Beat the Shift Podcast – OOPSY Episode w/ Jordan Rosenblum

The OOPSY episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jordan Rosenblum

OOPSY Projections

  • What are the key components of a projection system?
  • What is the general OOPSY methodolgy?
  • What is Stuff+ ?
    • How is it incorporated into the model?
  • What is Barrel% ?
    • How is it incorporated into the model?
  • How are Runs & RBI calculated?
  • How are stolen bases calculated?
  • What is the best way to test projections accuracy?
  • What are the strengths and weaknesses of OOPSY?
  • How to use OOPSY for fantasy baseball?

ATC Volatility Metrics

OOPSY vs. ATC

  • Hitters that OOPSY likes more
  • Hitters that ATC likes more
  • Pitchers that OOPSY likes more
  • Pitchers that ATC likes more
  • Aaron Judge’s high POPSY HR projection

 

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Ariel is the 2019 FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year. Ariel is also the winner of the 2020 FSWA Baseball Article of the Year award. He is the creator of the ATC (Average Total Cost) Projection System. Ariel was ranked by FantasyPros as the #1 fantasy baseball expert in 2019. His ATC Projections were ranked as the #1 most accurate projection system over the past three years (2019-2021). Ariel also writes for CBS Sports, SportsLine, RotoBaller, and is the host of the Beat the Shift Podcast (@Beat_Shift_Pod). Ariel is a member of the inaugural Tout Wars Draft & Hold league, a member of the inaugural Mixed LABR Auction league and plays high stakes contests in the NFBC. Ariel is the 2020 Tout Wars Head to Head League Champion. Ariel Cohen is a fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). He is a Vice President of Risk Management for a large international insurance and reinsurance company. Follow Ariel on Twitter at @ATCNY.

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justregularMember since 2023
2 months ago

Zooming in, can you share what the individual source of the notably low Ryan Mountcastle input that is giving him the high Skew readout?

Zooming out, is a full list of the projections systems ATC aggregates public? Does it weight newcomers like OOPSY and long running ones like Steamer or ZiPS differently?