2018. I prefer Domingo in 2017
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4:50 |
: What’s your take on Lucroy? …besides the fact that he can’t frame or play defense anymore…dude just ain’t hitting! Drop him for Ramos or Grandal? Thanks!
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4:50 |
: Grab Grandal
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4:50 |
: Lucroy has turned into a better Francisco Cervelli
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4:50 |
: Moncada over/under 80 games played in the majors this year?
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4:50 |
: Way under
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4:50 |
: weird Star Wars theme btw
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4:51 |
: Forsythe is 44th at 2B by wR+. Utley can’t be trusted to play every day, and is also below average offensively. Why is Willie Calhoun still in the minors? Even if defense is the issue, put him in LF and let Taylor play second. Stats make me think he can be who we all wanted Maikel Franco to be…
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4:51 |
: Utley has something like a 140 wRC+ since May 9
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4:52 |
: Yea, he needs a lot of rest, but that’s kinda a good thing on that roster
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4:52 |
: besides Forsythe will figure it out
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4:52 |
: What kind of pitcher could Andrew McCutchen land in an OBP/QS league?
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4:52 |
: Godley/Monty/Nelson?
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4:52 |
: I mean, aim higher
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4:52 |
: but that’s probably where you’ll settle
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4:52 |
: think Charlie Morton comes back as a valuable asset?
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4:52 |
: he did the last time he returned from injury
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4:53 |
: no reason to assume he won’t maintain the velo
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4:53 |
: Mike Trout was the consensus #1 overall pick in redraft leagues in 2017. He will probably be #1 in 2018. Who is the next player not named Mike Trout who will be #1?
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4:53 |
: Right now, the only good bet is Aaron Judge
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4:54 |
: Alternatives like Mookie Betts are too much like Trout
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4:54 |
: to out-fantasy Trout, you need a 60+ HR bat with 150 RBI
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4:54 |
: Avi Garcia… 1 year fluke, or another piece for the White Sox to build around?
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4:54 |
: so fluky
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4:54 |
: so so so fluky
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4:54 |
: drop Brantley or Carpenter for DOMINGO SANTANA?
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4:55 |
: redraft? I might sit on the oldies
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4:55 |
: they both look likely to regress in a good way
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4:55 |
: SS is my only weak spot in my 10 teamer OPS lg. is addison russell worth holding or should i be streaming/taking flyers? it hasn’t been great but i want to believe in the talent
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4:56 |
: I’d be trying to squeeze in others like Taylor. Maybe snag injured Cozart just to see
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4:56 |
: I have Bregman at 3B, would I be better of with Gallo or Gennett in a 5×5 redraft?
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4:56 |
: Gennett!
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4:56 |
: Oh, that’s not an answer to your question
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4:56 |
: Somebody asked if they should roster Bennett earlier and I had NO idea who they meant
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4:56 |
: had to be Gennett
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4:57 |
: anywho, I think you’re stuck with Bregman for now
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4:57 |
: Is Price and Brantley too much for Braun in a 5 OF league?
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4:57 |
: No, looks like a possible steal for you
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4:57 |
: Reached salary cap in NL only league. Have Cahil coming off DL soon $7 (pitching is a mess). Do I drop Pence $14/Crawford $7 or Panik $7. I think I hold onto Nola $10
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4:57 |
: Drop a Giant
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4:57 |
: Panik probably
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4:58 |
: time for me to wrap it up
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4:58 |
: I’ll skip forward to the present, I’m lagging about 20 minutes behind (better than normal)
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4:58 |
: Would you rather have peacock or faria in a redraft? What about a dynasty?
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4:58 |
: Peacock in both
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4:58 |
: I’m not a big believer in Faria yet
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4:58 |
: Monty? Are you referring to Mike or Jordan?
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4:59 |
: Jordan, but I love Mike too
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4:59 |
I give Lindor, Alonso, CarGo, Belt, & Bregman and I get Stanton, Matz, Knebel, and Carpenter Who wins the deal? |
5:00 |
: Well, Lindor’s the best in the swap, but with pitchers involved it all comes down the categories
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5:00 |
: I’d hang onto Lindor though
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5:00 |
: What about quintana? Sell or hold?
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5:00 |
: Can you sell
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5:00 |
: go ahead if there’s a buyer, might be better to hope the peripherals win out though
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5:00 |
: Would you do either Rivero ($6) or Knebel ($6) for Domingo ($12) in an NL only? Values are for 2018
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5:01 |
: Yea, you can trade a closer for a slightly more expensive OFer.
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5:01 |
: how bad is it if someone (30x dynasty) trades altuve for thames when he’s hot, then trades thames for Mallex Smith and Tommy Pham when Thames has cooled… appears very reactionary and bad for the team long-term. They are in the playoff running!
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5:02 |
: yea, they just lit a lot of value on fire
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5:02 |
: but Smith and Pham may help more for their playoff run
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5:02 |
: lightning round
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5:02 |
: Odorizzi or Perdomo ROS (H2H points league)
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5:02 |
: ugh, Odorizzi
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5:03 |
: Joe Ross vs. Brandon McCarthy–who wins? And what are your thoughts on Ross ROS?
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You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
Thank you for this very informative tutorial. I see how you were able to arrive at a model that best predicts pitcher WAR by incorporating those variables that accounted for most of the variance i.e.,IP,SO,HR,BB. Please forgive my ignorance, but I can’t see where we can identify the actual model formula: WAR = -0.8 + 0.02 * IP + -0.13 * HR + -0.04 * BB + 0.02 * K using this analysis.
Thank you in advance.
Lee