American League

Orioles

• James McCann and Adley Rutschman could see some time at first base.

McCann, who was traded from the Mets to the O’s on Dec. 21, recently shared that in his initial call with the team, he was told that both he and Rutschman could get time at first and/or DH. That may still be a possibility in some lineup combinations even if Díaz or Cordero makes the team.

Just looking over the roster, I think the first base job is Mountcastle’s as long as he’s healthy. He’s started 144 and 145 games the past two seasons, so the catching pair would just need to give him a combined 20 days off during the season. Read the rest of this entry »

There has been some recent news about A.J. Puk (link) and Seth Lugo (link) joining their team’s rotation. Both were full-time relievers in 2022, so it would be quite a transition. The question I wanted answered was not if they would make the transition, but if they did, what are the most reasonable number of innings they should be expected to throw if they make the transition? After looking into some comps, it was more than I expected.

To find my sample, I didn’t want any tweeners, guys who started 15 games and had 20 relief appearances. Both Lugo and Puk were only relievers last season and could be going to the rotation. Read the rest of this entry »

American League

Athletics

• James Kaprielian’s status is unknown and A.J. Puk will be stretched out as a starter.

James Kaprielian’s status for Spring Training is unknown after he underwent shoulder surgery this offseason, and A.J. Puk is going to be stretched out to a starter’s workload this spring.

Puk’s 66 IP last season was the most he’s thrown since his 125 IP back in 2017. I’m guessing 120 IP max for him.

As for pitches, Puk was mainly four-seamer (10% SwStr%, 41% GB%) and slider (19% SwStr%, 33% GB%) last season. He’s thrown other pitch types in the past and will need to revive one in order to navigate a lineup a third time. Read the rest of this entry »

I am examining starters going later than pick 300 in the latest NFBC ADP.

Here are the previous editions:

• Eflin, Garrett, Carrasco, & Gore
• Wesneski, Clevinger, Quantrill, & Steele
• Walker, Pérez, Manaea, & Bello
• Megill, Stripling, Jameson, & Civale
• Whitlock, Houck, Gray, & Maeda
• Peterson, Matz, Syndergaard, & Quintana
• Bradish, Wainwright, Soroka, & Ortiz
• Morris, Keller, Wood, & Suarez
• Waldichuck, Painter, Falter, & Wacha
• Rodriguez, Pivetta, Hall, & Germán

Ryne Nelson (429 ADP)

There are a lot of possible outcomes for the 24-year-old righty. His results in 18 major league innings seemed great (1.47 ERA, 0.82 WHIP), but he was buoyed by an unsustainable .156 BABIP. The arrows with him are going in all directions. I’ll start with the negatives. Read the rest of this entry »

The 2023 digital editions (full and appendix) of The Process are now available to be purchased (the paperback is off to the printers and will be available in two to four weeks). These editions are packed with new information. Read the rest of this entry »

American League

Angels

• Jared Walsh is expected to be ready by Spring Training.

Walsh had surgery to alleviate thoracic outlet syndrome, but he is also expected to be ready for Spring Training.

Astros

• Michael Brantley should be ready by Spring Training and be the team’s primary DH.

Brantley won’t be able to swing until mid-January, but the Astros believe he’ll be ready when Spring Training begins one month later.

As for his role, the Astros would like to allocate more left-field playing time to Yordan Alvarez, which would shift Brantley into a more prominent DH role. There’d still be a split, but Alvarez is likely slated for more time with his glove. With Brantley back, Jake Meyers and Chas McCormick should split time in center.

While I will have a share or two of Yordan Alvarez, I don’t like the idea of his knees playing a bunch in the outfield. Read the rest of this entry »

I am examining starters going later than pick 300 in the latest NFBC ADP.

Here are the previous editions:

• Eflin, Garrett, Carrasco, & Gore
• Wesneski, Clevinger, Quantrill, & Steele
• Walker, Pérez, Manaea, & Bello
• Megill, Stripling, Jameson, & Civale
• Whitlock, Houck, Gray, & Maeda
• Peterson, Matz, Syndergaard, & Quintana
• Bradish, Wainwright, Soroka, & Ortiz
• Morris, Keller, Wood, & Suarez
• Waldichuck, Painter, Falter, & Wacha

Eduardo Rodriguez (305 ADP)

The 29-year-old Rodriguez missed most of last season because of personal reasons. He missed an additional three weeks because of a strained ribcage. Even with the missed time, he was able to make 17 starts. Here are his results from before and after his time off. Read the rest of this entry »

I haven’t included catchers in the normal rankings since each league has a different total being rostered from 10 to down to the 48th one (12-team, two-catcher AL or NL-only leagues). I think the talent drops off around my 25th ranking. This finding leads to two takes. Unless I’m in a 15-team, tw0-catcher or deeper league, I’m not going to prioritize catchers. There are acceptable options for shallow formats. In the deeper leagues, I will set a line and try to roster my two catchers from the top-25.

Notes:

• The rankings start with a weighted average of several available projections. From there, I moved hitters up or down based on my perceived playing time (PA) or talent (Talent)
• I had to pick one format to rank off of and I went with 5×5 Roto.
• I didn’t give any player a multi-position boost or DH hit with each hosting site having its own settings.
• Replacement level is not included since that value will change based on each league’s settings.

Read the rest of this entry »

American League

Astros

• It seems like Yainer Diaz has the upper hand on Korey Lee as the team’s second catcher.

There are those in the organization who like Diaz more than Lee because of his bat. Diaz can also play first base in addition to catcher. He was acquired from the Guardians in July 2021 and slashed .306/.356/.542 between Double-A Corpus Christi and Triple-A Sugar Land last season. Lee has a tremendous arm, but he is behind Diaz offensively after slashing .238/.307/.483 with 25 homers and 76 RBIs last season at Triple-A.

Steamer projects Diaz with a .754 OPS and Lee with .652 OPS. Read the rest of this entry »

I am examining starters going later than pick 300 in the latest NFBC ADP.

Here are the previous editions:

• Eflin, Garrett, Carrasco, & Gore
• Wesneski, Clevinger, Quantrill, & Steele
• Walker, Pérez, Manaea, & Bello
• Megill, Stripling, Jameson, & Civale
• Whitlock, Houck, Gray, & Maeda
• Peterson, Matz, Syndergaard, & Quintana
• Bradish, Wainwright, Soroka, & Ortiz
• Morris, Keller, Wood, & Suarez

Ken Waldichuk (372 ADP)

I wish 24-year-old lefty wasn’t on the 40-Win A’s. There is quite a bit to like about him but the other stats will almost certainly come with a low Win total.

He has a 94-mph four-seamer that he throws over half the time. It misses a decent number of bats (10% SwStr%) and generates a ton of popups (27% GB%). His slider (16% SwStr%) and change (14% SwStr%) also generate a decent number of swings-and-misses. In a short sample (46 pitches) his curve struggled (4% SwStr%). The comps on the pitch aren’t much better. Read the rest of this entry »