Author Archive

Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Remember to set your Angels and Red Sox player lineups with the early start tomorrow.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the Tout Wars winning bids.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:33
Alex: How does “Josh Lowe if he figures out the strikeouts” look on our rosters over the next few months?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Not that good if he continues to sit against all lefties. Streamer depending on matchups

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 4)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (4/14/23)

American League

Angels

Gio Urshela (.756 OPS, 0 HR, 1 SB) has started in all but one game and has played six games at shortstop.

Brandon Drury (.556 OPS) may only be starting against lefties. Read the rest of this entry »


My Imaginary $10,000 Quandary

This offseason, I struggled with how much fantasy-based content is too much content. I’ve created plenty of material including a 300-page book on my process and several articles per week here a FanGraphs. In addition to writing about fantasy baseball and playing in a few free leagues, I started dipping my toe into high stakes. The entries started out small but I’ve rolled my winnings back in and it was a sizable amount this spring.

With five figures on the line, I felt the pull of providing the best content available and being competitive in these leagues. This offseason, I had several takes. Some I made public while others, I sort of kept to myself. Here are three examples.

1. One of my guys this year was José Suarez (shares). I didn’t go into the offseason being high on him but liked some of his mid-season changes.

A complete transformation. [Suarez’s second half 18% K%-BB% is in line with Wood and his comps (Urias and Alcantara). He is a breakout in hidden plain sight. I would take Wood ahead of him (longer track record), but Suarez would be an easy second choice.

… I ended my campaign for him right then and tried to roster him in every league. While others noticed the article, I didn’t go out of my way to make him one of my guys. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (4/11/23)

American League

Angels

José Suarez’s spot in the rotation isn’t in question … just yet.

Nevin deflected a question about his level of concern about Suarez, but it’s likely too early for Suarez’s spot in the rotation to be in question, especially because he’s out of Minor League options. But if his struggles continue, he could be sent to the bullpen. In that scenario, Canning could be the club’s fifth starter, and Davidson would serve as the sixth starter and occasional long reliever.

He’s not getting the swings-and-misses from last year (12% SwStr% to 10%) because he is filling up the strike zone (53% Zone% to 56%). Read the rest of this entry »


Big Kid Adds (Week 3)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
I need steals: Bid amount for Straw in 15 teamer?

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Around 2%

7:31
Guest: Riley Greene was dropped, what % faab is he worth in an OBP redraft league?

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Starters Who Can’t Keep It Up

The pitch clock is one of the various rule changes implemented this season. Some pitchers were going to be affected more than others, but it was tough to know who exactly before the season started. Some names are starting to come to light with Carlos Carrasco blaming the lack of time between pitches for his velocity drop.

With most starters having one start under their belts, I decided to see who gained or lost velocity each time through the batting order compared to last season. Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 3)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (4/7/23)

American League

Angels

Jake Lamb (.561 OPS) is playing first base against righties.

Gio Urshela has started in five of six with two games at shortstop.

Astros

David Hensley (Util-only) has started five of seven with three games at second so far. Mauricio Dubón is getting the other starts at second base.

• Two outfield spots are still are being split between Chas McCormick (1.016 OPS), Corey Julks (.668 OPS), and Jake Meyers (.473 OPS).

Athletics

Seth Brown didn’t get platooned against the two lefties.

Ryan Noda has started three straight at first base. He might be on the strong side of a platoon with Brent Rooker.

Jace Peterson might be on the strong side of a platoon with Nick Allen on the weak side.

Blue Jays

• There looks to be some platoons forming with Brandon Belt and Cavan Biggio only facing righties.

Kevin Kiermaier (5 starts in seven games), Whit Merrifield (5), and Santiago Espinal (2) don’t seem to have full-time roles.

Guardians

Gabriel Arias has started in three of the last four games, all against a lefty starter.

Mariners

Kolten Wong (vs RHP) and Sam Haggerty (vs LHP) seem to be in a second base platoon.

Jarred Kelenic sat against both lefty starters.

Orioles

Adam Frazier (1.127 OPS) has started in five of the last six games.

Ramón Urías has only started in three of six games.

Rangers

Josh Smith (.875 OPS), Brad Miller (.857 OPS), and Ezequiel Duran (.333 OPS) are splitting time between two lineup spots.

Rays

• A mess as normal.

Isaac Paredes (vs LHP) and Taylor Walls (vs RHP) appear to be in a third base platoon.

Red Sox

• They’ve only faced one lefty and Rob Refsnyder played instead of Triston Casas.

Royals

• It’s Rays-like with a new lineups everyday, but with worse hitters.

Tigers

Matt Vierling (1 HR, 1 SB, .885 OPS) is leading off against lefties and has sat only once.

Nick Maton (vs RHP) and Jonathan Schoop (vs LHP) seem to be in a third base platoon.

Ryan Kreidler (6 K in 13 PA) has started three straight games.

Twins

Michael A. Taylor has starter every game as the centerfielder while batting ninth.

Trevor Larnach has started every game.

White Sox

• With Eloy Jiménez out, it’s not obvious who will take his place with the candidates being Jake Burger, Romy Gonzalez, and Gavin Sheets.

Yankees

• One and a half (Stanton) outfield spots is being shared by Franchy Cordero (.556 OPS), Oswaldo Cabrera (.646 OPS), and Aaron Hicks (.125 OPS).

National League

Braves

Travis d’Arnaud (.806 OPS) has started every game (four as DH).

Eddie Rosario has only started against righties while Kevin Pillar and Marcell Ozuna have started against lefties.

Brewers

Luke Voit, Owen Miller, and Mike Brosseau (leading off) have only started against lefties. Garrett Mitchell and Brice Turang have sat against both lefties they faced.

Joey Wiemer (1.009 OPS) had started five straight.

Cardinals

• With Lars Nootbaar out, Alec Burleson (.938) has started in five of the last six games. He sat against the one lefty.

Brendan Donovan sat against the one lefty with Tommy Edman then hitting leadoff.

Cubs

Eric Hosmer (.706 OPS) has started in four of the five games.

Diamondbacks

Josh Rojas (vs RHP) and Evan Longoria (vs LHP) are in a third base platoon.

Alek Thomas (vs RHP) and Kyle Lewis (vs LHP) are in a platoon.

Dodgers

Mookie Betts has three games so far at second base.

• Some nagging injuries (i.e. Vargas and Rojas) has mixed things up that last few days.

Giants

• They haven’t faced any lefty starters so the potential platoons aren’t obvious.

• Catcher-qualified Blake Sabol (.722 OPS) has started every game.

Wilmer Flores has only started in two games so far.

Marlins

Jon Berti has has started three straight at short with Joey Wendle on the IL.

Bryan De La Cruz and Jesús Sánchez are splitting one outfield spot. It doesn’t seem to be a handedness platoon.

Mets

Tommy Pham (vs LHP) and Daniel Vogelbach (vs RHP) seem to be in a platoon.

Luis Guillorme (vs RHP) and Eduardo Escobar (vs LHP) are in a third base platoon.

Nationals

• Keep an eye on Alex Call, he might be on the short side of a platoon (Note: He is in Friday’s lineup versus a righty).

Padres

David Dahl (.556 OPS), Rougned Odor (.422), and José Azocar (.844) are splitting time with one outfield spot.

Nelson Cruz has only started twice, both times against a lefty.

Phillies

• Looks like Jake Cave (vs RHP) and Edmundo Sosa (vs LHP) are in a platoon.

Pirates

• Several guys are playing enough to be relevant (Suwinski, Smith-Njigba, Joe, Choi) but Ji Hwan Bae (1 HR, 2 SB, .708 OPS) has started five of six with three games at second base.

Reds

Kevin Newman (.600 OPS) and Jose Barrero (.250 OPS) are sharing time at short. I’m not sure it’s a platoon.

Rockies

• Since joining the team, Jurickson Profar has leadoff every game.