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Big Kid Adds (Week 9)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome and a note about next week, there is a good chance there will be no chat since I’ll be traveling for Memorial Day. I might do a limited one earlier in the day.

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the winning bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:34
Need for speed: Myles straw was dropped. What do u think about him for speed. He is pretty empty otherwise

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: He plays and steals bases. For some managers, there will be helpful.

7:35
BoB: What kind of bid are we looking at for Bobby Miller in ME leagues where he’s available now?

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 9)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (5/19/23)

American League

Angels

Taylor Ward (.649 OPS) has sat in two of the last four games.

Astros

Chas McCormick (.762 OPS, 2 HR, 4 SB) has started all four games since coming off the IL.

Jose Altuve is about to come off the IL so Mauricio Dubón (.723 OPS) will need to find a spot in the lineup. Read the rest of this entry »


Strikeout Rate’s Link to WHIP

I’m still in disbelief from a recent finding I made. It started with this comment in a recent article I wrote about STUFF:

How much WHIP changed in the two “Stuff” models was almost too good to be true. In both cases, the walk rate increased as a pitcher’s stuff got better, but the hit suppression was so large that the WHIP declined.

Well I was wrong about the hit suppression. I went back and found no link to BABIP. The difference was because WHIP is on an innings denominator and a strikeout removes the chance for a Hit and Walk. An out comes down to the random chance of a batted ball. I know it’s confusing so here is an example assuming a pitcher with a 9 K/9, 3 BB/9, and .300 BABIP and throws 6 IP/GS. Read the rest of this entry »


Big Kid Adds (Week 8)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from one of the Tout Wars mixed leagues.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: CMorel 180
DFletcher 54
CSchmitt 48
LOrtiz 48
MMoniak 44
BMiller 32
MLorenzen 22
MWacha 22
DPeterson 21
CSilseth 20
GSoto 17
TanScott 17
HBrazoban 15
AIbanez 14
SDominguez 13
WPeralta 11
PSmith 11
FFermin 9
RGrossman 7
JOviedo 7
PDeJong 5
JDiaz 1
CStratton 1
KKiermaier 0

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: And from the other one:

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: EPerez 310
CMorel 188
CKimbrel 105
DFloro 69
DFletcher 47
NPratto 45
TTaylor 36
LTaveras 35
LOrtiz 27
GCanning 26
HHarvey 25
MWacha 25
BBelt 25
JPCrawford 24
MCastro 22
CSchmitt 22
RGrossman 18
DPeterson 18
CSilseth 12
MMcLain 8
PBattenfield 4
KFarmer 1
MThaiss 0
GSoto 0
JBauers 0
ERosario 0

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: Sorry for the change of format. I’m not on my normal computer.

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 8)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (5/12/23)

I have a short amount of time to get this done today (son’s final track meet) so I’ll give each team a quick look and move on. I’m not going to include any stats. I might look into lineups a little more at the meet on Twitter.

American League

Angels

Taylor Ward has led off for four straight games with Zach Neto batting ninth.

Gio Urshela has started five straight.

Astros

• It’s possible Jake Meyers (vs RHP) and Chas McCormick (vs LHP) are in a centerfield platoon.

David Hensley is filling in for Mauricio Dubón at second base.

Athletics

JJ Bleday sat against both lefties on the schedule with Brent Rooker moving from DH to the outfield.

Kevin Smith and Jace Peterson are in a third-base platoon.

Ryan Noda has started at first base in six of the last seven games.

Blue Jays

• Steady. Some movement since Springer is sick.

Guardians

Josh Naylor has sat against the last two lefties with David Fry playing first base instead.

Will Brennan (vs RHP) and Gabriel Arias (vs LHP) are in a platoon.

Mariners

J.P. Crawford led off on Wednesday with Julio Rodríguez moving down in the lineup.

• The speedster, Jose Caballero, has started in five of the last nine games.

Orioles

Adam Frazier has started five straight at second base.

Rangers

• Steady but with Corey Seager about to come off the IL, it will get a mix-up in the next few days.

