Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 3/10/2020

Brad Johnson: We’ll get started momentarily.

Brad Johnson: I just need to finish chomping on this kale first

pepper: Salutations!   Josh Van Meter.   how many at bats you reckon the kid can get in a utility role for Reds?   He smells like a 20/20 to me if he can find 500 at bats.   Agree?

Brad Johnson: I think the speed probably plays below that, but I do have him as a big fantasy sleeper who’s hopelessly blocked.

Brad Johnson: I just got done writing about how Phil Ervin and Scott Schebler (both out of options) could force Van Meter to Triple-A.

Brad Johnson: I’ll say something opens up 250 PA (ie injuries)

Brad Johnson: 500 PA is very unlikely but a great sign of fantasy output if it happens.

Mason Saunders: 5×5 Roto. Yu Darvish or Justin Verlander as a keeper?

Brad Johnson: go with the healthy guy imo.

Little Tiger: With Conforto who will probably start on the IL, the best options in my league are : Kevin Pillar, Teoscar Hernandez and Ender Inciarte. I almost prefer taking a chance with Jake Fraley of the Mariners. Who would you choose?

Brad Johnson: I’d take Hernandez in the hopes he starts hot

Brad Johnson: He’s a hot and cold hitter

hooha: How much playing time do you think Arozarena gets in TB?  How about Monte Harrison in MIA?  Both could be nice speed assets late if given PT.

Brad Johnson: Neither look to be in line for a lot of time. Arozarena may depend a bit on Kiermaier’s annual injury.

Brad Johnson: Right now he’s a defensive tandem to Renfroe/Martinez types

Brad Johnson: Harrison has quite a few guys to swim by to get any sort of playing time in Miami. Maybe if they trade some guys like Villar and Dickerson at the deadline

Brad Johnson: Feels like a midseason pickup if your league isn’t very deep.

KitAndCanoodle: Super deep points league: Jackie Bradley, Lewis Brinson, or Kyle Lewis? I’m generally assuming that playing time is king down in these areas, so I’m leaning JBJ, but they’re all strikeout risks.

Brad Johnson: I’m with you on going JBJ

Brad Johnson: It’s not exciting though. You might be able to catch a hot week of Lewis and turn him into something better. Like JBJ and a good reliever.

Logan: Who after Woodruff will be the most valuable fantasy starter for the Brewers this year?

Brad Johnson: I’ll WAG Lindblom only because I know the others just aren’t very interesting for fantasy purposes.

Brad Johnson: There’s at least some uncertainty with Lindblom.

Dan: Which injured ace would you pay more for in a 5×5 auction right now: Scherzer (side discomfort) or Verlander (lat strain)?

Brad Johnson: Scherzer since we don’t even know he’ll miss considerable time.

Turgid: How would you handle a 12-team mixed league auction draft where historically everyone goes stars and scrubs and therefore has pretty extreme inflation? Mike Trout goes for over $60 every year. Top pitchers go for over $50. Basically every player in the top 3 rounds goes for about $20 more than straight auction values say they should, and there are massive numbers of $1 players at the end of the draft. Would you strictly follow auction values and clean up on mid-round players? Would you go along with the crazy inflation and rely on making up for overpaying with $1 players? Or somewhere in between?

Brad Johnson: In 12-team mixed, the rep level is very high. So you HAVE to get stars.

Brad Johnson: As much as I like to preach “zig when they zag,” I’ve never seen anybody (including me) succeed by trying to get a lot of mid-tier guys.

Brad Johnson: What happens is people keep bidding aggressively until there really aren’t that many great values. So you’ll get some $10 guys for $5. Whoop-dee-doo

Dan: How was the kale?

Brad Johnson: green

Paul: Is Randy Arozarena worth grabbing or is he just a guy having a great spring?

Brad Johnson: I don’t mind stashing him just to see. The Rays are just so crowded, and I have trouble seeing them pushing Kiermaier into a lighter role.

AL arms: Cole is being kept, Sale and JV (and Clevenger) are hurt: who do I buy as an ace in AL Only?

Brad Johnson: Morton, Lynn, Berrios, Boyd, Giolito all come to mind

Brad Johnson: Bieber

Trent: Which MLB team has the fewest rosterable players?

