Big Kid Adds (Week 5)

Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named “High Stakes Leagues,” and there are eleven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues.

Batters

Jordan Beck (11): Beck had likely the best week of his career by hitting .389/.455/1.222 with 5 HR. He might only be aiming for short porch home runs. Here are his changes from last season.

Jordan Beck’s Improvement
Season Batt Speed (mph) HardHit% avgEV (mph) Pull% GB% SwStr%
2024 71.4 32% 86 41% 46% 16%
2025 73.6 53% 93 71% 35% 18%

Roster now and see if the changes stick.

Agustín Ramírez (9): In these two-catcher leagues, Ramirez will draw the attention of most managers. After hitting .254/.313/.479 with 3 HR and 5 SB in 80 AAA PA, he’s hitting .290/.333/.710 with 3 HR and 1 SB in the majors. So far, he’s not getting overmatched with a 6% BB% and 15% K%. He should be added in all leagues.

Tim Tawa (8): Several teams streamed Tawa. The reason isn’t obvious. On the season, he’s hitting .182/.292/.436 with 4 HR and 2 SB. It might be because the righty has four lefties on the schedule, but he’s struggled against lefties (.516 OPS) compared to righties (.794 OPS). Even his Steamer600 and core talent comps bring no inspiration.

The only possible reason is for his .158 BABIP (.263 xAVG) to regress upward.

Jeff McNeil (8): Since returning from the IL, McNeil has started in four of six games, with two games coming in centerfield. In just 18 PA, he’s not been overmatched (6% K%) and has hit a home run. The biggest issue will be playing time.

McNeil isn’t going to make catches like those made by Tyrone Taylor.

Taylor has been on fire, hitting .353/.389/.588 with 1 HR and 1 SB over the last week. At second base, Luisangel Acuña is hitting .314/.333/.371 with 2 SB over the last two weeks. There is no obvious spot for McNeil.

McNeil could at least be a decent fantasy bench option if he could find full-time plate appearances.

Nick Kurtz (7): The 22-year-old first baseman lit up the PCL, hitting .321/.385/.655 with 7 HR. He’s been a disaster in the majors with a .452 BABIP, the only stat propping up his .490 OPS. He’s lost at the plate with a 48% K% and 0% BB%. Pitchers aren’t throwing him many fastballs (28% seen). They are tearing him up with changeups (36% SwStr%)

He is hitting the ball hard (92 mph avgEV, 39% HardHit%) to keep the BABIP high, but it’s on the ground (0% Barrel%, 54% GB%). While some of the other prospects seem to belong in the major, so far Kurtz doesn’t.

Luis Urías (7): Started 10 straight games while hitting .245/.345/.490 with 4 HR on the season. The reason for the turnaround is a career-low 14% K% and career-high 14% BB%. A fine middle-infield replacement.

Brooks Lee (6): I put a few bids in on Lee because every shortstop I add breaks down. Lee is a fine bench option in these deeper leagues. So far this season, he’s hitting .267/.353/.422 with 2 HR.

Drew Waters (6): With 13 straight starts and a .784 OPS (.405 BABIP), Waters is a decent fifth or bench outfielder. Nothing in his profile points to a breakout. He’s making less contact (65% in ’24, career 70%) and not hitting the ball as hard (29% HardHit% in ’24, career 33% HardHit%). Enjoy the hot streak and be ready to move on.

Nolan Gorman (5): Gorman has 10 starts over the last 11 games to “see what Gorman can do”.

“We’ve scheduled out what we want the lineup to look like from here through all of (the next series),” Marmol said. “They’ll all get time. But at the moment, I’d like to see what Gorman can do.”

“We have to keep our word there, right?” he added. “We said (Gorman would play), and even after the injury, that’s not runway. You have to allow him to go through some of the ups and downs. He’s going to get better. He’s working hard at it and we’re committed to seeing it through.”

Not much. Over that stretch, he’s hitting .147/.250/.235 with 0 HR and 0 SB.

Jon Berti (5): Batting ninth and has only started in seven of the last 10 games. He does have a .298 AVG and 7 SB. Also, he has 2 XBH, 1 RBI, and 0 HR.

Angel Martínez (5): While not walking (2% BB%), he’s performed better than expected (.333/.339/.439, 0 HR, 2 SB). He started in 11 of the last 12 games in centerfield. Bench streamer.