Rays

• The three regulars and everyone else is in a two-thirds role.

Red Sox

• Steady.

• In the 13 games since Enmanuel Valdez got recalled, he’s only sat twice, both times against a lefty (did start against two lefties).

Royals

• The lineup looks like someone from the Rays are in charge … oh wait.

Maikel Garcia has started in nine of ten games since being recalled.

Nick Pratto has started in 11 of 13 games since being recalled.

Tigers

Matt Vierling is now leading off against lefties.

• Since being recalled, Andy Ibáñez has started in 10 of 11 games.

Twins

• Since being recalled from AAA, Alex Kirilloff has started four straight while hitting fourth or fifth.

Kyle Farmer has started two straight at third base with the demotion of Jose Miranda.

Michael A. Taylor and Nick Gordon are splitting time in center field.

White Sox

Lenyn Sosa and Elvis Andrus are splitting time at second base.

Seby Zavala has started at catcher in five of the last eight games.

Yankees

Harrison Bader has started in eight of the last nine games.

• Two spots (OF/DH) are a revolving door of quad-A talent.

National League

Braves

• With Michael Harris II struggling at the plate, the other outfielders are getting a two-thirds role.

Travis d’Arnaud is back so Marcell Ozuna will lose time at DH.

Brewers

Tyrone Taylor has started in eight of nine games since coming off the IL.

Owen Miller (vs LHP) and Brice Turang (vs RHP) are in a second base platoon.

Cardinals

Dylan Carlson has started 12 straight in center field.

Paul DeJong, Tommy Edman, and Nolan Gorman are splitting time at the two middle infield spots.

• And as everyone has heard by now, Willson Conteras has played six straight games at DH.

Cubs

Matt Mervis (vs RHP) and Trey Mancini (vs LHP) are in a first-base platoon.

Christopher Morel’s role and usage aren’t clear at this point.

Diamondbacks

• Since being promoted, Dominic Fletcher has started in eight of the nine games.

Pavin Smith, Alek Thomas, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. are splitting time with one outfield spot and the DH.

Emmanuel Rivera (.906 OPS) only starts against lefties.

Dodgers

Chris Taylor is acting like a super sub and has started in seven of the last 10 games.

Trayce Thompson (vs LHP) and Jason Heyward (vs RHP) are in a platoon.

Giants

Michael Conforto is one of the few full-time bats and has started in 17 of the last 18 games.

• Four different guys (Johnson, Slater, Wisely, and Stevenson) have started in center field over the last four games.

Joey Bart has started at catcher in seven of the last 10 games. Blake Sabol with only five starts (two in left field) during those same ten games.

Marlins

Joey Wendle has started three straight at shortstop since coming off the IL.

Jean Segura sat in the last two games.

Yuli Gurriel has started in eight of the last 10 games.

Mets

Tommy Pham and Daniel Vogelbach are still in a platoon.

Nationals

Lane Thomas has led off for five straight games.

Stone Garrett has started in five of the last seven games.

Ildemaro Vargas (vs LHP) and CJ Abrams (vs RHP) may be in a shortstop platoon.

Padres

• Steady

• Keep an eye on the playing time for Rougned Odor and Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 because Odor has started two straight at second base.

Phillies

• Steady. The exact same lineup for three straight days.

Pirates

• The two middle infield spots are shared by several people (Owings, Marcano, Bae, and Castro).

• One outfield spot is being shared by three guys (Andujar, Joe, and Palacios).

Reds

• Steady.

Wil Myers took over the right field job from Henry Ramos라모스.

Rockies

Charlie Blackmon has sat against the last two lefty starters.

Ezequiel Tovar hit second for the first time (.273/.304/.546 over the last two weeks).


Ball%: Simple, Underutilized, & Highly Effective

A few days, I got into a spat looking into Tanner Bibee.

My issue was that even though Bibee’s walk rate was good in 2022 (combined minor league rate of 1.8 BB/9) there were signs that his walks could be an issue once this season started. While Bibee had some luck in 3-2 counts is one issue, I’m just going to focus on Ball% (Balls/Pitches). Read the rest of this entry »