Brad Johnson: Off the top of my head, probably the Tigers.

Brad Johnson: Even the Royals and Orioles have rosterable players at almost every position. The Tigers have… Cron and Goodrum.

Brad Johnson: Maybe you get some life from Miggy, Maybin, or Schoop.

G: I’m having a hard time figuring out Ohtani’s value in a league where he is one player eligible as DH/SP. I can keep him at $16 in a 16 team mixed–there’s upside for top-20 overall there, right?

Brad Johnson: Everybody is having trouble with that. What I can say is he’s a must-keep at $16.

Tyler: Hey Brad, what’s your approach to drafting pitching in an Ottoneu FGpts league?

Brad Johnson: Stars and dart-throws at soft contact/GB guys.

Brad Johnson: Randy Dobnak, Brad Keller, guys of that nature.

Brad Johnson: I’ll also stab at high K-rate guys with short track records like Austin Voth and Alec Mills.

Brad Johnson: I want my SPs to be either very good or else very cheap. Then I’ll just pick and choose only the very best matchups for the cheapies.

Brad Johnson: That’s the ideal, sometimes you’re dealt a more difficult hand and have to make more a mid-tier approach work. It’s… harder.

Jody Reed double off the wall: If the price were the same would you rather have Julio Urias or Luis Robert?

Brad Johnson: I think Robert, but it’s a little situational.

Brad Johnson: And Urias is certainly a safer player.

Brad Johnson: I know I’ll have more Urias shares than Robert.

Brad Johnson: I doubt I’ll have even 1 Robert share.

TJ: Which one would you say is the better bet for any contribution this year and maybe longer term — L.Urias or C.Kieboom?

Brad Johnson: Kieboom

dave: Everything I read about Luke Weaver forecast doom and gloom.  Does he regress some from last year or do we see something close to 2018 from him?

Brad Johnson: I don’t see a reason to be pessimistic. He’s probably a 3.75 ERA guy with a healthy K-rate and good WHIP.

Brad Johnson: The only downside is it sounds like he’ll be limited to about 25 starts. But that could change.

Matt Chapman: Kale. Broccoli. Cabbage. Cauliflower. Brussels Sprouts. Bok Choy. All cruciferous vegetables. Pick the ones you like to eat and ignore the rest.

Nick: Who would you rather have in dynasty: Oscar Mercado, Trent Grisham, Tommy Edman? Also considering Sam Hilliard and Mauricio Dubon in that spot. Anyone jump out as not belonging in that group?

Matt Chapman: Also radishes & arugala.

Brad Johnson: I like all of those veg. Except cabbage sucks.

Brad Johnson: Strong preference for Edman personally.

pepper: Odds Kimbrel is done and Wick rises to closer?

Brad Johnson: Wick really doesn’t strike me as a good closer candidate even if he is one of the best on hand. I think Kimbrel will get a nice long leash.

Rob: How does your NFBC draft look through 3 rounds if you have pick #7?

Brad Johnson: I’ve had pick 6 in Tout and TGFBI (similar setup).

Brad Johnson: Tout: Cole, Yordan, Biebs

Brad Johnson: TGFBI: Mookie, Strasburg, Altuve

Don Von Handburger: Edman is overrated!! There I said it.  Somebody had to.

Brad Johnson: Maybe. Or he’s very special

Brad Johnson: He is not correctly rated right now. I’m pretty confident of that.

Brad Johnson: The downside is 400 PA with like 10/10 and a down-order lineup role.

Brad Johnson: The upshot is 650 PA with all eligibility, 20/25, top of the order R/RBI opps, and a .300 AVG.

Starlin Castro: Do you buy the news that I’m going to start the season batting 3rd? If so, do you see me as a decent late ADP option for MI?

Brad Johnson: I’m skeptical, but I do have a lot of late shares just in case.

Brad Johnson: I’m seeing potential for something like 2018 Jed Lowrie.

Don Von Handburger: Seager or Correa for my shortstop?  I have a bench and the room to roster a second SS-eligible player if that affects your fancy pancy answer.

Brad Johnson: EZ Correa imo.

yordan: Are you seeing shades of Giancarlo/Judge in Yordan Alvarez, with regards to being so big physically his body wears down? I own him cheap in my keeper league, should i try to sell high right now?

Brad Johnson: Personally, I’d be patient. But if somebody will pay full freight and you’re worried, then it’s ok. Just don’t panic.

Don Von Handburger: His downside is 400 PA …. in the freakin Pioneer league!

Brad Johnson: Well that’s not really true.

Rob: From previous question about picking #6:  Which start to the draft did you prefer:  Tout or TGFBI?

Brad Johnson: well, until it emerged Yordan might miss time, I would have said Tout.

Brad Johnson: Maybe still Tout.

dave in slc: does hilliard get pt in colorado or do they really go w desmond still?

Brad Johnson: I think he gets a part time shot which he can grow with strong results. I’m less certain he’s actually going to perform better than Desmond though.

Brad Johnson: The league didn’t get a chance to adjust to him last season.

Brad Johnson: There are some serious red flags in his profile. Perhaps I’ll do a full deep dive on him for Friday.

Roy: Any idea as to when Yordan Alvarez will qualify for a position outside util? If so, where would the Astros put him?

Brad Johnson: Well LF or 1B, probably depending on if Gurriel continues to hold off Father Time.

Brad Johnson: And I think Alvarez will start every AL game at DH

Brad Johnson: So count off the number of NL games they have and subtract a few he’ll sit out.

Rutherford The Brave: Does Ramon Laureano continue his breakout from last year?

Brad Johnson: Breakout was 2018.

Brad Johnson: Yea, that’s who he is. Streaky athlete-first guy.

Rutherford The Brave: Better breakout year: Zac Gallen or Frankie Montas?

Brad Johnson: Gallen! #PeripheralProspects

dave in slc: isan diaz, any hope there?

Brad Johnson: Sure, but I’m not counting on any juice in 2020. Jon Berti is definitely better.

Brad Johnson: But Diaz may still start over him.

Jason: Calhoun’s broken jaw benefits Nick Solak right?

Brad Johnson: Oh yea. Not that I thought there was much risk of Calhoun taking much time from Solak. Calhoun gets so much hype for a no-position, ~110 wRC+ guy.

Brad Johnson: Solak is supposedly the starting LF

Golddust: Dynasty League.  I am in win now mode, and have Olson at 1B.  Got offered Kieboom for Goldy?  Pull trigger to squeeze out some dynasty value out of Goldy, and have Olson take over 1B?

Brad Johnson: I wouldn’t. Or I’d at least ask for more.

Brad Johnson: I dug into Goldy a few weeks ago. Aside from teams shifting him successfully, I see no signs of actual decline.

Brad Johnson: He’s a mid-order 100 R/RBI guy with a solid supporting cast.

Dugan: I’m petitioning my league to add HBP as a stat this season in anticipation of the sign stealing scandal fallout. Can you back me up?

Brad Johnson: pssh

Paul: Having just traded for Mike Tauchman, how worried should I be about his anemic spring? Is it possible 2019 was just a mirage?

Brad Johnson: Nah, he’s good.

Brad Johnson: More importantly, the Yankees need him to start right now.

Jobs: What’s the highest salary that you’ve seen for a stud/ace in an auction league (with high inflation)?

Brad Johnson: Probably something around $58 for peak Kershaw.

Brad Johnson: Maybe upwards of $62. Nothing specific comes to mind.

Luis: best blue jays catcher?

Brad Johnson: Has to be Danny Jansen. 1. because he’s good and 2. because he (ostensibly) doesn’t rub his penis in parking lots.

Brad Johnson: I’m actually very in on Jansen this year. He’s already a good defender, and I think the bat comes around in a big way now that he’s had some exposure.

Yasiel Puig: When am I going to sign? How good am I going to be this year?

Brad Johnson: Don’t know when he’ll sign, but I do know he’ll be mediocre!

Brad Johnson: I stand by that one.

Velma: any park changes over the season worth noting?

Brad Johnson: The Glob 2

Brad Johnson: should be a little less hitter juiced in the summer months

Brad Johnson: San Fran lowered a wall or something.

Brad Johnson: Marlins moved something in. Forget the specifics.

Brad Johnson: Might be one or two more I’m forgetting.

Missouri: Does Carlos Martinez run with the SP role? Where does Reyes fit in

Brad Johnson: Seems like he’s doing well enough with it. Reyes is a reliever imo.

Matt: Just purely based on numbers I don’t think TB can start Arozarena in the Majors unless they trade someone. He seems destined for AAA to start the year at least.

Brad Johnson: That’s probably true. They’d have to be comfortable with having Tsutsugo as their primary backup infielder. It does make more sense to keep Wendle and option Aroz

Nuke LaLoosh: Should Trent Grisham be a must draft in 12+ team leagues?

Brad Johnson: No. Though he’s fringe-must in OBP just for the upside.

Slapshot: What are your feelings regarding a Carlos Carrasco rebound for 2020?  Do you buy the top 30 SP projections I’m seeing all over the place?

Brad Johnson: Yes, assuming he recovers smoothly from his current injury.

dave in slc: mitch keller, alcantara or caleb smith, all the same price who do you go with?

Brad Johnson: I’ll shoot for upside with Keller.

Brad Johnson: I also like Alcantara. Not that big on Smith.

nahtan: Better fantasy rookie SP this year: McKay or Luzardo?

Brad Johnson: Luzardo is the golden child

Brad Johnson: McKay is just a guy.

Lee: Love what I’m seeing out of Andrew Vaughn this spring.  I know most of the industry have him as a 2021 eta, but what is the probability he forces his way up this summer?

Brad Johnson: I dunno, I think a lot of us in the industry expect to see him this year.

Brad Johnson: It’s a little bit up to Jose Abreu and Edwin Encarnacion though.

dougie jones: please rank desclafani, plesac, cease, bassitt

Brad Johnson: Tricky one. If I’m just trying to get some instant gratification, I want Bassitt, Plesac, Descla, and Cease

Brad Johnson: If I’m trying to spike something over the full season, then it’s DeScla, Cease, Plesac, Bassitt.

Ken: rank these three please, Glasnow, Montas, J Urias thanks

Brad Johnson: You did it!

Brad Johnson: Urias is the best of them, but won’t throw enough IP.

dave in slc: btw i didnt see a place to respond to your questions about the daily grind the other day to throw my opinions but i really liked the format last year but also think it would be pretty easy to add in some of the options you suggested with no downside that i see

the board: Here’s my comp for Wander Franco — what say you?! Alex Bregman

Brad Johnson: Certainly in the range of comps.

Brad Johnson: I think you also have to look at Juan Soto

Brad Johnson: It’s hard to comp somebody with his numbers and physical tools through age 18

Brad Johnson: Bregman wasn’t half as good at this age.

dougie jones: think danny jansen’s spring success points to a possible breakout?

Brad Johnson: I do think it’s a good sign if nothing else.

Damomen: Do you think karinchak closes in cleveland at some point?

Brad Johnson: I’m not entirely out on Hand, but Karinchak does look like the obvious analog to 2019 Nick Anderson at the very least.

Brad Johnson: So you might as well bet on it and bank the stats.

georrrrrr: Not hearing as much about Japanese rookies this season. Any names I should be thinking about in the later rounds?

Brad Johnson: Yoshitomo Tsutsugo, Kwang-Hyun Kim (Korean, technically), Shun Yamaguchi (has looked rough in ST).

Nick: Another not-so thinly veiled dynasty question – most likely to be a closer for multiple seasons: E. Clase, A. Munoz, Ginkel, Graterol

Brad Johnson: Munoz and Graterol imo

Brad Johnson: But they’re all excellent gambles.

Brad Johnson: Ginkel is the one who doesn’t just dominate through force of will. He’s all about the slider.

Brad Johnson: The others are incredible in a traditional power sense.

dave in slc: speaking of solak, is he worth 10 in an al only? I picked him up at that last yr and trying to decide whether to keep or throw back

Brad Johnson: yes, keep.

Bob: Who’s the best Dodger RP to pick up for HLDs? thanks

Brad Johnson: that’s… tough.

Brad Johnson: There are 3 OD options who could turn into the 8th inning guy – Pedro Baez, Joe Kelly, and Blake Treinen. They all have their warts and glowing upside scenarios.

Brad Johnson: And Graterol could run with a role if given a chance.

Nats: with Victor Robles potentially batting leadoff, how does that affect his value?

Brad Johnson: More PAs and more SB opportunities can’t hurt.

Brad Johnson: But he was already overdrafted so I’m thinking he’s just closer to fair value at his current ADP.

Gtown: Is Alex Reyes the Cardinal’s closer?

Brad Johnson: Seems like it’s Helsley or Gallegos. For some reason, they’re looking for every excuse to not hand it to Gallegos. I can only assume they value him more as a stopper.

Mark: Brandon Lowe, how many ABs? over/under 400?

Brad Johnson: easy over with health

Jason: If Urquidy and Carrasco cost the same in a dynasty auction which would you prefer? Reasonable chance to compete this year but mostly looking at ’21-’22

Brad Johnson: Carrasco, EZ

Brad Johnson: wait, I rushed that answer, missed the dynasty detail

Brad Johnson: I might take a risk on Urquidy knowing I could either regret it or be very happy for a long time.

PJ: Is Gavin Lux legit or an overblown prospect in a big market?

Brad Johnson: A little of both imo

Jerry B: I’m taking Marco Luciano over Julio Rodriquez as my long term keeper of choice. Is that just because I’m an SFG fan? I think it’s more of his 60 bat / 70 power future projection at MI.

Brad Johnson: Yes, that’s a homer pick

Brad Johnson: He’s very good too fwiw

Brad Johnson: But I can’t imagine preferring many prospects over JRod.

Brad Johnson: Probably just Wander for me.

Willie: Would I be making a mistake taking Betts or Bellinger over Acuna in a points league that scores -1 pts per K? Trout, Yelich and Cole are the picks before me.Thanks

Brad Johnson: No those are all fine choices.

Cito’s Mustache: Do you know which projection system has a better track record with pitchers specifically?

Brad Johnson: It all varies year to year.

Archie: Lux or Hiura in a dynasty league?

Brad Johnson: Lux

Chris Sale’s Elbow: How far down does Sale drop in a dynasty league, given all his elbow uncertainty?

Brad Johnson: Pretty far

Anonymous: Would You Rather: spend your first 4 picks on pitchers OR first 8 picks on hitters?

Brad Johnson: Well, I’ve done the hitter thing without much ill effect in the past, though I think I prefer lots of pitchers in this draft

Anonymous: Wander Franco’s 2021 ADP: Over/Under where Vlad Jr. was getting drafted in 2019?

Brad Johnson: Earlier!

Mankey: Can Trevor Bauer get the ERA back under 4.00 or are the HR problems too persistent, especially in HR happy CIN?

Brad Johnson: Can he do it? Yes. But I have projected around a 4.10 ERa.

AD: I’m not a particularly big KB fan and I love Ketel, but if I get offered Bryant and a 10th round pick for Marte and a 25th I gotta take it right?

Brad Johnson: You never have to do anything!

Brad Johnson: It’s probably smart to take that deal, but it’s not such a slam dunk that you can’t walk away.

Brad Johnson: It’s not like a 10th rounder is a big deal after X keepers.

Al: Who gets the most starts at 2B for Oakland?  Shouldn’t they give Barreto every chance to show what he can do?

Brad Johnson: Barreto seems to be earning the first look. Kemp can always slide into a tandem with Grossman.

Brad Johnson: And Mateo sucks.

janmes: Is $3 Forrest Whitley worth a roster slot in any Ottoneu formats? Seems he’s a lost cause until at least 2021

Brad Johnson: Definitely should be owned.

Brad Johnson: And I don’t agree. The Astros are going to be desperate for arms all year.

Brad Johnson: They’re in really rough shape in the rotation.

Ken: Keep Julio Urias for $1 or Jack Flaherty for $32?  Flaherty would be just for this year.  Urias for the long haul if things went well.

Brad Johnson: I think I’d go Urias and then try to re-draft Flaherty.

Mark: Yandy Diaz shows out with how hard he hits the ball, why doesn’t he get more love?

Brad Johnson: It’s still all low angle, and he doesn’t have a good defensive position.

nahtan: Are you more concerned about a pitcher’s high line driver % or hard hit % given up?

Brad Johnson: Hard hit worries me more, but they both go hand-in-hand and tend to regress together.

Dereck: Canha as my 4th OF or Lamet as my last SP?

Brad Johnson: Lamet.

Brad Johnson: Canha might make it back.

Anonymous: Grichuk or Santander (assume Santander bats 3rd and grichuk 6+). in b4 ‘same asset class’

Brad Johnson: Nah, I’m not buying Santander even slightly

Brad Johnson: Definitely prefer Grichuk.

Gtown: Will Lux get Full time job at 2B?\

Brad Johnson: Not initially.

Brad Johnson: I’m not even sure he’s on the OD roster

Adam: Villar HR+SB o/u 50?

Brad Johnson: I’ll take the over

Brad Johnson: I think the Marlins will tell him to go have fun out there.

Mark: Khris Davis, over/under .247 this year?

Khris Davis: Does a projected 35 HR with terrible OBP and lingering shoulder questions even matter anymore?

Brad Johnson: Push

Brad Johnson: And yes, Davis is an excellent bargain dart this year.

Brad Johnson: Even if he blanks, you can just replace him in 12-team mixed.

Brad Johnson: And in deeper formats, you plan around him.

Bill: You buying Ian Happ this year for a post hype sleeper?

Brad Johnson: Yes, though I’ve yet to get any shares so it’s debatable if I’m actually buying or just kinda like him as a gamble.

Mark: Why won’t the Nationals just commit to Voth and make us all happy? Ross seems like he’s never going to be worth a rotation spot.

Brad Johnson: Ross was good after he started using that curve ball

Brad Johnson: And he’s never had relief success. They’re both out of options so one of them has to live in the bullpen.

Brad Johnson: And with Scherzer maybe injured, could be a spot for both.

Yo: How would you approach shallow leagues? Ten team, 1 C, 3 OF, no MI/CI?

Brad Johnson: Reach for JTR and load up on ace SP/RP

Brad Johnson: There are unsexy ways to chase all the usual hitter categories.

Brad Johnson: Though one early stud wouldn’t hurt.

Gtown: Luis Robert or Franmil Reyes in a points league?

Brad Johnson: Franny for me.

AJ: How would you rank Lux, Adell and Carlson in dynasty. Position doesn’t matter.

Brad Johnson: I’m lowest on Adell personally as I just perceive some bust risk nobody’s talking about.

Brad Johnson: I’m also not sure why everybody thinks he’s definitely a 2020 debut

Khris Davis: Do you put any stock into the rumors that Starlin Castro might hit in the three hole for WAS this year? He has 2B and 3B eligibility in Yahoo, and 18-22 HR, 150 RBI + Rs is kind of tempting at an ADP below 250

Brad Johnson: See beginning of chat.

Dave: Aquino over / under 20 dongs?

Brad Johnson: Over.

Dynasty Question: In a dynasty league, how long do you generally hang onto a lower ranked (say 125-200 ranked prospect) boom-or-busy prospect to see whether they’ll figure it all out?

Brad Johnson: well, it depends on the guy and my roster state. Also if I can trade him for things I like more.

Brad Johnson: But I try to hold or aggregate as much as possible.

Bil: Is there a timeline for Verlander? Missing 2-6 weeks of the season a reasonable estimate?

Brad Johnson: I anticipate ~22 starts barring setbacks. Which are common with lats.

Jonathan: Derek Fisher, Yasiel Puig, or Domingo Santana for 2020 redraft?

Brad Johnson: Domingo

Gym Shoes: Re: Edman. Would you trade Adames for him in dynasty?

Brad Johnson: I would

BJ: Aquino or Santander in a dynasty?

Brad Johnson: Aquino

Adam: Machado bounce back at all this year?

Brad Johnson: I think so

Brad Johnson: Not all the way, because we should always expect some year-to-year decline

Marte: Do I get more green lights in AZ than PIT, or less?

Brad Johnson: same?

DJ Tanner: Gregory Polanco a strong bounce back candidate? You buying a 25/10 season?

Brad Johnson: strong might be overstating it, but I like the dice roll.

Brad Johnson: 25/10 seems high on both counts.

Adam: How many innings from Luzardo this year?

Brad Johnson: 160ish?

Brad Johnson: I don’t think he’ll be overly babied.

Matt: How many players owned is would you consider shallower?  I’m in a 10 team league but with 36 players per team and 100 prospects rostered, it doesn’t feel all that shallow…

Brad Johnson: That’s still shallow for me.

Brad Johnson: I find myself in deeper and deeper every year. Ottoneu (480 rostered) used to be deep for me. Then 900 players rostered is what I considered deep. Last year my deepest was 1,080. This year, I did the ProspectLive Bestball which was 1,500 players.

John Bradson: How are you feeling about Danny Santana?  Do you think he goes close to 30/20 again?

Brad Johnson: I just can’t buy a power repeat from him. But the speed is real enough.

Brad Johnson: And he’ll play even if the numbers are bland.

Bryan Reynolds: Will I hit better or worse than 2018 Nick Markakis?

Brad Johnson: better

Chaco: Any insight or rumors if the baseball has again been altered? Eflin spoke about the seems being higher and the ball having a bit more give.

Brad Johnson: Multiple reports of it feeling different, but nothing concrete.

S: For second-year Ottoneu auctions, do you suggest nominating players you don’t want to flush some money or players you do to get that surplus early?

Brad Johnson: Depends what you’re doing. I usually go in only looking for $1 players, so I’ll nom best available for most of the draft.

Brad Johnson: But if you actually have money, you can play some cat and mouse with your noms

Samrter: Will Jesse Winker get enough reps in the CIN OF to matter this season? I’ve been holding on to hope for so long …

Brad Johnson: Should start pretty much against every RHP

Brad Johnson: But there’s a small chance he’s optioned, even if Sporer and his Twitter Gang want to mock me for suggesting it’s possible.

Kris Bryant: do I score 130 runs this year hitting leadoff?

Brad Johnson: Nah. 110?

big structural butthorns: any chance the season doesn’t start on time?

Brad Johnson: Sure. We’re all in the dark still.

Brad Johnson: Presently, the plan is to just let everybody get sick.

Brad Johnson: Time to wrap it up.

Eloy: Tough one.. Keep 6 in a keep forever: Eloy, Soto, Story, S Marte, K Marte, Beiber, Flaherty, Clevinger

Brad Johnson: Soto and Story are the locks.

Brad Johnson: I’d probably do Ketel, Eloy, Flaherty, and… Bieber or Clev.

Brad Johnson: But I’d want some time to really digest

Bum: Would you roster MadBum for $15+ in Ottoneu 4×4?

Brad Johnson: Yes

Adam: Any optimism for Franchy this year, other than the fact that he’s Franchy?

Brad Johnson: Yes, definitely optimistic. First he has to swim move over some capable MLBers. But the Padres are realistic and know they have to field their best lineup even if it means sitting a good player like Myers.

Adam: Out of nowhere darkhorse RP to put up 15 K/9?

Brad Johnson: I have some out of nowhere RPs, but few with that kind of K rate.

Brad Johnson: A commenter tipped me off to Alex Vesia and Sam Delaplane, both guys I don’t even have a spot for in Tout (15 teams x 50 roster slots).

Brad Johnson: They have the K-heat but they’re also Double-A types.

jazzraheem: Brad.  Have pretty set offense but only @$ 120 (of $260) for rotation.  Who are my two best options for ace-like season long performance of Lynn, Morton, Woodruff, Sonny Gray and Berrios?

Brad Johnson: Morton and Berrios imo. But Morton/Lynn may be safer

Walewander: who are your darkhorse SPs?

Brad Johnson: Oh so many. I love Dobnak. Got a bunch of Voth shares. Framber is so nasty if his command can take a +10.

Brad Johnson: Brandon Bailey and Bailey Singer

Brad Johnson: One of my patrons is trying hard to get me drinking the Zach Plesac koolaid

Brad Johnson: Which isn’t hard, Plesac is another #PeripheralProspects pick.

Brad Johnson: Brandon Bailey Singer Heimer Schimdt.

Chris: Confidence level in G.Sanchez over next 3-4 years?

Brad Johnson: reasonable. Just don’t count on more than 450 PA ever.

Brad Johnson: Alright blitz mode.

Brad Johnson: gg folks

Byron B: Who puts up better overall numbers this year: Kiermaier or Buxton?

Brad Johnson: KK

James: 1B is one of the spots I need in a keeper league. Goldschmidt & Abreu are available. Which one should I target and how much to spend?

Brad Johnson: Either, best value. Both are good.