Eli White (5): The 31-year-old is breaking out by lowering his strikeout rate (20% K% in ’25, career 31% K%). With the drop in strikeouts, all his rate stats are up (.311/.367/.600) to go with 2 HR and 2 SB. On top of the strikeouts decline, he has career-highs in avgEV, maxEV, and Barrel%. The Braves seem to have bought into the changes by giving him seven straight outfield starts. Compared to Waters and Martinez, I’d take a chance on White since he’s showing improvement.

Starters

Ben Casparius (10): The adds came from news that the Dodgers considered stretching out Casparius as a starter. Over 21 IP (11 games), the 26-year-old posted a 2.91 ERA (3.15 xFIP), 0.92 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9. The big number for him is the 1.3 BB/9. It’s the lowest his walk rate has been at any other level or season. The low walk rate is backed up with a 33% Ball or the equivalent of a 2.3 BB/9. Strikeouts have never been an issue, as seen by his 10.7 K/9 in the minors and 10.5 K/9 in the majors.

I’d recommend rostering him for now and see how the transition goes. Again, keep an eye on the walk rate.

AJ Smith-Shawver (6): It seems like Smith-Shawver is always being added or dropped. The deal is that over the past three seasons, he has only thrown 48 major league innings with a 3.88 ERA (4.84 xFIP), 1.34 WHIP, and 8.5 K/9.

Walks (career 4.1 BB/9) will limit his upside. His career 1.34 WHIP does as much damage to a team’s ratios as a 4.57 ERA. He is not good with several parts of his game and needs some to go right to be a valuable fantasy contributor. Including staying healthy.

Emerson Hancock (7): It’s crazy that Hancock was being added. Over his career 90 IP, he has a 5.08 ERA (4.93 xFIP), 1.42 WHIP, and 6.0 K/9. The love came from his last three starts, where he has a 3.71 ERA (3.19 xFIP), 7.9 K/9, and 1.35 WHIP.

All the gains are on the strikeout front with a career high 7.6 K/9. The gain might be from his fastball velocity up 1 mph (sinker and four-seamer). I don’t think he’ll amount to much, but the options were thin in these leagues. Hell, I added Kyle Freeland in a couple of these leagues. What could go wrong?

Relievers

Will Vest (10): Has three Saves and seems to be Detroit’s high-leverage reliever. Solid stats with a 2.77 ERA (3.17 xFIP), 1.00 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9. Fine add.

Shelby Miller (7): With Justin Martinez struggling with velocity, walks (5.4 BB/9), and an injury (shoulder), Miller looks like the next reliever to step in and close. Over 12 IP, Miller has a 0.00 ERA (3.13 xFIP), 0.63 WHIP, ad 10.7 K/9. Solid add.

Porter Hodge (5): With Ryan Pressley walking (7) more batters than he’s striking out (5), Hodge might be able to slide into the closer’s role.

Name Leagues Added High Winning Bid Low Winning Bid
Jordan Beck 11 111 51
Will Vest 10 115 36
Ben Casparius 10 30 3
Agustin Ramirez 9 292 123
Tim Tawa 8 29 4
Jeff McNeil 8 28 2
Nick Kurtz 7 328 175
Emerson Hancock 7 41 1
Luis Urias 7 27 5
Shelby Miller 7 17 8
Brooks Lee 6 84 2
AJ Smith-Shawver 6 44 15
Drew Waters 6 9 3
Porter Hodge 5 77 26
Nolan Gorman 5 36 11
Jon Berti 5 22 1
Angel Martinez 5 14 4
Eli White 5 5 1
Camilo Doval 4 148 82
Andy Pages 4 64 6
Eric Wagaman 4 39 6
Justin Slaten 4 36 1
Lucas Erceg 4 33 7
Ryan Gusto 4 27 12
J.P. Crawford 4 26 11
Trevor Williams 4 25 4
Fernando Cruz 4 21 1
Edouard Julien 4 21 1
Ben Williamson 4 16 3
Brooks Baldwin 4 14 10
Patrick Corbin 4 7 2
Jesse Winker 4 5 1
Chris Martin 4 3 1





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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pfgrMember since 2018
4 hours ago

Gunnar Hoglund of the Sacramento A’s comes up Friday, worth a look in deeper leagues.