Author Archive

Lineup Analysis (7/20/23)

American League

Angels

Zach Neto has led off for six straight games.

Mike Moustakas has started in nine of the last 10 games.

Trey Cabbage has started in three of the last four games, all against a righty.

• Twenty-seven-year-old Michael Stefanic (.349/.445/.441, 2 HR, 6 SB) has started the last two games at second base. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (7/19/23)

American League

Angels

Logan O’Hoppe should return in late August.

The initial timeline was four to six months, which meant O’Hoppe could be out through September. But O’Hoppe, ranked as the club’s No. 1 prospect and the No. 29 overall prospect by MLB Pipeline, made it his mission to return on the sooner end of that spectrum. And he’s now on track to potentially return at some point in late August, which should be a boost for the Angels.

Read the rest of this entry »


Big Kid Adds (Week 17)

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even a larger entry fee ($2.5K to $15K). They get originally named “High Stakes Leagues” and this year there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers are going to try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more of these leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Linking STUFFF Changes to Fantasy Relevant Stats

I have a major love-hate relationship with the STUFFF metrics. After just a few pitches, useful information becomes available to determine if a pitcher has improved or not. On the other hand, the issue I have against STUFFF is the lack of transparency and values change as the dataset increases. With all the STUFFF talk, all I want to know is how changes in it will affect a pitcher’s fantasy-relevant stats. In my first article, I set some ERA baselines for the STUFFF values. The next step is to understand what a change in a STUFFF value has on a pitcher. For example, if I hear their Stuff+ jumps from 90 to 110, why should I care? Is the pitcher’s ERA going to drop by 1.00 or by 0.10 or not at all? I decided to just make a major data dump to have a reference when a STUFFF value does move.

Caution: The following values may or may not be predictive. They could just be descriptive. There is just not enough information (2 years of information) to run any ideal predictive test at this point, especially with STUFFF’s vagueness and everchanging nature.

Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ve got a storm in the area so there is a chance I lose power

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from this week’s 15-team Tout Wars leagues

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:34
A.: Can recommend some ratio eraser middle relievers unlikely to be owned in a mixed 12 that counts holds as separate category?

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 17)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (7/14/23)

American League

Athletics

Luis Medina has been working on a new slider.

Medina, who typically favors his four-seamer, utilized a five-pitch mix (fastball, slider, sinker, curveball and changeup). Five of his nine strikeouts came on the slider, a pitch Medina has been working on.

Read the rest of this entry »


Upgrading My Individual Pitch Result Metric

On a personal level, the All-Star break can be declared a success as I’ve made major improvements to my pitch result evaluator, pERA. I was supposed to do dive into it last season, but I spent most of the time dealing with the league’s new rules so this update got pushed off until now. I planned on adding Ball Percentage (Ball%), Called Strikes (CStr%), and StatCast batted ball information. I felt each add would provide a clearer picture of the pitcher’s pitches. I eventually found out I was double counting the same information with Ball% and CStr% and needed to remove one. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: There are no Tout Wars FAAB bids. The leagues run their FAAB on Wednesday night.

7:31
Hicks/Gallegos: At what point do you think it’s worth stashing Gallegos or other set up men who you think will benefit from their closers being traded?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Previously I’ve looked at the who in the MLBTR top-50 trade targets get traded and the first two rounds are at or over 50%: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/07/top-50-deadline-trade-candidate…

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d focus on those players for stashes coming up.

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire & FAAB Report (Week 16)

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »