Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10/2/2018

Behold, a transcript.

3:43
Brad Johnson: We’ll start in 10 minutes or so. I’m opening the queue a little early today.

3:54
Jackie: If you didn’t have a partner, would you be able to be solely a writer or would you need a “day” job?

3:55
Brad Johnson: I could make my income work – especially with either a roommate or by simply picking a cheap market to live. I’d have to make more of my own food, and I wouldn’t have much of a safety net. So I’d probably be hustling harder via some other income source.

3:56
Brad Johnson: Granted, I needed a lot of seed money to get this career off the ground, although I earned all that myself.

3:56
Tim: In a 10-team, Keep-5 H2H category league w/ OBP and OPS. You think Goldy is worth keeping at $45? How about Xander at $15?

3:57
Brad Johnson: They both look keepable to me absent other info. I think, ideally, you’d keep something cheaper than Goldy then redraft him or similar for $50.

3:58
Brad Johnson: In 10-team H2H, I’d put almost all of my budget into ace pitchers. It’s so easy to find competent bats with good matchups – assuming you don’t have a strict waiver move cap.

3:58
Ed: How do you generally approach the end of the season in redraft leagues, re: identifying mistakes and changing your approach moving forward?

3:59
Brad Johnson: Honestly, I didn’t play many redrafts this year. I had a few too many teams and it’s always easiest to let go of the ones I haven’t been designing for years and years.

3:59
Brad Johnson: In general though, I’m looking for unforced errors in strategy.

3:59
Brad Johnson: I’ll have an article soonish about how I botched my playoff round versus Nick Pollack in the FG Staff league

4:00
Brad Johnson: Those were the types of mistakes I’d be looking to identify.

4:01
Brad Johnson: Usually, rosters fail for uncontrollable reasons.

4:02
Brad Johnson: My TGFBI roster, which I think was 4th in my league, completely whiffed on Ken Giles (coin flipped between him and Diaz – and I stand by that as a coin flip), Robinson Cano (can’t predict PEDs), and Byron Buxton (0th percentile projection).

4:02
Brad Johnson: Not a lot to learn there. It’s not like I didn’t know Buxton was volatile.

4:03
Zach: Who does the data suggest the Yankees should start tomorrow? I remember reading earlier in the season that the A’s tend to struggle against high-velocity fastballs. In which case, Severino seems like the best choice. But did this trend change in the second half?

4:03
Brad Johnson: Severino makes sense to me. The A’s have a pretty balanced and deep lineup, but their best power comes on low fastballs.

4:03
Ken: In a 10-teamer, I’m keeping mostly bats but may have room for a pitcher or two. On the menu: Happ at $11, Paxton at $10, Ray at $7 and Folty at $5. Pax/Folty look best to me, but you think any of those are absolute musts to hang onto?

4:03
Ken: Oh, and $5 Flaherty as well on that menu

4:05
Brad Johnson: Paxton, Folty, and Flaherty are all really desirable. No need to rush to a decision.

4:05
Brad Johnson: Those are good keep prices on potential ace-quality fantasy pitchers.

4:05
Ken: $24 Seager – let him go? Or do you believe?

4:05
Brad Johnson: 5×5 12-team roto for Corey Seager? I’d let him go.

4:06
Brad Johnson: I still like him plenty, but I bet he doesn’t return $24 next season. His stat profile isn’t ideal for roto.

4:06
DJ Tanner: For those of us who are sad the fantasy season is over, how can we keep fantasy baseball in our lives until next year gets going??

4:08
Brad Johnson: Shameless self promotion: my Patreon page is evolving into a community with Discord, reader leagues, and other coolness. Pondering a dynasty slow draft some time in late November/early December. Other content on the daily too. https://www.patreon.com/posts/21795783

4:08
Conor: In a 12-team H2H league, can only keep 5. I’ve got Leclerc and Hader for $5, but hesitant to hang onto any RPs in such a shallow league. What do you think?

4:09
Brad Johnson: Have to agree, pending the alternatives

4:09
CW: What does a package for Vlad Jr look like this offseason?

4:10
Brad Johnson: Gonna need a lot more info… in reality, it’s not really possible. That may be true of fantasy too. We’ll see.

4:10
RMR: Votto’s power come back next year?

4:10
Brad Johnson: I think so. If we’re banking on 20 to 25 HR

4:10
RMR: What would an improved Hoskins look like next year (i.e. which statistical areas could you see him conceivably improving to improve his overall line)?  Given his high pull rate, he seems unlikely to improve his BABIP too much.  Could he lower the Ks and up the power a bit more?

4:12
Brad Johnson: I don’t think there’s any more power in there. And I don’t think more aggression would help him at all. I suppose it’s possible he could get even better at picking out pitches to ambush, but I think we’re looking at a hitter who really understands his strengths and weaknesses. He is what he is.

4:12
Aaron: Any idea why Albies ran so little this season?  How does a guy with that speed only attempt 17 steals?  At first I thought it might be an organizational philosophy not to risk running into any outs ahead of Freeman but Acuna attempted 21 steals in almost 50 fewer games.

4:13
Brad Johnson: Can only guess that he’s not comfortable stealing bases. It’s possible he was avoiding injury too. There are all manner of minor injuries that cause base thieves to be a little more careful about picking their spots.

4:13
DJ Tanner: In the beginning of August in my dynasty league, I traded away three years of Yelich for 6 years of Tatis Jr. and 5 years of Jake Bauers. Worth it?

4:14
Brad Johnson: I don’t think Bauers is all that much to get excited about, but Tatis by himself gives you plenty of scope to “win” the trade.

4:14
Brad Johnson: I suspect I would have done the swap too

4:15
Matt: My league does keepers somewhat weird. Sparing you the details, I’m curious about outlooks for Marquez, Dereck, Moncada. Not relative to each other necessarily, but where they would fall on a futures ranking. Thanks!

4:16
Brad Johnson: Marquez seemed to figure something out for the second consecutive season. He doesn’t have much margin for error. I’d sell high as Coors Field historically destroys any pitcher who looks like he might become a thing.

4:16
Brad Johnson: Dereck is just a guy with a good home park at this phase of his career.

4:18
Brad Johnson: Moncada deserves deeper analysis because he’s only 23 despite three exposures to the big leagues. He improved his batted ball profile this year and could be on the cusp of a breakout.

4:18
Brad Johnson: Would love to see him make contact more… Better Rougned Odor looks like the upside these days with worse Rougned Odor the downside.

4:19
jarjets89: Can you explain for the zillionth time your hatred of Miguel Andujar? It still doesn’t fully make sense to me. Most offensive indicators are very positive (2018 performance, 2017 AAA performance, xstats, clay davenport peak MLEs 2017 AAA and 2018 MLB, fangraphs prospect pedigree). I know your knocks from  past chats: he’s unlikely to stick at 3b, and the Yanks might trade him. I’ll add a third: he wasn’t great before AAA in 2017 — his clay davenport peak MLEs suggested a league average hitter before 2017 AAA. Starting in AAA, his peak MLE has been well above average. His pre-2017 AAA performance might be why zips and steamer didn’t fully buy into his performance this year, projecting him as more of a slightly above average hitter. However, it’s been over 600 abs of xstats validated, 128 wrc+ hitting. Those sort of numbers play anywhere (outside NY), at any position (including 1b).

4:19
Brad Johnson: This is a full article. I’ll write it before the end of the month, I promise.

4:21
Brad Johnson: The short explanation is:
1. He can’t play defense, such that I doubt even 1B would work
2. Batting profile historically declines and never recovers. Best case is a streaky hot/cold bat.
3. Can’t imagine he stays with the Yankees through the winter. Unless other teams agree with me. I don’t actually think his bat plays in other venues. He needs tiny dimensions to make up for a too-high GB rate.

4:22
Wildtsunami: Tyler O’neil going to get enough bats next year…

4:23
Brad Johnson: Hard to say, he’s kind of a poor man’s Joey gallo. That can be frustrating for people to watch day-to-day even if the production is there at the end of the season.

4:23
Brad Johnson: I think he’ll be put in a position where he needs to force the Cardinals to play him, and I’m not sure he’s capable of doing that.

4:23
Joe: Is Clevinger a legit top 20 pitcher next year?

4:24
Brad Johnson: I haven’t looked at the list, but that smells plausible.

4:24
Ramon Laureano: Am I a top 400 player in a H2H 6 category league w/ OPS next year? Next 3 years?

4:25
Brad Johnson: Yes. The defense will keep him in the lineup despite some flaws at the plate. Those flaws won’t be felt as badly by his owners because he hits for power and steals bases.

4:25
King Buzzo: I picked up David Dahl for the last week and rode him and Yelich to a dominate victory over the most annoying guy in the league.  No real question, just felt like sharing.

4:25
Brad Johnson: Congrats. I feel very good about hard selling Dahl (was like 15% owned) on Rotoworld prior to that Phillies series.

4:26
CubFan: 12 team AL only 5×5 keeper OBP league. $260 team salary. Think Voit $3, Barreto $1 and Choi  $1 have starting gigs in 2019? If so, what are you expecting from them?

4:26
Brad Johnson: Barreto is the least certain. The Athletics will do what the Athletics do. Chad Pinder’s as liable to start as Barreto.

4:27
Brad Johnson: Voit may be decided in part by postseason and spring performance. For $3, he’s probably worth the cost of admission in AL Only. Pending opportunity cost.

4:27
Brad Johnson: Choi seems like he could be pushed back into the minors. Nothing stands out as fantastic (or bad) about him.

4:28
Brad Johnson: All of these prices seem like must keeps if there’s no constraint.

4:28
Pat’s Bat: 10 team h2h.  How comfortable are you with Dozier as your 2b?

4:28
Brad Johnson: Not at all. Let’s see how the winter works out for him.

4:28
Pat’s Bat: Do you have any non baseball criteria you use when picking a postseason team to root for?  I am debating using local breweries this year, for instance Drakes or Almanac for Oakland

4:29
Brad Johnson: I look for fuzzy feelings about the rosters. That usually involves rooting for underdogs. however, I’m 100% #TeamEntropy

4:29
Brad Johnson: Let there be interesting things!

4:29
Matt: Is Corbin a top 20ish pitcher again next season? Should I keep him for sure or see if I can move him for that kind of value?

4:29
Brad Johnson: I’d explore trading him in a backwards sort of way

4:29
Brad Johnson: Try to sell other pitchers to somebody who needs them

4:29
Brad Johnson: They’ll come back asking for Corbin

4:30
Brad Johnson: Say he’s not available

4:30
Brad Johnson: Say no 4 more times

4:30
Brad Johnson: Then, if you really like the offer, take it

4:30
Vinny Garcia: Nolan Arenado or Kris Bryant? Going forward you can chose one for your team

4:30
Brad Johnson: Arenado

4:30
Brad Johnson: I’m not down on Bryant though

4:30
RMR: Any worries about Judge’s wrist heading into next season?

4:30
Brad Johnson: Next season? No. This postseason, yes.

4:30
joromacsquibb: What percent chance do you see Houston resigning Dallas Keuchel this offseason? Will it depend on what happens with Morton?

4:31
Brad Johnson: Pretty low in my opinion. Framber Valdez is a very similar pitcher. Josh James looks pretty good too. They could probably use those resources more efficiently

4:31
Brad Johnson: The scenarios I could see happening are:

4:31
Brad Johnson: 1. Keuchel accepts a QO

4:32
Brad Johnson: 2. Keuchel can’t find a job and re-signs for 1-year, $10MM or so

4:32
Rollie’s Mustache: 12 team 6-keeper points league. Bellinger over Mejia is obvious, right? Catcher is such a thin position though.

4:32
Brad Johnson: Yea, can’t go Mejia over Bellinger

4:32
Brad Johnson: No assurance Mejia will hit in the majors, nor do we know if he’ll play more than 50%

4:32
Wildtsunami: Thank you

4:32
Slurve: R Lopez, Newcomb, Weaver going forward?  Who has the better 2019?  Career?   Thanks!

4:33
Brad Johnson: Same asset class, albeit with differing distributions of probable outputs. I’ll say Newcomb has the year and Lopez has the career. They’re all three volatile with healthy upsides and unplayable downsides

4:33
Josh: Would you trade Suarez and Soto for Lindor in a dynasty?

4:34
Brad Johnson: Oh, I don’t think so. I’d need more info

4:35
Joe: Hype train is leaving the station on Buehler. Any reason we should temper expectations?

4:35
Brad Johnson: You’re late if you’re trying to jump on now

4:35
Brad Johnson: There are always reasons to worry about pitchers

4:36
Brad Johnson: However, Buehler is a LOT better than Luis Castillo circa the 2017-18 offseason

4:36
Brad Johnson: So I’m less inclined to make him the subject of the annual “y’all are ignoring all the downside” article

4:37
Brad Johnson: The most recent version of that article aged well. From a real world perspective, Castillo was exactly as good as the Reds could have expected. From a fantasy perspective, he crushed his owners – both from a value sense and on the stat sheet

4:37
King Buzzo: Re: David Dahl – What’s your expectation next year?  Does he finally hold down a full time role?

4:38
Brad Johnson: Seems like he’ll be given that chance. I assume CarGo finally wanders into the sunset.

4:38
Brad Johnson: His dead cat bounce wasn’t very high

4:38
Brad Johnson: I don’t really foresee a second one

4:38
Brad Johnson: Ya know, some times the cat bounces twice, like in nanaca crash

4:39
Brad Johnson: The key to nanaca crash, btw, is a low launch angle

4:39
Brad Johnson: in this way it is opposite to hitting home runs

4:40
Brad Johnson: And yes, I’m playing a round now

4:40
Jordan : Is this off-season a good time to sell Archer? Or do I hope he bounces back with full season in NL…

4:40
Brad Johnson: I think you missed the sell by window

4:40
Brad Johnson: It was mid-2017

4:41
Brad Johnson: At this point, hope for a rebound. He’s a smart pitcher, it’s possible

4:41
CubFan: Piggybacking on my earlier question. 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league with $260 team salary. Use W+QS and OBP. Can keep 8. League inflation for #1 and #2 SPs runs 25-35%. Would you protect Happ $12 (if he stays in the AL on a good team), Glasnow $4 and/or McCullers $2? Planning on keeping Didi at $14, Laureano $1, Cozart $3, Trenien $6, Eduardo Escobar $1 (if in AL) and one of Voit $3 or Stanton $44. Stanton because elite hitters also see 35%+ inflation.

4:42
Brad Johnson: Stanton seems like a must-keep to me at that price. I don’t think Cozart and Escobar should be treated as locks.

4:42
Brad Johnson: Glasnow and McCullers are great values

4:42
DJ Tanner: How much of fantasy advice from experts is strictly based on numbers vs. gut instinct? I feel like I’ve always been more of a gut guy (of course using numbers too) but it seems like most experts are very numbers only oriented.

4:43
Brad Johnson: It obviously varies by analyst

4:43
Brad Johnson: I try to incorporate as much scouting as I can into my work

4:43
Brad Johnson: Because relying solely on stats often leads to clumping with others

4:44
Brad Johnson: I’m a big proponent of zigging when others zag. It’s a hugely winning strategy. Even if the zaggers are right, they’re tripping over themselves for the same scarce resources. I’m almost guaranteed to find value.

4:45
M’s Fan: I have Tyler White, Ji-Man Choi, and Luke Voit . do you think all 3 will receive consistent PT and will be productive next season?

4:45
Brad Johnson: White I think is likely to play a lot

4:45
Brad Johnson: Let’s see if he makes a name for himself this postseason

4:45
Brad Johnson: I call him right-handed Max Muncy whenever I have a chance

4:46
Brad Johnson: Voit is the Matt Olson of 2018, although I don’t know that that’s enough to hold a spot on the Yanks

4:46
Brad Johnson: Choi… I think has a very tenuous grasp on consistent playing time

4:46
Brad Johnson: He needs a little help from the Rays FO

4:46
Rollie’s Mustache: Do you have any idea what projection model Fantrax uses? It seems hyper aggressive in comparison to the ones hosted here at Fangraphs.

4:47
Brad Johnson: No idea. Site projections are often on crack. I think they cheat to extreme optimism.

4:47
Peter: Nola a top 5-6 SP next year? QS league

4:48
Brad Johnson: Smells plausible. I’m a little wary of going that high for somebody at CBP, but it just depends on the cost.

4:48
Aaron: 2 rounds into my keeper draft I was offered Arenado and Yelich for Betts and Abreu.  I said No, and rode Betts’s performance to regular season victory.  Met the guy with Arenado and Yelich in the finals and lost on the final day of the regular season.

4:49
Brad Johnson: Was a fair offer. Still looks fair depending on the associated costs.

4:49
DJ Tanner: Should baseball create a new stat, QO, for quality outting? Any time a pitcher goes 6+ innings, 3- ER. Would take the place of QS and allow for pitchers who pitch after an Opener to still get a possible QO.

4:49
Brad Johnson: I like it

4:49
Brad Johnson: I will not remember to credit you when I think I spontaneously thought of it on my own in about a month

4:50
Brad Johnson: I do consider Openers a reason to move back from QS to W

4:50
Brad Johnson: See Yarbrough, Ryan

4:50
M’s Fan: Will Raimel Tapia and

4:50
M’s Fan: will Raimel Tapia and Brandon Lowe get consistent PT next year?

4:50
Brad Johnson: Tapia, probably not. Lowe, probably yes.

4:50
Brad Johnson: These are both very unpredictable FOs. For very different reasons.

4:50
Brad Johnson: The Rockies make inscrutably bad choices.

4:51
Brad Johnson: There’s no reason they shouldn’t have won that division by like 10 games

4:51
Brad Johnson: They keep playing half a lineup of scrubs when upgrades are virtually free – both in dollars and prospect juice

4:52
Brad Johnson: The Rays are so keen to micro every extra play to their benefit that we can never be sure Lowe won’t fall into some kind of platoon. Or get stuck in Durham for a time.

4:52
Brad Johnson: Austin Meadows was stuck in Durham…

4:52
Todd H.: What becomes of Raimel Tapia? Thanks.

4:53
Brad Johnson: Honestly, I don’t think he’s miscast as a fourth or fifth outfielder. The skill set is obviously very interesting for fantasy owners because of Coors Field

4:54
Brad Johnson: If he does play every day, he has a lot of ways to create value. But he’s probably in the 0 to 2 WAR range. And with good veteran OFers costing nothing, I see no reason they wouldn’t use Blackmon, Dahl, and a free agent hire. Denard Span would be an amazing choice.

4:54
Aaron: Nimmo finished 6th in MLB in wRC+ among all qualifiers.  In a league with obp and slg about where ought he to be ranked among OF’s in 2019?

4:55
Brad Johnson: Talk to Sporer or Mason about rankings, that ain’t my gig

4:55
Brad Johnson: however, you do need to remember that his wRC+ looks good because CitiField is hell. You shouldn’t really be using it for fantasy analysis

4:56
DJ Tanner: I just took a screenshot of my idea so when you make millions on it, I just want a cut. 5% is fine with me. You have the leverage to target a bigger audience.

4:56
Brad Johnson: Deal

4:56
Matt: One of the main reasons I love my pts league that doesn’t use wins/losses as a stat is that there’s no baked in penalty for the opener. if anything, guys like Yarbrough provide sneaky value since you can blow past the weekly start cap. Innings get you points no matter where they come from.

4:56
Brad Johnson: Points is an obvious workaround. In fact, ottoneu H2H FGpts hugely rewards Followers

4:56
Aaron: 10 teams, keep 6, 6×5 with obp and slg.  I can keep Betts in the first round next year.  How far down the list of the best players in the league would you go before you consider keeping him, pending the random draft order?  To put it into perspective, the guy picking 10th this past year ended up with Rizzo and Donaldson (he finished 8th as a result), and then there was a run on SP’s and before you know it things thin out real fast.  My gut tells me I shouldn’t use a 1st round pick to keep any player other than Trout if I will have the opportunity to draft another top-10 player.

4:59
Brad Johnson: So… I think I follow this

4:59
Brad Johnson: Betts minus Rizzo-ish minus whoever you’d cut to keep Betts is probably still greater than zero

4:59
Brad Johnson: i.e. keep Betts

4:59
Brad Johnson: Now if you tell me you’re cutting a round 25 Soto to keep Betts, that’s a different story

5:00
M’s Fan: Need to cut 4. Deep Points league, pretty standard.. Pablo Lopez, buchholz, Canning, Leblanc, Yarbrough (2 start RP), stripling, Josh James, brinson, borucki. So hard to decide 🙁

5:00
Brad Johnson: I mean, I could pick out 4 names right now, but I see no reason to do so unless your keeper deadline is weirdly early

5:01
Brad Johnson: Assuming it’s January to March like every other league, just sleep on this for a few months

5:01
Brad Johnson: Well this is weird. I answered everything except…

5:01
hscer: What do we do with our hands now?

5:01
Brad Johnson: uh…

5:01
Brad Johnson: and

5:01
RMR: Given Albies age, is it fair to expect additional growth?  Or has his approach change kind of made him what he is?  Seems fair to at least expect the SBs to tick up.

5:02
RMR: Dahl finally get a FT roll next year?  Or do the Rox bring back CarGo and play Desmond in the OF again?

5:02
RMR: Does Hoskins regain 1B eligibility next year?  Sounds like they want to get him there more (if not FT).

5:02
RMR: Do you foresee any further growth from Benintendi?  Or is this basically what he is?

5:02
RMR: re: Benintendi, not that there’s anything wrong with that.

5:02
RMR: Is Aaron Hicks a keeper in an OBP league that keeps 120?  I see him pretty far down on most rankings, but he seems pretty similar to guys that are much higher on these lists.

5:02
RMR: Is there anymore growth left in Profar?  Or is the season he just had near the top of his outcome spectrum?

5:02
Brad Johnson: Das spam (I also answered like 5 others from him)

5:02
Brad Johnson: I guess I’ll finish up with these.

5:02
Brad Johnson: Growth is a reasonable expectation for Albies, although it should not be treated as a certainty

5:03
Brad Johnson: Decline is a possible outcome. And his second half swoon was ultra predictable (I know for I predicted it)

5:03
Brad Johnson: I hope the Rox finally quit on Desmond as more than an overpaid super utility guy

5:03
Brad Johnson: He’s fine for that role

5:03
Brad Johnson: aside from the money fire

5:04
Brad Johnson: Dahl should play regularly after dragging the club to that division tie

5:04
Brad Johnson: Hoskins will certainly play 5 games, probably 10, and at least 50% chance for 20 at 1B

5:05
Brad Johnson: Defense was such a huge issue for the Phillies. I think they’ll explore some extreme ways to fix it.

5:05
Brad Johnson: I wouldn’t be surprised to see Santana is a pseudo-bench role, assuming they can’t find a buyer

5:06
Brad Johnson: Benintendi is not maxed out.

5:06
Brad Johnson: Many players never max out so that’s not the same as saying he’ll continue to improve

5:06
Brad Johnson: But there are relatively easy paths for him to take a step forward

5:07
Brad Johnson: Hicks is a tricky one. It’s unusual for a Yankee to not be overhyped relative to his production. But Hicks is consistently underappreciated. I don’t think you’re wrong to look at him as a top 120 asset in OBP, yet you can probably pick him closer to 150.

5:09
Brad Johnson: Profar is not maxed out. He achieve his breakout with a pretty unimpressive GB/FB ratio. All he did was finally get back to where he was a billion years ago when he was a prospect

5:09
Brad Johnson: Now he’s entering his age 26 season with all the tools necessary to improve his launch angles

5:09
Brad Johnson: Like Benintendi, he’s not maxed out, but that doesn’t mean he won’t backslide

5:09
M’s Fan: What do you think of Matt Strahm ? Next year

5:10
Brad Johnson: I feel like if they were going to use him as a starter or a high leverage reliever, they would have done so.

5:11
Brad Johnson: He Opened a few times in June. He picked up 7 holds over the entire season. Frequently used for multiple innings but only accrued 61.1

5:11
Brad Johnson: I mean, he’s interesting as a flier

5:11
Brad Johnson: There shouldn’t be much of an associated cost to rostering him beyond the spot.

5:12
Brad Johnson: And with that, I’ve answered everything for the first time in memory

5:12
Matt: Closer speculatin’, who gets the lion’s share of saves for the Mets? Gsellman?

5:12
Brad Johnson: dammit

5:12
Brad Johnson: A free agent

5:12
Brad Johnson: good game folks





You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam

3 Comments
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Rainja182
5 years ago

In regards to the question of 3 years of Yelich for 6 years of Tatis and Bauers. I don’t see how you can make that trade. 3 years is a LONG time in fantasy sports.

Tatis is a fantastic prospect and could be a great fantasy asset, but Yelich is literally one of the 3 or 4 best hitters in baseball and contributes substantially in all 5 categories. For this trade to be worth it in my opinion you literally have to get the best versions of Tatis and Bauers for long periods of time. Unless your team truly sucks and you don’t think Yelich will help you within the next 3 years, I don’t see how you can justify this type of trade.

Fantasy is all about eliminating risk and this deal is basically the opposite of that. The possible outcomes of a deal like this are too volatile. Plus, it’s not like you couldn’t have dealt Yelich in year 2 or 3 and netted something positive in return after you’ve exhausted all your competitive options.

Just my 10 cents.

Rainja182
5 years ago
Reply to  Brad Johnson

Oh for sure, this was directed more to the guy who thought this deal was okay to begin with, and to other owners with the same line of thinking. Not so much a critique of your answer.

Answering question after question on the fly is challenging enough in the moment. Doing so with about a dozen words of information is doubly so.

Keep up the killer fantasy chats!